FTSE 100 rallies into Easter break, JD Sports jumps

The FTSE 100 was on the front foot going into the Easter weekend as a boost to the commodities sector helped the index ever closer to record highs above 8,000.

Confirmation that the UK entered a recession in Q4 2023 did little to dampen traders’ enthusiasm for UK stocks as the FTSE 100 traded higher by 0.26% at 7,952. The index had hit 7,973 earlier in the session.

Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, explained that while the economy contracted, key economic indicators were robust: “the ONS snapshot also shows that savings remained relatively high and real household disposable incomes increased in the last quarter of the year, adding to hopes that consumers resilience has been rising and that the recession will have been a super-short one.”

London’s leading index is often little moved by UK-centric economic developments and is more easily led by China, as was the case on Thursday. A strong session in China overnight helped drive early gains in London, particularly in those stocks with exposure to the world’s second-largest economy.

“The FTSE 100 was higher ahead of the Easter weekend, lifted by strength in the resources sector as Chinese markets rallied,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

The mining sector was the main driving force behind the gains, but JD Sports was the standout riser, jumping 10% after signalling that the profits warning issued earlier this year has been contained. 

JD Sports has been a powerhouse in the sportswear retailing space, but the stock wobbled earlier this year when it revised down profit targets. However, today’s full year results announcement will go along way to dispelling fears about its growth trajectory. 

“Amid cracks in the athleisure and footwear sector, JD Sports has managed to outperform the market and is upbeat about prospects for the year ahead. That’s quite a different message from other key players in the sector such as Lululemon and Nike which both disappointed with their latest updates as consumers rein in spending and competition heats up,” Russ Mould said.

“JD Sports isn’t completely immune. The marketplace is awash with discounting and a lack of new products to excite shoppers. Interest rates remain high and consumer spending habits are unlikely to show a drastic improvement until we’ve seen several rate cuts by central banks. However, JD continues to open new stores which might help it grow sales at a faster rate than the average peer.”

Major Tekcapital shareholder increases stake

A major Tekcapital shareholder has increased his stake in the business, the AIM-listed technology investment company announced on Thursday.

James Robert Kight has increased his stake to 8.09% from 7.03%, a holding that is worth circa £1.4m at current prices.

Mr Kight’s stakebuilding follows the move by another major shareholder, Elie Dangoor, to increase his stake to 6.24% in February.

The major shareholders have upped their holdings in Tekcapital after its portfolio company MicroSalt listed in February and quickly got off to a strong start as a listed company. After listing at 43p, MicroSalt shares nearly tripled before easing back. 

Analysts at SP Angel and Kemeny Capital have recently given Tekcapital price targets of 18p and 29.9p, respectively, based on the underlying value of its portfolio companies. SP Angel said they saw a 74p price target for Tekcapital on the delivery of its growth strategy.

Based on today’s share price, the targets would imply at least a 100% upside in Tekcapital’s shares.

AIM movers: Molecular Energies leaving AIM and cancels Green House Capital float plus ex-dividends

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SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE) has received the first £5m milestone payment for the 23oMW Uskmouth battery project. A further three tranches totalling £4.8m are payable over 12 months. Planning permission is granted for a further 120MW battery storage project on the site with potential for more. The share price recovered 26.6% to 1p.

Mosman Oil & Gas (LON: MSMN) has extended the completion date to the end of April for the farm out agreement with Greenvale Energy for the EP145 licence in Australia. This is dependent on ministerial approval. The share price increased 10.3% to 0.016p.

Security systems supplier Westminster Group (LON: WSG) reduced its interim loss due to a sharp fall in overheads. Revenues fell from £3.5m to £2.9m. The ratification process for the five airports project in the DRC is underway. The order book is worth £1.1m, while annual recurring revenues are £3.7m. The share price improved 10.3% to 1.6p.

