The FTSE 100 drops as housebuilders and banks retreat

The FTSE 100 slipped on Tuesday as Asian-focused banks and housebuilders weighed on the index following soft UK house price data and concerns about US-China trade relations.

“Asia-focused financials were lower after the Hang Seng index dropped sharply. The sell-off was linked to news the US is putting several Chinese firms in its crosshairs including Tencent,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

There was also a sense of caution ahead of key economic data that has the potential to set the tone for central bank action in early 2025.

The move lower in London came despite a strong session for US indices that look set to leave the FTSE 100 in the dust in terms of performance again in 2025. Chipmaker shares, including Nvidia Micron Technology and Super Micro, led the market higher on the news Microsoft planned to spend big on AI in 2025.

“After a sluggish December, US stocks have kicked off the year in style, with tech and semiconductors stealing the spotlight, buoyed by Nvidia buzz, chatter about Microsoft’s $80bn capex plans, and tariff optimism despite mixed signals from Trump,’ said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Nvidia climbed higher on the assumption that a significant portion of Microsoft’s increased infrastructure spending will flow its way, while CEO Jensen Huang delivered a keynote speech at the Consumer Electronics Show, unveiling new gaming cards, autonomous vehicle partnerships, and more. AMD joined the rally with a new chip deal with Dell, while broader markets wrestled with déjà vu over China trade relations and investors remained laser-focused on AI capex and deregulation in the banking sector.”

in the UK, Next was firmly higher after increasing guidance for the year on the back of a very positive festive trading period update.

“As if a billion-pound profit for the year wasn’t enough, Next has gone and nudged the dial again, increasing full year profit outlook for the fourth time in the space of half a year,” said Adam Vettese, market analyst at investment platform eToro.

‘Sales were up 6% for the period leading up to and just after Christmas, significantly higher than the projected 3.5% increase, which has been the same story throughout the year much to the delight of investors.”

“Next is often used as a barometer of the UK retail sector and so far so good with many others due to report this week.”

JD Sports was again among the risers as it rallied in sympathy with Next’s encouraging results. JD Sports shares were ravaged by a series of profit warnings towards the end of last year, which set the stock up for a strong start to 2025. 

Banks were a significant drag on London’s markets, with HSBC, NatWest, and Standard Chartered down around 1%-2% due to China concerns.

Taylor Wimpey was the top faller after Halifax said UK house prices fell for the first time since March.

Leading the disruption in real estate finance: LND’s tech-first approach to a £14 trillion market

As traditional banks withdraw from commercial real estate lending due to legacy systems and stringent regulations, a vast £14 trillion market across the UK and Europe faces a growing funding gap. Small and mid-sized property businesses, often the backbone of the sector, find themselves with limited options—until now. 

LND, a pioneering digital platform, is rewriting the playbook. By connecting borrowers with global institutional investors through bespoke loan solutions, LND is streamlining the lending process and addressing a critical market need. 

“Our mission is to be the primary solution for underserved real estate borrowers with a faster and easier way to access capital, whilst delivering a transparent and risk-managed solution for institutional investors,” said Nicolas Vocos, CEO of LND. “We have built an industry-leading team from top investment institutions, bringing decades of real estate experience and extensive track record across billions in finance deals,” he added. 

Impressive traction and results  

Since its inception, LND has secured £750m in funding from institutional investors and launched two loan products tailored to UK small and midcap businesses. Market traction has been remarkable, with loan applications totalling £7.8bn across 464 deals since launch and until end of June 2024. The platform analyses and prices an average of £358m loan applications per month, with loan applications up 52% in June to £486m. With over £103m in signed Heads of Terms in the immediate pipeline, LND is on track to surpass £200m in UK lending in the coming months. 

More recently, LND has strengthen its UK market presence through strategic partnerships with global players and the expansion of its leadership team. The company has extended its funding agreement with Aeon Investments and welcomed one of the UK’s major banking groups as a funding partner, further supporting LND’s commitment to providing much needed finance to underserved real estate businesses. The company has also entered into a partnership with CBRE, one of the world’s largest commercial loans servicers, to broaden its capacity to service and process commercial real estate loans across the UK, increasing LND’s ability to offer a one stop solution for the real estate sector. 

