High palm oil price boosts MP Evans profit

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Oil palm plantations operator MP Evans (LON: MPE) continues its strong first half performance into the second half as a higher crude palm oil price and improved gross margins meant that profit jumped in 2024.

The AIM-quoted company reported revenues increasing from $307.4m to $352.8m, while pre-tax profit jumped from $73.5m to $111.7m. The dividend was raised from 45p/share to 52.5p/share.

There was a 13% increase is crude palm oil sales prices to $823/tonne, and they are currently $870/tonne.

The company’s own production rose, but crop processed was slightly lower at 1.61 million tonnes because less third-party crop was bought in and processed at the six mills. That change in mix helped gross margin to rise. The relatively immature plants provide scope for further increases in MP Evans’ own production.

Cavendish does not expect MP Evans to maintain its profit in 2025, but this is based on a crude palm oil price of $750/tonne, which is the assumed price for 2026 and 2027 as well.

In Indonesia, there is a B40 biodiesel mandate that makes a 40% mix with palm oil-based fuel mandatory. That could increase demand by two million tonnes. However, the crop levels should improve this year because of better weather conditions. Even so, it appears that the palm oil price could remain strong, and the realised prices might beat the forecast.

The share price rose 6% to 1015p. Cavendish has a sum of the parts share price valuation of 1545p.

A 2025 pre-tax profit of $93.3m is forecast, rising to $97.3m in 2027. This will allow steady increases in dividends to continue, while cash is likely to rise. Net cash could increase from $46.3m to $77.7m the end of 2025. That provides firepower to add more land.

Murray International Trust: Elevator Pitch

Martin Connaghan, Co-Manager of Murray International outlines the trust’s strategy and objectives and highlights some key themes within the portfolio.

FTSE 100 jumps after storming US rally

The FTSE 100 jumped on the tailcoats of US equities on Tuesday after a tech rebound drove a sharp increase in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones overnight.

London’s leading index was 0.7% higher at the time of writing. The rally was broad with around 80% of the FTSE 100’s constituents trading in positive territory.

“There is nothing better than a solid day on Wall Street to lift investor sentiment across the pond,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“A 2.3% gain in the Nasdaq and 1.8% advance in the S&P 500 yesterday created the right kind of backdrop to put European markets on the front foot. All the major indices in Europe moved higher on Tuesday.”

US technology shares were the driving force behind yesterday’s rally, as beaten-down names such as Tesla, Palantir, and AMD caught the attention of bargain hunters.

London’s lack of mega-cap technology shares meant that if the FTSE 100 was to emulate Wall Street’s strength, it would have to rely on similarly cyclical sectors.

Housebuilders, property, and energy stocks took on the mantle.

Shell added a significant number of points to the index after it announced a strategy ‘to become simpler, more resilient and more competitive’.

The strategy was received well by investors and shares rose 2% on Tuesday.

“In a short statement ahead of its capital markets day, oil & gas giant Shell revealed that it’s upping its shareholder distribution of operating cash flows from the 30-40% range through the cycle up to 40-50%,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Dividend growth of 4% per year is being targeted but it’s share buybacks that will be the focus of increased payouts. And it’s also trying to maximise the cash generation that drives shareholder distributions.”

Housebuilders and property shares played a large part in the FTSE 100’s rally, with investors picking up shares such as Persimmon, Segro, and Taylor Wimpey near multi-year lows.

“Property-related shares were also in demand, including Segro at the top of the FTSE risers’ list and many housebuilders looking strong. Segro announced a data centre joint venture, giving investors a different spin on the AI theme,” Russ Mould explained.

Kingfisher was the FTSE 100’s top faller after announcing falling sales for the year to January 2025. Shares were 14% lower at the time of writing.

Broadcom, Taylor Wimpey, and high-conviction global income with Murray International Trust

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome Martin Connaghan, Co-Portfolio Manager of the Murray International Trust, for a deep dive into the trust and its approach to building a high-conviction global income portfolio.

Find out more about the Murray International Trust here.

We start by exploring the trust’s geographical weighting and why the Murray International Trust is underweight the United States.

Martin provides insight into the trust’s stock selection process and how they blend bottom-up research with positioning for macro influences such as tariffs and AI.