FALLERS

Oil and gas producer Molecular Energies (LON: MEN) is cancelling its AIM quotation because it does not believe it is worth the cost. The company should save £500,000/year. Chairman Peter Levine, who owns 29.2%, suggests that he may offer to buy shares of some other investors in the future, but there are no immediate plans to offer an exit prior to the cancellation. Green House Capital will no longer be spun off on AIM. This did not hold up the share price which slid 80.2% to 4.75p.

Infection protection technology developer Byotrol (LON: BYOT) has been quoted for nearly 19 years and it has decided to leave AIM. Revenues from continuing products should improve from £3.7m to £3.9m this year. No further IP revenues are expected this year. Some IP was sold to Tristel (LON: TSTL) and along with an early termination of another licence generated cash of £800,000, but minimum guaranteed royalties will be written down by £550,000 in the balance sheet. Even before that, there will be a higher loss in 2023-24. The business needs to be restructured and reduce costs and believes there will be more flexibility as a private company. Asset Match will provide a matched bargain facility. The share price dived by three-fifths to 0.15p.

Alba Mineral Resources (LON: ALBA) has raised £380,000 at 0.065p/share. Cash will be spent on the Llechfraith target at the Clogau-St David’s gold mine in Wales, where gold grades are up to 4 ounces/tonne. There will also be funding for due diligence on potential acquisition, as well as for partnership and offtake discussions for Clogau. The share price slumped 25.3% to 0.0725p.

IT distributor Northamber (LON: NAR) reported an increased interim loss as revenues fell from £33.6m to £29.2m. A reduction in overheads meant that the loss was limited to £413,000, down from £250,000. NAV is still £23.5m with cash of £2.53m. Management wants to scale up the business through the acquisition of specialist IT distributors. The share price fell 22.8% to 35.5p.

Ex-dividends

Duke Capital (LON: DUKE) is paying a dividend of 0.7p/share and the share price rose 1p to 33.5p.

IDOX (LON: IDOX) is paying a final dividend of 0.6p/share and the share price edged up 0.2p to 61.8p.

Personal Group Holdings (LON: PGH) is paying a final dividend of 5.85p/share and the share price declined 4.5p to 164p.

Primorus Investments (LON: PRIM) is paying a dividend of 1.5p/share and the share price fell 1.75p to 3.75p.

Quartix Holdings (LON: QTX) is paying a final dividend of 1.5p/share and the share price is unchanged at 167.5p.

Shanta Gold Ltd (LON: SHG) is paying a dividend of 0.15p/share and the share price dipped 0.2p to 14.325p.

Wynnstay Group (LON: WYN) is paying a final dividend of 11.75p/share and the share price fell 10p to 357.5p.

Building momentum in a transformational year with Good Energy’s Nigel Pocklington

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to be joined by Nigel Pocklington, CEO of Good Energy, to explore the company’s progress over the past year.

We start by looking at operational progress. The company has moved away from being an energy generator to an end-to-end energy services company. Nigel outlines how this was achieved and what it means for both customers and shareholders.

Good Energy has invested in market-leading EV charging app Zap Map – we touch on its progress to date and what the plans are for the future.

After releasing 2023 full-year results this week, Nigel outlines the momentum building across Good Energy as we breakdown the numbers.

Nigel finishes by detailing the medium and long-term strategy for the business.

AO World sees profit at top end of guided range as momentum builds

AO World joined a number of UK retail companies releasing reasonably positive trading updates ahead of the Easter weekend.

The group said revenues for FY2024 would be £1.04bn – roughly 10% lower than 2023 but in line with the group’s guidance provided in late 2023.

AO World said it saw adjusted profit before tax at the top end of the previously guided £28-£33m range.

“I’m pleased with the clear progress that we’re making after pivoting our focus to profit and cash generation during the 2023 financial year. As we expected at our half year results, we returned to revenue growth in our core business during Q4 and, as a result, we’re entering the new financial year with good momentum,” said John Roberts, CEO and Founder of AO World.

“With net funds on our balance sheet and a clear plan, we remain confident in our ability to deliver on our ambition for 10-20% revenue growth in the year ahead and medium-term profit guidance of 5% adjusted PBT margin.”

