JLEN Environmental Assets Investor Presentation November 2022

JLEN Environmental Assets presents at the UK Investor Magazine Virtual Conference.

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JLEN’s investment policy is to invest in a diversified portfolio of Environmental Infrastructure. Environmental Infrastructure is defined by the Company as infrastructure assets, projects and asset-backed businesses that utilise natural or waste resources or support more environmentally friendly approaches to economic activity, support the transition to a low carbon economy or which mitigate the effects of climate change. Such investments will typically feature one or more of the following characteristics:

  • long-term, predictable cash flows, which may be wholly or partially inflation-linked cash flows;
  • long-term contracts or stable and well-proven regulatory and legal frameworks; or
  • well-established technologies, and demonstrable operational performance.

India Capital Growth Fund Investor Presentation November 2022

The India Capital Growth Fund presents at the UK Investor Magazine Virtual Conference November 2022.

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Ocean Dial is a FCA regulated investment firm specialising in India. We are bottom up investors who seek to deliver superior absolute returns over the long term. We operate in a market with historically strong and consistent earnings growth where elevated volatility has provided regular mispriced entry points.

Our Mumbai based team conducts fundamental proprietorial research on behalf of two differentiated strategies supported by an investment and operational risk infrastructure combined with a compliance function based in London.

FTSE 100 reverses early losses to explode higher after US CPI data

The FTSE 100 reversed early losses and exploded higher after US CPI inflation missed expectations.

US October Consumer Prices rose only 0.4% month-on-month versus expectations of 0.6% and Core consumer price rose 0.3% vs 0.5%.

The immediate market reaction saw US bond yields fall with the dollar and US equity futures surge. NASDAQ futures were 3.3% higher at the time of writing. The FTSE 100 spiked around 60 points in the minutes after the announcement.

Markets were also marking down expectations of another 75 bps hike in December. If this starts a trend of lower inflation numbers, perceptions of when the Fed will ‘pivot’ will adjust and support equities.

FTX collapse

European markets had started the day on the back foot after the FTX crypto exchange effectively became worthless.

The bankruptcy of FTX had dragged on US exchanges overnight as markets accessed the wider implications of the severe losses it would mean for individuals and businesses. Although crypto is seen as an alternative to mainstream finance, crypto has become embedded into the financial system as such dramatic losses will see a huge loss of wealth for many across the world.

“It has been a wild week in Cryptoland, with the implosion of the FTX crypto exchange, which is now reported to have an $8bn black hole at the heart of it. At the beginning of the week its founder Sam Bankman-Freid was reportedly worth $16bn, Bloomberg reckon 95% of that disappeared in a single day, the fastest pace of one person losing money in history.” said Steve Clayton, Head of Equity Funds, Hargreaves Lansdown.

FTSE 100 Corporate Results

It was again a busy day for the FTSE 100 in terms of corporate updates. Companies reporting today included AstraZeneca, Centrica, Haleon and National Grid.

Centrica was the FTSE 100’s top gainer after the utility company said they expected results for the 2022 FY to be at the top end of sell side analyst expectations.

“British Gas owner, Centrica, who recently reopened the rough gas storage facility announced that trading has been strong and the company steered analysts toward upgrading their numbers. The strength is coming from their upstream oil and gas production operations, whilst retail profitability is struggling. The company announced a further £25m of funding for customer assistance as people struggle with their rising energy bills,” said Steve Clayton

AstraZeneca shares built up steam during the session and helped add a notable number of points to the FTSE 100. AstraZeneca shares added 3.5% after reporting a whopping 37% increase in nine month revenue to $33.1bn.

“This was a strong performance by AstraZeneca reflecting good growth from its higher value medicines. But what’s really exciting is its continuing high hit rate in terms of R&D successes. 19 Major regulatory approvals since the last update help underpin the outlook for sustainable long-term growth, and there is likely to be more to come with 18 Phase III read-outs expected in 2023,” said Derren Nathan, Head of Equity Research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Auto Trader maintains strong margins but warns of uncertainty

Auto Trader’s revenue revved up in the first half as their extensive partnership base helped raise sales.

Average revenue per retailer rose to £205 to £2,404 while the number of forecourts rose to 2% to 14,161.

The forecourt strength was dampened slightly by lower activity on their digital platforms by car buyers which fell 10% to 67.7 million per month in the first half of the 2023 FY1. Visitor minutes were also down.

Nonetheless, Auto Trader revenue for the period rose 16% to £249.8m.

There was a warning of uncertainty but Auto Trader pointed to the less cyclical nature of second hand cars as a reason to be positive.

“Auto Trader is accelerating into the second half with excellent momentum. Performance in the first half saw revenues and profits come in better than expected, which is a function of Auto Trader’s enviable recurring revenue, strong pricing power and highly profitable model,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Running a website doesn’t cost a lot, after all. Underlying operating margins north of 70%, with strong conviction that these can be maintained, are an asset very hard to find in the current environment.”

AstraZeneca, Market Catalysts and a NASDAQ IPO with Alan Green

Alan Green joins the Podcast as we delve into key markets theme and a number of UK equities.

We discuss:

  • AstraZeneca (LON:AZN)
  • Georgia Capital (LON:CGEO)
  • Vela Technologies (LON:VELA)

We start by looking at potential catalysts for markets as we move into the winter.

AstraZeneca has reported a solid set of third quarter results as the company sees the benefits of higher cancer drug sales.

Georgia Capital has been trading at deep discount to NAV and Alan outlines why he sees strength in the business going forward.

Vela Technologies shares jumped this week as they announced the IPO of a portfolio company on the NASDAQ.

