Orcadian Energy shares soar on proposed Pilot Project farm-out

Orcadian Energy shares surged in the first hour of trading on Monday after announcing a potential farm-out of the Pilot development project.

Orcadian Energy has reached a major milestone that could enable the development of the massive Pilot oil field in the North Sea, according to an announcement Monday.

Orcadian Energy shares were over 70% higher at the time of writing.

The Edinburgh-based company revealed it has signed a provisional agreement with a major operator to acquire an 81.25% stake in the Pilot project, located in the Central North Sea about 150 miles east of Aberdeen.

If finalised, the farm-out deal would bring the expertise and financial backing of an established player to bear on extracting oil from the large but challenging Pilot discovery. Orcadian retains a carried 18.75% interest in the development.

The companies aim to submit a field development plan to UK regulators featuring a polymer flood, an enhanced recovery technique viewed as more environmentally friendly than alternatives. Success could allow upward revision of Pilot’s reserve estimates.

Completing the transaction requires due diligence, further negotiations, and various approvals. Still, the agreement represents meaningful progress for Orcadian after financial constraints forced it to relinquish the adjoining license earlier this year.

“We are delighted to have reached this agreement, which sets out a potential pathway to production for the Company’s Pilot field,” said Steve Brown, Orcadian’s CEO.

“The Pilot field has a substantial proven reserve base with material upside potential in the surrounding area. We are delighted this transaction could enable Orcadian to retain a significant interest in the project and to enjoy the long-term benefits of producing oil for the UK.

“Developing energy in our own backyard contributes to the UK’s Energy Security and balance of payments; delivers long-term high-quality jobs; and minimises emissions associated with satisfying the UK’s need for energy.

“We look forward to progressing the next stages of this proposed transaction and providing further updates.”

Haydale Graphene Industries secures cash to move towards breakeven

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Haydale Graphene Industries (LON: HAYD) has raised £5m from a placing and subscription at 0.5p/share and providing a retail offer of up to £1m for individual investors.

The directors have subscribed for eight million shares in total. The share price slumped 22.6% to 0.6p. The par value of the shares will have to be changed from 2p to 0.1p in order for the share issue to happen.

Just over one year ago, Haydale Graphene Industries raised £5m at 2p a share and an open offer at the same price was oversubscribed and raised £510,000.

That fundraising helped to finance additional manufacturing capacity, which should be enough to get to breakeven once the efficiency of the reactor is optimised. Cash was £1.38m at the end of June 2023.

The latest cash raising will fund working capital, while the company puts together partnerships to build up revenues, although more cash will be required before cash is generated from operations to fund the business. Additional debt or equity will be needed.

Retail offer

The retail offer opened on 15 September and closes at 12pm on 22 September.

Authorised intermediaries include AJ Bell, Redmayne Bentley and Shore Capital, while others including Interactive Investor are awaiting confirmation. Thebookbuild is being handled by Cavendish and the website showing intermediaries is HAYDALE GRAPHENE INDUSTRIES PLC Authorised Brokers – BookBuild.

Strategy

Haydale Graphene Industries has focused on five markets: functionalised nanomaterials for third party applications, heating inks and fluids; sensor devices, composites and silicon carbide tooling. 

Deals have been made but projects have been delayed. Cash outflow from operating activities is estimated at £4.7m in the year to June 2023 and it could be similar this year. That is before any tax credits. There should still be a small net cash position at the end of June 2024.

The company is still a long way away from breakeven. The forecast for the year to June 2025 is revenues of £9.9m, EBITDA loss of £1m and a pre-tax loss of £2.4m.

If revenues are better than expected then breakeven could be achieved earlier, but it is in the nature of these things that there are delays. Operational gearing means that when breakeven is achieved a significant proportion of revenues should fall through to profit.

This is still a highly speculative investment and the requirement for further funds should make potential applicants for the retail offer cautious.  

Aquis movers: Positive new from Brazil for Cadence Minerals

An update on the Amapa iron ore project in Brazil from Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) helped the share price improve 18.7% to 8.25p. Permitting times for the mine and related logistics has been reduced to 12-16 months. An environmental control plan is required to obtain the permits. This will enable a funding decision for the project. Investee company Hastings Technology Metals has expanded its offtake agreement with thyssenkrupp Materials Trading, which will take two-thirds of production from the Yangibana rare earths project.

