Sterling breaks to low ahead of key central bank meetings

Sterling pushed towards the lowest levels since the 1980s on Wednesday morning as traders eyed the Fed’s decision on rates later today.

GBP/USD traded as low as 1.1304 – the lowest level since the 1980s – before rebounding on Wednesday morning.

This week is packed full of central bank meetings and traders will learn of the Fed’s next move before hearing from the Bank of England tomorrow.

The Bank of England is forecast to hike rates by 50 basis points to 2.25% while economists are predicting the Federal Reserve will hike by 75 basis points to 3.25%.

Mini-Budget

The UK government will present a ‘mini budget’ on Friday, the first opportunity for Liz Truss new government to shape the UK’s growth trajectory.

Traders will be closely watching to judge the potential effectiveness of her measures, and how it will impact the health of the nations long term finances.

Truss will be under pressure to present a solid plan for economic recovery or one should expect further weakness in sterling.

EKF builds on core as Covid revenues disappear

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Declining Covid-related revenues are masking the strong base that EKF Diagnostics (LON: EKF) can grow from. Profit slumped in the first half and will be lower for the full year, but all the core operations have good growth prospects.

In the six months to June 2022, revenues slipped from £38.6m to £37.5m and pre-tax profit dived from £11.4m to £4.1m. Stripping out the Covid revenues, which did make a contribution early in the latest period, revenues were 11.5% ahead.

Net cash was £16.9m at the end of June 2022. The cash includes £2.6m that is difficult to get out of Russia.

EKF still owns shares in Renalytix (LON: RENX) and Verici Dx (LON: VRCI). These investments were valued at £1.57m at the end of June 2022, but the share prices have fallen since then. EKF intends to focus on its core businesses and not become involved in other early-stage investments.

Business

The point of care business grew thanks to increasing demand for diabetes and hematology analysers. The central lab business was hit by supply chain problems, but they have eased in the second half.

The smaller life sciences division nearly doubled its revenues from enzyme manufacturing services and there is capital investment to increase capacity. This is where the faste4st growth is likely to come.

The Advanced Diagnostics Laboratory (ADL) business acquired last year made an initial contribution. ADL is a Texas-based PCR-focused testing laboratory operator that is certified under the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments (CLIA) for complex testing.

Contract manufacturing revenues halved, but there is an underlying business that can grow now that Covid demand has gone away. A full year pre-tax profit of £12.2m is forecast, rising to £16.7m in 2023. At 39p, the shares are trading on less than 15 times prospective 2023 earnings.

Northcoders develops impressive record

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Northcoders Group (LON: CODE) is one of the better performers of the new AIM admissions from 2021. Last July, Northcoders raised £3.5m at 180p a share and the share price has doubled. The latest interims show that the software training provider is living up to expectations.  

In the six months to June 2022, revenues were 117% higher at £2.4m and contracted orders mean that Northcoders is well on the way to forecast full year revenues of £6.5m. Pre-tax profit improved from £19,000 to £118,000. More students have been signed up than for the whole of last year.

The business services part of the business is growing strongly, and it has more than 50 corporate clients, including Rolls-Royce and Barclays.

Since June, the company has won a £4m contract from the UK government to provide scholarships for software training for individuals. The cash will fund software development and data engineering skills training by Northcoders.

There is a shortage of skilled software coders, and the wages are attractive. Northcoders is broadening the training it offers and is considering moving into cyber security training.

Higher wages could push up the cost base. WH Ireland has trimmed its profit forecast as a precaution. Revenues expectations remain the same, but 2022 pre-tax profit is trimmed from £800,000 to £700,000. The 2023 figure has been cut from £3.2m to £2.7m.

More than offsetting that is the estimate for R&D tax credits. This has been added to forecasts, which means that 2022 earnings are increased from 9.6p a share to 12.2p a share. At 360p, the shares are trading at 30 times prospective 2022 earnings, falling to ten the following year.   

Belluscura revenue jumps 34% and inks distributions agreements

Today, Belluscura announced progress in the distribution of their portable oxygen devices designed to help millions of people that suffer from Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD).

As a portfolio company of Tekcapital, Belluscura has the potential to save and improve the lives of millions of people by taking a foot hold in the Portable Oxygen Concentrator Market.

Having listed in London in 2021, the company recorded its first sales in the latter half of the year and today said sales had increased 34% in the first half of this year.

