AIM movers: Nexus Infrastructure order book recovers and Anglo Asian Mining gold production declines

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Nexus Infrastructure (LON: NEXS) reported a slump in revenues in the six months to March 2024, but the order book is improving. Revenues generated by the infrastructure services provider fell from £51m to £25.8m and the company slipped into loss. The interim dividend is maintained at 1p/share. There was a cash outflow, but cash is still £9.3m, which is more than the market capitalisation. The order book is worth £72m, but the recovery in revenues may not happen until next year. There are plans to diversify the business so it is not dependent on housebuilding. The share price recovered 15.2% to 95p.

Yesterday evening, Phoenix Copper (LON: PXC) says that it has conditionally raised $80m from a bond issue to fund the construction of the Empire copper-gold mine in Idaho. The cash will be drawn down in tranches. The arrangement fee is paid for by the issue of 33.9 million shares. NIU invest is acquiring the bond and it will have the right to subscribe for a 25% stake in Phoenix Copper over a five-year period. The share price is 15.6% ahead at 22.25p.

Quantum Blockchain Technologies (LON: QBT) has reached a settlement with some of the defendants of the Sipiem in Liquidazione case. An agreement with Sipiem’s receiver means that Quantum Blockchain Technologies has paid €170,000 for all the other rights to the total settlement of €6.275m. The settlement relates to €700,000 of the award. This requires court approval. The share price improved 11.3% to 1.085p.

Cancer treatment developer ValiRx (LON: VAL) has clarified its cash position. Following the £1.8m raised earlier this year, cash was £1.1m on 15 May. The share price rose 7.89% to 2.05p.

FALLERS

Lower gold production meant that Anglo Asian Mining (LON: AAZ) revenues fell from $84.7m to $45.9m, which meant that it swung from pre-tax profit of $7.5m to a loss of $32m. There were $18m of non-cash impairment charges of capitalised exploration costs and the value of the Libero Copper and Gold investment. All-in sustaining cost of gold production jumped from $1,064/ounce to $1,510/ounce. Total production was 31,821 ounces. The share price declined 5.97% to 63p.

Managed services provider Redcentric (LON: RCN) published a trading update that shows a disappointing outcome for the year to March 2024. Four clients were lost when the Harrogate datacentre was closed. Cavendish has cut its full year pre-tax profit forecast from £7.1m to £4.6m. Net debt of £41.9m is forecast. A jump in pre-tax profit £18.8m is forecast for 2024-25. The share price fell 5.59% to 135p.

Water Intelligence (LON: WTR) was upbeat about first quarter trading and Dowgate has edged up its forecast following the recent franchise reacquisition. The water leak detection business has won two new insurance contracts. The 2024 pre-tax profit forecast was raised from $9.4m to $9.5m, but the share price slipped 4.17% to 345p.

Drug developer Arecor Therapeutics (LON: AREC) increased 2023 revenues by 90% to £4.6m. Including grant income, total income was £5.7m. Tetris Pharma sales are becoming more substantial. Lower R&D spending meant that the loss reduced from £9.3m to £8.6m. Net cash is £6.8m. Data is expected from the AT278 phase 1 trial in type II diabetes patients. The share price is down 4.03% to 131p.

Ex-dividends

Churchill China (LON: CHH) is paying a final dividend of 25p/share and the share price declined 25p to £11.50.

Fevertree Drinks (LON: FEVR) is paying a final dividend of 10.9p/share and the share price fell 11.5p to 1179.5p.

FRP Advisory (LON: FRP) is paying a dividend of 0.9p/share and the share price is unchanged at 128p.

Jarvis Securities (LON: JIM) is paying a dividend of 1.5p/share and the share price slipped 3p to 60.5p.

James Halstead (LON: JHD) is paying an interim dividend of 2.5p/share and the share price is unchanged at 201p.

Manx Financial (LON: MFX) is paying a final dividend of 0.46p/share and the share price declined 0.5p to 20.5p.

The Property Franchise Group (LON: TPFG) is paying a final dividend of 7.4p/share and the share price is 2.5p lower at 392.5p. Vector Capital (LON: VCAP) is paying a final dividend of 1.53p/share and the share price fell 1p to 33.5p.

FTSE 100 falls as easyjet descends, BT shares take off

The FTSE 100 dipped on Thursday as poor results from easyjet and Sage disappointed investors and offset a surge higher in BT.