Financial services company Eight Capital Partners (LON: ECP) says its2021 figures have been restated because of a change in the accounting treatment of the bonds. Non-cash transactions have been removed from the cash flow statement. The book value of the bonds has been changed to fair value and a modified loss recognised on loan liabilities. Net liabilities were £11.4m. The 2022 results show net assets of £25.3m after a debt conversion to equity. A partial reversal of previous fair value adjustments also helped. The share price rose 2.97% to 0.026p.

FALLERS

Gathoni Muchai Investments has trimmed its stake in Marula Mining (LON: MARU) from 12.2% to 11.26%. A warrants subscription at 4p each raised £30,500. The share price fell 14.3% to 11.25p.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has converted an existing order from Taiwan to its next generation Mistral flow battery. This is a higher margin product targeted at large wind and solar applications. Management is securing additional production capacity with Taiwan partner Everdura. The share price declined 9.2% to 39.5p.

Wine maker Chapel Down Group (LON: CDGP) slipped 7.07% to 46p ahead of the interim results on 27 September.

Coinsilium Group Ltd (LON: COIN) is providing a convertible loan of $50,000 and has a 12-month option to subscribe for $500,000 for shares in Silta at a pre-money valuation of $7.5m. This means that it could end up with 6.7% of Silta. Last year, Coinsilium entered into an early contribution agreement to buy $75,000 of SILTA tokens. Silta is developing an advanced AI platform for sustainable infrastructure financing. The share price dipped 3.7% to 1.3p.

Nigel Pope has taken a 3% stake in NFT Investments (LON: NFT). The share price edged up 1.59% to 1.55p.  

AIM movers: Barkby considers Cambridge Sleep sale

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Barkby Group (LON: BARK) is considering the sale of sleep technology business Cambridge Sleep Sciences, which is set to generate revenues of more than £10m from recent licensing deals over the next three years. Management first said it intended to sell non-core investments back in July 2022 and the progress made by Cambridge Sleep Sciences makes this a good time to seek offers. The share price jumped 158% to 7.75p – it has fallen back from 8p, which was the high since the beginning of the year.

Shares in Silver Bullet Data Services (LON: SBDS) recovered 107% to 77.5p ahead of the interims later this month. A trading statement has already said that revenues will be 76% higher at £4.1m.

Cloud communications company LoopUp Group (LON: LOOP) sharply reduced its loss in the first half of 2023 and it generated £4m of cash from operations, partly thanks to a fall in trade receivables. Net debt has fallen to £5.6m and bank facilities renewed until September 2024. Annualised recurring revenues are £2.7m. The share price increased 50.7% to 3.24p. Last September’s fundraising was at 5p.

Seed Innovations (LON: SEED) has sold 56.4% of Avextra, formerly Eurox, for around €2.9m (£2.45m), while maintaining a 3% shareholding. This represents a 62% return on the original investment and takes cash to £4.6m with a further £2.5m coming in from the disposal of Leap Gaming. This is available for further investments, including short-term ones. The share price is 41.7% higher at 3.4p, valuing the company at £7.2m. Lloyd Leckerman has taken a 3.73% stake in Seed Innovations.

FALLERS

AMTE Power (LON: AMTE) sent out its placing circular at the beginning of the week and then trading in the shares was suspended on Wednesday morning due to a deterioration in settlement performance. The share price had fallen by 75.8% to 2.24p. The battery technology developer is raising £2.1m at 1.7p/share.

Tungsten West (LON: TUN) says that by January 2024 it plans to have obtained the necessary permits for the Hemerdon mine, but that depends on raising enough cash. The board says that there is currently no demand for tranche C of the company’s convertible loan notes. If there continues to be no demand for them then Tungsten West will not be able to meet its liabilities during November. Alternative sources of finance are being sought.  The share price slumped by 45.3% to 2.05p.