Fuelling growth with technology  

To accelerate its mission, LND has embarked on a funding round to help fuel the development of its proprietary tech infrastructure and boost the platform’s lending capacity, connecting and streamlining the loan approval and funding process on a single platform.  The investment will accelerate automation, enhance borrower and investor experiences, and expand hiring and training programs. 

“This funding round will enable us to fully digitise our platform, dramatically increasing the number of high-quality loans to be adopted by institutional investors,” Vocos explained, adding: “With close to 90% of our target funding secured in under two weeks, now is the time for forward-thinking investors to join us in revolutionising the commercial real estate finance sector.” 

With a bold vision and proven results, LND is set to become the go-to solution for modern real estate finance. 

Visit Republic Europe’s LND pitch, and join the revolution

Share Tip: ‘the man who bought London’ has increased his stake in this ‘in demand’ Abu Dhabi-based offshore energy services supplier 

The former Prime Minister of Qatar, Hamad bin Jassim bin Jaber Al Thani, is believed to have increased his stake in Gulf Marine Services (LON:GMS), one of our 2025 selections. 

‘HBJ’ who is believed to own over 3% of Deutsche Bank, has been referred to as ‘the man who bought London’ following the Sovereign Wealth Fund in Qatar that he was running having bought Harrods, the Shard, and amongst many other UK investments also being a partner in the development of One Hyde Park. 

Known to be one of the wealthiest men in Qatar, HBJ is the owner of the widely circulated newspaper al-...

Next shares rise after strong festive trading period

Next shares rose on Tuesday after reporting stronger-than-expected Christmas trading, with full-price sales rising 6.0% in the nine weeks to December 28th, prompting the bellwether retailer to raise its profit guidance for the year.

The British retail giant revealed that its performance was particularly driven by robust online growth, especially from its international operations. Online sales overseas surged by 31.4% during the festive period, while the company’s UK online business, comprising both Next’s own brand and third-party Label brands, grew by 6.1%.

“Next has enjoyed a strong Christmas with its online business seeing an acceleration in sales growth in the fourth quarter, both in the UK and overseas. The year ahead is forecast to be more challenging, but Next still expects to grow sales and profit. It is a classic example of a strong business getting stronger,” said Charlie Huggins, fund manager at Wealth Club.

“Next has pulled another rabbit out of the hat this Christmas, beating its sales forecasts once again. More important for investors is the guidance for the coming year.”

However, the picture was less rosy for Next’s physical stores, where sales declined by 2.1% during the Christmas trading period. This contrast highlights the continuing shift in consumer shopping habits towards digital channels, a trend that has been consistent throughout the year.

The strong overall performance has led Next to increase its profit forecast for the year ending January 2025. The retailer now expects full-year profit before tax to reach £1,010 million, up £5 million from its previous guidance. This would represent a 10.0% increase compared to the previous year.

Next also noted that its end-of-season sale stock was up 13% compared to last year, though the company stated this represents a return to more normal levels after particularly low surplus stock in the previous year. The retailer confirmed that clearance rates are meeting expectations.

Looking ahead to the next financial year, Next has adopted a more cautious stance, forecasting sales growth of 3.5%. The company cited concerns about the impact of employer tax increases on the broader economy, particularly their potential effects on prices and employment levels.

“Calendar year 2025 is likely to be a bloodbath for the UK retail sector,” Huggins said.

“The Autumn Budget means retailers will face a significant increase in employee costs and many will not be able to offset this. Next stands apart for its ability to do so, with its high margins, strong overseas growth and efficiency initiatives all helping it to preserve profitability.”

Exploring Investment Opportunities in Cross-Border Payment Solutions

The global economy relies heavily on seamless cross-border payment systems, making them a lucrative opportunity for investors. 

With increasing demand for cross-border payments, businesses and individuals require efficient, cost-effective, cheap, and secure ways to make borderless payments.