London’s leading index was down 0.3% at 0.36% at the time of writing.

The decline in London’s flagship index is against the grain of a strong US session overnight after US CPI signalled a goldilocks scenario for stocks, and upbeat news from the Chinese property sector.

“After a sparkling session on Wall Street last night amid hopes that the latest inflation data raises the chances of a US interest rate cut, European markets didn’t share the joy. The FTSE 100, Dax, CAC 40 and IBEX 35 were all down in early trading amid mixed corporate news,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“The FTSE 100 was dragged down by weakness in Shell and BP, and Sage slumping 8% after trimming its annual revenue guidance.”

BT was the FTSE 100’s top riser after announcing an increase in revenue for the full year and surprising investors with a dividend hike. The group has cut the dividend in recent years, and for the telecoms firm to increase payouts to investors wasn’t on the cards.

BT shares were 10% higher in mid-morning trade.

Easyjet

The market would have had high hopes for easyjet amid a boom in travel demand but were evidently disappointed with a an interim report that revealed a headline loss before tax of £350m. Airlines typically lose money in the first half of the year and rely on summer bookings for profitability.

Although the group said they were positive about summer bookings, this didn’t translate into investors positivity and shares were down 6% at the time of writing.

EasyJet’s half year results indicate the company is making headway, albeit slowly. The winter period, which is always a case of damage limitations for the budget airliner, has been less severe, with EasyJet reporting a £61m reduction in losses for the period,” said Mark Crouch, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“EasyJet’s newest bases, Birmingham and Alicante, are achieving passenger numbers well above the network average and a tenth UK base at London Southend has been announced.”

BT shares soar after dividend hiked

BT released positive final results on Thursday, providing investors with a welcome surprise increase in revenue per user and a small hike in the dividend.

BT investors have been licking their wounds recently and will be over the moon with a 10% increase in early trade. While it barely touches the side in terms of losses over the past year, it signals the company may be on the verge of a turnaround.

Today’s gain in shares will be down to investors becoming hopeful about the future as opposed to excitement about recent results.

Adjusted EBITDA rose 2%, while revenues for the year gained 1%. These are small gains, but they are far better than the revenue declines shareholders were dealt last year.

The board felt confident enough to sign off on a small dividend hike, which will go a long way toward boosting investor sentiment. BT’s dividend will total 8p for the full year, an increase from 7.7p in the year prior.

On the face of it, BT’s full year earnings look positive. Average revenues per user increased by 10% year-on-year, investors are getting a small bump in the annual dividend and the business added nearly 400,000 Openreach customers in Q4 alone,” said Mark Crouch, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“Under the bonnet however, things don’t look quite so rosy. While revenues increased, BT’s profits actually fell by 31%. Another growing concern is the firm’s mounting debt pile, which has risen by another 4% and now stands just short of £20bn. The company has set out £3bn of annualised cost savings to be reached by the end of 2029 and vowed to double free cash flow, which will go some way in countering this. 

“The biggest issue BT faces is the ferociously competitive market in which they operate. Broadband providers seek to undercut rivals – forcing down prices which in turn has heaped pressure on BT’s margins.

H&T Group – UK’s Largest Pawnbrokers Report Record Loans Out – A Sign Of The Times?

With some 280 stores across the country, it is surely a sign of the times when the UK’s largest pawnbroking group reports, in its AGM Trading Update issued today, that it has seen yet another record month for the demand for its pledge loans.

That makes records being broken for three out of the first four months of this year.

What Is A Pledge

Pledged loans are a kind of secured loan that requires the borrower to pledge assets as collateral to secure funding.

A Pawnbroking Loan or otherwise known as a Pledge, is a short-term loan, secured against items of Gold, Silver, Platinum Jewellery or Quality Watches, with the amount of the loan being dependant on the items provided as security.

Management Comment

Group CEO Chris Gillespie stated that:

“It is pleasing to be able to report a solid start to the year, with robust demand across the Group’s product offering.

Profit Progression Continues

Brokers Shore Capital Markets are very positive about the group’s shares, with their analyst Gary Greenwood estimating that the current year to end December will see adjusted pre-tax profits rising from £26.4m to £33.5m, lifting earnings to 57.2p (48.7p) and its dividends to 18.5p (17.0p) per share.

For next year he sees £36.7m profits, worth 62.7p in earnings and triple covering a 20.0p per share of dividend.

