Why companies left AIM in October 2023

There were nine companies leaving AIM in October. Four were taken over, three decided to cancel their quotation and two went into administration. There were no new admissions during the month.

4 October

Fulcrum Utility Services Ltd

Sheffield-based Fulcrum Utility Services gained shareholder approval to leave AIM because it felt that it was unlikely to be able to raise additional funds. There is also a cost to being quoted, which was not warranted.  

The final share price was a new low of 0.15p. A matched bargains facility provided by JP Jenkins commenced on the day the compan...

Income: Royalty streams

When dividends are important to investors it can be an advantage to know that they will be paid quarterly. This provides a steady income and when it is based on recurring cash revenues there is a confidence that it will continue to be paid and that there will be potential for increases as the company grows.

This company currently yields 8.6% and the dividend is more than three times covered by forecast free cash flow. Continuing investment is building up income and plenty of available cash from its debt facility to further add to its interests.

Royalties investor Duke Royalty (LON: DUKE...

AIM movers: Potential power project for Zanaga Iron Ore and Bens Creek reports higher loss

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Shares in WH Ireland (LON: WHI) continue to recover after yesterday’s results and cautiously optimistic outlook. They jumped another two-fifths to 5.25p, which is the highest level since October. The underlying interim loss doubled to £1.8m, but annualised cost savings of £3.8m have been made. Underlying monthly profitability was achieved in November 2023 thanks to cost cutting and there was cash of £6.8m.

Zanaga Iron Ore (LON: ZIOC) has signed a memorandum of understanding with China Machinery Engineering for the potential construction of hydroelectricity project to power the Zanaga project in the Republic of Congo. The feasibility study update process is progressing well, and it should be concluded in the first quarter of 2024. The share price improved 23.3% to 10.775p.

Drilling results from the Tobias-14 well in Angola, where Corcel (LON: CRCL) has a 20% interest, appear to confirm that production can be reactivated through an early production system. The well will be tested and there is potential for near-term income. The share price rose 18% to 0.69p, which is the highest level for 18 months.

Finance director Anna Brown has acquired an initial 29,388 shares in automotive interior components supplier CT Automotive (LON: CTA) at 68p each. The share price moved up 4.55% to 69p.

FALLERS

Dial Square Investments has changed its name to EnergyPathways (LON: EPP). The former standard list shell moved to AIM on 20 December after it acquired the Marram gas project in the Irish North Sea. The share price is 12.5% lower at 3.5p, which means that it has lost most of its gains since joining AIM.

Coal miner Bens Creek (LON: BEN) has fallen 12% to 11p, just above the original placing price of 10p. The net sales price has declined over the past year, but higher production meant that interim revenues increased from $17.4m to $23.5m although the loss rose from $11.7m to $13.7m. Net debt, including deferred consideration, is more than $38m.

Autonomous drilling rig developer Tribe Technology (LON: TRYB) has not completed the latest drill rig due to technical issues and it will be delayed until the first quarter of 2024.It should be shipped to the customer by the summer. This means that revenues may be delayed until the next financial year. A field trial of the sample potting and handling system has been postponed. The 5 September placing price was 10p and the share price has declined 10.8% to 8.25p. There is £3.34m in cash left.

Oil and gas company Reabold Resources (LON: RBD) is holding the requisitioned general meeting on 10 January to appoint four directors and remove two others. Requisitioner Kamran Sattar and related parties have a 40% stake in Daybreak Oil & Gas, where Reabold Resources has a 42% holding. Fully listed Zenith Energy (LON: ZEN) boss Andrea Cattaneo is proposed as chief executive, and another proposed director is Zenith Energy chairman. Nominated adviser Strand Hanson is undertaking due diligence on the proposed directors. If they are appointed before this is complete, Strand Hanson says that it would have to resign. That would spark a share suspension and then one month to find a replacement or the quotation would be cancelled. The share price slipped 4.26% to 0.1125p.

Top 15 Stock Picks for 2024

Our 15 Stock Picks for 2024 selects shares from the entire universe of London-listed companies ranging from FTSE 100 stalwarts to exciting AIM-listed growth companies and diversified Investment Trusts.

Anglo American

Anglo American presents an attractive value proposition for 2024. The diversified miner’s PE Ratio is just 5x 12-month trailing earnings.

Although there are questions about the poor state of the Chinese economy and the demand for commodities in the coming year, Anglo American is currently priced for a scenario much worse than the one that is likely to transpire in the next 12 months.

It is a classic disconnect that will likely lead to a rerate.

