FTSE 100 slips as UK economy flatlines, Rentokil sinks

The FTSE 100 was marginally lower on Wednesday, reflecting minor disappointment with soft UK GDP figures that hit some of London’s more UK-centric large caps.

After flatlining in June, UK GDP growth again produced zero growth in July, raising concerns about the health of the UK economy in a period that should have seen some uplift from various sporting events.

Some may blame the weather, but two consecutive months of zero growth are concerning, and investors sold off UK-focused sectors such as housebuilders and retailers on Wednesday.

Persimmon and Berkeley Group Holdings were down more than 1% as the market digested the construction component of GDP and a slowdown in July.

“A rise in output from the large services sector was offset by a fall in production and construction during the month. This picture of stagnation is another piece in the jigsaw for Bank of England policymakers to consider when they meet next week,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“There may be slightly heightened concerns around the table that the economy is on the cusp of a downturn. This will reinforce expectations for two rate cuts in the months to come, but the jury is still very much out when it comes to next week’s decision. Financial markets have been assessing the chance that rates will be kept on hold as above 75%, so this data point alone is unlikely to move the dial significantly.”

Rentokil Initial

Rentokil Initial shares plunged on Wednesday after the pest control group made worrying sounds about its North American business. The company said branch integration and softer sales is likely to lead to a £20m drop in operating profit. The news wasn’t taken well by investors and shares were down 17% at the time of writing.

“You would think pest control is a stable business with consistent demand but that consistency hasn’t been reflected in the performance of Rentokil of late,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Its latest warning is a bit of mess. While its business in the rest of the world is getting on OK, the company is struggling in North America.

“Weaker than expected revenue has been compounded by problems of the company’s own making such as insufficient control of costs hitting profitability.”

Entain was the top gainer on Wednesday as the gambling company continued its rally after recent upbeat news from US operations. Entain was 2% higher shortly before lunch.

AIM movers: Chariot disappoints and Greatland Gold buys back Havieron

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Broadcast technology developer Pebble Beach Systems (LON: PEB) will be demonstrating how well its PRIMA platform works with NVIDIA Holoscan for Media at a major industry exhibition in Amsterdam. The backing of NVIDIA for the technology is a positive. The share price improved 19.6% to 13.15p.

Shore Capital has upgraded animal feed additives supplier Anpario (LON: ANP) after it reported 11% higher interim revenues of £17m on the back of a much greater rise in volumes and slightly lower pricing. Raw material costs have stabilised. Full year revenues expectations have been raised from £33m to £34m, while the pre-tax profit estimate is increased from £3.9m to £4.4m, up from £3.5m in 2023. The share price is 13.8% higher at 310p.

Arecor Therapeutics (LON: AREC) is presenting full data from the phase 1 clinical trial of AT278 in type 2 diabetes in Madrid. The data shows that the raid acting insulin treatment maintains its ultra-fast action whatever the type of diabetes or the body mass of the patient. Progress has been hampered by lack of funding and the presentation should raise interest from potential partners. The share price increased 3.23% to 80p.

FALLERS

Chariot (LON: CHAR) says work at a pilot hole to evaluate the Anchois Footwall prospect was abandoned due to it being water bearing. The presence of gas is indicated in the area. Drilling of the main hole has started. Further details are expected next week. Chariot has a 30% interest. The share price dived 44.5% to 3.54p, although it has recovered from its low on the day.

Greatland Gold (LON: GGP) shares returned from suspension after announcing the purchase of Newmont Corporation’s 70% stake in the Havieron gold-copper project, as well as 100% ownership of the Telfer gold-copper mine and other assets in the Paterson region. The total cost is $475m in cash and shares. A placing raised £248.6m ($325m) at 4.8p each, which is a 30% discount to the market price. Wyloo is subscribing up to $100m and Newmont Corporation will own more than 20% of the gold explorer.  Individual shareholders have the chance to participate in a retail offer via PrimaryBid to raise up to £6.8m. The share price slipped 21.6% to 5.45p.

