hVIVO – Weaker Market Generally Plus Euronext Cancellation Could Give Good Buying Opportunity 

It is going to take another twenty days before hVIVO (LON:HVO) starts to save money on its shares being quoted on the Euronext Growth Market. 

This morning the fast-growing contract research group has announced that it is cancelling its ability to have the Euronext facility, which will come into play as from 2nd September. 

As hVIVO’s primary operations, along with the majority of its employees and investor base, are in the UK, the group has decided to consolidate trading of its stock to its primary listing on the LSE AIM Market.  

The cancellation will also remove certain costs, complexities and duplication that comes from administering two listing regimes – in my view it is an immensely sensible step, and is probably a measure that should be followed by scores of other UK companies that have such dual listings. 

Analyst Views 

Analysts Stuart Harris and Chris Donnellan at Cavendish Capital Markets stated that: 

“We see this as a sensible move, it is clear from the share price move and appetite from UK-based investors over the past 18-months that there is plentiful capital for what has become a quality growth story.” 

They have estimates out for the current year to end-December for revenues to rise to £62.0m (£56.0m) helping to lift adjusted pre-tax profits to £12.2m (£11.9m), generating 1.4p (1.3p) in earnings and covering a 0.2p (0.4p) per share dividend. 

For the coming year they see £67.4m sales, £14.0m profits, 1.6p earnings and another 0.2p per share dividend. 

The analysts note that: 

“HVO operates in a structurally attractive HCT industry that we believe is being increasingly relevant for its biopharma customer base.  

It is a world leader, with unique benefits versus the competitors.  

2024 targets point to another year of strong revenue and profit growth, with a history of over-delivery.  

Longer-term targets have been set which we believe are achievable, offering double-digit compound revenue, profit and cash flow growth, and the company has established a progressive dividend policy, after the special dividend paid in 2023.” 

In My View 

The £193m capitalised group’s shares are 1.25p lower this morning at 28.50p, not in response to the above decision, but instead due to the much weaker market generally, which could give a good buying opportunity to risk-tolerant investors taking a medium-term view. 

David Beckham-backed Guild Esports to throw in the towel with asset disposal

David Beckham-backed Guild Esports (LSE: GILD) has announced the signing of a letter of intent (LOI) with DCB Sports LLC to dispose of all Guild assets and liabilities.

Guild Esports was listed at 8p in 2020 in the midst of the pandemic and a spike in interest in virtual gaming. However, the buzz has died down as gamers returned to the real world and shares now trade at just 0.2p.

Last week, Guild Esports shares plunged after announcing cash constraints, leaving them with just £25,000 in cash and relatively large receivables and liabilities.

With the company on the ropes financially, management has opted to throw in the towel and dispose of all its assets effectively ending its time as a London-listed company. The potential amount has not been disclosed.

DCB Sports intends to maintain and elevate the Guild brand and has pledged to provide robust financial backing, including backing up future working capital needs and supplying ongoing capital.

DCB Sports’ ventures span from a stake in Ice Cube’s Big3 basketball league to co-ownership of The Bay Golf Club alongside NBA stars Steph Curry and Klay Thompson. With investments in Venezia FC, the National Thoroughbred League, and TMRW Sports (co-founded by Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy), DCB Sports has demonstrated a knack for identifying unique opportunities in the sports and entertainment sectors.

The deal remains subject to the successful negotiation of a definitive legal agreement and the completion of due diligence. Furthermore, Guild’s directors have made it clear that they are still in discussions with other potential suitors, leaving the door open for a rival bid for the assets

Guild’s shares were 66% higher at the time of writing.

UK Oil & Gas completes discounted placing to fund hydrogen projects

In a move to advance its recently announced hydrogen storage projects, UK Oil & Gas PLC (LON:UKOG) has successfully raised £1 million through a share placing. The AIM-listed company announced the conditional placement of 2 billion new ordinary shares at 0.05p each, a 37% discount to the closing price on 2nd August 2024.