The company has one of the highest beta ratings of FTSE 100 shares, so expect sharp swings.

Ashtead

Ashtead has been one of the FTSE 100’s best performers over the past decade. The plant hire company has enjoyed substantial infrastructure spending in North America and has compounded buoyant demand with a series of acquisitions.

The stock fell out of favour in 2023 after Ashtead said sales growth was slowing primarily due to slowing activity in the TV and film business. The Hollywood writers’ strike will likely prove temporary, as will the impact on Ashtead’s earnings. The group is cash-rich and has a plentiful war chest to pursue its acquisition growth strategy.

Ashtead made 16 bolt-on acquisitions in the last half-year and is primed for future growth.

NextEnergy Solar Fund

The NextEnergy Solar Fund Investment Trust is an excellent example of a closed-ended renewable energy asset offering both the opportunity of capital appreciation and a robust dividend 9% yield.

The trust invests in solar energy generation assets and has 100 operating solar assets as of the end of September. In the six months to 30th September, the trust’s assets generated 599GWh, helping avoid 252,500 tonnes of CO2e emissions.

Although much of the portfolio is concentrated in the UK, the trust has facilities across the globe, including a portfolio in India and extensive operations in Chile.

Renewable infrastructure valuations suffered during the interest rate hiking cycle, and the trust trades at a 16% discount to NAV. We expect this to narrow substantially during 2024.

Tekcapital

This technology investment company trades at a significant discount to NAV and is set for a promising 2024. Tekcapital is preparing to list portfolio company MicroSalt and, in the process, crystallise value for shareholders after establishing the low-sodium company and taking it from concept to winning contracts with one of the world’s largest snack food businesses.

Tekcapital said it sees multi-million dollar revenue for all its portfolio companies (MicroSalt, Belluscura, Innovative Eyewear, Guident) in the coming year.

Early-stage companies faced a challenging 2023 as discount rates rose, making growth opportunities less appealing. This looks set to reverse in the coming year and could make Tekcapital shares look excellent value.

Alumasc

Alumasc has received the London Stock Exchange’s Green Economy Mark for contributing to the global green economy.

Alumasc is an exciting, sustainable building systems company paying a 5.5% yield. As one would expect, the company had a tough 2023 as construction activity slowed globally. That said, demand for the group’s innovative products supported strong cash generation in the most recent trading period.

The company has three core divisions: water management, building products and roofing. Each division has several brands specialising in various building solutions.

As developers seek more sustainable materials and systems, the demand for Alumasc products is set to grow and support future earnings growth—an interesting prospect for 2024.

Vietnam Holding

A standout emerging markets investment trust. Backed by a world-class management team, the trust’s performance speaks for itself.

While we call Vietnam Holding an emerging markets trust, Vietnam is not quite yet classified as an emerging market.

No date is set for when Vietnam will transition from a frontier market to an emerging market. Still, when it does, the Vietnamese growth companies this trust invests in will likely experience major foreign investment inflows as they are added to benchmark indices. 

VNH has done very well for investors, and we see no reason why it wouldn’t continue to do so. 

National Grid

National Grid is laying the foundations for shareholder returns in decades to come. The electricity generator, transmitter, and distributor is undertaking a major investment programme to boost the UK’s network and bring more renewable power sources online. 

National Grid is a vital part of the UK’s energy transition. The company is rightly supported by a favourable regulatory framework and is using this environment to facilitate top and bottom-line growth in the years to come.

National Grid pays a respectable 5.2% dividend. One to tuck away and forget about.

Kodal Minerals

A higher risk prospect for early-stage mining investors. Kodal Minerals has secured financing for the construction of the Bougouni Lithium Project in Southern Mali. The company said it plans to begin production within the next 12 months – an achievement that will unlock value in the lithium miner.

We recently wrote that the company looked fully valued with a £100m market cap. Kodal Minerals’ market cap has since been reduced to £75m and now presents an attractive risk/reward trade-off. Should Kodal Minerals achieve lithium production in Southern Mail, their shares will be worth many times their current value.

Kodal also has a portfolio of gold assets offering diversification and the prospect of additional value creation.

ECR Minerals

We included ECR Minerals in our ‘12 FTSE AIM shares shaping up for a Santa’s rally’, and it hasn’t disappointed.

ECR Minerals has shaken up the management team and brought in new directors to extract value from the company’s portfolio of gold assets in Australia and Asia.

The new management is doing a great job, and we feel this momentum continues well into the new year. 