We discuss individual portfolio companies, including Broadcom and Taiwan Semiconductor and how the trust has been managing its positions in some of the portfolio’s largest holdings.

Martin finishes off by outlining what excites him about the year ahead and what keeps him up at night.

Fevertree shares jump as improved margins and increased US sales drive profit growth

Premium mixer company Fevertree Drinks plc has reported a significant improvement in profitability in 2024 as revenue growth in the US and improved margins helped boost the bottom line.

Once a darling of UK small-cap investors, Fevertree suffered a period of slow and falling sales, which saw shares fall from grace in 2021, never to recover.

Today’s 7% jump in shares would suggest investors are mildly optimistic things could be about the improve for the tonic water specialist.

The London-listed firm saw its Fever-Tree brand revenue growth accelerate to 7% in the second half of the year, delivering 4% growth for the full year on a constant currency basis. 

This was driven primarily by the company’s performance in the United States, where revenue grew by 12%.

Fevertree reported a substantial 540 basis point improvement in gross margin, which contributed to a 66% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to £50.7 million, in line with market expectations. The company’s EBITDA margin rose by 530 basis points to 13.7%.

This is all welcome news for investors.

The company’s strong financial performance has enabled it to recommend a final dividend of 11.12 pence per share, representing a 2% increase year over year. 

In addition, investors will be delighted to see Fevertree has extended its share buyback programme by an additional £29 million, bringing the total to be returned to shareholders over FY25 to £100 million.

US growth 

Cracking America isn’t easy but, despite problems in the UK, Fevertree has successful established a strong presence and the region is now the group’s single largest geography in terms of revenue.

However, in a strategic shift in their approach to the US, Fevertree announced a significant post-year-end development in the long-term strategic partnership with drinks giant Molson Coors on 30 January 2025 who will have exclusive sales, distribution, and production rights for the Fever-Tree brand in the United States.

The partnership aims to leverage Molson Coors’ scale and expertise to accelerate Fever-tree’s growth in the US market, capitalising on opportunities across both alcoholic and non-alcoholic categories.

“In return for handing over a stake in its business, Fevertree’s getting access to Coors’ broad production, distribution and marketing resources,” explained Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“It’s hoped that this will help drive the next leg of growth in the US, which has already become the tonic-maker’s largest market.”

Fevertree recognised £5.0 million in exceptional items relating to the transition to this partnership during the reporting period.

Fevertree’s Outlook

Following the announcement of the strategic partnership with Molson Coors, Fevertree expects to deliver strong Group revenue and EBITDA growth over the medium term. However, the company has cautioned that FY25 will be a transition year for the US business.

Fevertree reaffirmed guidance, stating they are comfortable with consensus expectations of low single-digit Group revenue growth and approximately 12% Group Adjusted EBITDA margin for the coming year.

Investors seemed content with the update, and shares traded at the highest level since October 2024 in early trading.

FTSE 100 gives up gains after Trump signals tariff ‘flexibility’

The FTSE 100 gave up gains on Monday after hopes that President Trump would take a more targeted approach to tariffs lifted sentiment in early trade. However, UK-centric concerns mounted as the session progressed, dragging the index into the red.

Donald Trump’s suggestion that there could be some ‘flexibility’ in reciprocal tariffs marks a step down in Trump’s approach, although tensions around trade still remain.

Nonetheless, signs that Trump may still be using tariffs as a negotiating tactic—albeit taking them further than he did in his first term—buoyed equity bulls on Monday.

The FTSE 100 started the session strongly, but the rally faded as the session progressed. London’s leading index was 0.1% higher at the time of writing, while S&P 500 futures jumped over 1%.

Trump’s change in approach to tariffs would still leave metals in his sights, and copper prices reacted accordingly on Monday, helping provide support for London mining stocks.

“Mining stocks were the key driver for the FTSE 100 as Antofagasta, Anglo American and Glencore topped the leader board thanks to stronger copper prices,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“The base metal has been on a strong run of late as markets worry about the impact of tariffs, with copper traders racing to snap up supplies in case Trump imposes new levies akin to what’s already happened with aluminium and steel.”

Strength in China-centric stocks was offset by those companies with exposure to the UK as investors prepared for this week’s Spring Statement. Property companies were notably weaker, although the losses were relatively benign.