UKOG has also revealed plans for a separate Retail Offer in addition to the £1 million placing. The company intends to release further details regarding this offer in a separate announcement.

Although all investors have had the opportunity to participate in the round, the shareholder base may be a little perturbed that the company used a recent rally to secure a placing.

This fundraising effort’s primary purpose is to finance crucial activities that will significantly progress UKOG’s hydrogen storage projects, including initiating essential environmental surveys, engineering studies, and other necessary works.

Furthermore, the newly acquired funds will enable UKOG to advance negotiations with potential strategic joint venture partners and finalise a land option agreement for an additional hydrogen storage site. The company plans to bolster recognition of its hydrogen projects after already receiving from major industry players such as RWE, Sumitomo, and SGN.

CMC Markets UK Plc, operating under the name CapX, served as the sole placing agent for this significant funding round.

“The funding, together with the support from leading UK energy and hydrogen-space infrastructure players, RWE, Sumitomo and SGN, means we can now materially advance our nationally significant projects towards the goal of a competitive Revenue Support application,” said Stephen Sanderson UKOG’s Chief Executive.

“It will also greatly help us to secure at least one major strategic partner as a joint venture participant and to enhance our lobbying efforts with our new Labour government, who to date seem motivated and committed to making hydrogen and its storage a fundamental part of Britain’s renewable superpower ambition.”

Director deals: Three directors take advantage of Mercia Asset Management discount

Three executive directors of Mercia Asset Management (LON: MERC) have added to their shareholdings at a significant discount to NAV. Chief executive Mark Payton has bought 145,840 shares at an average share price of 34.69p. Martin Glanfield acquired 119,223 shares at 34.5p each, while Julian Viggers bought 100,000 shares at an average price of 34.84p.  

These purchases are at prices well below the NAV of 43p/share. Martin Glanfield acquired shares at 29p each last November. N July 2022, there was buying by directors at 30p/share.

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Regional-focused fund manager Mercia Ass...

Aquis weekly movers: Ormonde Mining investee company secures deal

Ormonde Mining (LON: ORM) investee company TRU Precious Metals has signed an option agreement with Eldorado Gold so that it can earn 80% of the Golden Rose project in Newfoundland. The 36.2%-owned TRU Precious Metals has persuaded Eldorado Gold to invest in the early-stage project.

Valerium (LON: VLRM) will collaborate with Tokeny as a technology provider for Valerium’s Real World Asset (RWA) marketplace. The technology will enable the primary issuance and bulletin board-based secondary trading of various digital assets.

FALLERS

Quantum Exponential Group (LON: QBIT) shares halved to 0.25p ahead of the adjourned general meeting. There has been no news concerning any new investor. The share price halved to 0.25p.

St Mark Homes (LON: SMAP) has gained shareholder approval for the departure from Aquis and this will happen on 2 September. The share price further slumped 46.7% to 8p.

ProBiotix Health (LON: PBX) has appointed Cellan Davies as head of marketing. The share price fell 23.1% to 2.5p, which is a new low.

KR1 (LON: KR1) had net assets of 82.01p/share at the end of June 2024. Income earned during the month was £877,000. One-quarter of the value of the portfolio is in Celestia tokens. The share price slipped 13.1% to 56.5p.

Hydrogen Future Industries (LON: HFI) has secured a technology and territory licensing agreement worth up to €2.25m. The wind-based hydrogen production technology company has signed the deal with a new company in the Republic of Ireland. The share price declined 5.56% to 2.125p.

Emission reduction fuel additives developer SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) says first quarter revenues were 134% ahead at £192,000. There were record product sales in the quarter. There was £1.6m in the bank at the end of June 2024. The share price edged down 1.69% to 29p.

AIM weekly movers: Second week of rises for UK Oil and Gas

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UK Oil and Gas (LON: UKOG) is the highest riser for the second week. its Dorset and Yorkshire underground hydrogen storage projects have received a letter of support from RWE, which is developing three hydrogen plants near to the storage projects. Other letters of support have come from Japanese trading house Sumitomo and pipeline provider SGN. The projects are at an early engineering design stage. The share price improved a further 207% to 0.086p.

