Oil volatility drags the FTSE 100 as Rio Tinto suspends Russia links

The FTSE 100 took a blow of 1.1% in late morning trading on Thursday, as oil prices whipsawed in choppy trade and Rio Tinto announced they would break ties with Russia and paid a bumper dividend.

The price of oil rose on Thursday following a 17% drop on Wednesday, after the UAE considered pushing OPEC to increase its agreed output to ease supply fears.

“Wild swings in oil overnight reflect the febrile nature of markets right now and also just how little visibility investors have,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

European shares were also heavily hit and extended declines after the ECB said they would accelerate the winding down of asset purchases.

Rio Tinto

Rio Tinto announced its decision to sever all ties to Russian business operations, including its joint-venture between the company and Russian oligarch Oleg Deripska’s company, Rusal.

Rio Tinto confirmed it was “in the process of terminating all commercial relationships it has with any Russian businesses.”

The decision also brought Rio Tinto’s Oyu Tolgoi project in Mongolia into doubt, due to the venture’s reliance on Russian diesel.

Rio Tinto shares were down 5.8% on Thursday as the company went ex-dividend. Antofagasta, Glencore and Fresnillo shares were up 5%, 2.8% and 1.6% respectively.

However, Russian focused miners Polymetal and Evraz sank as the UK imposed further sanctions on Russia and Oligarchs.

“From a Western perspective the war in Russia is very much an economic one and the full ramifications may not be known for quite some time,” said Mould.

Evraz shares are down 23% to 71p after UK government accused the mining company of providing support to Russia in the war against Ukraine by supplying steel to the Russian military for the production of their tanks. Roman Abramovich, major shareholders in Evraz is one of 7 Russian oligarchs who was sanctioned today.

Evraz shares were suspended by the LSE as a result of the sanctions.

Spirax-Sarco

Spirax-Sarco shares are trading up 3% after the firm exceed pre-pandemic sales by £100m to £1.3bn in 2021. Spirax-Sarco enjoyed higher demand as their customers recovered from the pandemic. Spirax-Sarco also announced an increase of 18p in their total dividends to 136p for 2021.

Balfour Beatty hikes dividend as profit jumps

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Balfour Beatty has reported an underlying revenue of £8.2 billion in 2021 compared to £8.5 billion in 2020, and points to a quality £16 billion order book of future business.

Balfour Beatty enjoyed a share price rise of 3.4% to 240.6p in early morning trading on Thursday after the company results for 2021 exceeded expectations in profit recovery and hiked their dividend.

The infrastructure group reported an underlying profit from operations of £197 million in 2021 against £51 million in 2020, alongside a pre-tax profit of £187 million in 2021 compared to £36 million in 2020.

Balfour Beatty released a total dividend per share of 9p compared to 1.5p in 2020.

The company’s financial highlights included a “sector-leading” balance sheet, underpinned by a £1.1 billion investments portfolio, a £57 million dividend and continued recovery in its underlying profit from operations.

Balfour Beatty also announced the next phase of its multi-year share buyback programme of £150 million for 2022.

“In 2021, despite the challenges presented by COVID-19, we have delivered operating profits ahead of expectations,” said Balfour Beatty CEO Leo Quinn.

“Balfour Beatty emerges from the last two years with capabilities intact and a higher quality order book.” 

“Together these provide the visibility to deliver profitable managed growth and sustainable cash generation.”

“With a transformed portfolio focused on favourable infrastructure markets across our chosen geographies and our sector leading balance sheet, we are confident of delivering significant future returns to shareholders.”

Just Group reinstates dividend for 2021

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The Just Group saw its share price rise 1.2% to 84.8p in early morning trading on Thursday after the release of improved profit and the reinstatement of their dividend for 2021.

The company reported an underlying operating profit of £210 million against £193 million in 2020.

Just Group’s profit was driven by a 25% increase in sales of their retirement income products to £2.7bn.

The Group further reported an underlying organic capital regeneration of £51 million compared to £18 million in 2020, alongside new business profits accounting for £225 million against £199 million in 2020.

The Just Group also reinstated its dividend with a final dividend of 1p per share.

The company reported that it aims to target growth in underlying profits over the medium term by an average of 15% per year.

“This is an excellent set of results which demonstrate our ability to generate profitable growth within a sustainable capital model,” said Just Group CEO David Richardson.

“New business premiums, underlying operating profits and underlying capital generation have improved significantly on the previous year.”

“Furthermore, we have also attained a sustainable level of underlying capital generation and coverage ratio to be in a position to re-commence dividend payments.”

“Our confidence in the growth opportunities available to the Group is reflected in our new target to grow underlying operating profits over the medium term by an average of 15% per annum.”

“Just has a clear, compelling purpose: we help people achieve a better later life.”

“We are committed to growing, helping more customers and increasing shareholder value .”

National Express shares increase on easing restrictions

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National Express shares were trading up 4.3% to 252p on Thursday morning after results revealed a solid cash inflow of £123m in 2021.

The company reported a cash inflow in 2021 of £123.4m, a phenomenal comeback from their cash outflow of £196m in 2020.