My View

The group’s shares, which were up to 502p last October, are currently trading at around 419p, up 20p in reaction to the record lending news.

At that level they trade on 7.5 times price-to-earnings and offering a yield of 4.3% – making the shares a very attractive investment at the current levels, with a run back up to new Highs being an early expectation.

Boohoo Group – after the recently announced mega-loss we ask is there more crying to come? 

What do the French-based ELEVA Capital, Ennismore Fund Management, GSA Capital Partners, GLG Partners and the Hong Kong investment managers Qube Research & Technologies have in common? 

The answer is simple – they are all ‘short’ of the shares in the Kumani’s online clothing empire. 

In total their positions represent a bearish 5.05% chunk of the £455m group’s equity. 

Is It An Apt Definition? 

The meaning of ‘boohoo’ is to weep loudly and with sobs. 

The impeccable Lord Jeffrey, editor of The Edinburgh Review, confessed to having cried, blubbered, boohooed, snuffled, and sighed – over the death of Little Nell Trent in The Old Curiosity Shop, which was written by Charles Dickens and published in 1841. 

Nowadays the phrase is often used as an interjection, especially in mocking imitation of another’s tears, complaints, unhappiness. 

Could that describe the market onlookers as they observe the share prise demise of the boohoo group since its peak at over 412p four years ago – having collapsed over 87% to the current 36p.  

But Who Is It Good For? 

The answer could well be that the recent mega-loss news is of benefit for Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group (LON:FRAS). 

That is because he has been taking advantage of the lower share price to carry on ‘mopping up’ more shares in the fashion group, recently buying around 13m to add to his position. 

His group is now the biggest holder of boohoo equity – with some 293,028,671 shares, representing 23.10% of the company’s stock. 

Recent Results 

The results announced last Wednesday were as expected, reflecting ongoing challenging conditions, with the year to end February 2024 showing sales down 17% at £1.46 bn, with the adjusted pre-tax loss collapsing from a previous £1.6m negative to a massive £31.0m loss. 

In the last trading year, the assorted brands within the group have seen an 11% fall in active customers to 16m, with a 13% drop in orders to 48.5m, and a 3% easing in the average order value to £51.68. 

On a geographical basis, the group’s revenues were 63% derived from the UK, 20.5% from the USA, 11.3% from the Rest of Europe and the Rest of the World generating the balance. 

With the hope for improving market conditions, the group is expressing confidence in its medium-term outlook. 

Group CEO John Lyttle stated that: 

“The group is now well positioned to return to growth, and we are focused on ensuring that growth is both sustainable and profitable.” 

Broker’s Views 

Analyst Rachel Birkett at Zeus Capital considers that the group is now on track for some £125m of annualised cost savings in the current year, she is anticipating a return to growth delivering some operational leverage, enabling a doubling of EBITDA margins to range 6% to 8% over the medium term. 

For the current year Birkett estimates £1.48bn sales, a more than halved adjusted pre-tax loss of £15.3m. 

For the 2026 year she goes for £1.55bn revenues, and a £2.4m loss. 

Her DCF valuation of the group’s shares is equivalent to 57.2p per share. 

Analyst Wayne Brown at Liberum Capital has retained his Hold recommendation, with a target price of 32p, compared to the current 37p. 

He notes that the group is using 2024 as a ‘fix-up’ year but it won’t get interesting until the second half. 

“It has shifted its strategy to core brands that have created ‘noise in revenues’ and despite the tough trading there are ‘green shoots appearing’, with improvement in earnings margins reflecting ‘work done on admin and distribution costs’.” 

“The shares look attractive trading at only 1.3 times price to book, and while we believe the group could soon turn the corner back into revenue growth, the timing of this remains uncertain so we remain “hold” but the second half of this year looks much more interesting.” 

Across some 17 analysts that follow the group, the average Target Price is 35p, with 75p being highest estimate price and just 19p as the lowest aim. 

AIM movers: Clontarf Energy Bolivian progress and Braveheart write downs

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The Bolivian Authorities have confirmed that Clontarf Energy (LON: CLON) is one of 21 companies that has moved through to phase 3 of the call for bids for seven priority salt pans. The share price jumped 41.8% to 0.0475p

Data analysis provider 4GLOBAL (LON: 4GBL), which focuses on the sports market, says EBITDA will be higher than expected even though revenues were slightly lower than forecast. This is because of the transfer of clients to higher margin subscription services. EBITDA was 30% ahead in 202324 at £1.6m, compared with a forecast of £1.3m for 2023-24 and £1.6m for 2024-25. The latter forecast will be updated when the full year figures are announced. The share price improved 11.5% to 53.5p.

