FTSE 100 flatlines ahead of key central bank meetings

The FTSE 100 rose gingerly on Monday morning as investors pondered the possibility of a fresh COVID wave and looked forward to key central bank meetings.

This Thursday, the Bank of England will release their interest rate decision and Wednesday will see the Federal Reserve release the minutes of their meeting.

Before the discovery of Omicron, both central banks look set to begin the tightening of monetary policy, however, the economic uncertainties around the new variant have cast doubt on these plans. Particularly for the Bank of England.

This was evident in the pound with sterling dropping as traders positioned for no change in rates. The inverse relationship between the pound and the FTSE 100 provided support for Londons leading index on Monday as it traded above 7,300, before falling back to trade at 7,295 at the time of writing.

“The FTSE 100 was off to a solid start on Monday despite Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s warning of a ‘tidal wave’ of Omicron in a televised address last night,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“However, this is less a case of investors shrugging off the news as it is the index responding as it usually does to weakness in the pound.”

“Sterling’s performance against other currencies reflects traders’ view on the immediate prospects for the economy and interest rates in the UK and its weakness flatters the overseas earnings which dominate the FTSE.”

“The pound bouncing around year lows suggests there is little expectation the Bank of England will raise rates at its meeting later this week. The BoE is one of several central banks to have meetings in the coming days, including the Federal Reserve which may begin tapering its stimulus for the US economy.”

“The question on the lips of British hospitality, leisure and travel businesses in particular will be: can the souped-up booster campaign really deliver one million jabs a day to cover all over 18s by the end of December and prevent the need for more onerous restrictions?”

IAG and Rolls Royce were unsurprisingly the biggest fallers on Monday morning as investors left travel stocks in the face of further disruption. IAG shares are now down 16% YTD and are approaching the lowest levels of the year.

New Aquis admission: RentGuarantor digital base

Gibraltar-based RentGuarantor hopes that gaining an Aquis Stock Exchange quotation will help to promote the business and finance expansion. There could also be potential add-on acquisitions or other transactions using shares.
Management intends to invest £35,000 on strengthening management, £32,000 on marketing and £50,000 on IT and working capital. The proceeds of the fundraising are expected to last for 18 months.
It seems likely that further cash will be required. The business is currently loss-making and has to grow much bigger to get to the point where it is breaking even.
The share price...

US inflation hits the highest level in 40 years

The United States has released the highest reading of inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, for 40 years.

On Friday, the CPI reading for November was reported as 6.8% and 4.9% excluding food and energy.

Higher food and fuel prices were the main driver behind the jump in inflation.

“US inflation came in at 6.8%, up from 6.2% in October and in line with forecasts. The reading which is the highest level in nearly 40 years comes as little surprise to the market due to the ongoing supply chain issues, robust consumer demand and base effects from last year kicking in,” said Dan Boardman-Weston, CIO at BRI Wealth Management.

“This is likely to add further pressure to the Fed to quicken the withdrawal of quantitative easing and raise interest rates sooner than expected.”

With inflation now at higher multi-year highs, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve and their December meeting and expectations of a faster pace of tapering will be high.

The Federal Reserve, like all central banks around the world, have been scrutinised for their approach to monetary policy, given the strong recovery from the pandemic. Today’s reading will leave the Fed with little option but to tighten policy in an effort to bring soaring prices under control.

Stock markets were little changed on the news with the FTSE 100 spiking higher 20 points on the news before falling back to trade slightly higher at 7,325 at the time of writing.

Hilton Foods Group acquires leading international smoked salmon producer

Hilton Foods Group has completed £75m placing to fund the acquisition of, Fodden, a leading international smoked salmon producer.

The move is the latest in a string of acquisitions by Hilton Foods that include Dalco, a leading vegan and vegetarian food manufacturer and Fairfax Meadow.

Hilton have also invested in the expansion of Hilton Seafood, their leading supplier of seafood to the UK seafood market.

“The acquisition of Foppen is an exceptional opportunity for Hilton and another step towards our goal of becoming the global protein partner of choice. More and more consumers around the world are seeking affordable, high quality, and sustainable protein, and this acquisition will help Hilton take our offer into new markets and to new global customers for the first time,” said Hilton’s CEO, Philip Heffer.

“Foppen’s premium product portfolio and strong customer relationships are a great fit for Hilton’s model, while Hilton’s strong ESG credentials in seafood will make sure our future growth plans are sustainable in every sense of the word. We welcome Foppen’s management and employees and look forward to delivering profitable growth through the combination of Hilton and Foppen.”

In a recent trading update, Hilton Foods also pointed to promising developments in their Asia Pacific business that has experienced strong volume growth. In Europe, Hilton saw good volume growth across Tesco and Zabka, despite overall flat performance in the region due to the reopening of restaurants.

AB Foods sees “significant progress”

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Primark owner, Associated British Foods, reported this morning that Primark had been trading strongly and sales had been ahead of those in the same quarter last year.

The group has seen  “significant progress” and business across its grocery, sugar, ingredients and agriculture had also continued strongly.

“In terms of the Omicron variant we haven’t really seen much of an effect on footfall,” chief executive John Bason said this morning after results were released.

“Our financial performance this year more than ever demonstrates the resilience of the group. This comes from the strength of our brands, the diversity of our products and markets, our geographic spread, conservative financing and an organisation design that permits fast and flexible decision-taking,” he added.

Primark has 400 stores across Europe and the US.