North Sea oil and gas producer IOG (LON: IOG) has been told by the authorities that the Nailsworth P2342 and P130 licences are not going to be extended and this could have a negative commercial impact on the potential for the Elland licence. Bondholder discussions continue and the waiver lasts until 29 September. There was £14.5m in cash at the end of August, including £7.3m of restricted cash. There was stable production from Blythe H2, but the realised gas price was lower. The share price slumped 45.3% to 0.93p, which is a new low.

Shares in Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) have declined 40.7% to 0.16p/share following the oversubscribed £4.3m placing and offer at 0.15p/share that was announced on Thursday evening. The share price had been falling ahead of the fundraising, but it is still higher than one month ago. The cash will help to bring the Schwarzbach-2 well in Germany into production. This is an excellent oil-bearing reservoir, and the well could materially increase the company’s production.

Key Trends in Fine Wine Investing with WineCap

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Download WineCap’s Fine Wine Investment Guide here.

FTSE 100 touches highest level since May, heads for a storming end to the week

The FTSE 100 has had its best week in months this week as optimism around interest rates and the technology sector propelled UK stocks higher. Better data out of China helped lift the FTSE 100’s natural resources sector – an integral factor in this week’s gains.

Higher oil prices helped lift energy majors BP and Shell throughout the week while improving sentiment around China and upbeat broker upgrades supported the miners.

Rio Tinto, Glencore and Anglo American were around 1-2% higher around 2pm on Friday and were among the best performers on the week.

Housebuilders joined in the rally on Friday after the ECB made a ‘dovish hike’ signalling they could be done with rate hikes. The Bank of England will meet next week to decide on rates and hopes are the ECB’s positioning will be mirrored by the BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee.

The FTSE 100 was trading at 7,728 at the time of writing after touching the highest intraday level since May earlier in the session.

“A solid showing from Wall Street last night put investors in a good mood and that positivity extended across Europe and most of Asia on Friday,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Helping to lift spirits was a strong debut from Arm on the US market and the ECB signalling the end of its policy tightening. That’s exactly what investors want to hear, namely the end of the rate hiking cycle and excitement around growth stocks once again.”

ARM Holdings closed up 25% on its first day of trading yesterday and markets will closely watch how it performs today for signs of sustained interest.

Games Workshop tops FTSE 250 risers

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Games Workshop (LON: GAW) says trading is ahead of market expectations and it announced a 50p/share dividend. This made the Warhammer company the best performer in the FTSE 250 index. The share price is 11.7% higher at £116.10/share.

First quarter core revenues are 14% ahead at £121m, while licensing revenues doubled to £6m. Pre-tax profit is estimated at £57m, up from £39m.

Management does caution that it is still early in the financial year to May 2024.

The dividend relates to the company distributing surplus cash. The ex-dividend date is 28 September, and it will be paid on 3 November. The 50p/share dividend follows a 145p/share payout declared in July and paid on 11 September. In the previous year, the total dividend was 325p/share.

There was cash of £90.2m at the end of May 2023. The two latest dividends will cost around £65m, depending on whether shareholders take shares instead of cash.

Rio Tinto, Anglo American, and Glencore shares: have you missed the boat?

The FTSE 100’s miners have staged a monumental rally this week. The slightest sign of optimism from China has fired up the sector and Rio Tinto, Anglo American, and Glencore are among the best performers over the past week, extending a rally that started in August.

The mining sector had been on its knees after the Chinese slowed to a crawling pace this year and the Chinese authorities did little to stimulate the economy.

China is the world’s biggest consumer of natural resources and a slowdown in China is bad news for the miners. Concerns were anchored around the property market which is the destination for much of global mining companies’ offtake.

However, one could argue the Chinese slowdown has presented a rare opportunity in the shares of Rio Tinto, Anglo American, and Glencore.

The mining sector is horribly cyclical. The FTSE 100’s miners have the highest beta of the index and can be enormously volatile. It is not a sector for the cautious investor.

That said, the sector has a propensity to distribute high levels of cash to their investors during the good times. Those who buy during the downturns can find themselves enjoying bumper dividend yields when things pick up.

An appetite for risk is required to make this play and it favours investors with a longer-term outlook.

In terms of whether you have missed the boat after this week’s rally; long-term investors will have little to worry about but those hoping for a quick buck may find better opportunities elsewhere.

