AIM movers: Fulham Shore bid and Drumz reversal

0

Restaurants operator Fulham Shore (LON: FUL) is recommending a 14.15p a share cash bid by Tokyo-based TORIDOLL Holdings. The share price jumped 32.4% to 13.9p. The bidder has revenues of around £1bn and already has European interests. It works with specialist private equity firm Capdesia in Europe. The takeover will enable greater expansion of the Franco Manca and The Real Greek brands.

Building products and services provider Northern Bear (LON: NTBR) is paying a 4p a share dividend plus an additional 1p a share special dividend. A semi-annual dividend is promised and management says that it plans a higher investor relations profile. The share price is 25.7% higher at 46.5p. Underlying trading has been ahead of expectations, although there will be a provision of up to £750,000 for unprofitable contracts taken on by Northern Bear Building Services. Underlying 2022-23 operating profit should exceed £2.75m.

ScotGold Resources (LON: SGZ) has secured short-term financing for the Cononish gold and silver mine. The gold offtake provider has advanced $500,000 with payment against monthly deliveries from July to November. Debt provider Bridge Barn, which is controlled by non-exec Nathaniel le Roux, is deferring $450,000 of interest payments until 1 December. This gives ScotGold Resources the opportunity to change its mining plans so that gold production is enhanced. The share price recovered by one-fifth to 15p.

Crimson Tide (LON: TIDE) has won an initial flagship contract with an NHS Trust in south east England worth £250,000 over 36 months. The mpro5 Smart App will capture and consolidate incident and response data. This contract can be expanded as more IoT sensors across the trust. The share price rose 11.8% to 2.85p.

Oxford BioDynamics (LON: OBD) plans to launch prostrate screening EpiSwitch test in the UK and US by the end of 2023. The main EpiSwitch CiRT test to identify patients that will benefit for the checkpoint inhibitor class of cancer immunotherapies is building sales in the US. US lab space has been leased for a CLIA-certified testing facility. The share price increased by 7.46% to 15.85p.

Acuity Risk Management is reversing into Drumz (LON: DRUM) and the enlarged group is changing its name to Acuity RM. A share issue will raise £1.45m – £950,000 after expenses – at 4.5p a share. The share price slipped 11.1% to 0.6p. Drumz already owns 25% of Acuity Risk Management. The reversal should be completed on 25 April. Drumz other investment is a 5.85% stake in KCR Residential REIT (LON: KCR) and the shares are unchanged at 9.5p.

Franchise Brands (LON: FRAN) shares continue to fall and are down a further 3.55% to 176.5p, which is below the 180p placing price when £92m was raised to help finance the acquisition of Pirtek Europe.

Shield Therapeutics (LON: STX) has appointed Andy Hurley as chief commercial officer and he will head the US push for the company’s Accrufer iron deficiency treatment. The full US sales team should be hire by 1 May. The share price declined by 3.28% to 5.9p.

RS Group shares sink as revenue growth stutters

RS Group, formerly know as Electrocomponets, released their trading statement for the fourth quarter ended March 2023 on Wednesday. The update revealed slowing revenue growth across the group, but the company were confident profit for the year would exceed expectations.

RS Group has a broad product range including electrical and testing equipment, and lines of semiconductors and microprocessors.

All three of their geographies experienced slowing revenue growth in Q4 with sales contracting in the Americas (-4%) and Asia Pacific (-15%) regions. EMEA like-for-like revenue growth slowed to 6% from 12% in Q3. Group revenue grew just 1% in Q4.

RS attributed the poor performance in Asia to Chinese lockdowns and ongoing geopolitical issues, as well as problems in the semi conductor supply chain.

Despite slowing revenue figures, RS Group said they expected operating profit for the year to be ahead of expectations as margin improved slightly.

“Effective execution and the ongoing hard work, enthusiasm and passion of our people has led to a very strong performance in 2022/23 and we anticipate full year adjusted operating profit to be slightly ahead of consensus expectations,” said David Ega, RS Group Chief Financial Officer.