National Express saw a statuary group loss before tax of £84.9m in 2021, a great improvement from £444m in 2020, due to losses from their coach business.

The company also reported that the Stagecoach and National Express merger will not be happening as Stagecoach has accepted a £595m offer from DWS Infrastructure.

In a bid to further stabilise the business and manage their capital between obligations and growth, the group has decided not to pay a dividend for 2021.

Revenue grew 11% from £1.96bn in 2020 to £2.17bn in 2021 as travel restrictions were lifted. Passenger journeys were up 37% in 2021. The coach firm also managed to hedge fuel and energy costs.

The locomotive group saw an increase of 60% to £300m in EBITDA.

The net debt for the group has increased from by £50m in 2021 as a result of higher growth capital expenditure of £134m and an increase of roughly £6m in acquisitions and disposals.

Going forward, the company is building their opportunities for growth by launching Evolve, a project by National Express, which targets cities with high traffic congestion being taken over with efficient public transportation systems.

Evolve is expected to grow revenues by £1bn and a minimum increase of £100m in EBIT by 2027.

“Mobility restrictions are lifting across our markets and people are travelling again. But we cannot return to ‘travel as usual’ if we are going to meet the pressing needs of COP 26,” said Ignacio Garat, Group Chief Executive, National Express.

“In 2021 we launched our Evolve Strategy with a clear vision and purpose, to be the world’s premier shared mobility operator, leading modal shift from cars to public transport.”

“Modal shift is a necessity for the planet and good for our business. We have translated Evolve into detailed action plans in each of our businesses and we are already seeing the benefits.”

“I anticipate further strong recovery in demand over the coming year, and I am excited about what lies ahead, with Evolve providing greater clarity of both the significant growth opportunities and the path towards it.”

“Based on current projections, it is our intention to reinstate consistent dividend payments starting with a dividend for full year 2022.”

Capita reports first revenue increase after 6 year decline

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Capita has reported an increase of £13m to £3bn in adjusted revenue, following a six-years declining revenue.

Adjusted pretax profit saw a 1,631% growth from £5.4m in 2020 to £93.5m in 2021 due to increased revenues and savings in transformation costs.

Reported profit before tax increased from a loss of £49.4m in 2020 to a profit of £285.6m in 2021.

The main driver of Capita’s turnaround was a 31% increase in contract wins to £3.8bn in 2021 vs £2.9bn in 2020.

In 2021, the firm sealed contracts with the Royal Navy and made profits in their public service division which increased their revenues.

The fantastic growth in pretax profits allowed for the reinstatement of the employee bonus scheme.

Disposals

Yesterday, Capita was informed that the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy will not be penalising the firm for disposal of Trustmarque to One Equity Partners

This disposal is expected to bring in £115m and be completed in March 2022.

As a result of the disposals, the net debt has decreased from £1,077m in 2020 to £879m in 2021.

The company met its target disposal of £700m in 2022. The income from these disposals will be able to pay off more debts that are maturing.

The company also reported cash outflow of £237.1m in 2021 due to pending obligations from 2020.

Deferred VAT from 2020 was £104m, restructuring costs accounted for £68.6m, pending pension payouts were £155.5m and other cash commitments amounted to £328m.

In 2020, the company had a cash inflow of £303.8m.

“It was a year of significant change at Capita as we completed our transformation by establishing a platform for growth, while continuing to strengthen the balance sheet,” said Jon Lewis, Chief Executive Officer, Capita.

“We grew our revenue in 2021, reversing six years of declines, and expect this trend to continue to improve, while we also expect to deliver positive sustainable free cash flow in 2022.

“Capita now has the foundations in place to deliver sustainable improving financial performance; our new simplified divisional structure will deliver significant benefits.

Capita shares are flying at 9% increase to 23.9p after disposal targets have been met and future net debt is expected to drop.

New standard listing: Website problems at Codex Acquisitions

Codex Acquisitions did not get off to the best start because its website was not working. The share price did go to a premium, but the bid/offer spread was 10p/20p so investors cannot sell at a profit, which is a reflection of the lack of liquidity in the shares. This is the latest shell to join the standard list before restrictions change and it would be too small to float.
The cash shell has effectively been set up by Codex Capital and most of the shares are owned by eight shareholders, including one of the non-exec directors. Any attempt to buy shares could push up the share price.
Battery ...

Bitcoin rebounds after Biden signs executive order for regulating cryptocurrency

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Bitcoin saw an 9% increase to around $42,000 on Wednesday after US President Joe Biden signed an executive order to monitor and regulate the use of the cryptocurrency.

The executive order reportedly signified the country’s support for the cryptocurrency industry, not only accepting to monitor it, but also potentially creating a new digital currency which will be issued by the Fed.

The US reportedly plans to produce policies for the digital currency in agreement with allied countries.

This will enable transactions dealt with Bitcoin and Ethereum to counteract any illegal moves.

The monitoring of crypto began with increased sanctions on Russia to prevent illegal transactions.

The signing of the order is reportedly set to increase the legitimacy the digital currency.