This demand has catalysed significant growth and innovation in the cross-border payment industry.

For investors in the UK, Europe, and beyond, understanding the landscape of international payment gateways and cross border payment solutions is essential.

The cross-border payments landscape

Cross-border payments involve transferring funds between different countries, and making & receiving payments.

This is typically done through banks, payment gateways, specialised payment providers, and other fintech companies.

The market’s value is immense; according to industry reports, the cross border payment solutions market was valued at over $156 trillion in 2022 and is projected to grow substantially in the coming years. 

The drivers of this growth include the rise of e-commerce, increasing global remittances, and expanding international trade.

Key players in this space range from traditional financial institutions to fintech disruptors. 

Established banks like HSBC and Barclays offer international payment services, but according to Cross Border Payment Solutions, fintech companies have captured market share with faster, cheaper, and more user-friendly services.

Emerging technologies like blockchain and cryptocurrencies have also introduced decentralised cross-border payment methods, offering new opportunities for innovation and investment.

International payment gateways are vital

International payment gateways are the backbone of cross-border payments for businesses dealing with payments.

They enable businesses to process transactions in multiple currencies, ensuring a smooth customer experience regardless of location. 

The leading gateways have developed robust systems that cater to the needs of businesses of all sizes, from startups to multinational corporations.

For investors, payment gateways represent an attractive opportunity due to their scalability and recurring revenue models.

Businesses often pay transaction fees or subscription costs to use these services, creating a steady income stream for gateway providers.

Additionally, as the need for digital payments continues to grow, the demand for reliable cross border payment solutions will only increase.

Evaluating investment opportunities

Investing in cross border payment solutions requires careful consideration of several factors:

Market penetration: Established players already have significant market share, making them lower-risk investments. However, smaller fintech startups may offer higher growth potential, especially if they target underserved markets or introduce disruptive technologies.

Technological innovation: Companies leveraging advanced technologies such as AI, blockchain, and machine learning to enhance payment processing efficiency and security are worth noting.

Regulatory compliance: Cross-border payments are heavily regulated. Investors should prioritise companies with strong compliance frameworks that adhere to international financial laws and anti-money laundering regulations.

Geographic reach: Businesses with operations in high-growth regions, such as Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America, often have untapped potential. These areas’ increasing internet penetration and smartphone adoption drive demand for digital payment solutions.

Scalability and profitability: Investors should assess a company’s scalability and ability to generate sustainable profits. Startups with innovative solutions but no clear path to profitability may present higher risks.

Why the UK and Europe are attractive hubs

The UK and Europe are leaders in financial innovation, housing some of the most advanced fintech ecosystems globally. 

London, for instance, is a fintech hub that fosters collaboration between startups, established financial institutions, and regulators. 

European Union initiatives like PSD2 (Payment Services Directive 2) have encouraged competition and innovation in the payments sector by promoting open banking.

Investors can benefit from the region’s stable regulatory environment and high demand for efficient cross border payment solutions, driven by the EU’s single market and strong trade relations. 

Several companies have demonstrated the region’s potential by achieving high valuations and expanding globally.

Final thoughts

The cross-border payments sector offers diverse opportunities for investors seeking high growth and long-term returns. 

From international payment gateways to blockchain-powered solutions, the market’s potential is vast. 

By focusing on companies that combine technological innovation, strong compliance practices, and global reach, investors can position themselves to capitalise on this dynamic and evolving industry.

As businesses and consumers demand faster, more affordable international payment gateways, the importance of efficient payment solutions will only grow.

The economic and environmental opportunity in methane detection with Mirico

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Bob Flint, CEO of Mirico, to discuss their methane detection technology and current crowdfunding campaign.

Visit Mirico’s Crowdfunding page here

Mirico is a climate technology company that has developed an innovative laser sensor and analytics platform for detecting methane emissions, which are responsible for one-third of global climate change.