Cannabis medicines developer Celadon Pharmaceuticals (LON: CEL) has raised £1.05m at 40p/share. The share price declined 22.9% to 40.5p. Celadon Pharmaceuticals is still talking to the previous equity subscriber that has not provided the funds, where the subscription price was 105p/share. There was £48,000 in the bank before the latest fundraising. There should be enough cash until the end of the year. A strategic collaboration with Valeos Pharma, which will licence some genetics for cultivation from Celadon Pharmaceuticals, which will use its expertise to help to increase yields and quality of cannabis. Celadon Pharmaceuticals will be able to use the crop grown by Valeos to supply its major European customer and generate a margin on the sale. The deal could also generate £1.7m of additional income based on increased yield and pricing.

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) has signed two agreements for the processing and marketing of products from the former Hanes gold mine in Romania. The first is with Explore Eco Mining, which will apply for permits for a processing facility and Vast Resources will receive 20% of the difference between revenues and production costs. The second agreement is with Albamin Industry for the marketing of 500 tonnes of polymetallic concentrate held in a dump. Vast Resources will receive 20% of the revenues and all expenses. The share price fell 12.5% to 0.105p.

AI-based digital advertising services provider Silver Bullet Data Services (LON: SBDS) slipped despite improving results. It has shed low margin work and still managed to grow revenues from £4.2m to £4.4m. Lower overheads meant that the reported loss fell from £1.8m to £1.6m. Management believes that the company can become EBITDA positive in October and this should be sustainable. Total bookings and committed revenues for 2024 have already reached £8.3m. Net debt was £2.6m at the end of June 2024. The share price is 5.23% lower at 72.5p.

Rightmove rejects REA group takeover bid

Rightmove are standing its ground and have rejected an unsolicited bid from Rupert Murdoch’s REA Group.

REA Group announced its interest in Rightmove in August, and according to a statement by the Rightmove board released on Wednesday, a bid received has fundamentally undervalued the company.

In a cash and shares offer, REA Group have offered the equivalent of 698p for Rightmove, a 26% premium to the share price 30th August. Rightmove shares were 0.5% higher at 674p at the time of writing on Wednesday.

Should a deal eventually be struck, Rightmove, the UK’s leading property portal, would sit alongside similar Australian property portals in REA Group.

Rightmove is the latest UK-listed company to receive interest from an overseas entity. Yesterday, Centamin accepted an approach from AngloGold Ashanti. 

REA have until 30th September to make a firm offer for Rightmove.

Hexigone Inhibitors: Revolutionising Corrosion Prevention with their Sustainable, Intelli-ion® AX1 

Sponsored by Hexigone

Hexigone, with its award-winning, patented, corrosion preventing technology, was founded in 2016 by Dr. Patrick Dodds, with the aim to make a safer, more sustainable, anti-corrosion for all metal assets.    

Now, through their Crowdcube campaign, Hexigone is raising to fast track the upscale of their manufacturing capacity and capitalise on their recent UKSPF infrastructure grant – to accelerate their growth and meet the growing global demand for a sustainable, high performance, corrosion inhibitor – with the aim to eliminate toxic chemicals from industrial processes and champion a more circular economy approach. 

Corrosion silently causes billions in damage each year, crippling metal infrastructure and industrial equipment worldwide. Traditional corrosion inhibitors, such as Hexavalent Chromate, have long been the industry standard. However, Hexavalent Chromate, infamous for its role in the Erin Brockovich case, is a known human carcinogen and environmental hazard. Although restricted in Europe, it continues to be used globally, posing significant risks to human health and the environment.  

After decades of research and driven by the growing need for a safer, more sustainable solution, Dr. Patrick Dodds made a breakthrough discovery that aims to revolutionise the coatings industry. His creation, Intelli-ion® AX1, is a ‘smart’, high-performance corrosion inhibitor that is both sustainable and poised to disrupt the $1 billion corrosion protection market. 

As the coatings industry searched for alternatives, Zinc Phosphate emerged as a “sustainable” solution. Yet, this compound comes with its own environmental issues. Extracted through strip mining, Zinc Phosphate not only depletes natural reserves but also contributes to large-scale environmental degradation. Alarmingly, Zinc Phosphate has been added to the EU’s critical materials list as natural reserves dwindle.  

(The coatings industry urgently needs a safe, effective, and sustainable solution.) 

Intelli-ion® AX1—Hexigone’s innovative corrosion inhibitor is not only safer but also highly effective – providing superior protection against corrosion. 