JD Sports sees strength in North America and Europe as new stores boost sales

JD Sports has released an upbeat FY2024 trading update confirming strong growth in North America, Europe, and Asia helped by new store openings.

The company said FY24 Profit before Tax and Adjusted Items would fall within the previously guided range of £915-935m. Total FY24 sales grew 3.6% to £10.5bn and JD maintained robust gross margins at 47.3%.

JD Sports opened a total of 215 stores globally in the period boosting organic growth across all geographical segments.

The company saw North American organic sales grow 9.3% over the full year while like-for-like sales increased 2.1% in Q4.

Q4 wasn’t great for the UK and Ireland with like-for-like sales down 3.2%. Organic sales grew 1.5% in the full year.

Trading in southern Europe was strong, helping offset weakness in northern Europe as organic sales surged 15.3% higher over the full-year period.

“In our FY24 financial year, we outperformed the sportswear market, reflecting the strength of our business. We achieved like-for-like sales growth of over 4%, organic growth of over 8% and our athleisure fascias achieved organic growth of over 10%,” said Régis Schultz, CEO of JD Sports Fashion.

“We made good strategic progress, opening 215 new JD stores, and focusing our effort on developing JD and enhancing EPS through taking full control of ISRG and MIG. We expect profit before tax for the year to be in line with the guided range given in January.”

JD Sports has previously missed a self-set £1bn profit before tax target and investors will be disappointment to see group guide for £900-980m profit before tax in 2025.

That said, any form of sales growth in the year ahead given the downbeat economic projections in key markets will be welcomed by investors after years of remarkable growth.

Recurring revenues growth accelerates at Windward

Maritime AI technology services provider Windward (LON: WNWD) reduced its loss last year and could move into profit before the end of 2024. The annual contract value already underpins most of the revenues forecast for this year.

Windward started 2023 with an annual contract value of $25.5m. The full year revenues were $28.3m, up from $21.6m. All R&D is written off as it occurs, and the cash outflow from operating activities was reduced from $14.6m to $3.29m. That left $17.3m in the bank.

The cash outflow should be lower this year and the year-end cash position should be more than $1...

FTSE 100 drifts lower ahead of Easter break

The FTSE 100 drifted lower on Wednesday with no fresh catalysts warranting major positioning as traders eyed the Easter weekend.

The FTSE 100 was down just 7 points at the time of writing after recovering from the worst levels of the session.

London’s leading perked up as the US session got underway and investors stepped in to pick up stocks weakened by a soft overnight session.

However, while the index painted a picture of tepid trade, there were a number of significant movers including Diploma, DS Smtih and Flutter.

Diploma was the top gainer, jumping 10%, after announcing the acquisition of Peerless Aerospace Fastener a of specialty fasteners into the US and European aerospace markets. The deal is worth £236m and compliments Diploma’s existing aerospace strategy at an attractive valuation.

Flutter Entertainment lost another 5% after mixed results were released yesterday.

There was an interesting twist in the potential Mondi/DS Smith tie-up on Wednesday with new interest coming in from overseas, igniting a potential bidding war in the packaging company.

DS Smith is the latest UK company attracting interest from other seas firms, this time from a competitor, International Paper. International Paper has offered 415p for the company—far higher than the proposed 373p in the Mondi deal.

“Countless stocks have traded on relatively low valuations for years as the UK market has been unloved by foreign investors. There have been plenty of chances for companies to take advantage of this valuation opportunity by launching takeover bids, but increasingly we’re seeing interested parties only throw their hat in the ring when someone else makes the first move,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“DS Smith is the latest in a growing line of companies to find itself at the centre of a bidding war. Having already been courted by Mondi, it has now received an expression of interest from International Paper. The latter proposal is structured as an all-share offer which means UK investors will have to be comfortable owning US-listed stock to support the deal.”

Sainsbury’s shares were 3% higher after UBS upgraded the stock to a buy.