Shares in investment company Argo Group (LON: ARGO) jumped 50% to 6p following yesterday evening’s interim results announcement. Revenues more than tripled to $4.6m and pre-tax profit jumped from $100,000 to $2.5m. NAV was $7.3m at the end of June 2024.

Keras Resources (LON: KRS) has started production of PhoSul granules at its joint venture processing facility in Utah. PhoSul helps to reduce phosphorous run-off and water contamination. Between 8,000 and 10,000 tons could be produced this year. The share price jumped 45.5% to 4p.

Mkango Resources (LON: MKA) has signed a writing agreement with the Malawi government for the Songwe Hill recycling project. There will be a royalty of 5% of gross revenues and a 30% corporate tax rate. The government will take a 10% non-diluting stake in the project. Resources Early Stage Opportunities has cut its shareholding from 6% to less than 3%. The share price rose 34.8% to 6.2p.

FALLERS

Following recent management changes, Nostra Terra Oil and Gas (LON: NTOG) has raised £462,000 at 0.03p/share. The share price slid 63.6% to 0.03p. Directors and management bought shares. This will be investing in a workover and development programme at the Pine Mills producing asset.

North Sea-focused Jersey Oil and Gas (LON: JOG) could be hampered by the rise in the energy profits level to 38% and the main investment allowance of 29% will be removed from November. A reduction in capital allowances will be announced in the October Budget. The levy will be extended until 2030. The Great Buchan Area joint venture will be impacted. Jersey Oil and Gas has a full carry on much of the development spending of the project and there are potential milestone payments. However, the final investment decision could be hampered by the tax changes. The share price slumped 30.7% to 61p.

RBG Holdings (LON: RBGP) is expecting interim revenues of £18.4m, down from £19.8m. Net debt was £24.4m at the end of June 2024 and the debt facility is fully drawn. Costs are being reduced, but most will come through next year. Earlier this year, RBG raised £3m at 9p/share. The share price slipped by one-fifth to 7.6p. A pre-tax profit of £1.2m is forecast for 2024 after the previous year’s loss.

Orosur Mining Inc (LON: OMI) continues to work on the deal to reacquire 100% ownership of the Anza gold project in Colombia. The details have been more complex than expected and this has caused delays. The share price declined 18.3% to 3.35p.

AIM movers: UK Oil and Gas gains support for hydrogen storage and higher bid for Trinity Exploration

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UK Oil and Gas (LON: UKOG) says that its Dorset and Yorkshire underground hydrogen storage projects has received a letter of support from RWE, which is developing three hydrogen plants near to the storage projects. Other letters of support have come from Japanese trading house Sumitomo and pipeline provider SGN. The projects are at an early engineering design stage.  The share price improved a further 20.8% to 0.087p.

Vector Capital (LON: VCAP) plans to leave AIM and is offering shareholders the chance to tender shares at 33p each. The tender offer covers up to 11.2 million shares and will cost £3.7m. Interim pre-tax profit dipped 45% to £707,000. Vector Holdings owns 75.2% of the property finance provider and the tender is enough to cover the rest of the shares. The share price recovered 18.2% to 32.5p.

Trinidad-based oil and gas producer Trinity Exploration and Production (LON: TRIN) is recommending a cash bid from Trinidad incorporated Lease Operators and withdrawn the recommendation of the Touchstone Exploration (LON: TXP) offer of 1.5 shares for each of the oil company’s shares. The bid is 68.05p/share and values Trinity Exploration and Production at £26.4m. There will be economies of scale between the two oil producers. The Trinity Exploration share price rose 10.5% to 63p, while the Touchstone Exploration share price dipped 0.74% to 33.75p.