But the innovation doesn’t stop there. Hexigone’s Intelli-ion® AX1 also embodies the principles of a circular economy. Unlike traditional inhibitors, which depend on finite natural resources and follow a linear model—where resources are manufactured, used, and discarded—Intelli-ion® AX1 is part produced from repurposed chemical waste streams – reducing environmental impact and minimising industrial waste.  

Proven Success and Growing Demand 

Intelli-ion® AX1 has already demonstrated its superior performance across a range of industries, from automotive to infrastructure. Extensively tested in harsh environments—Intelli-ion® AX1 consistently outperforms traditional inhibitors, offering longer-lasting protection. 

In 2022, Hexigone saw a 3000% increase in manufacturing, underscoring the rising global demand for sustainable corrosion protection. With major partnerships secured and a robust international distribution network, Intelli-ion® AX1 is rapidly gaining traction among industry giants. Their technology has already garnered international recognition and industry awards for its innovation and sustainability. 

With growing global demand for sustainable solutions, they are now positioned for a new phase of rapid growth. 

Join the Revolution: Help Us Accelerate Global Impact 

Your investment will enable Hexigone to accelerate the production of Intelli-ion® AX1, replacing traditional strip-mined chemicals with a sustainable solution that is safer for both people and the planet. Together, we can drive the transition to a more sustainable, circular economy while revolutionising corrosion protection across multiple industries.

UK GDP growth stalls in July

The UK’s recovery from the recession last year risks becoming a dead cat bounce, with July GDP growth flatlining amid a slowdown in construction activity. 

The data will be difficult reading for Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who is thought to be on the verge of unleashing a wave of tax changes that experts expect will curtail growth even further. 

UK GDP was expected to grow 0.2% in July after producing zero growth in June. However, July also proved to be a major disappointment as the UK economy produced zero growth.

Slower construction activity was behind the dismal reading. Services did show some signs of positivity, but not enough to lift the entire economy. 

“Having brushed aside the 2023 slowdown, the UK economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter of 2024 and by 0.6% in the second. However, the third quarter has got off to an inauspicious start with no increase for July compared with June, which was also a flat month,” said Rob Morgan, Chief Investment Analyst at Charles Stanley.

“The year-on-year figure of 1.2% growth reflects a mild but bumpy upturn from the low point in the fourth quarter of 2023. Very slight overall growth over the past three months was salvaged by the service component with manufacturing and construction both in reverse.”

Pharos Energy – With Interests In Vietnam And Egypt, Broker Has A 49p Value On Shares Now 26p – Interims Next Week 

This particular group, which used to be called SOCO International, declares that it has the elements for sustained success. 

It operates with a lean, efficient structure, designed to identify and realise value for all its stakeholders. 

Now called Pharos Energy (LON:PHAR) it is an independent energy company with a focus on sustainable growth and returns to its investors. 

The business centres upon near-term value-adding activities in Vietnam and Egypt, both of which have the potential to generate free cash flow, and on the longer-term prospects such as its exploration assets in Blocks 125 and 126 in Vietnam and El Fayum & North Beni Suef in Egypt. 

Group Interests 

Pharos has production, development and exploration interests in Egypt and Vietnam.  

In Egypt, it holds a 45% working interest share in the El Fayum Concession in the Western Desert, with IPR Lake Qarun, part of the international integrated energy business IPR Energy Group, holding the remaining 55% working interest.  

The El Fayum Concession produces oil from 10 fields and is located 80 km southwest of Cairo.  

It is operated by Petrosilah, a 50/50 joint stock company between the contractor parties (being IPR Lake Qarun and Pharos) and the Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation (EGPC).  

Pharos also holds a 45% working interest share in the North Beni Suef (NBS) Concession in Egypt, which is located immediately south of the El Fayum Concession.  

The first development lease on the NBS Concession was awarded in September 2023 and production started in December 2023.  

IPR Lake Qarun operates and holds the remaining 55% working interest in the NBS Concession.  

In Vietnam, Pharos has a 30.5% working interest in Block 16-1 which contains 97% of the Te Giac Trang (TGT) field and is operated by the Hoang Long Joint Operating Company.  

Pharos’ unitised interest in the TGT field is 29.7%.  