Persimmon

Persimmon will likely be back in the FTSE 100 by this time next year. The culmination of falling inflation, Bank of England rate cuts, and pent-up demand for UK property will boost Persimmons’ sales and encourage equity bulls.

Persimmon is a top-down selection focused on improvement in the UK economy and a more comprehensive rotation back into undervalued UK assets.

The housebuilder expects to have a £300m – £500m cash balance by the end of the financial year – an ample cash pile to invest in the UK property recovery.

Taylor Wimpey 

For the same reasons earning Persimmon a place in our selection, Taylor Wimpey secures a spot. 

Taylor Wimpey has experienced slowing sales in 2023; we see this bottoming out in 2024.

We feel 2024 is a year to be overweight UK housebuilders, and Barratt Developments could have easily been included in our selection ahead of Taylor Wimpey.

Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust

Described as adding some ‘rock and roll’ to your portfolio when we met with Baillie Gifford managers early in 2023, the Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust holds exciting growth prospects, including SpaceX, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, and AeroVironment.

The trust seeks out technologies with the potential to change the world and produce returns many multiples of the original investment. The strategy demands patience but has the potential for outsized returns for long term holders.

The rewards of pursuing such a strategy are demonstrated by the trust’s initial investment in Tesla when it was worth $2 billion. They eventually sold ten years later when the EV maker was worth $1 trillion for a 25x total return.

This is not an investment trust for those with a weak constitution. Managers are prepared to hold high conviction selections during deep drawdowns that can lead to swings in the trust’s NAV.

The trust trades at a 16% discount to NAV.

eEnergy Group

Notwithstanding surging revenues and profits from their clean energy services, eEnergy is attracting strategic investors and has received unsolicited interest for its energy management business, valuing the unit at more than the current market cap.

Should a deal be struck, eEnergy’s £29m market cap will quickly start to look very cheap.

eEnergy’s energy management division accounted for £13.6 million of their £33.2 million revenue in the 12 months to the end of June 2023.

A sale would leave them with the  Energy Services unit that generated £19.5m in the same period – and possibly £30m for the sale of the energy management unit.

The market is missing this.

Chelverton UK Dividend Trust

A UK small and mid-cap dividend powerhouse. The trust has an enviable 8.5% dividend yield generated from a high-quality portfolio of UK small and mid-caps, including Belvoir Lettings, Hargreaves Services, Ramsdens Holdings, and Duke Royalty.

Management takes an active approach to managing the discount/premium. The share price trades at a slight premium to NAV, a rarity for UK-focused investment trusts in the current market.

The trust is an excellent option for the UK small-cap recovery and will pay investors a handsome dividend to compensate for any wait for this recovery.

Ocado

Held by the Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust, Ocado is London’s best answer to the US’s ‘magnificent seven’ tech stocks. It trades more like Tesla than Sainsbury’s. The interest is not in the company’s premium online grocery retailing unit but in the global solution business being adopted by the world’s largest grocery companies.

In 2023, rumours swirled Amazon was eyeing the unit, yet a bid never materialised. For Amazon to be linked to the solutions unit demonstrates the potential scale and addressable market Ocado’s technology has on its side.

The end of the Fed’s hiking cycle will help support Ocado shares in 2024.

A volatile stock that may require patience.

Income: Operational gearing set to push dividends higher

Operational gearing is a good thing for a company that is growing, but any setback can have a substantial negative effect on profitability. If there is no fundamental problem with the business or its markets, then a cyclical downturn in profit for a company with a relatively fixed cost base will provide a good buying opportunity.

Patience may be required, but when there is a yield in excess of 7% with a promise that the dividend should be maintained this year then the shares are doubly attractive. The dividend cover is not as high as management would like, but it can be rebuilt when profit...

AIM movers: Horizonte Minerals secures interim finance and Tern investee company raises cash

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Horizonte Minerals (LON: HZM) has secured a $20m interim funding package provided by major shareholders Orion, Gencore and La Mancha. Interest payments are being deferred by existing senior lenders. Management is reviewing the long-term project funding requirements for the Arafuaia nickel project. Full funding is targeted for the middle of 2024. The share price recovered 30.6% to 10.25p.

WH Ireland (LON: WHI) is seeing signs of improvement with underlying monthly profitability achieved in November 2023 thanks to cost cutting and there was cash of £6.8m. Annualised cost savings of £3.8m have been made. The underlying interim loss doubled to £1.8m with revenues dropping from £14.3m to £10.7m.  The share price increased 7.14% to 3.75p.