Abingdon Health (LON: ABDX) says Boots has launched an own-brand saliva self-pregnancy test using its technology. This follows two other tests becoming available in Boots. Abingdon Health has other products moving from the development phase. The share price is 10.3% higher 10.75p.

Retail software provider itim Group (LON: ITIM) has secured a five-year contract renewal with Majestic Wine. This is a multi-million pounds contract. This follows the publication earlier in the week of 2023 figures showing revenues 15% higher at £16.1m. Annual recurring revenues were £13.2m. Revenues are expected to increase to £17m this year, but itim will still lose money before a potential move into profit in 2025. The share price recovered 7.14% to 37.5p.

MicroSalt (LON: SALT) has been issued a US patent for its novel low sodium salt. This relates to the better adherence to foods than traditional salt. The share price rose 4.69% to 100.5p.

FALLERS

Braveheart Investment Group (LON: BRH) has decided to write down the value of two investments from £4.71m to zero. The share price slumped 45.3% to 4.1p.

Oracle Power (LON: ORCP) says its green hydrogen joint venture has been awarded a no objection certificate by the Sindh authorities. This provides permission for the construction of a 1.3GW renewable energy power plant. Late yesterday evening, a £300,000 share issue at 0.018p. This will be spent on projects in Australia and the joint venture green hydrogen project. The share price fell 35% to 0.0195p.

Cancer treatment developer ValiRx (LON: VAL) had £175,000 in cash at the end of 2023 after an annual pre-tax loss of £2.3m. The accounts were prepared on a going concern basis because the company is dependent on future fundraisings. ValiRx is seeking a new chief executive with experience of running larger companies. The share price declined 29.5% to 2.15p.

LifeSafe Holdings (LON: LIFS) raised £1.7m at 10p/share after the market closed on Tuesday and it has launched a retail offer to raise up to £300,000 at the same price. This offer closes on 21 May. The share price dived 26.5% to 12.5p because of the large discount. The cash will provide working capital to finance the growth of the fire safety business. LifeSafe has been moving into the industrial market and expects to announce more news relating to this and UK approvals for its fluids.

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) has raised £616,000 at 0.22p/share. This cash will finance operating expenses ahead of the structural refinancing. Tranche one of a proposed investment by a Swiss investment company should be received soon, but there is no guarantee when this will happen. Other finance will be required if this cash is not forthcoming. Vast Resources is contracted to manage the Aprelevka gold mines in Tajikistan and an updated resource report has been issued. The share price slid 22.6% to 0.24p.

FTSE 100 ticks higher ahead of US inflation data

The FTSE 100 traded higher on Wednesday as investor confidence continued to flow through the UK’s leading stocks despite a potential hurdle in the form of UK inflation later in the session.

The FTSE 100 was 0.3% at the time of writing.

“The market’s optimism is starting to look rather heroic. Despite higher than anticipated factory gate prices, US stocks made progress overnight and the FTSE 100 has followed this cue to reach a new record high,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The next test of the prevailing positive sentiment comes tonight with US consumer prices data – overnight Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said he did not expect rates to increase again but this release is one of a number which could help determine just how soon cuts come.”

In addition to mild optimism around interest rates, corporate earnings helped lift the FTSE 100 on Wednesday.

Strong results from Experian sent the stock 7% higher as the group posted sales growth at the top end of the range.

“Credit giant Experian is ticking all the boxes,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“A strong final quarter capped off a good year, and investors should be happy with guidance that points to further top-line growth and improving margins. Experian is a leader in its field, with US operations taking centre stage and driving cash flow that can be reinvested into growth markets like Latin America.”

Burberry

Burberry was the biggest disappointment on Wednesday with a 4% drop after the luxury group released sluggish sales figures.

“The last twelve months have been particularly tough on Burberry. With inflationary pressures weighing heavily on consumer spending, the luxury goods market has inevitably taken a hit, and with-it Burberry seems to have fallen out of fashion,” said Mark Crouch, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“As consumers’ appetite for luxury goods has dried up, the knock-on effect for Burberry has been severe, issuing two profit warnings in six months sending the share price tumbling.