It also has a 25% working interest in the Ca Ngu Vang (CNV) field located in Block 9-2, which is operated by the Hoan Vu Joint Operating Company. Blocks 16-1 and 9-2 are located in the shallow water Cuu Long Basin, offshore southern Vietnam.  

Pharos also holds a 70% interest in, and is the designated operator of, Blocks 125 & 126, located in the moderate to deep water Phu Khanh Basin, northeast of the Cuu Long Basin, offshore central Vietnam. 

Trading Update 

On Thursday 18th July the group issued a Trading And Operations Update,  

At that time CEO Katherine Roe stated that: 

“We are delighted to report a solid first half, both operationally and financially.  

Production remains within previously set guidance underpinning our strong net cash position and our commitment to sustainable shareholder returns through the Company’s dividend policy and share buyback programme. 

The positive macro environment in Egypt has seen a significant improvement in our receivables position with c. $19 million received to date, substantially reducing our receivables balance.  

Furtherdiscussionscontinueregardingoutstanding payments.  

The recent ratification of five petroleum agreements for onshore and offshore acreage further demonstrates the new Government’s commitment to our sector. 

In parallel, we remain focused on near-term drilling and finalisation of the licence extensions for TGT and CNV in Vietnam to enable us to prioritise future investment to deliver additional volumes.  

We also continue to progress rig and farm-out discussions for Blocks 125 and 126, our significant exploration prospects.”    

Analyst Views 

Peter Hitchens, analyst at Progressive Equity Research, notes that Katherine Roe, who became CEO at the start of July, was previously CEO of Wentworth Resources and realised significant shareholder value through the sale of that company. 

Ahead of the Interims, he has already stated that the group is continuing to strengthen its balance sheet as the group benefits from strong cash flows and improving Egyptian receivables.  

He reckons that the healthy balance sheet leaves the group in a good position to fund its capex programmme and enhances its ability to return cash to shareholders. 

His estimates for the current year to end-December are for $146.0m ($167.9m) revenues, with adjusted pre-tax profits of $44.2m ($37.1m), lifting earnings to 10.4c (8.7c) and paying a 1.10c (1.10c) dividend per share. 

Analyst James Hosie at Shore Capital Markets has set a 49p value on the group’s shares. 

He stated that: 

“Pharos Energy’s ability to deliver self-funded production growth while continuing to return cash to shareholders remains underappreciated.  

Trading at a c.50% discount to our Tangible NAV estimate of 49p/share, investors remain cautious after years of declining production.  

We see a set of upcoming catalysts that can reset expectations and prompt a re-rating of the business.” 

In My View 

Next Wednesday, 18th September, will see it announce its Interim Results for the six months to end-June. 

With a refreshed leadership team now in place, we could soon see the group announcing that it is reviving its production plans. 

At the current 26p the group’s shares could offer a very attractive Upside. 

WH Smith shares soar as travel drives group sales higher

WH Smith shares soared on Wednesday after the retail group issued an encouraging trading update revealing further growth for its travel division.

The group enjoyed a 10% increase in travel sales in 2024, driving group revenue 7% higher. The UK travel unit enjoyed sales growth of 12% while the Rest of the World saw revenues surge 15%. North American sales ticked 6% higher.

High street sales were 4% softer, but investors won’t care as the company no longer prioritises this area of the business amid a general reduction in footfall.

WH Smith shares were over 10% higher at the time of writing.

While the high street dies a slow, painful death, WH Smith has switched its focus to the captive travel market. In a travel setting, WH Smith charge a premium, and consumers have little or no other options at airports or train stations. 

The strategy has been a complete success, and WH Smith is emerging as a travel-focused retailer largely unscathed by the destruction of the high street, which has sent so many into administration.

 “It’s no secret amongst WHSmith shareholders that following the pandemic the retailer’s travel arm has more or less dominated the company’s earnings. The post-Covid travel boom encouraged WHSmith to double down on the sector, investing in more stores in airports, train stations and service stations across the UK, the US and around the globe,” said Mark Crouch, Market Analyst at investment platform eToro.

“This morning’s trading update reaffirms that case, as once again WHSmith’s travel business has played a dominant role for the company as peak summer travel demand boasted the retailers’ revenues and overall financial position, leading management to announce a $50m share buyback this morning.”