AIM movers: Empyrean energy salary sacrifice and Cambria Africa returns from suspension

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Empyrean Energy (LON: EME) is issuing 4.4 million shares at 0.8p/share to directors instead of paying their salaries between June and August. The agreement to take shares will continue until the interest in Mako is sold or the end of 2023. The share price increased 9.21% to 0.901p.

Insig AI (LON: INSG) says that discussions continue with interested customers for its data science software. The share price rose 7.69% to 21p.

Power Metal Resources (LON: POW) says two gold-in-soil anomalies were identified in strike at the Tati gold project in Botswana from the 2022 drill intercepts of 40g/t and 23.2g/t gold over one metre and two metres respectively. The company is targeting a zone to the south west extension from the historic gold mine Cherished Hope. The share price improved 4.29% to 0.85p.

FALLERS

Trading in Cambria Africa (LON: CMB) shares recommenced after it published its 2021-22 accounts on Thursday evening. It also published interims to February 2023. Revenues declined 38% to $451,000 and pre-tax profit fell to $139,000. NAV is 1.06 cents/share. The share price slipped 18.2% to 0.225p.

Fulcrum Utility Services (LON: FCRM) continues to decline ahead of the general meeting on 26 September to gain shareholder approval to leave AIM. It has fallen a further 18.2% to 0.135p and the share price has slumped 86.3% this year.

Shares in Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) have declined 8.33% to 0.165p/share following the oversubscribed £4.3m fundraising at 0.15p/share that was announced on Thursday evening. The cash will help to bring the Schwarzbach-2 well in Germany into production. There is an excellent oil-bearing reservoir, and the well could materially increase the company’s production.

Webis Holdings (LON: WEB) is issuing £1.15m from an issue of convertible loan notes to Galloway to satisfy a prior loan and raise an additional £750,000 to invest in software for its main betting website. The interest rate is 11%. The share price dipped 6.9% to 1.35p.

Online gaming company B90 Holdings (LON: B90) has raised £2m at 5.44491p/share. The cash will go towards funding acquisitions and further investment in existing assets. The company is also converting £4.73m of loan notes and interest into 86.8 million shares. Enwys, which acquires customers for online gaming companies, has been bought. There are more than 20 other acquisition targets. The share price fell 5.74% to 5.75p. The share price has more doubled this year.

Rolls Royce shares: how much higher can the stock run?

Rolls Royce shares are the best-performing FTSE 100 shares of 2023 so far. The Rolls Royce shares price is up a bumper 147% since the start of the year and has left every other London-listed Bluechip in the dust.

One of the main drivers of Rolls Royce shares is the resumption of global travel after the pandemic. Revenue grew 28% in the first half of 2023 compared to the same period last year and operating profit jumped 9.7%.

The strong performance gave the board the required confidence to increase guidance full-year operating profit £1.2bn-£1.4bn and free cash flow to £0.9bn-£1.0bn.

Higher profit guidance is the result of the recovery from the pandemic but also the fruit of a multi-year transformation strategy Rolls Royce says has ‘started well with strong initial results’.

Tufan Erginbilgic, Rolls Royce CEO, was particularly bullish on the back of the results and indicated Rolls Royce was far from done:

“There is much more to do to deliver better performance and to transform Rolls-Royce into a high performing, competitive, resilient, and growing business.”

Rolls Royce shares have continued to rally since and investors will undoubtedly be questioning how high the stock can go.

Using Rolls Royce EPS for the first half in a price/earnings valuation would suggest the run isn’t over yet. Annualising the first half’s EPS of 4.9p to 9.8p would give Roll Royce a PE Ratio of around 23x earnings.

However, this doesn’t allow for EPS growth in the second half. If the top end of Rolls Royce operating profit guidance is achieved, and margins are maintained, EPS could be as high as 12p for the year.

This would translate to a PE Ratio of around 19x which isn’t expensive.

From a technical perspective, the market depth prior to the pandemic favours a move into the 300p-320p region. 260p is an important level of resistance and some may take profit around this level.

Both a basic analysis of their earnings multiples and the technical set-up of the stock suggests the Rolls Royce share price could have plenty left in the tank.