Top Stock Picks for 2022 with Alan Green

Alan Green joins the UK Investor Magazine Podcast to deliver his top stock picks for 2022.

We touch briefly on the economic outlook for 2022 before delving into the companies Alan will be keeping a particularly close eye on next year.

Top picks for 2022:

Technology Minerals (LON:TM1)

Power Metal Resources (LON:POW)

Blue Star Capital (LON:BLU)

IQE (LON:IQE)

Poolbeg Pharma (LON:POLB)

Tertiary Minerals (LON:TYM)

Special Mentions:

Coinsilium (LON:COIN)

Cadence Minerals (LON:KDNC)

A number of these companies have been discussed in greater detail on the Podcast this year so do check back through for great insight on companies mentioned. 

Lloyds share price falls ahead of uncertain Bank of England meeting

Lloyds share price has remain subdued in the past week as investors prepare for the Bank of England’s interest rate decision.

Having previously rallied on expectations of a rate hike in December, the discovery of the Omicron variant has all but put pay to hopes of a rate hike this week.

This has caused negative price action in Lloyds shares as the prospect of higher rates is generally considered to provide a boost to banking profitability.

Lloyds shares are one of the most actively traded stocks on the London Stock Exchange and are a good bellwether for overall sentiment of equity traders.

With Lloyds shares falling into the announcement, it is clear equity markets are positioning for rates to be kept on hold, and a prolonged period of near-zero rates.

However, with UK inflation data soaring 5.1% in November, it really does put the Bank of England in a difficult position.

“The most interesting part of all of this is whether the Bank of England will raise rates this week on the back of this data. Having inflation running at 5.1% and interest rates at 0.1% doesn’t seem like the most sensible idea and people could make the case they are failing in achieving their mandate,” said Dan Boardman-Weston, CIO at BRI Wealth Management.

“The decision is finely balanced though as large parts of this inflationary pressure are outside of their control and moving rates higher won’t help. When this is coupled with the emergence of Omicron, the decision is on a knife edge. They may decide to hold fire until they have further clarity on the impact Omicron has on health and wealth.”

Analysts also questioned the overall strength of the UK economy and pointed to the robustness of recovery as a further headache for the BoE.

Despite the drop going into the Bank of England meeting, the Lloyds share price is still up 23% YTD.

Curry’s expects strong results despite supply chain issues

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Curry’s has said that despite supply chain issues, it remains to be on track with profit expectataions.

 “We may face into further headwinds from Omicron and associated restrictions, but the stronger business we’ve built can ride out both the industry-wide disruption to supply chains and bumpy demand,” said chief executive, Alex Baldock.

“Yes, more customers are shopping online, and our hard work to build a strong online business has seen us thrive here. But most customers buy tech through both online and stores, our sweet spot, where we’ve worked hard to build on our strengths. That’s paying off,” Baldock said.

In the six months to the end of October, the group posted profits of £48m, up from £40 in the same period a year previously.

Curry’s expects to hit full-year profits of around £160m.

Hollywood Bowl reports strong results

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Hollywood Bowl profits increased despite Covid restrictions in the past year. The group reported profit after tax of £1.7m.

Chief executive Stephen Burns said: “The past year has been challenging but also rewarding. “I am delighted about the excellent performance since reopening, including delivering record activity for both a single day and an entire month, exceeding our FY2019 trading levels on a like-for-like basis, and delivering a profit for the year.”

“Notwithstanding the ongoing uncertainties regarding COVID-19 restrictions, we remain confident in the continued strong ongoing demand for fun, safe and family-friendly experiences,”

“Our strong balance sheet and highly cash generative business model means we are well positioned to continue our refurbishment programme and rollout of both the Hollywood Bowl and Puttstars brands.”

Inflation hits 5.1%

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Inflation has hit its highest point in over a decade.

It jumped to 5.1%, which is over double the Bank of England’s hope to keep it at around 2%. In October, inflation was 4.2%. Inflation has risen due to rising fuel costs, which have affected travel prices.

“The price of fuel increased notably, pushing average petrol prices higher than we have seen before. Clothing costs – which increased after falling this time last year – along with price rises for food, second-hand cars and increased tobacco duty all helped drive up inflation this month,” said Grant Fitzner, chief economist at the Office for National Statistics.

Commenting on the latest figures, Danni Hewson, AJ Bell financial analyst, said: “Another month, another hike in the cost of living. At 5.1% it’s uncomfortably above most analyst’s expectations and reaches the level the Bank of England had predicted for next spring.  It begs the question; how hot will the temperature really get and how will households cope?”

“Should the Bank of England raise rates tomorrow? Should they have done it twelve months ago because realistically that’s how long the measure takes to make an impact. Think back to December 2020 and imagine the reaction if the Bank had hiked rates then. Now consider where we are.”

“There’s no question that prices are too high. There’s no question that if employers start to raise wages substantially that’s just going to add to the problem. There’s no question December 2021 is beginning to look a lot like December 2020 and there’s no question that whatever decision the bank makes tomorrow it won’t bring a solution for today.”

