FTSE 100 bounces back shaking off record UK inflation

The FTSE 100 rose on Wednesday and bounced back from heavy selling on Tuesday as bargain hunters stepped in despite UK inflation hitting 5.4% – the highest reading in 30 years.

The FTSE 100 had gained 26 points to 7,590 in midday trade on Wednesday bouncing back, but not fully recovering yesterday’s losses.

Soaring inflation is being regularly used in arguments for higher interest rates so it may have been a surprise to see equities rise today after the prospect of higher rates in the US rocked markets yesterday.

“While UK inflation has hit a 30-year high at 5.4%, this is only marginally ahead of expectations, and certainly shouldn’t shock the markets. Indeed, the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 indices barely budged on the news,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Ongoing weakness among tech-related stocks was offset by strength in housebuilders, retail and oil producers in the FTSE 100. Brent Crude continues to charge ahead with a 0.4% gain to $87.84 per barrel, stoking speculation that it could soon return to $100 per barrel amid supply constraints and robust demand.”

Oil is facing growing pressures of geopolitical risk whilst big consumers such as the US are experiencing growing demand.

Houthi rebels used drones to target UAE oil installations driving concerns about ongoing supply disruptions and the prospect of rising oil prices.

“The damage to the UAE oil facilities in Abu Dhabi is not significant in itself, but it raises the question of even more supply disruptions in the region in 2022,” said Rystad Energy’s senior oil markets analyst Louise Dickson to Reuters.

Having gained yesterday on the news, BP and Shell continued to rise inline with oil prices, providing welcome support for the overall FTSE 100 index.

Burberry jumps

Burberry provided a positive update which was well received by the market and provided reason to send shares 6% higher.

Burberry has been highly dependant on tourism which was evident in earnings. However, the market looks past this to the prospect of increased travel and the resumption of spending in the not too distant future.

“By all accounts, Burberry is in a better position than some had feared. With further news of rising inflation coming out, the brand is also in a better position than some,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Luxury customers tend not to be as swayed by economic ups and downs, including when money in the bank is losing its value at a faster rate than normal. That’s something that simply can’t be said of mid-market high street names.”

Burberry, the Metaverse, and UK Inflation with Alan Green

The UK Investor Magazine Podcast is joined by Alan Green to jump into this week’s key markets themes and the UK equities grabbing the attention of investors.

We start by looking at the Microsoft takeover of Activision and what the biggest cash takeover of the pandemic means for the Metaverse.

UK inflation has jumped to 5.4%, the highest levels in 30 years. There is consideration paid to what this means for UK investors that focus on London-listed shares and the sectors that could benefit in an inflationary environment.

Although Burberry noted rising prices in their recent update, their biggest issue was the lack of spending by tourists. Despite this dent in sales figures, the market seems to looking past the short term impact of COVID to a resumption of normal consumer behaviour.

JD Wetherspoon was ravaged by the pandemic and the reduction in spending was still evident in the latest figures. With shares trading around 900p there could be a rebound as drinkers return to their bars.

We also touch on Technology Minerals and the establishment of their operations in the Circular Economy.

WH Smith travel arm struggles to recover amid Omicron

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WH Smith has reported a slump in spending across airports and train stations amid Omicron.

The group’s travel arm has been hit by the pandemic. Airport stores were trading at 58% of 2019 levels in January. Stores at train stations were trading at 69% in December.

“We have seen a small impact from the Omicron variant in January but, as elsewhere, we believe this will be short term,” said WH Smith.

The group’s high street stores faired better and were trading at 87% of 2019 levels in January.

 “Looking ahead, although we are seeing a small impact from the Omicron variant, we anticipate a resumption in the recovery of our travel markets over the coming months,” said chief executive, Carl Cowling.

Centaur Media shares jump on strong revenues

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Centaur Media shares jumped over 6% this morning on strong revenues.

The group has said that it expects to have revenues of at least £38.5m for the full year. Centaur Media ended the year with £13.1m, which was up from the £8.3m in 2020.

 “In 2021, we introduced our Margin Acceleration Plan, MAP23, to drive profitable revenue growth for the business,” said chief executive, Swag Mukerji.