In addition to revealing their latest sales figures, Belluscura unveiled a significant agreement with a leading distributor in the US which promises to help push further sales growth. 

Belluscura has used their formative period as a London listed company to improve their manufacturing capabilities and said they expect to reduce production costs by 10% going forward as they bring manufacturing in-house.

The company is well funded with $11.3 million net cash at the end of June 2022.

Belluscura Innovation

Belluscura continue to drive forward innovations with the introduction of technology that allows users to connect to devices such as iPhones and FITBITS to help track their oxygen uses.

Housebuilders fall ahead of Thursday’s BoE meeting

The FTSE 100’s housebuilders were a major drag on the index on Tuesday as investors positioned for the Bank of England’s interest rate decision this Thursday.

The Bank of England are expected to hike by 50 basis points to 2.25% at a time the Uk housing market is starting to show signs of slowing. A hike in rates will make mortgages more expensive while households are facing inflationary pressures across the board.

Persimmon, Barratt Developments, Taylor Wimpey and Berkeley Group were all down more than 3% at the time of writing.

Despite the sharp downside in housebuilders, the FTSE 100 was down only 0.3% with oil companies and banks helping provide support for the index.

As a beneficiary of rising rates, Lloyds shares were 1% higher and at the highest levels since April.

A stronger dollar played its part once more with providing the FTSE 100 with some support ahead of a Fed meeting tomorrow from which the market will attempt to gauge the trajectory of interest rates.

Ocado was among the FTSE 100s faller after the group was cut to reduce by analysts at HSBC. The retailer said in a recent update they expect costs to hit profitability in the short term.

Kingfisher was another consumer-facing casualty as the DIY specialist slipped 2% as it said sales slowed further.

“The number of amateur builders, painters and carpenters hanging up their tool kits is growing as homeowners scramble around for savings, intently focused on finding ways to cut their energy bills,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Although the purchase of outdoor bigger ticket items have remained resilient, it’s a far cry from the boom last year when people spent lockdown savings doing up their homes and gardens. Kingfisher’s numbers paint a picture of the waning DIY craze, with sales dropping by 4.1% to £6.8 billion from the £7.1 billion reported the same time last year.”

AIM movers: Ethernity Networks contract and Zoo upgrade

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Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET) jumped 40.5% to 14.75p on the back of a new contract and the share price is above the level before the recent fall. An existing customer has awarded a follow-on contract worth $4.6m.

Jarvis Securities (LON: JIM) has recovered a small proportion of its loss on Friday after it announced that it had appointed Ocreus to review systems and controls at its main subsidiary. Jarvis has voluntarily agreed not to take on new clients from certain existing Model B corporate clients until the systems have been reviewed. The shares are 22.3% higher at 115p, which means they are still more than one-third down on last Thursday’s price.

ZOO Digital (LON: ZOO) is trading ahead of guidance this year. A statement at its AGM revealed that it expects first half revenues to be at least $51m. The share price increased by 12.3% to 142p. Full year revenues have been upgraded from $80m to $94.5m and a pre-tax profit of $6.6m is forecast for the video subtitling and services provider.

Digital payments company BOKU (LON: BOKU) has signed up Amazon for local payment methods in a multi-year deal. It will be launched with Prime Video in Asia and Africa and then expand into other parts of the Amazon business. Amazon has been issued warrants equivalent to up to 3.75% of Boku, exercisable at 81.2p each, which are related to revenue targets over seven years. This is likely to lead to upgrade for 2023 and further out. The share price is 14.9% higher at 88.5p, but it is well down on its high.

URU Metals Ltd (LON: URU) says that gold mineralisation has been identified at the Zeb nickel project in Limpopo, South Africa. Two holes intersected anomalously high gold mineralisation in the north of the project area. The shares rose 10% to 220p.

New data from the SPRINTER phase 3 study for inhaled SNG001 to treat hospitalised patients with Covid-19 suggests that it can ameliorate some of the symptoms of these patients. They were at lower risk of fatigue and shortness of breath. Shares in Synairgen (LON: SNG) rose 5.3% to 21.45p. The data could prompt further investigation of the use of SNG001 in other viral diseases.