Bitcoin is subject to immense volatility with rising inflation rates and legislative issues around the world.

With the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war, the volatility has extended to the stock markets and crypto exchanges.

Ukraine took donations for the fight against Russia in cryptocurrency at the start of the conflict.

The donations have amounted to $60.5 million with over 120,000 cryptoasset donations, according to blockchain analysis company Elliptic.

Cryptocurrency has proven to be a useful asset for Ukraine, prompting Biden to legitimise its usage in the war effort.

Hopefully, with movements to fully adopt cryptocurrency across EU nations, the volatility associated with the digital currency market will reach stability.

“President Biden’s historic executive order calls for a coordinated and comprehensive approach to digital asset policy,” said US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.

“This approach will support responsible innovation that could result in substantial benefits for the nation, consumers, and businesses.” 

“It will also address risks related to illicit finance, protecting consumers and investors, and preventing threats to the financial system and broader economy.”

McDonald’s joins brand names exiting Russian market

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Russia was hit by a wave of brand name boycotts today after a myriad of big name companies withdrew their presence from Russia in protest of its invasion of Ukraine.

The move followed Ukraine foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba’s appeal on CNN that “all Western companies must withdraw from Russia.”

Fast Food Withdrawals From Russia

Fast food companies McDonald’s, KFC, and Pizza Hut declared a halt on their operations in Russia, with McDonald’s temporarily closing down its 850 outlets.

McDonald’s confirmed that it would still pay its 62,000 staff members despite the operational shutdown.

KFC and Pizza Hut parent company Yum!, is set to shut down its 50 Pizza Hut restaurants and 70 KFC locations across the country in protest.

Yum! saw a 1% rise in shares during Wednesday afternoon trades, alongside a 0.7% increase in McDonald shares, despite the company shutdowns across the country.

Drink Brands Join The Boycott

Several popular drinks brands have withdrawn from Russia, including PepsiCo, Coca-Cola, Starbucks and Heineken.

Coca-Cola and PepsiCo have withdrawn from Russia, but PepsiCo have committed to supporting its 20,000 Russian associates and the 40,000 agricultural workers in the company supply chain.

PepsiCo is still supplying certain goods like baby food and formula as it’s a daily use product.

Starbucks confirmed it would stop all business in the country and halt all shipments of its products into Russia.

Heineken suspended its production and investments, alongside all exports scheduled to Russia.

PepsiCo’s share price dipped 0.8% in Wednesday afternoon trading, whilst a 0.1% rise in Coca-Cola shares, a spike of 6% for Heineken and a 3.6% increase for Starbucks.

How Many Companies Have Withdrawn From Russia?

A current total of over 300 companies have suspended their operations in Russia as boycotts and sanctions continue to pummel the country.

Other notable companies scheduled to exit Russia include Unilever, Netflix, Ikea and Levi’s.

Nickel, Battery Metals, and Greatland Gold with Alan Green

Alan Green joins the UK Investor Magazine Podcast for a discussion on key market themes and a number of Uk equities.

With the suspension of Nickle on the LME, our focus this week is commodities and the impact of sanctions of Russia.  

Kavango Resources is a Botswana focused explorer with operation targeting the future production of copper and Nickel.

We look at why the share price has fallen despite sharp increases in underlying commodity prices. 

Greatland Gold has sprung back into life with a rise in the gold price and a strong set of resource and reserve updates. However, investors may be disappointed with the current Greatland Gold share price and we delve into what it going to take to shares back above 20p. 

Technology Minerals is a vertically integrated battery metals company that is looking forward to a robust 2022 with the establishment of recycling operations and mining exploration. We take a look at their latest market update.  

Prudential reports profit growth for 2021, refocuses on Asia and Africa

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Prudential saw a share price increase of 4.3% to 1,072.5p in late morning trading on Wednesday after the company reported an increased operating profit and dividend.

The insurance group reported an adjusted operating profit of $3.2 billion compared to $2.7 billion in 2020.

Prudential also reported a total dividend per share of 17.2c against 16.1c in 2020.

The company had a total revenue, net of reinsurance, of $26.5 billion compared to $36.2 billion in 2020.

Prudential also saw a rise in gross premiums of $25.2 million against $23.4 million in 2020.

The group is reportedly set to continue its growth across Asia and Africa, following the strategic repositioning the company undertook in 2021.

Prudential said it would be relying on its multi-channel approach, alongside its investment in new business, distribution and product enhancements to bring value to shareholders over the long term and weather the current geopolitical market volatility.

“Prudential has delivered high-quality, resilient growth as we completed the strategic re-positioning of our business to focus solely on Asia and Africa,” said Prudential retiring CEO Mike Wells.

“We have continued to deliver for our customers against the backdrop of the Covid-19 pandemic, and I would like to record my deep gratitude to our staff and agents for their outstanding efforts.”

“We continue to invest for the long term in new products, additional distribution capabilities and enhanced digital capabilities, to build our presence as a leading agency and bancassurance player and to access new pools of customers.”

“We enter 2022 with a strong balance sheet and capital position.”