Investors did not share their enthusiasm and passion on Wednesday and shares in the group were down over 4% at the time of writing.

Why companies left AIM in March 2023

There were four companies that left AIM during March with only one new admission – Onward Opportunities (LON: ONWD) - to replace them. Two of the companies were taken over, while one sold its business ahead of winding-up and the other changed its strategy, deciding to focus on an ASX listing.
1 March 2023
Appreciate Group
Corporate and consumer redemption products provider Appreciate (LON: APP) was acquired by PayPoint (LON: PAY) in a deal that valued the prepaid vouchers and Christmas savings group at £83m – based on a PayPoint share price of 580p. The offer was 33p in cash and 0.019 of a Pay...

New AIM admission: Ocean Harvest Technology

Ocean Harvest Technology makes seaweed-based ingredients for animal feed. These are used by animal feed producers as part of the mix that goes into the production. They use the ingredients because studies indicate that they can improve health and yields.
Management believes it has spent €20m on developing and commercialising these ingredient products. The cash raised will finance additional marketing, increase manufacturing capacity and enable further product development.
The share price opened at 17p and ended the first day of trading at 17.125p (16.25p/18p). There were 3.25 million shares tr...

Saga shares sink as losses accelerate

Saga’s IPO at a £2.1 billion valuation seemed a long time ago on Tuesday morning as the company shed another 10% following the release of the group\s preliminary results for the year ending 31st January 2023.

Losses before tax accelerated to £254m from £24m a year prior as a £269m impairment charge to their insurance business destroyed modest underlying profit before tax.

Although, revenue for the year increased to £581.1m from £377.2m as a result of travel bookings bouncing back, concerns about the economic backdrop and insurance business did little to spark optimism among investors.

“Over the past year, through what continued to be a particularly challenging external backdrop, Saga made progress against its strategy while achieving significant revenue growth and returning to underlying profit,” said Euan Sutherland, Saga’s Group Chief Executive Officer.

Underlying profit before tax rose to £21.5m from a £6.7m loss last year.

“The longer the market had to look at Saga’s results this morning the less it liked about them. Yes, in theory the group returned to ‘profit’. But this was an adjusted profit and on a statutory basis losses widened thanks to impairments on its insurance business,” said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.

Hewson continued to explain two big problem’s at Saga – lower cash flow and a big debt pile.

“And cash flow, the one metric which is difficult to massage, was materially lower year-on-year with only a modest reduction in the company’s onerous debt pile.

“Guidance for the insurance business was gloomy and Saga has very little credit in the bank with long-suffering shareholders as it looks to turn around the business.

“In theory Saga’s proposition makes sense. The over-50s are a growing and relatively wealthy demographic who, if they own their homes outright, are less exposed to the recent increases in interest rates.”

Hewson concluded with a damning assessment of Saga time as a listed company:

“However, Saga has never delivered on the promise which accompanied its market listing nine years ago. A series of operational failures have tripped the company up and damaged its credibility.”

Likewise adds to market share

0

Floorcoverings distributor Likewise Group (LON: LIKE) continues to gain share in a tough market. First quarter revenues were 19.7% higher as investment in capacity continues to pay off for the number two in the UK flooring distribution market.  

Last April’s acquisition Delta Carpets was not included in the comparative period, but it is not a big business. Higher prices helped but there was significant underlying growth.

The estimated 2022 revenues doubled to £124.4m. Zeus forecasts a 10% improvement in 2023 revenues to £136.6m, so this is a good start to the year. There is still uncertainty about consumer spending, though, and the first quarter is a limited guide to the full year.

Flat pre-tax profit of £2.5m is forecast for 2023. However, operational gearing means that if revenues continue to beat expectations the profit figure could be much higher.

AIM-quoted Likewise has an estimated market share of 7%. The current focus is organic growth, although acquisitions are still possible at the right price. There are still deferred payments for past acquisitions, but capital investment will ease from next year. Cash generation will improve, and net debt will be minimal, which means there will be finance available for deals.