Investors, already happy with the strong progress in sales, will be delighted to learn WH Smith has announced a £50m share buyback today as part of their capital

On 14 November, WH Smith will release preliminary results for the year ending 31 August.

Greatland Gold secures control of Havieron

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Greatland Gold (LON: GGP) is acquiring its partner Newmont Corporation’s 70% stake in the Havieron gold-copper project, as well as acquiring 100% ownership of the Telfer gold-copper mine and other assets in the Paterson region.

The total cost is $475m in cash and shares, with up to $100m deferred until commercial production is underway at Havieron. Newmont Corporation will own more than 20% of the AIM-quoted gold explorer.

A placing raised £248.6m ($325m) at 4.8p each, which is a 30% discount to the market price. Wyloo is subscribing up to $100m. Individual shareholders have the chance to participate in a retail offer via PrimaryBid to raise up to £6.8m. The cash element of the acquisition is $155.1m and it will repay a joint venture loan of $52.4m. A A$7.1m working capital facility will be repaid.

The Havieron and Telfer mines will be run as an integrated operation. Havieron has a mineral resource of 8.4 million ounces of gold equivalent. At average annual production of 258,000 ounces, the mine life is 20 years.

Telfer could produce 426,000 ounces of gold equivalent. This could generate near-term cash flow and there is potential to expand the resource.

Greatland Gold has secured a non-binding bank debt letter of support for A$750m in bank facilities to fund development of the Havieron project. Along with the cash raised, this facility would be enough to move the project to production.

The deal should be completed in the fourth quarter. Trading in the shares will recommence at 7.30am on 11 September. At the placing price, Greatland Gold is capitalised at £499.8m. Next year, there are plans to list on the ASX.

Understanding Market Volatility in Prediction Tokens: How to Manage Investment Risks

Prediction markets are one of the latest crazes in trading on the outcomes of future events; with the rise of prediction market tokens, investors now have a whole new way of speculating. The tokens represent bets on the yes/no outcomes of certain events and while they do offer exciting investment opportunities, they are also fraught with risks-especially regarding market volatility.

Market volatility is the degree of fluctuation or change in price within a market or of a specific asset within a given period. Variance measures the degree of fluctuation in an asset’s price within a given time; a high variance means that the asset price fluctuates a lot within a short time while a low variance means that the price changes are not very frequent. In the context of prediction markets, volatility can be attributed to a number of factors which include; forecasting errors, the general mood of the market and any other events that may affect the commodities being traded.

In their nature, prediction market tokens are inherently speculative. Unlike traditional investments, which might be based on tangible assets or set revenue streams, the value of the prediction tokens depends on the expected events to take place. It is because of such speculation that prices can wildly fluctuate as traders react to news, sentiment shifts and unexpected developments concerning the event forecasted.

One example of a prediction market token is BTC Bull Token, which is associated with the future price of Bitcoin. This token enables investors to predict whether the cost of the Bitcoin is likely to rise or drop. Given that Bitcoin is known to have a rather high level of price fluctuations, the same can be said about the token. Several factors have made the prices volatile.

Cryptocurrency markets reflect a great variety of factors, including news in regulation, technological advances and macroeconomic trends. Since the prediction markets are speculative, it is often observed that traders are not trading based on the fundamental value of an asset but based on their expectations of future events. For instance, information about probable changes in the legal framework, or dramatic entries of large institutional investors into the Bitcoin market, may lead to sharp and unpredictable changes in the price of a token. It is due to such events that traders may purchase or sell the token to profit from the bitcoin fluctuations.

Another important factor affecting volatility is liquidity. Many times, the prediction markets may be illiquid; that is, either side may be shallow in the buyers or sellers hence, may not afford to absorb trades without having a very significant effect on the price. In an illiquid market, even small trades could lead to disproportionate movements in the price, therefore increasing volatility.

Due to these factors, risk management in the context of prediction market tokens needs to be done in a specific manner. Diversification is one of the ways of controlling risks in the investment process. By diversifying investments across various assets and including several prediction market tokens and other types of investments, it is possible to minimize the negative effect of the volatility in a particular asset. This approach assists in reducing the risks of loss that may result from the fluctuations in the prices of a specific token through other stable investments.