Nexus Infrastructure posts strong results

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Nexus Infrastructure has posted strong results and has returned to profit after difficulties in the pandemic.

Revenues grew from £125.7m to £137m and the group reported a profit of £3.8m.

 “The group has an important role to play in delivering sustainable infrastructure for the UK.  We have achieved a strong recovery from Covid-19, delivering profitable growth, reinstating the dividend whilst making excellent progress on strategy,” said chief executive, Mike Morris.

Although Nexus has made way to recovery, there is a way to go before it surpasses 2019 results where revenues were £155.1m.

Following the full-year results, shares increased 1.29% on Friday morning.

Economy at a standstill as GDP grows just 0.1% in October

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The UK’s GDP grew just 0.1% in October, highlighting the minute growth.

As firms struggle amid shortages and supply chain issues, the economy came to a standstill and was well below analyst expectations of 0.4%.

The economy was pushed by demand for second-hand cars and a growth in business at employment agencies.

 CBI Lead Economist, Alpesh Paleja, commented on the figures: “Growth disappointed in October, reinforcing concerns about the resilience of the UK’s economic recovery to the Omicron variant and the impact of further restrictions.

“We need to create consistency in our approach and build confidence by reducing the oscillation between normal life and restrictions as we learn to live with the virus and its variants.

“Meanwhile, supply pressures remain acute and further rises in inflation are looming. We expect growth to build further momentum ahead, but more action is needed to address longer-term challenges, including “scarring” from COVID and poor productivity.”

Restaurants and hotels fared badly in October, where output fell by 5.5%.

“Early evidence suggests growth in November might have been a bit better. Nonetheless, at such low rates of growth, the government’s “Plan B” COVID-19 restrictions could be the difference between the economy growing or contracting in December,” said Paul Dales of Capital Economics.

PrimaryBid offer by Atome Energy

Atome Energy has launched a PrimaryBid offer ahead of its spin-out from President Energy (LON: PPC) and flotation on AIM. The offer closes at 6pm on Monday 13 December. The AIM flotation should happen before the end of December.
President owns 85% of Atome Energy ahead of the fundraising and President’s boss Peter Levine’s company Alpha Oil owns 15%. President intends to distribute Atome shares to its own shareholders but retain a 25% shareholding. President has court approval for a capital restructuring that will allow the distribution and a record date for the distribution will be announced ...

FTSE 100 dips as travel shares sink on new restrictions

The FTSE 100 fell on Thursday following the announcement of new COVID restrictions by the UK government and soaring cases across Europe.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.2% at 7,322 at the time of writing around midday on Thursday.

“The page has been turned on the recovery story playing out on the financial markets this week, with the new chapter turning into  a tale of woe for many ‘reopening’ stocks,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“News that fresh social restrictions are being imposed in the UK, amid worries that the new strain is more infectious have put a brake on the rebound of not just travel stocks but bricks and mortar retailers, and hospitality firms.”

Although the FTSE 100 fell, the selling was when mild when compared to the initial volatility in markets when Omicron was first observed.

Roll Royces was the worst performer on the FTSE 100 after the engine maker was hit by a double whammy of a disappointing trading update and the prospect of reduced flights in the near term.

“Rolls Royce is the biggest faller on the FTSE 100, with investors disappointed with the progress made, even before the latest Covid storm hit the airline industry,” Street said.

“There continues to be a gradual recovery in engine flying hours, a key metric given its core business is reliant on manufacturing and servicing commercial jet airlines, but it’s still slow progress.  They are still at half of normal levels and had been expected to recover to 55% by the end of the year. It shows what a climb Rolls Royce still needs to make to regain its pre-pandemic form and the Omicron variant is clearly another set-back.”

IAG was also a big faller as investors departed from travel stocks across Europe. IAG shares were down 2.8% at the time writing.

Despite the FTSE 100 falling, 41 constituents were positive at midday on Thursday.

DS Smith was among the gainers as revenues jumped 22% helped by their sustainable packaging offering and COP26.

“COP26 has helped DS Smith turn its box volumes up to record levels. The packaging giant has a leading position when it comes to sustainable packaging, so sentiment around the environment and responsible corporate behaviour, which has heightened in recent months, has quite literally paid dividends,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Unlocking value in Lithium, Rare Earth and Iron Ore assets with Cadence Minerals

The UK Investor Magazine Podcast is joined by Kiran Morzaria, CEO of Cadence Minerals.

Cadence Minerals is an investor and cornerstone partner in the discovery and development of mineral resources for a sustainable future.

The company has a broad portfolio of mining assets targeting Lithium, Rare Earths and Iron Ore.

Cadence Minerals is mining investment company rather than a mine operating company. This strategy is designed to reduce the risk of the portfolio, whilst providing a significant level of diversification.

Cadence invests in both private and public assets, Kiran outlines their approach for each and outlines a number of their assets.

We discuss Cadence’s Amapa Iron Ore asset in Brazil, previously owned by Anglo American. We explore the potential of the Amapa mine and the key milestones on the path to unlocking the asset’s value. Anglo American’s 70% stake in the had previously been valued at $462m.

Cadence has a number of Lithium assets and we talk through their stake in European Metals Holdings which operates the Cinovec mine in the Czech Republic. European Metal Holdings is planning to deliver 25,267 tpa lithium hydroxide or 22,500 tpa lithium carbonate into the European battery market from the Cinovec mine.

For more information, please visit the Cadence Minerals website.