Cellular agriculture investor Agronomics (LON: ANIC) increased its NAV from 14.85p/share to 16.94p/share in the 12 months to June 2023. Unrealised net gains were £29.7m. There was £28.1m in the bank at the end of June 2023. The share price improved 3.21% to 9.65p.

FALLERS

Tern (LON: TERN) investee company Device Authority has secured $7.3m in funding, with $4m to be raised by the end of 2023. The rest requires regulatory approvals. There will also be $2.1m loan notes converted into shares at the issue price. Tern had a 53.8% shareholding in the identity management technology developer and will convert $1m of loan notes. Device Authority will repay the $175,000 loan from Tern, which will have a diluted stake of 29.5% after the full fundraising. That is valued at £5.9m.  The Tern share price dipped 23.5% to 3.25p.

Mobile games and content supplier Mobile Streams (LON: MOS) improved its full year revenues from £1.02m to £1.82m, but the loss increased from £2.51m to £3.79m. Even so, management calculates that it has enough working capital for its current requirements. The share price fell 14.8% to 0.0575p to a new low.

Alien Metals (LON: UFO) chief executive Troy Whittaker is leaving at the end of 2023 and a new management team should be appointed in the near future. Troy Whittaker has been acting as chief executive for one year but was not appointed to the board until August. The company will continue to accelerate exploration at the Hancock iron ore project and the Pinderi Hills base metals project. The share price declined 14.3% to 0.18p. Quantum Blockchain Technologies (LON: QBT) says that chief executive Professor Francesco Gardin has amended the repurchase price and repurchase date of his agreement with MC Strategies. The five million shares can be repurchased by the end of March 2024 at 3.3578p/share, up from 3.3172p/share. Professor Gardin already owns 29.3 million shares. The share price is 6.35% to 1.475p.

Income: Double digit dividend growth

Potential dividend growth well into double-digit percentages is a major attraction of this financial services business. The forecast yield is already 4.1%. That dividend is covered nearly three times by forecast earnings and the dividend cover should be maintained when the dividend is increased.

The share price recently slipped because of forecast downgrades. Higher interest rates and wages are putting pressure on profit, but it is still growing strongly. The tax rate is higher than previously forecast.

The dividend forecasts were downgraded, but that was predominantly to increase the d...

The makings of multibagger shares with Stockopedia

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Income: Engineering rising dividends

Many engineering businesses have found trading tough, but exposure to the commercial vehicles sector has provided upside for some. One company has kept up its capital investment so that it continues to improve its efficiency, as well as paying increasing dividends. A new £17m production line should be in action by 2026 – most of the cash outflow will be in 2024-25.

The forecast yield is 4.9% and in recent years there have also been special dividends when the cash pile has become higher than required by the business. The ordinary dividend is covered 1.9 times by forecast earnings. There cou...

Income: Underrated distribution potential

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This fully listed distribution business has limited growth potential, but it is highly cash generative. The company could have net cash as early as 2025. The prospective yield is 7.8% and estimated dividend cover is around 2.4 times.

There is little likelihood of any significant increase in the dividend over the coming years, but that cash generation means that the dividend can be maintained without any financial concerns. Pre-tax profit is likely to be flat to slightly lower over the next three years. That is why the prospective multiple is not much more than five, although that seems too low.

Swindon-based newspaper and magazines distributor Smiths News (LON: SNWS) has been winning and renewing major contracts in recent weeks. This provides visibility of two-thirds of expected revenues, even before any additional renewals.

The main new win is a £27m/year contract with News UK covering the London area. This will contribute for nine months this year.

Magazine revenues are declining and that means that core revenues will fall. There are ways that additional income can be generated. One initiative is offering to collect recycling waste from customers, thereby more efficiently using vehicles. There are already 4,000 paying customers. This could add £1m to profit this year, offsetting any decline in the core business.

There is excess space that can be rented and potential for direct to consumer business. There is also potential to add new product areas.  

Smiths News can still move into a net cash position during 2025 as long-term borrowings are reduced. The lower interest charge helps to offset any decline in operating profit due to inflationary pressures. There are plans for more cost savings.

In the year to August 2024, pre-tax profit is likely to be flat at £33.4m on revenues declining from £1.09bn to £1.03bn. The total dividend has been 4.15p/share for the past two years and that is set to continue, although there could be a small increase when the £10m restriction placed on payouts by lenders ends.  

At 53.8p, the share price has risen by 15% this year. In the first nine months of the year the share price was lower, but there has been a rise of around one-third in the latest quarter. Even so, there is potential for income and growth in the share price. Buy.