Tungsten bid approach

Tungsten Corporation (LON: TUNG) founder Edmund Truell and his associates are backing a possible bid of 40p a share by Kofax Inc. This is an attractive price for Edmund Truell, but not so attractive for some of the longer-term shareholders. The board says that the bid significantly undervalues the digital invoicing business.
California-based Kofax is an automated software provider that simplifies the handling of data. Kofax has eight out of the top ten global banks and seven out of ten of the top global insurers as customers. Kofax has more than 25,000 customers.
There are other potential bidd...

New AIM admission: Sovereign Metals rutile resource

Sovereign Metals Ltd is listed on the ASX and has obtained a secondary quotation on AIM ahead of a scoping study for the Kasiya rutile project that is promised in the next few days. The AIM quotation will provide a higher profile in Europe ahead of investment requirements to develop the Malawi-based project.
An updated mineral resource estimate is expected, and additional drilling could increase the figure in the coming years. Rutile prices have been increasing.
AIM-quoted Mkango Resources (LON: MKA) has a nearby licence in the Mchinji district. Mkango completed a drilling and soil-sampling pr...

Aeorema Communications shares soar on record revenue

Aeorema Communications, the live events agency, has said it expects first half revenue to be the highest on record in a strong period of trading.

The company said revenue was expected to be £4.5m in a trading statement released on Tuesday. This will be a dramatic improvement on last year’s sales in which the company reported just £5.1m for the year ended 30th June 2021.

Aeorema Communications shares jumped over 30% to the highest level since 2015.

Aeorema provides event solutions through their Cheerful Twentyfirst division and counts Google, BBC, Vodafone and the Wall Street Journal as their clients.

The pandemic ravaged their business in 2020 as numerous events were cancelled and customers held off new bookings. The reversal in revenue will pay testament to their ability to pivot to the new environment of remote working and virtual engagement.

Aeorema also announced the appointment of Hannah Luffman to the board of directors in the newly created role of Group Commercial Director. Luffman was previously Aeorema’s Strategy Director having successfully founded Unicorn Events, achieving significant revenue growth in a short period.

FTSE 100 rebounds on Omicron rollercoaster

The FTSE 100 continued along the Omicron rollercoaster on Tuesday with Londons leading index rebounding from Monday’s losses.

However, the gains were mild with the FTSE 100 adding 0.29% to trade at 7,251, at the time of writing, as investors await results of major central bank meetings this week.

“The FTSE 100 was off to a strong start on Tuesday, recovering some of yesterday’s losses as investors await the big central bank action to come this week and as concern over the Omicron variant continues to wax and wane,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.”

Highlighting the conundrum for central banks, Mould alluded to the ‘good news is bad news’ sentiment around UK jobs data that showed wage rises.

“More signs of a tightening jobs market may be good news for employees but could also add to inflation concerns ahead of the Bank of England’s meeting on Thursday.”

“However, a move on rates looks unlikely given the uncertainty over the economic impact of Omicron,” Mould said despite the Bank’s governor saying it didn’t see Omicron as a ‘stress event’.

FTSE 100 movers

BT was the FTSE 100’s biggest faller as investors sold the stock on perceptions the chance of a takeover bid was diminishing.

“News that French telecoms tycoon Patrick Drahi’s firm Altice had boosted its stake in BT seems to have provoked consternation in the market, with the shares slumping, potentially amid some disappointment that a full bid doesn’t look to be forthcoming, at least in the short-term,” said Mould.

Ocado topped the FTSE on Tuesday morning after the online retailer said they expected a strong Christmas.

“Ocado Retail is predicting a merry Christmas, underpinned by strong demand, but the new year poses some more challenging questions. Labour shortages, cost inflation, another round of ramped up capital spending, and fierce competition all spring to mind,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Hospitality takings could fall 40% amid new Covid guidance

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Pubs and restaurants across the UK have predicted a 40% dip in takings across the Christmas period under the new measures.

As the government has told people to work from home, 25% of Christmas parties in London were cancelled whilst general takings were down 40%.

“The damage has been done. We immediately saw cancellations. Anybody who was at all nervous, or any company that was planning a do was likely to cancel,” said Phil Urban, the chief executive of Mitchells & Butlers.

“We saw the impact on Friday and Saturday but we’ll really start to see the damage this week, particularly in city centres where historically we’d have lots of corporate events. That’s gone now and there’s nothing anyone can do to put it back.”

Hospitality shares were down on Monday as investors reacted to the new guidance.

The head of UK Hospitality, Kate Nicholls, commented: “The government’s official advice since the arrival of Omicron and the introduction of plan B has been very clear: go ahead with Christmas and new year parties as long as you are not showing any symptoms of Covid.”

“Hospitality operators have invested heavily to ensure the safety of staff and customers, focusing on better ventilation, hygiene and sanitation … As a result, pubs, bars, restaurants, hotels and nightclubs are safer places in which to socialise with family and friends than at home this Christmas.”