The 2022 results will be published on 16 May. At 21p, the shares are trading on 21 times prospective 2023 earnings.

AIM movers: United Oil & Gas production increase and Light Science Technologies placing

1

United Oil & Gas (LON: UOG) reports net average first quarter production of 841 barrels/day from the Abu Sennan licence in Egypt. By the end of the month production was 1,440 barrels of oil equivalent/day. United Oil & Gas has a 22% interest and its net average first half production is expected to be up to 900 barrels/day. Drilling has started on the ASD-3 development well, which is in a highly prospective area. The share price improved 22.9% to 1.475p.

Aura Energy (LON: AURA) is 7.55% higher at 14.25p after it said that it is still hopeful that Sweden may lift its ban on uranium mining. Aura Energy’s main uranium project is Tiris in Mauritania. Trading has recommenced on ASX. Chairman Phil Mitchell bought 37,000 shares at A$0.24 each.

Pawnbroker Ramsdens (LON: RFX) is trading ahead of expectations and Liberum has upgraded its earnings estimate by 8% to 23p a share. The pawnbroking loan book is at record levels and jewellery retail remains strong. If foreign exchange volumes recover there could be scope for further upgrades. The share price is 5.75% ahead at 230p.

A heavily discounted share placing raising £1.5m at 1p a share has hit the share price of Light Science Technologies (LON: LST) knocking 64% off the market price leaving it at 1.35p. There is also a retail offer of up to 50 million more shares via the Winterflood Retail Access Platform. The cash will provide working capital for the controlled environment agriculture technology operations.  

Linear generator technology developer Libertine Holdings (LON: LIB) says that delays in development work mean that 2022-23 revenues could be up to £400,000 lower than the expected £1.32m. The share price dived 29.7% to 13p. The December 2021 placing price was 20p. Management believes it has sufficient cash for its requirements, while it seeks to sign up partners.

Oncology modelling developer Physiomics (LON: PSY) has been trying to diversify its customer base so it is less reliant on Merck, but two large projects have been delayed and it is uncertain whether one of them will happen. They are worth £200,000 in total. Full year revenues are likely to be around £750,000. Cost savings are being sought. The share price fell 25.3% to 2.8p.

Franchise Brands (LON: FRAN) is raising at least £90m from a share placing at 180p to help finance the £200m purchase price of Pirtek Europe. The share price slumped 23.4% to 184.5p. Pirtek Europe provides on-site hydraulic hose replacement and other services through 213 service centres and 838 mobile service vans. There are 70 franchisees in eight countries and the company has the right to enter eight other European countries. Forecast 2023 group revenues are £155m or £168m on a pro forma basis. Forecast 2023 group EBITDA is £29m.

FTSE 100 directionless as growth and central bank action weighed

The positive impact on the FTSE 100 from a higher oil price started to diminish on Tuesday as attention began to shift back to the wider economy and the next move by central banks.

Yesterday, a surprise OPEC production cut lifted shares in heavy weights BP and Shell. A repeat of those gains was absent on Tuesday and the FTSE 100 underperformed Europe.

The FTSE 100 gave up early gains to trade just 0.1% higher at the time of writing, while the German Dax gained 0.8% and French CAC added 0.5%.

Markets are faced with the decision to either focus on recent robust earnings and relatively healthy economic data, or attempt to predict the next move by central banks. There is also the threat of a US recession.

“The surprise production cut from OPEC+ continues to stoke concerns around inflation, with brent crude trading over $85 a barrel. There are some outside concerns this could encroach on the $100 mark once more, which would have legitimate ramifications for monetary policy and has already led to a reduction in short positions in oil,” said

From a technical perspective, broad equity indices have rebounded from oversold territory following the banking crisis saga and the opportunity to pick up bargains is dwindling.