Oil and gas company Tower Resources (LON: TRP) says the Namibian government has extended the initial exploration period for PEL96 to October 2024 and invited the company to apply for a renewal period of two-three years. The work commitment for the initial exploration period is substantially complete. The share price increased 8.7% to 0.0125p.

Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) has received £100,000 from its proposed partner for the Earlham licence in the North Sea and this has been paid to Shell. The partner will deliver further funds to pay off the rest of the Shell loan. The share price rose 7.69% to 10.5p.

PHSC (LON: PHSC) improved 2023-24 revenues from £3.44m to £3.78m, while underlying pre-tax profit improved from £305,000 to £452,000. The final dividend was increased to 1.25p/share taking the total to 2p/share, up from 1.5p/share. Cash was £488,000 at the end of March 2024. The health and safety consultancy services provider says profitability has fallen in the first quarter, due to employment agency fees relating to the hiring of five additional people. The share price is 3.92% higher at 26.5p.

FALLERS

Alien Metals (LON: UFO) has fallen a further 6.52% to 0.1075p following yesterday’s planned placing to raise up to £600,000 at 0.11p/share. Talks are progressing with a a potential partner for the Hancock project.

Aptamer (LON: APTA) announced on Thursday evening that it raised an additional £60,000 at 0.2p/share due to a reconciliation area by its broker. This takes the fundraising to £2.89m. The share price declined 3.85% to 0.25p.

IAG shares fly after dividend announcement, scraps Air Europa takeover

IAG was flying high at the top of the FTSE 10 on Friday after the airline announced its first dividend since before the pandemic and abandoned its pursuit of rival Air Europa.

Shareholders will be delighted that IAG’s progress has cleared the way for the airline to pay a dividend after revenue and operating profit grew in the first half of the year.

IAG shares were 6% higher at the time of writing.

“British Airways owner IAG has maintained a steady flight path in 2024 with the international carrier faring considerably better than its national counterparts. Long haul travel has held up well with robust demand for air travel fuelling increased free cash flow, boosting shareholder returns as a result,” said Mark Crouch, Market Analyst at eToro

“While profits were down a touch from last year, the company’s balance sheet is in a far healthier state. Investors would need to go back to before the pandemic for the last time IAG paid a dividend, so today’s announcement of an interim dividend is a strong statement that the business has at last broken free of the pandemic fallout.”

Although investors were clearly encouraged by the reinstatement of the dividend, they will also be reassured by IAG’s prudent approach to capital allocation with the calling of the takeover of Air Europa.

“Walking away from a proposed takeover of Air Europa also shows the company has discipline and isn’t prepared to spend a long time fighting antitrust regulators to get the deal over the line. Management has clearly decided its time is better spent elsewhere and to just move on. Investors often like companies that take decisive action,” said AJ Bell’s Russ Mould.

“While the likes of Jet2 and EasyJet are heavily dependent on people flying off for their summer holidays, International Consolidated Airlines has a much wider range of customers as it has a mixture of short and long-haul destinations. That broadens its opportunities to make money.”

FTSE 100 selloff sustained as growth concerns take centre stage

The FTSE 100 continued yesterday’s decline early on Friday after optimism around a rate cut was quickly replaced by concerns about global growth.

London’s leading index was down 0.4% at the time of writing. “So much for the big equity rally when interest rate cuts take centre stage,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Investors thought rates cuts – which have just happened in the UK and looked poised to take place next month in the US – would energise stock markets. The opposite has happened with a bad day on Thursday and weakness extending into Friday, meaning August is so far off to a bad start.

“Weak economic data from the US spooked the market and reminded investors there are negative reasons why central banks might cut rates, not simply lowering the cost of borrowing because the rate of inflation is easing.”

We have previously alluded to global markets’ capacity to focus on only one big theme at a time. The fixation on global interest rates and when they will be cut diverted attention away from underlying growth rates and the consequences for equities.

Now that two major central banks, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, have cut interest rates, and the Federal Reserve looks set to cut rates in the very near future, investors have quickly shifted their focus to growth rates, which aren’t fantastic.