JD Sports was the top faller after analysts at Deutsche Bank slashed their price target to 85p. JD was 4% lower at 72p at the time of writing.

Polar Capital Technology Trust was among the risers as investors picked the trust’s stock up after a sharp sell-off in line with a pullback in US tech shares. The trust’s top ten holdings include Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Broadcom.

AIM movers: Positive Sea Lion news for Rockhopper Exploration and Wishbone Gold slumps after return from suspension

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Rockhopper Exploration (LON: RKH) says Navitas, its partner in the Sea Lion joint venture in the Falkland Islands, has released a resource report. Phases one and two of the development remain the same with the development of 319mmbbl gross in the northern area of the field. Phase three will take the total production peak to 150mmbbl/day. The initial phase of 170mmbbl should reach final investment decision by the middle of 2025. It will take $1.4bn to reach first oil. The progress has pushed up the share price rose 12.3% to 42.55p.

Third quarter revenues at machine learning technology company Insig AI (LON: INSG) has grown third quarter by 64% to £131,000 compared to the second quarter. Fourth quarter revenues are expected to be £224,000. There is increasing engagement with customers and additional personnel are being recruited. To help fund this, £350,000 has been raised at 16p/share, including subscriptions by chief executive Richard Bernstein and chairman John Wilson. There is also an equity funding facility of £350,000 provided by Richard Bernstein, which gives him the right to subscribe for shares at 20p each. The share price is 9.23% higher at 17.75p.

Totally (LON: TLY) interim chief executive Prasad Godbole has bought 640,833 shares at 3.9p each and medical director John McMullan has acquired 4.17 million shares in the healthcare company at a range of prices between 3.0625p and 3.749p. The share price improved 6.67% to 4p.

Infrastructure-as-a-service provider eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) has won two LED lighting contracts worth £572,000 as well as being appointed to the LASER Public Sector Framework for LED lighting. This framework will help to access work in the public sector, including school, the NHS and local authorities. The share price is 6.1% ahead at 4.35p.

Shares in Big Technologies (LON: BIG) have recovered following last week’s slump following the suspension of boss Sara Murray and current litigation. Neudi Kapital has a 10.5% stake. The share price increased 6.39% to 68.3p.

FALLERS

Shares in Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) have returned from suspension 42.2% down at 0.105p after the proposed reverse takeover of Evrensel Global Natural Resources was terminated. Anthony Moore has left the board, and David Lenigas has joined as a consultant. A placing has raised £700,000 at 0.1p/share. The company requires £500,000 to pay for costs and other liabilities. One of the operating subsidiaries is being restructured and £190,000 of the cash is required to pay the reduced liabilities. The focus will be on gold prospects in Australia, particularly those near to the Telfer project owned by Greatland Gold (LON: GGP).

Cannabis medicines developer Celadon Pharmaceuticals (LON: CEL) chief executive and 39.5% shareholder intended to propose the removal of the chairman and four non-executive directors at a general meeting. This is because they oppose his wish to leave AIM. The four non-executives have resigned and there will be a general meeting to propose the AIM cancellation. If this resolution passes, the chairman will resign, and JP Jenkins is likely to provide a matched bargain facility. The share price slumped 28.6% to 10p.

Trading in Sovereign Metals (LON: SVML) shares has been halted ahead of a fundraising. The plan is to raise A$40m at A$0.85/share. This will be invested in the development of the Kasiya rutile graphite project. The share price declined 10.4% to 43p.

Diagnostics company Abingdon Health (LON: ABDX) improved interim revenues by 28% to £3.1m, including four months from CS Lifesciences, and second half is stronger than expected. Contract development income was weak in the first half due to deferral of decisions, but new business has been won. Full year revenues are expected to rise from £6.1m to £8.5m, but Zeus has raised its forecast loss from £1.5m to £2.7m. Profitability is not expected until 20262-27. The share price fell 13.8% to 6.25p.

Team Internet full audit delayed, but numbers in line

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Online marketing and domain name services provider Team Internet (LON: TIG) has released unaudited figures for 2024. The share price has been recovering since the warning about the underperformance of the search division. It dipped 0.05p to 67.55p today.

The new auditor has not completed its audit, but there should not be any changes in the numbers, which are in line with expectations. The audited figures will be available later this month.