AIM movers: Conversion reduces Trafalgar Property debt and Infrastructure India to be wound up

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Trafalgar Property Group (LON: TRAF) says founder Christopher Johnson has converted his £905,000 of loan notes into 226.25 million shares at 0.4p each and sold them at 0.044p each. The chief executive has acquired £50,000 worth of shares and the finance director £10,000 worth. A further 26 million shares have been issued to cover certain liabilities. The share price soared 38.9% to 0.0625p.

Kazera Global (LON: KZG) reported an increased interim loss due to a swing from a foreign exchange gain to a loss. The 60%-owned Whale Head heavy mineral sands project in South Africa is waiting for a decision on a National Nuclear Regulator permit which should happen in April. The share price increased 14.3% to 0.4p.

Executive search consultancy Norman Broadbent (LON: NBB) returned to profit and moved into a net cash position in 2023. A strong brand name and a broad spread of sectors have helped Norman Broadbent prosper in a market that has been tough. Fee income from established fee earners is one-third higher and more fee earners have been taken on. Net fee income was 44% ahead at £10.5m and pre-tax profit was £309,000. Net cash is £445,000. Management believes that it can achieve net fee income of £15m by 2025. The share price jumped 12.9% to 8.75p, which is the highest it has been since June 2021.

Allergy Therapeutics (LON: AGY) reported a much higher interim loss of £14.9m as revenues fell 16% to £33.6m. Lenders are allowing the company to drawdown a further £15m from its facility provided by major shareholders and that should provide enough cash to get to the third quarter of 2024. The share price improved 11.1% to 3p.

FALLERS

Infrastructure India (LON: IIP) shares returned from suspension when the interims to September 2023 were published and the share price dived by four-fifths to 0.1p. The board is proposing a winding-up of the company as it disposes of its assets and the share quotation will be cancelled if the proposals are passed at the AGM. Net liabilities are £217.4m.

Drug discovery company C4X Discovery (LON: C4XD) also plans to cancel its AIM quotation and re-register as a private limited company if it gains shareholder approval at a general meeting on 15 April. Shareholders owning 57% of the shares are in favour. Management believes that it will be easier to raise funds as a private company and it will save money. C4X Discovery has raised £63m on AIM. In August 2022, £5.7m was raised at 25p/share. There is still £20.8m in the bank. In the six months to January 2024, revenues were £24.6m, due to milestone payments, compared with £1.7m in the first half of the previous year. The company is generally loss-making without substantial milestone payments. The share price slumped 24% to 10.035p.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) investee company European Metals Holdings (LON: EMH) says that the Cinovec project in the Czech Republic is in the process of completing a definitive feasibility study, but it will not be completed in the first quarter. There is potential to improve the lithium processing. The Cadence Minerals share price dipped 8.7%, while the European Metals Holdings share price is 3.77% lower at 12.75p.

There has been profit-taking in Empire Metals (LON: EEE) after it published its Pitfield development plan for the next 12 months. This involves further drilling at the Pitfield project in Western Australia, plus initial work on the design and construction of a demonstration plant. Potential milestones include a maiden JORC-compliant mineral resource estimate. The share price fell 6.52% to 6.45p, which is still 291% higher than at the end of 2022.

Investing in high-yielding Asian equities with abrdn Asian Income Fund

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to be joined by Yoojeong Oh, Investment Manager of abrdn Asian Income Fund, to explore the London-listed Investment Trust yielding 5.8%.

Yoojeong starts by explaining the quality of the trust’s income attributes, detailing a consistent dividend cover and 40% dividend cover held in revenue reserves.

Find out more about the abrdn Asian Income Fund here.

We take a deep dive into the investment strategy and the composition of the portfolio. The managers employ a ‘quality-first’ strategy and pay particular attention to the investee company’s management.

Yoojeong explains the portfolio’s key investment themes and how this impacts geographical allocations.

We discuss recent additions to the portfolio and those positions that were sold to make space.

Although the trust is managed on a bottom-down basis, we look at the macro influences on the fund.