The UK’s unemployment rate is slowly ticking higher, Europe’s GDP is growing at a snail’s pace, and the US manufacturing sector is in contractionary territory. 

With markets free of the preoccupation of when central banks will cut rates, they are now looking at growth, and they don’t like what they see. The result is sharp declines in US equities that spilt over into the European session on Friday morning. Poor results from Amazon overnight has further dampened sentiment.

Investors will do well to hold on to their hats for the rest of the session. The Non-Farm Payrolls report, due for release at 1.30pm this afternoon, promises fireworks. A miss of expectations could see further downside, while a much better-than-expected read has the potential to spark a sharp rally after all the losses of late.

The risk-off approach to Friday’s trading was evident in a clear divide between the winners and losers. Safer defensive sectors such as pharmaceuticals, utilises, and precious metals were well-bid, while pretty much everything else was in the red.

Endeavour Mining, GSK, Haelon, and Fresnillo were among the top gainers. The only anomaly in the risk positioning was IAG’s decision to abandon its pursuit of the takeover of rival Air Europa. IAG shares were 6% higher.

Mondi was the top falling following the slashing of its price target by a plethora of brokers.

NCC Group – Ahead Of Profitability Expectations, Now Big Disposal Gives Added Rejuvenation Potential 

After the market closed last night NCC Group (LON:NCC) made an announcement that could be quite important to the recovery of this cyber security and software escrow business. 

NCC Group is trusted to protect and secure its customers’ critical assets and is used by Governments and major corporations glbally. 

It is an information assurance business that is headquartered in Manchester. 

With some 2,200 employees across Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific, NCC harnesses their collective insight, intelligence, and innovation to deliver cyber resilience solutions for both public and private sector clients globally.  

Its service areas cover software escrow and verification, cyber security consulting and managed services, and the business has over 15,000 clients worldwide. 

A couple of years ago the group suffered some setbacks after customers delayed or cancelled buying decisions, especially from its North American markets. 

However, since then the group has been undergoing something of a transformation which could well see very big prospects ahead. 

Latest Results 

Yesterday the group announced its results for the year to end May, showing revenues down slightly to £324.4m (£335.1m), while adjusted pre-tax profits were up 33% at £13.8m (£10.4m), lifting earnings to 3.5p (2.8p) which do not cover the dividend of 4.7p (4.7p) per share.  

CEO Mike Maddison stated that: 

“The Group’s transformation journey is progressing well and is already delivering results; however, work continues.  

We have enhanced our capabilities in Cyber and diversified our routes to market, developed differentiated brands and implemented a global resourcing and scheduling model enabled by a new delivery and operating centre.  

We have made this strategic progress whilst successfully reducing our operating costs and improving our gross margin.” 

Analyst View 

Analyst Bob Liao at Zeus Capital has a 167p a share base case scenario, with 245p as an upside scenario – they currently trade at 145p, valuing the group at £455m. 

For the current year to end May 2025 the broker goes for £352.6m revenues, £26.1m profits, earnings of 6.3p and a slightly increased dividend of 4.8p per share. 

His estimates for 2026 are for £379.9m turnover, £34.1m profits, 8.2p of earnings and a 4.9p dividend. 

Last Night’s Disposal News 

The group has agreed to sell its Fox Crypto business to CR Group Nordic for some £66m, cash on completion in October. 

Group net debt at 31 May 2024 was £38.5m, so the expected net proceeds of  about £62m will clear Group net debt and facilitate organic and inorganic growth in the group’s Cyber Security business. 

The disposal represents a continuation of the group’s transformation strategy to simplify the business and create a more focused Cyber Security business.  

The company notes that both its Cyber and Escode businesses provide the benefit of a portfolio effect to the overall group performance with clear future growth opportunities to enhance shareholder value. 

In My View 

These shares, now 145p, are undervalued considering the transformation now underway, which will be aided by the clearance of debt with added working capital, giving it the ability to use its shares in strategic M&A propositions.