Sign up for ‘Meet the CEO’ webinar 7th January 2025

Their technology provides continuous, precise monitoring capabilities that enable industries to identify and fix even small or short-lived methane leaks in real-time, distinguishing them from competitors who typically only offer periodic snapshot surveys.

Bob outlines Mirico’s market traction with over 20 deployments across five continents, serving customers in oil and gas, landfill, biogas, and agriculture sectors, including major players like Shell. Their intellectual property is protected through three patent families and three trademarks, while their business operates primarily on a hardware-enabled SaaS model, providing emissions insights as a service.

Operating in a rapidly expanding market with a total addressable market of $14.9 billion and a serviceable addressable market of $2.9 billion, Mirico has attracted investment from notable VCs and industry players, including UKI2S, Foresight Williams, Oxford Innovation, New Climate Ventures, and Shell Ventures. The company is currently seeking funds to accelerate sales efforts, deliver on pilot projects, secure additional international pilots, and refine its digital platform.

Disclaimer: Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment and you are unlikely to be protected if something goes wrong.

AIM movers: Arrow Exploration drilling continues and Hercules Site Services to sell division

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Late on Friday, James Kight revealed a 3.14% stake in GenIP (LON: GNIP). That makes him the third highest shareholder. The share price jumped 26.4%to 33.5p.

Cyber security company Smarttech247 (LON: S247) grew full year revenues by 8% to more than €13m and annualised recurring revenues are €7.8m. In the year to July 2024, EBIT was at least €750,000. The potential contract pipeline is better than last year. Net cash was €3.3m at the end of July 2024. The results will be reported later this month. The share price recovered 14.7% to 9.75p.

Tungsten explorer Guardian Metal Resources (LON: GMET) raised £750,000 from Premier Miton at 30p/share. That is 2% of the company and Shard Capital receives 120,000 warrants exercisable at 37.5p each for arranging the investment. The proceeds will help to accelerate exploration and development of the Pilot Mountain tungsten project in Tungsten. The share price improved 8.33% to 32.5p.

Hercules Site Services (LON: HERC) plans to sell its suction excavator business, which accounts for 88% of bank debt. That should improve profit and enable the focus to be the core labour supply business. The results for the year to September 2024 will include suction excavators as discontinued activities and they will be published on 13 January. The share price improved 5.95% to 44.5p.

Maritime surveillance systems supplier SRT Marine (LON: SRT) has received formal notice to proceed with phase 2, worth $15m, of the $40m three-phase project in the Middle East. Formal documentation should be concluded by the end of January. There should be a 12-18 month implementation period. The share price is 3.8% higher at 41p.

FALLERS

Oil and gas producer Arrow Exploration (LON: AXL) says that the AB-1 well on the Alberta Llanos discovery, where is  is onstream and the AB-2 well has reached its target depth. AB-3 should start drilling soon. Arrow Exploration owns 50% of the discovery and the initial gross production is 658 barrels/day. Arrow Exploration averaged production of 4,900 barrels of oil equivalent/day during December. Driilling spending should reach $50m in 2025. The share price dipped 8.49% to 24.25p.

Former ITM Energy (LON: ITM) bosss Dr Graham Cooley has been appointed as a non-executive director of fuel cell technology developer Gelion (LON: GELN). The share price fell 5.88% to 16p.

Extended reality software developer Engage XR (LON: EXR) says 2024 revenues were €3.4m as contracts were delayed to 2025 and the EBITDA loss was €4m. Net cash was €3.6m at the end of 2024. A significant contract should be finalised in the next few months. The share price slid 4.17% to 3.45p.

Timber supplier Woodbois (LON: WBI) says it intends to appoint a management company to support its operational management following the resignation of both of its executive directors before Christmas. This is to provide time to replace the executive directors. The plan remains to restart production in Gabon. Robert Skyrme has increased his stake to 4.52%. The share price is 2.85% lower at 0.1875p.

FTSE 100 flat as heavyweights drag, Rolls Royce tumbles on downgrade 

Although the FTSE 100’s losses were marginal, there was a clear disparity between the performance of London’s flagship index and the broader European equity space on Monday as a raft of broker downgrades weighed on the index.