Mattress supplier eve Sleep (LON: EVE) reported a higher interim loss and it will require more cash by October. The share price has nearly halved to 0.375p. Trading is set to continue to be tough. There was £1.4m in the bank at the end of June 2022 and it has fallen further to £1m with £700,000 drawn down from a working capital facility. There have been no formal offers in the formal sales process.

Falcon Oil & Gas (LON: FOG) has fallen on the back of Origin Energy deciding to divest its 77.5% interest in the Beetaloo sub-basin exploration permits. Falcon has first right of refusal. This would be classed as a reverse takeover. The share price dived 27.7% to 6.15p.

Yesterday, restaurants operator Tasty (LON: TAST) reported nearly doubled interim revenues, but the loss was similar due to a £1.6m impairment charge. Staff shortages and cost pressures are making trading difficult. There is £8m in the bank. The shares fell 17.1% to 4.25p, which capitalises Tasty at £7.5m.

Ocado shares sink as HSBC cuts the online retailer to ‘reduce’

Ocado shares sank on Tuesday as the online retailer had their rating cut by analysts at HSBC. HSBC cut their rating on Ocado from hold to reduce, sending the Ocado share price down by over 7% in early trade.

Ocado recently said they see costs weighing on profitability for Ocado Retail Q4 2022, despite growing customer numbers.

Ocado Retail is joint venture between Ocado and Marks & Spencer recording Q3 sales of £532m, up 2.7% on the year prior and well ahead of pre-pandemic levels.

Although they noted high customer numbers, customer’s baskets were smaller as shoppers sought out bargains, a problem for Ocado and their positioning towards the higher end of the market.

“Our online grocery model, which creates efficiency through advanced technology, offers customers a combination of competitive prices, the widest ranges, and industry-leading service,” said Tim Steiner, Chairman of Ocado Retail.

“As we have seen in Q3, customer numbers are sharply up as consumers either switch from other providers or try online grocery for the first time; underlying productivity in fulfilment and the last mile continues to improve; and the new CEO of Ocado Retail, Hannah Gibson, brings fresh vision and energy to the business. As consumer spending stabilises, we expect Ocado Retail will again deliver attractive and accelerating growth in sales and a strong recovery in profitability.”

Kingfisher continues ease back from pandemic boom

B&Q-owner Kingfisher reported a continue ease back from a boom in DIY activity during the pandemic. Kingfisher sales declines by 4.1% on a reported basis to £6,809m in the six months to 31st July.

Despite Kingfisher sales falling back from last year, they remain well ahead of pre-pandemic levels. Like-for-like sales were 16.6% higher than before the pandemic.

“Kingfisher has delivered a very resilient first half of sales. While facing very strong comparatives from the prior year as well as a more challenging environment, LFL sales were 16.6% ahead of pre-pandemic levels with a sequential improvement from Q1 to Q2. This was driven by the extension of share gains in all our key markets, reflecting successful execution of our strategy, and resilient sales from both DIY and trade customers,” said Thierry Garnier, Chief Executive Officer.

Kingfisher also felt the pressure of falling margins as high comparatives last year saw operating margin fall 130 basis points to 36.7%. The group has set about a cost-cutting programme, but this is only partially offsetting the impact of rising costs.

Dividends for the period remained steady at 3.80p and investors will watch keenly to see if expansion in Poland and improvements to ScrewFix are enough to mitigate the cost of living crisis.

New AIM quotation: Aurrigo International’s autonomous potential

Transport technology supplier Aurrigo International believes that baggage and cargo handling are the most suited to autonomous vehicles and it is developing a range of these vehicles. They will help airports to cope with labour shortages and improve efficiency.
There is solid revenue stream from components and services provided to automotive manufacturers. The main long-term growth will come from the autonomous vehicles. The £6.5m net raised in the placing will help to finance that growth.
Grant funding has helped with development. The Auto-Dolly baggage transport system is the current focus. ...

New standard listing: Fintech Asia seeks base for global expansion

Fintech Asia Ltd is seeking fintech acquisitions. The cash should finance the operating of the company and investigating potential acquisitions for more than one year. Further share issues will be required when any targets are identified, and deals secured.
Management would become involved in any acquisitions and help them to expand globally.  
There were no trades reported on the first two days. The current share price is 55.5p (53p/57p). The lack of liquidity is a negative. The estimated cash is equivalent to 6p a share, which does little to underpin the share price.
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Fintech ...