“I am pleased with the progress our brands have made with this strategy over the past  twelve months and both our Flagship 4 and Core Brands have seen strong trading performances. We  remain on track to hit our MAP23 targets.” 

Full-year results will be released on March 16.

Inflation hits 30-year high

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Inflation has jumped to a 30-year high, hitting 5.4%.

According to the Office for National Statistics, consumer prices index rose from 5.1% in November to 5.4% in December. Inflation has not been this high since it was 7.1% in March 1992.

“What is of particular concern is that the change from November has come mainly from an increase in the price of food,” said Kitty Ussher, chief economist at the Institute of Directors.

“Not only does this provide additional evidence that inflation is becoming endemic rather than transitory, it also bodes ill for households facing multiple rises in the cost of living this spring.

“We therefore expect interest rates to rise again when the Bank of England monetary policy committee next meets in early February.”

Prices in food and furniture and household goods due to rising gas and electricity prices pushed up inflation.

Aquis trading volumes during December 2021

This is the first monthly report on Aquis Stock Exchange trading levels. There was more than £18m of trades in Aquis Stock Exchange quoted shares during December 2021. There were 4,077 trades in the month.
Here are the top traded shares on Aquis during December with the background to their movements. Three of the top five were in the top five traded shares in November and all five were in the top ten last month. There were lower trading volumes in December, but there are also fewer trading days and the last few days in the month are rarely busy unless there is particular interest in an individ...

Finmap secures $1.2 million funding from European and Ukrainian investors

Cash flow management tech company Finmap have secured $1.2 million funding from both European and Ukrainian investors.

Finmap provides a cash flow management service for business to digitally forecast cash requirements through a service that starts at $14 per month.

Finmap integrates with 2000+ European banks and PayPal, Wise, Revolut, ApiXDrive, Fondy services, as well as 1C and Western Bid data import. 

“Cash flow management is an important part of the business for entrepreneurs from all over the world.  Understanding the amount of money that is generated and consumed is the only real way that you can see and understand the true state of your company in order to make critical growth and development decisions,” said Finmap founders Alexander Solovei and Ivan Kaunov. 

“Technological approaches in money management will help to effectively control and develop your company. Currently, we are working with companies from 12 countries, with plans to expand into Poland, the Czech Republic, Spain, and Turkey.”

Having started operations in Ukraine, Finmap now has plans to expand further through Europe and the funds will be used to bolster their development team and increases marketing spend.

“This new investment round shows that Finmap is on the right path of its development with a great team on board. We believe the product has great potential to become a massive service abroad, utilizing our wide company’s network worldwide. That is why we are supporting this promising project and many others, not only in Ukraine. This is quite consistent with our goal to help small and medium-sized businesses and entrepreneurs”, says Valery Krasovsky, CEO and  Co-Founder of Sigma Software Group.

FTSE 100 falls from 52-week highs in global equity retreat

The FTSE 100 fell on Tuesday in a broad global equity retreat that saw European equity indices accelerate losses started in Asia.

The FTSE 100 was off by 0.65% at 7,564 whilst the German DAX was weaker by 1% at 15,773. US futures were also down heavily with S&P 500 futures pointing to a 1% lower start.

The selling can be attributed to a shift in the market’s opinion of how many times the Federal reserve will hike rates this year, and what this will mean for the economic outlook and investor positioning.

This change in opinion was particularly evident in the tech-heavy NASDAQ which gave up around 1.8% in the premarket on Tuesday.

Tech shares thrived in the period of easy monetary policy during the pandemic. However, this period of easy monetary policy is now set to be replaced by a tightening cycle that makes tech shares less attractive, given increasing bond yields.

The US 10-Year Bond Yield was 1.827% at the time of writing on Tuesday morning, having touched the highest level since the beginning of the pandemic earlier in the session.

After a string of comments from Fed members about the pace of rate hikes, there is now a fierce debate about how many rate hikes there will be this year. This is unnerving markets any asking questions of assets with valuations perceived to have become frothy over the past two years.

FTSE 100 shares

FTSE 100 shares tracked global equities lower with 77 of the 100 constituents trading underwater on Tuesday.

Precious metals miner Polymetal was the top faller – down 4.2% – as investors reacted to a falling gold price. Interest rate hikes aimed at controlling inflation will likely be bearish for gold in the coming year as its attractiveness as an inflation-hedge diminishes.

