Tribal Group fall over 50 percent on slow trade

Education software company Tribal Group (LON:TRB) saw shares fall by over 50 percent this morning, after issuing a disappointing trading update. The company said that sales momentum had been slow this year, with several contracts taking longer than expected and therefore being moved into 2016, causing a hit to year-end profit. As shares continue to fall, Tribal announced that the group will remove their listing from the Official List and apply to trade on the AIM market instead. Richard Last, the Group’s Chairman, said in a statement: “Despite considerable effort, a number of larger customer programmes have moved forward more slowly than previously anticipated, resulting in increased delivery costs, and recognition of related revenues will be deferred beyond the current financial year. “We have therefore announced today that the Company proposes to launch a rights issue to raise up to £35 million, the proceeds of which will be primarily used to reduce debt, and for working capital. “Additionally, the Company is proposing to apply for admission to AIM. AIM is a market appropriate for a company of Tribal’s size, and it offers greater flexibility with regard to future transactions.” Tribal provide software and services to the education management market, including student management software and performance improvement solutions to universities, colleges and schools, both in the UK and internationally. The Group are currently trading down 54.94 percent at 24.50 pence per share. (0829GMT)
14/12/2015

Royal Dutch Shell receives Chinese approval for BG merger

The merger between oil giants Royal Dutch Shell (LON:RDSA) and BG Group (LON:BG) has been given unconditional clearance by China, completing the pre-conditional approval process. The merger is said to be worth $70 billion, and the merged company would supply around 30 percent of China’s natural gas imports by 2017. Shell CEO Ben van Beurden said in a statement: “We will now seek approval from both sets of shareholders as we move towards deal completion in early 2016.” However, shareholder approval has been called into question of late, after one of the company’s biggest stakeholders Qatar Investment Authority sold off shares in both companies worth nearly £1 billion. The QIA, led by the Qatari royal family, is one of Shell’s biggest investors with a 4.88 percent stake.
Shell have seen their share price fall by by 25 percent since announcing its bid for BG in April, with shares in BG Group falling 17 percent. Initially CEO Van Beurden said oil price needed to be around $67 a barrel in 2016, $75 in 2017 and $90 by 2018 for the deal to be sustainable; however, the price of Brent crude is currently around $43 a barrel and the company are pushing on with the deal.
  Royal Dutch Shell are currently trading up 0.83 percent at 1465.61 pence per share, with BG group up 2.47 percent.
14/12/2015

Paragon Entertainment falls 20 percent on board update

Attraction services firm Paragon Entertainment (LON:PEL) is one of the biggest movers on the AIM market this morning, with shares falling over 20 percent following a board update. The company have withdrawn Resolutions designed to ensure that the company could meet legal guidance on issuing shares, after they were found to be insufficient. Guidance for 2015 left the company’s EBITDA unchanged at £0.2 million, with 2015 turnover likely to be in the region of £8.5 million. Mark Taylor, Executive Chairman of Paragon Entertainment, said of the forecasts: “The Paragon team has worked very hard to resolve a number of historical issues since Q4 2014 and I am pleased that these are behind us. We now have good visibility on our revenue which we expect to grow steadily and profitably over the forthcoming years.” Paragon are an attraction services firm who work with the design, fit out and installation of themed attractions, heritage exhibits, museums, aquariums and water parks. Paragon have a 52 week range of between 1.25 and 3 pence per share, and is currently trading down 19.21 percent at 2.04. (1109GMT)
11/12/2015

MyCelx Technologies falls over 50 percent on trading report

Clean water company MyCelx Technologies Corporation (AIM:MYX) is one of the biggest fallers on the AIM market this morning, losing over half of its market value after announcing its 2015 trading update. The company confirmed in a statement that MyCelx had continued with its cost reduction measures and will be at least cash neutral from operations in the second half of 2015. However, the reduction in revenue is expected to result in a post-tax loss in the region of $3.4 – 3.8 million. MyCelx is a clean water technology company providing patented solutions for commercial industrial markets worldwide. It has a 52 week range of between 180 and 27.50 pence per share, and is currently trading down 46.15 percent at 17.50 pence per share.

Oil set to fall further in 2016, say analysts

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Crude oil prices look set to continue throughout 2015 and into early 2016, according to analysts, as prices drop down to seven year lows. Brent crude is down 0.96 percent at $39.73 a barrel, with Crude down 1.09 percent at $36.76 a barrel – just above Thursday’s low point, the worst since February 2009. Oil has already lost a third of its value in 2015, as the relentless drop continues. The crisis, caused by increased output in the Middle East and a lack of demand, is expected to continue on into early 2016. OPEC decided last week to continue to allow the current output level of around 31.5 million barrels a day to continue, causing prices to fall further this week. More oil was pumped in November than in any month since 2008, despite demand showing no sign of increasing.
11/12/2015

Bank of England votes 8-1 against raising rates

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The MPC have voted 8-1 to keep interest rates at their six-year low of 0.5 percent for another month, as speculation increases as to when they will be raised. Rate-setters cited a fall in global oil prices and disappointing economic growth forecasts as the reason for keeping the central rate low. Governor Mark Carney again reiterated that it would not necessarily follow the Federal Reserve, who are expected to raise rates next week, saying that there was “no mechanical link” between the Bank’s thinking and that of the US. Analysts have drawn on Carney’s hints and now expect rates to be raised in the third quarter of next year.
10/12/2015

Could a fall in the Real make Brazil the perfect investment opportunity?