The FTSE 100 was trading up 0.1% at the time of writing, while the EuroStoxx 50 index gained 0.8%.

“The FTSE 100 started the week on the back foot, dragged down by consumer non-cyclicals, basic materials and industrials,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Share price weakness in big brand companies including Unilever, Reckitt and Haleon is often a signal that investors are worried about consumer spending and growing inflationary pressures. Renewed cost pressures may prompt companies to hike prices and this could see shoppers switch to cheaper supermarket own-brand items. It’s a major risk for investors in big brand stocks to consider.

“Driving down the shares in the sector this time was negative broker comment as RBC downgraded Unilever to ‘underperform’, which hurt the Marmite maker and took its big brand peers down at the same time.”

News that Aldi had a bumper festive trading period led by its own brand products added to the pessimism around retailers, with Marks & Spencer and Tesco falling on Monday.

Rolls Royce was the biggest loser after a broker downgrade served as a reality check for the engine maker as a multi-year rally.

The company’s rally since the beginning of 2023 has been nothing short of spectacular, but the meteoric rise leaves the stock vulnerable to any suggestion of negativity. The stock fell 3% in early trading as investors booked profits.

“Stock market darling Rolls-Royce saw its engines splutter after Citigroup downgraded its rating on the stock to ‘neutral’ from ‘buy’ on valuation grounds. Even though Citigroup raised its price target for the stock, investors appear to have taken the rating downgrade as a signal to lock in some profit,” Russ Mould said.

“Rolls-Royce has been a runaway success for investors in recent years as its recovery story gained traction. The turnaround opportunity is now looking like old news and investors increasingly want to hear about the next phase of the company’s growth, not simply what it is doing to get back on track as that looks to have already happened.” 

JD Sports, one of the UK Investor Magazine’s Top 20 Stocks Picks for 2025, was 2.1% higher, helping offset losses elsewhere. Intermediate Capital was the top gainer, rising 2.8%, bouncing off technical support around 2,000p.

Share Tip: McBride – Been up over 600% since I mentioned this private label ‘market leader’ with its shares then at 24p, they are now only 437% up at 105p but look very ready for another rise, especially with news expected next week – TP 175p 

I will have a bet with you. 

There is a very strong chance that somewhere around your household there is a product produced by the McBride group. 

Two years ago, I featured the company, with its shares then just 24p, since when they have been as high as 145p, before easing back to the current 105p – at which level I suggest that they are too cheap to ignore. 

The Business 

Established way back in 1927, this Manchester-based group is now exceptionally well embedded with its client base, manufacturing from facilities across the UK, Europe and Asia Pacific. &...

Genflow Biosciences issues 2024 longevity and anti-ageing research round up

Genflow Biosciences, the biotechnology company focused on developing therapies to promote longevity, has released a round-up for 2024 detailing advancement in its research programmes throughout the year and ambitious plans for the year ahead.

The company’s work on the SIRT6 gene, central to its anti-ageing research, has progressed significantly, bolstered by collaborations with leading researchers and vital support from the Belgian Government. A key development has been the partnership with Exothera SA for GMP manufacturing of their MASH (GF-1002) treatment, positioning the company to begin its first proof-of-concept study.

In their Werner Syndrome programme (GF-1003), Genflow has successfully developed a proprietary liver organoid using human cells from patients with the condition, representing a significant step forward in personalised disease modelling. This approach offers more accurate insights than traditional animal testing methods.

The company’s veterinary research has also advanced, with plans underway for a six-month life extension clinical trial for ageing dogs, conducted in partnership with Syngene. Investors are awaiting results from this study, which are expected by the end of 2025, potentially opening doors for partnerships with veterinary pharmaceutical companies.

Progress continues in their sarcopenia research (GF-1005), where collaboration with the Université libre de Bruxelles is focusing on addressing mitochondrial dysfunction through innovative cell-loading techniques.

Looking ahead to 2025, Genflow aims to build upon these achievements, with the company’s focus remaining on ‘tackling ageing’.