It is very important to assess the risk before investment. Knowing the particular risks of the prediction tokens, including market volatility and uncertainties of the event, will give more confidence in your decisions. Before deciding on investments in tokens, consider the dynamics of the market on which the token price depends. To mitigate risk, one also needs to have information on the market conditions as well. This will enable you to be in a position to know when a particular event is likely to affect the price of cryptocurrency and thus the price of a token. Knowing what is likely to happen in the market at a given time will help to plan for it and hence minimize losses when the market is volatile.

Another effective way of risk management could be implemented using stop-loss orders. These will serve to limit potential losses by the immediate sale of tokens when their prices fall below a predetermined price level. This may turn out to be one of the effective ways to protect oneself against sudden plunges in the value of one’s investment during very volatile days.

As such, investing in the tokens of prediction markets is bound to be rewarding but challenging in equal measure due to their naturally volatile nature. By knowing what leads to volatility, making use of diversification, risk assessment, staying informed and using stop-loss orders, an investor will sail through this speculative landscape with a lot more ease. It is the prudent and well-informed approach, whether one is betting on the momentum of Bitcoin’s prices or other events, balancing potential rewards with associated risks for more strategic investments.

AIM movers: Orosur Mining near to acquiring 100% of Anza gold project and Coro Energy returns from suspension

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Orusur Mining Inc (LON: OMI) has signed a share purchase agreement to acquire the rest of the shares in the Anza gold project in Colombia. This deal is subject to regulatory approval. The consideration is based on commercial production. It is NSR royalties of 1.5% and fixed royalties of $75/ounce for the first 20,000 gold equivalent ounces. The share price jumped 49.1% to 3.95p.

Podcast platform operator Audioboom (LON: BOOM) increased year-on-year revenues by 35% to $6m in August. This is mainly down to the new Showcase offering for larger brands. There are no changes to full year forecasts of a move from loss to a pre-tax profit of £900,000. The share price rose 13.4% to 232.5p.

CyanConnode (LON: CYAN) raised £5.4m at 9p/share – a premium to the market price – following receipt of a letter of intent for the purchase of 6.5 million Omnimesh modules for smart meters. This underpins the £34.5m of revenues forecast for the year to March 2025. That would be enough to move the company into profit and earnings of 0.5p/share. The share price improved 5.29% to 8.95p, having been as high as 9.5p earlier in the day.

Gamma Communications (LON: GAMA) grew revenues 10% to £282.5m, although European revenues were flat. This puts it on course to improve full year pre-tax profit from £97.9m to £111.6m. The board is considering a move to the Main Market. The share price increased 7.86% to 1620p.

FALLERS

Trading recommenced in the shares of south east Asia-focused energy company Coro Energy (LON: CORO) following publication of 2023 accounts. The loss was reduced from $8.2m to $5m, partly due to a gain on disposals of $1.3m. The share price slumped 43.6% to 0.0775p.

Semiconductor wafers manufacturer IQE (LON: IQE) reduced its loss on a 27% increase in revenues to £66m thanks to a recovery in wireless demand. The adjusted operating loss is still £7.2m. Net debt is £17m. Growth in revenues is expected to be slower in the second half and the outcome is likely to be at the lower end of expectations. The bottom of the range is £130m and the consensus was £139m, which would result in a £17m loss. The share price slipped 15.2% to 20.1p.

Woodbois (LON: WBI) is benefiting from the restructuring of its operations. The timber company has improved cash flow through negotiating new payment terms with customers. Acquisitions are being considered. Woodbois believes that Robert Skyrme has an undisclosed 5.26% shareholding. The share price fell 9.62% to 0.47p.

Cross-border currency payments services provider Finseta (LON: FIN) reported a sharp increase in first half profit, although investment in growing the business will hold back profit in the short-term. There was a £100,000 contribution from the final payment relating to the licencing agreement with Avila House. The loss of that income, a higher depreciation charge and additional overheads for new operations such as a corporate Mastercard and a Canadian office means that full year pre-tax profit could dip from £1.4m to £1.3m. The benefits of the investment will be seen next year with an expected jump in pre-tax profit to £2.5m. The share price is 8.33% lower at 38.5p.