In 2024, revenues fell from $837m to $803m with growth in comparison and domains divisions more than offset by the initial decline in the search division due to changes at Google. EBITDA fell from $96.4m to $91.9m. Search EBITDA declined from $74.3m to $56.4m.

An acceleration by Google of the move from Adsense for Domains (AFD), set for 19 March, is going to hit revenues and profit of the search division. Team Internet has to adjust to the switch to Related Search on Content (RSOC) and start to optimise the results.   

There was an exceptional charge of $36m, mainly down to Shinez, which was acquired last year. The book value of the Shinez acquisition has been written off. Team Internet believes it was misled by the sellers and litigation is planned. There is potential for at least some of the write down to be clawed back. It cost $41.8m, but there is around $4m in escrow.

Shinez creates and promotes content across social media and search engines. Most importantly, it does have important technology that will help with the transition to RSOC. So it does still have some value to the group.

Elsewhere, trading is going well. Comparison rebounded last year, and new platforms are being launched in additional countries, including France, Italy and Germany, so it should continue to grow. The domain name division continues to provide steady growth in revenues, although there was a large jump in profit last year. The profit improvement may be at a slower rate this year.

There was an interim dividend of 1p/share but no final dividend. The company says that it hopes to return to dividends soon, but the immediate focus is reducing borrowings. Share buybacks continue, though.

Net debt was $96.6m at the end of 2024 and that should fall to around $75m by the end of this year. There is no current plan to make acquisitions. Disposals are a possibility, and this could unlock value in the company.

The 2025 EBITDA guidance is $60m-$65m. Management believes that it can rebuild the revenues of the search business, but investors will remain cautious until there are signs of that happening. The underlying value of the non-search business should provide a floor for the share price.

Majestic Corporation revenue jumps as e-waste recycling expansion accelerates

Majestic Corporation has announced strong financial performance for the period ending 31 December 2024. The urban miner’s gross revenue soared by 66.7%, surpassing expectations and underscoring the company’s intent as a global leader in e-waste recycling.

The sustainable circular economy solutions provider, which specialises in recycling precious and non-ferrous metals, has delivered another year of revenue growth driven by increased volumes of recycled e-waste.

Majestic specialises in recycling e-waste such as mobile phones, solar panels and chipboards.

Investors will also be pleased to see Majestic successfully establish itself as a key player in the UK’s sustainable circular economy by expanding its client base and enhancing its operational capabilities.

A trading statement released on Monday reveals that revenue from continuing operations climbed to USD$49 million, compared to USD$29.4 million in the previous financial year, representing a substantial 66.7% increase.

This impressive growth reflects the expansion of the company’s e-waste recycling operations. The volume of materials containing recyclable precious and non-ferrous metals increased significantly, rising by 43.3% to reach 43,000 tonnes, up from 30,000 tonnes in the previous year.

Operationally, Majestic’s continued expansion has necessitated the search for larger facilities within the UK, a process which is currently underway. The company announced the conditional acquisition of Wales-based Telecycle last year, which is currently undergoing due diligence and awaits final approval.

Looking ahead to 2025, Majestic reports that its strong performance has continued into the new financial year, with growth observed across all recycled material volumes within its core business.

Despite metal prices and transportation costs remaining key variables affecting revenue and profitability, Majestic believes that its robust relationships with customers and smelters position it favourably for continued positive growth.

“We are very pleased with the growth of Majestic over the past year. The hard work or our team has driven significant growth in our topline performance which in turn we anticipate to positively impact our bottom line,” said Peter Lai, CEO and Founder of Majestic Corporation.

“The growth of the Company has enabled access to wider markets and a greater array of participants in the recycling and circular economy further strengthening Majestic’s position as a key player in the industry”

Why HSBC analysts rate BT shares a ‘buy’

HSBC analysts have rated BT shares a ‘buy’ as the telecoms stock continues to recover from a period of poor performance.
The BT share price is now over 60% higher than the lowest levels of 2024 after the group’s Q3 results in January revealed a glimmer of hope for investors.
However, HSBC analysts believe the stock has further to run.
Although BT reported falling revenues in the nine months to 31st December, HSBC analysts draw attention to a key metric behind their buy rating.
A reversal in this key metric would signify a turnaround in one of the leading drivers of BT shares declines over the ...