“Despite the spike higher in US Treasury yields, spot gold seems to be holding its own above $1,800 for the time being,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity to Reuters.

“However, the higher Treasury yields go, that should test bullion’s ability to tread water above the psychologically-important $1,800 mark.”

Also among the fallers were housing and construction shares which felt the pressure of further interest rates hikes in the UK, following strong jobs figures released by the ONS.

There are now over 400,000 more jobs in the UK than prior to the pandemic – a key indicator for the Bank of England and the Monetary Policy Committee who votes on interest rates.

Oil shares were among the top riser as oil approached $100 on rising geopolitical tensions. BP was stronger by 1% whilst Shell gained 1.5%.

UK investor confidence wobbles as concerns grow over interest rates and housing market

A survey by Hargreaves Lansdown found investor confidence in the UK economy has begun to wobble as expectations of interest rates increase dents optimism in the economy.

The HL Investor Confidence Index dropped 2% in as rising inflation outpaces wage increases.

“The number of investors surveyed by HL, who expect interest rate rises in the next six months has fallen back slightly to 78%, compared to 83% in November, possibly reflecting this conundrum, but it’s clear the vast majority of investors are expecting another move by the Bank relatively quickly,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“At the same time there has been a 2% drop in confidence in UK economic growth among investors, with the combined toxic effects of inflation and an income squeeze playing on minds.”

Weakness in housing shares has been notable as investor offloading companies vulnerable to rising interest rates.

Despite dropping confidence in the UK economy, HL found confidence remain buoyant on UK-lsted assets, which may be due to the large proportion of revenue earned overseas by FTSE 100 firms.

“Even so optimism about UK assets has grown, with investor confidence up 4% compared to November with expectation that the weighting of listed companies towards the mining, energy and financial sectors should start to bear plumper fruit. The only sector to register a drop in confidence was North America, which is likely to be as a result of the jitters continuing about the fate of highly valued tech firms in a higher interest rate environment, which would reduce the value of their future earnings,” Streeter said.

HL’s index data comes as the ONS released data pointing to a 1% drop in wages in November whilst the unemployment rate was 4.1%.

However, the UK jobs market has outperformed dooms day forecasts that predicted the end of the furlough scheme would rock the UK economy and cause mass redundancies. Indeed, the number of jobs in the UK is 400,000 higher than before the pandemic.

“Furlough was seen as the cotton wool that cushioned the UK’s jobs market from the ravages of Covid.  The end of the scheme filled many with dread, a fear that those still being protected would find themselves out of work sending unemployment levels soaring,” said Danni Hewson, AJ Bell financial analyst.

“The reality is an intriguing picture with a record level of job vacancies, the number of employees more than 400,000 above that pre-pandemic and the redundancy rate at a record low.  So far so good, but that’s not quite the full story and between the lines is a complex situation that does require careful consideration.”

Electric Vehicle charging point startup Monta raises €15m

Electric Vehicle charging point startup Monta has raised €15m funding in their Series A round led by Stockholm-based Creandum with a significant investment coming from US venture firm Headline.

Headline have previously invested in Klarna, Bumble, Farfetch and Sonos.

With the €15m raised in the latest funding round, Monta have now raised more than €20 million since the company was founded just one year ago.

Monta offering electric vehicle charging from as little as £6 per month and have identified the the need for 400,00 charging points across the UK.

“Monta is the ultimate companion to any electric vehicle. By focusing on open software standards, the team is building the operation system for anyone that seeks or provides EV charging. Solving the hurdles of public charging means accelerating EV adoption: Headline supports this vision and the Monta team has the deep product experience and ability to execute it at speed.” says Jonathan Becker, Partner at Headline.

Casper Rasmussen, CEO and Co-founder of Monta, has outlined their plans to make EV charging points more accessible and the funds will be used to help expand their network and services for drivers.

“Our mission is to accelerate EV adoption through innovative software and services. For too long the EV ecosystem has been dominated by old-school players like electricity companies, hardware manufactures and charge point operators. As a tech company, we’re building a charging architecture free from legacy software that is ready to scale across borders and hardware. With this latest funding round, we’re one step closer to accomplishing this mission,” Rasmussen said.