Tate & Lyle shares rise as strategy shift pays off

Tate & Lyle made progress in the six months to 30 September as revenue grew 20% and adjusted operating profit increased by 29%.

The increase in revenues were the result of a shift in focus to new innovative healthier products with their new products revenue jumping 19%.

Further signalling a move away from the group’s roots in treacle and syrups, the company said the integration of the recently acquired Chinese dietary business was going well.

Tate & Lyle shares were 1.5% higher at 725p at the time of writing.

As with most companies, Tate & Lyle are subject to the inflationary pressures that may dent margins in the future, but the group actually produced some pretty healthy margin expansion in the first half after they exited a number of low-margin businesses.

“Tate & Lyle’s shift, from golden syrup and treacle to sweeteners and thickeners, looks to be a pretty sweet move right now. Revenue popped over the first half as higher prices were gobbled up by customers looking for ways to create healthier food and drink,” said Matt Britzman, Equity Analyst at Hargraves Lansdown.

“Inflation remains a significant headwind, pretty much across the board, with a cost of around £85m over the first half. but it’s being managed well, with a range of initiatives from renewed contracts, higher prices and cost cutting exercises.” 

Belluscura shares jump as certification opens new markets

Belluscura shares jumped on Thursday morning after the portable oxygen manufacturer said they could now target additional markets after securing ISO 13485 certification.

The certification of their portable oxygen enrichment technology is a recognition of the high-quality standard of Belluscura’s units and allow them to be distributed in the European under the CE mark and the UK using the CA mark.

Receiving the certification enables them to distribute global and effectively double the size of their target market. The US currently accounts for around 45% of global demand.

Belluscura shares were 3.5% higher at 58.5p at the time of writing.

“This is a hugely significant step for the Group, as ISO 13485 certification will enable the company to begin the process to start distributing its products globally. Our existing market in the US represents approximately 45% of the Portable Oxygen Concentrator market, so this certification more than doubles the available market opportunity for the Group,” said Robert Rauker, CEO of Belluscura.

“The certification shows the dedication of our team to not only developing a quality product, but to being a leading manufacturer of portable oxygen concentrators. Compliance with this standard will enable Belluscura’s commercial development by proving to new customers that the Company adheres to the highest standards of quality management excellence.

“It will, therefore, contribute to our growth as we expand production of our X-PLOR® device and the Nomad Biometric™ App, as well as the DISCOV-R™, which we expect to launch in Q1 2023 as the world’s first ambulatory dual flow portable oxygen concentrator.”  

Tracsis continues growth record

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Rail and events software and services provider Tracsis (LSE: TRCS) continues to grow its core rail software business and the data and events division bounced back last year.

Tracsis is starting to win contracts for TRACS Enterprise its overall rail operating efficiency system. Even if a rail company used all the individual software supplied by Tracsis, the TRAC Enterprise revenues will be significantly higher. The first user went live in July and five other passenger and freight rail companies will go live over the next 18 months. This will further boost recurring revenues, which were £34.3m last year.  

In the year to July 2022, revenues improved from £50.2m to £68.7m, while underlying pre-tax profit improved £11.3m to £12.3m. The total dividend is 2p a share, having restarted dividends at the interim stage.

Rail technology and services increased revenues by 13%, which includes an initial contribution from RailComm in the US. Remote condition monitoring sales were lower because of strong comparisons.

Data, analytics, consultancy and events revenues jumped by 63%, while organic growth was 51%. The profit contribution from the division increased even though there was no government assistance.

The cash pile fell to £17.2m due to acquisition costs. Net cash could improve to £19m this year. This provides further funding for acquisitions, which are likely in the medium-term.

finnCap forecasts 2022-23 pre-tax profit £14.2m. The share price slipped 13p to 937p, which is 25 times prospective earnings.

Smiths News slashes debt and offers 10% yield

Swindon-based newspaper and magazines distributor Smiths News (LON: SNWS) confirmed that it will pay a total dividend of 4.15p a share following better than expected figures for the year to the end of August 2022. Management continues to improve efficiency.
Revenues from continuing operations were 2% lower at £1.09bn, while pre-tax profit was flat at £31.1m. That does not include the £4.4m bad debt write-off relating to McColl’s Retail Group’s administration. Morrisons has bought the McColl’s operations and business with the chain is not much lower than before.
There are still net liabilities....

Taylor Wimpey feels the pressure of slowing housing market

Taylor Wimpey followed in Persimmon’s footsteps on Wednesday in releasing a trading statement punctuated by falling sales rates and deterioration in key metrics.

Anyone that read our summary of Persimmon’s update yesterday may feel elements of Taylor Wimpey’s release have been copy and pasted over.

Taylor Wimpey net private sales rates per outlet fell to 0.74 year-to-date from 0.95 in 2021 while the sales rate sank to 0.51 in the most recent half year.

Cancellation rates rose and the number of homes in their order book fell.

Despite the worrying metrics, Taylor Wimpey shares were marginally positive on Wednesday morning after suffering on Tuesday in sympathy with Persimmon’s update.

“In a challenging economic and political backdrop we are performing well and are on track to deliver full year operating profit* in line with market expectations,” said Jennie Daly, CEO at Taylor Wimpey.

“While sales rates have been impacted by wider economic uncertainty, we continue to see good levels of customer interest in our homes and a desire to get onto or move up the housing ladder.”

The desire to move up the house ladder may well be there, but the ability for homeowners to do so is diminishing. Rising mortgage rates is putting pressure on affordability at a time householders are facing soaring energy bills.

Despite the short term concerns at Taylor Wimpey, the long terms their fundamentals are supportive. Notwithstanding the challenging environment this winter, Taylor Wimpey has a solid landbank and the long term shortage of UK housing will ensure demand long into the future.