The completion of this short-term mean reversion trade adds to the lack of clarity on UK stocks’ next move.

This was evident in FTSE 100 stocks on Tuesday with 86 of the 100 constituents moving less than 1% at the time of writing.

Vodafone was the FTSE 100’s top faller as the telecoms group fell 1.4% and hit the lowest levels since mid-February.

Glencore was the top gainer, up 2.2%, after it had its attempt to takeover Teck Resources rejected yesterday. Glencore had offered a 20% premium to Teck’s shares.

“The prospect of mega deals in the mining space has got investors excited, bringing a new lease of life to the sector which had previously been suffering from fears about weaker economic activity feeding through to reduced commodities demand,” said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.

“Glencore led the FTSE 100 higher on Tuesday following its $23 million move on Canada’s Teck at the start of the week. While its business combination proposal was rejected, Glencore is likely to be persistent in its pursuit for greater things which means one cannot rule out a higher offer.

“Teck’s board said it wasn’t contemplating a sale of the business at this time, yet there is a price for everything and so it all boils down to how much Glencore is prepared to pay.”

Rathbones and Investec to merge and create UK’s largest discretionary wealth manager

Rathbones and Investec have joined forces to create the UK’s largest discretionary wealth manager with around £100 billion in assets under management.

The two will merge in an all-share deal that will see Investec’s UK wealth management business become a part of an enlarged Rathbones entity. The new group will offer services under the Rathbones brand.

Investec Group will be issued with new Rathbones shares and have 41.25% interest in the newly enlarged group. Rathbones exiting shareholders will have an economic interest in the remaining 58.75%. Rathbones will continue to trade on the premium section of the London Stock Exchange.

It is hoped the deal will generate significant economies of scale and help attract the best talent in the industry. The new entity is expected to have 23 location across the UK.

“Bringing Rathbones together with Investec W&I UK will create the UK’s leading discretionary wealth manager with approximately £100 billion of funds under management and administration,” said Clive Bannister, Chair of Rathbones.

“This transaction not only presents a compelling strategic and financial rationale, but also accelerates Rathbones’ growth strategy. Operating at scale allows the group to offer an even more attractive proposition to clients and colleagues, supporting future growth and creating significant value for Rathbones’ shareholders.”

Subject to regulator approval, the deal is expected to be completed in early Q4 2023.

Franchise Brands secures largest ever acquisition

0

Franchise Brands (LON: FRAN) is making its largest ever acquisition and it wants to raise at least £90m from a share placing at 180p. The rest of the £200m purchase price for Pirtek Europe, plus working capital adjustment of £12.2m, will come from up to £18.85m in shares issued to the owners, a management subscription of £4.8m and debt.

Pirtek Europe provides on-site hydraulic hose replacement and other services through 213 service centres and 838 mobile service vans. There are 70 franchisees in eight countries and the company has the right to enter eight other European countries. Franchise Brands will have operations in ten countries.

Net cash was £8m at the end of 2022 and there are plans to sell the B2C franchise businesses. The continuing operations also continue to generate cash. This, along with cash generated by Pirtek Europe, will help to reduce the debt. Net debt could fall to £55m by the end of 2024.

In 2022, AIM-quoted Franchise Brands revenues jumped from £57.7m to £99.2m, which included an initial contribution of £23.9m from former AIM-quoted fryer management services company Filta. Integration of Filta has helped to reduce costs and improve profitability. Revenues from business to consumer franchises were flat at £6.4m. Underlying pre-tax profit jumped from £6.5m to £12.8m. The dividend was raised by one-third to 2p a share.

In 2022, Pirtek Europe had system sales of £164.1m and revenues were £49.2m. Adjusted EBITDA was £14.7m, while pre-tax profit was £14m.

Forecast 2023 group revenues are £155m or £168m on a pro forma basis. Forecast 2023 group EBITDA is £29m.

There is potential to use the existing Pirtek Europe infrastructure in individual countries to launch other franchise brands. There should also be central cost savings.