When you hear the word ‘Brazil’, the first things that come to mind are usually blue skies, white sand and exotic food. But investment opportunity? Not so much. However, according to the latest data compiled by the Post Office, the British Pound has risen by more than 42 percent against the Brazilian Real over the last 12 months – which could make it something worth considering. The Real has been having a hard time of late, tumbling 31 percent this year alone. Carlos A. Primo Braga, a professor of international political economy at Switzerland’s IMD Business School, explained to CNBC that the Real “has experienced one of the most dramatic depreciations among currencies from emerging economies over the last 12 months”. However, for anyone looking to buy internationally, this could provide the perfect opportunity to buy property at a great price. According to leading developer Ritz-G5, who operate in the North East region of Brazil, there has definitely been an increase in interest from overseas investors looking to make the most of the current exchange rate advantage. Ritz-G5’s CEO, Luiz Fernandes, says now is the right time to make a move: “we strongly believe that now is a great time to invest in Brazilian property due to both lower property prices and considerably undervalued Brazilian real.’ “There is significant interest in Brazil coming from overseas investors. In particular, over the last 11 years, foreign direct investment (FDI) figures showed a dramatic surge amounting to a 516% increase in the period from 2003 to 2014, with FDI amounting to 62.4 billion USD in 2014. “With Brazil’s large housing deficit still very much present, there remains plenty of scope for further growth in the property sector over the coming years.” For the price, Ritz-G5’s developments certainly look more attractive than anything in the UK. One development is inspired by the Atlantic Ocean, Costa Azul or ‘Blue Coast’, and is a new luxurious 168-apartment development in Petrópolis, one of the most exciting districts in Natal, and close to some of Brazil’s best beaches for soaking up the South American sunshine.
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Costa Azul apartment – lounge area
Complete with a bar, pool, gymnasium and spa, the development provides Costa Azul residents with an exclusive private retreat. Prices start from £43,028 for a 53m² unit, with apartments offering breathtaking views towards the Potengi River, the Atlantic Ocean and the Fort of the Three Wise Men, all fitted with contemporary décor and stylish appliances.
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Costa Azul apartment
Another example of what money can buy in Brazil at the moment is its sister development, Majestic Village, which has recently won the highest 5-star award in the Best Mixed-use Development Americas category at the highly acclaimed Grand Final of the International Property Awards 2015. It has been built as a condo neighbourhood, surrounded by beautiful landscaped gardens, and include extensive facilities such as swimming pools, tennis courts and club, a children’s play area and a gym. Looking to the future, analysts don’t see the Real staying low for long – the rate is likely to stay at a similar level for a just a year or two before rebounding. From an investment point of view, this could be the perfect time to make a move.  
Miranda Wadham on 10/12/2015

Glencore rises 10 percent on restructuring plans

Shares in mining giant Glencore (LON:GLEN) have risen by 10 percent this morning, as the company increased its target for debt reduction and cut spending plans further in order to keep afloat in tough market conditions.

Glencore is one of a number of mining companies going through restructuring in the light of uncertain commodity prices and has now raised its debt reduction plan to $13 billion, up from the $10.2 billion previously. Glencore now plans to cut debt to around $18 billion by the end of 2016, down from its previous target, with capital expenditure plans also being cut. Slowing global demand for raw materials has led to pressure in the mining sector, with rival Anglo American announcing maker restructuring plans earlier this week. Commodity prices are now at their lowest level for several years, with iron ore at a 10-year low and oil at a seven-year low. Last month, Glencore announced the closure of two of its larger mines. The market has reacted well to the announcement, with Glencore currently trading up 9.37 percent at 90.91 pence per share. (0840GMT)
10/12/2015

Stagecoach suffers dip on falling European demand

Shares in Scottish transport group Stagecoach (LON:SGC) fell 14 per cent on Wednesday, after disappointing second quarter results led to a downward revision of full-year profit expectations. Revenues for the six months to October 31 were up 28 per cent on the same period last year to £1.97 billion. However, first-half pre-tax profits were down eight per cent on a reported basis to £90.8 million. Stagecoach said in a statement that the group’s finances have been “adversely affected by the terrorist attacks in Paris discouraging people from travelling to major cities”. Revenue growth slowed dramatically in early November after the attacks – Stagecoach rely on inter-city European travel to boost their profits. Chief Executive Martin Griffiths said that the figures were a “good set of results”, commenting: “Overall, the group is in good financial shape and we were pleased to have put new bond financing arrangements in place earlier this year. Challenges remain in our sector in the short-term but the underlying strength of our businesses across the UK, continental Europe and North America, means we are well placed to drive value for our customers and investors.” Stagecoach are currently trading down 12.86 percent at 310.30 pence per share. (1304GMT)

Dow Chemical in talks to merge with DuPont – Reuters

US company Dow Chemical Co (NYSE:DOW) is reportedly in talks to merge with DuPont (NYSE:DD) to create a chemicals giant worth over $120 billion, according to Reuters sources this morning. First reported in the Wall Street Journal early on Tuesday, people familiar with the matter have said that as part of a major restructuring of both companies, a merger deal is on the table but has not yet been fully agreed. If it goes through, it will be one of the biggest mergers this year, with both Dow and DuPont having a market capitalisation of around $60 billion. The deal is said to be a merger of equals, with the combined company sharing resources to branch into material sciences and agrochemicals. Dow and DuPont declined to comment. Dow Chemicals and DuPont are two of America’s largest companies, both over a century old. The deal would face regulatory approval in several countries and is currently in the early stages of talks. Dow Chemicals is currently trading down 2.17 percent on the news, with DuPont trading down 0.73 percent at 66.61 pence per share. (1042GMT).