“Burberry’s full year earnings are, at best, disappointing. Operating profits fell by 34% and like-for-like sales fell 12% in the final quarter wiping out gains made earlier in the year.”

MicroSalt secures important patent, shares jump

Low-sodium salt technology company MicroSalt has announced it has been granted an important patent protecting the IP of its micron-sized salt.

This particular patent, entitled Low Sodium Salt Composition, is concerned with how MicroSalt’s low-sodium salt adheres to food particles in a different way than traditional table salt. 

Although MicroSalt’s core USP is the reduction of sodium in food without sacrificing taste, today’s announcement demonstrates a broad suite of possible benefits the technology can provide food manufacturers. 

“We believe the grant of patent 11,992,034 is an important milestone for the Company as it further strengthens our IP position in the global low sodium market,” said Rick Guiney, CEO of Microsalt.

MicroSalt has already won commercial contracts from one of the world’s largest snack food businesses and is undergoing testing with others. 

MicroSalt shares were 6% higher at 104p at the time of writing. Tekcapital listed MicroSalt at 43p in February in the first AIM IPO of 2024.

Raspberry Pi announces intention to list, major shareholder plans to offload shares

Raspberry Pi announced this morning it plans to list on the premium segment of the London Stock Exchange, a move that will be a major boost to London’s markets.

The company specialises in high-performance, low-cost single-board computers with IoT applications and uses in education and learning.

“A remarkable ecosystem of individuals and businesses has grown around Raspberry Pi, supporting both the enthusiast and industrial markets to innovate and succeed with our products,” said Eben Upton, CEO of Raspberry Pi.

“We’re now seeing the former feed into the latter, as the first generation who encountered Raspberry Pi as young people take their experience with our technology into their professional careers, and today the industrial and embedded market accounts for 72% of units sold.”

In the full year ended 31 December 2023, Raspberry Pi’s revenues were $265.8m, driving a gross profit of $66.0m and an operating profit of $37.5m.

Raspberry Pi is a fantastic business with abundant ESG credentials and strong financials. This is just the type of company London needs to get back on track.

While the IPO is welcoming news for London’s markets, investors may be put off by the company’s motivations. As well as raising fresh funds by issuing new shares as part of the IPO, the Raspberry Pi Foundation, the company’s biggest shareholder, will offload some of its stake during the IPO process.

Initial public offerings with major shareholders selling from the get-go aren’t as preferable to those where major shareholders hold onto their stakes or are locked in for a period.

Ultimately, new investors in a company want to know existing shareholders see an IPO as the next step in their growth journey, not an opportunity to cash in.

CleanTech Lithium shares just became much more attractive

The attraction of CleanTech Lithium shares increased this week after the Chile-focused miner announced positive results from its lithium brine processing pilot. 

We included CleanTech Lithium in our article ‘Three undervalued AIM-listed junior miners to watch this summer’, published at the beginning of this week.

The article notes the importance of CleanTech Lithium’s Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) process and the favourable economics it can provide for the company’s extraction and processing operations. 

Subsequent to the publication of our article, the company released an encouraging update on its DLE pilot project, which was well received by the market.

On Tuesday, CleanTech announced that its DLE pilot plant had produced high-quality eluate with low impurities. This demonstrates that the company’s technology has the potential to produce desirable lithium offtake and deliver the hoped-for economics for investors. 

“The analysis of the eluate shows the DLE performance has exceeded our expectations, concentrating the lithium grade of the feed brine by 3.6X while achieving high recovery rates and low impurities,” said Steve Kesler, Executive Chairman, of CleanTech Lithium.

“The first full batch of 24m3 of concentrated eluate is scheduled to be shipped in the coming weeks. The pilot plant has met its design capacity capable of producing 1 tonne of LCE per month, positioning CleanTech Lithium to produce significant quantities of lithium product samples for potential strategic partners.

“We are edging closer to be one of the first DLE based companies in Chile to produce battery-grade lithium carbonate.” 

CleanTech has sent the pilot plant’s eluate to North America for additional testing and processing into high-grade lithium carbonate.

The success of the pilot plant significantly derisks CleanTech Lithium’s business model and will go a long way to counter any arguments against the DLE process being experimental and unproven.

There is still a way to go to validate the process works at scale, but this week’s news is a vitally important milestone.