Barratt in a “very good position” thanks to strong demand

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Barratt Developments has said that it is confident in meeting targets for the year after steady demand over the past quarter.

Between 1 July and 10 October the group delivered 27 new developments and 281 net private reservations per week.

“This is particularly encouraging given the significant year on year reduction in Help to Buy reservations and the ending of the stamp duty holiday,” commented chief executive David Thomas.

“We continue to work closely with our suppliers and sub-contractors and have not experienced any significant disruption to our build programme as a result of the challenging supply chain environment.”

In a statement, Barratt said “The group is in a very good position. We have both a substantial net cash balance and strong forward sales, as well as an excellent land bank and a continued focus on delivering operational improvements across our business, alongside our ongoing commitment to deliver high quality, sustainable homes across the country.”

Laura Hoy, Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, commented: “The housebuilders have found themselves in somewhat of a sweet spot. While pent-up lockdown demand is starting to wane, people are still motivated to move and that’s driven house prices higher. According to Barratt, that’s been enough to offset build cost inflation, and the group’s not expecting to deliver any downside surprises this year.”

Analysts also pointed to Barratt largely shacking off the impact of the end of stamp duty holidays and changes to Help to Buy.

“Shareholders in housebuilders have been looking on nervously, as the stamp duty land tax break has ended and the rules for Help to Buy continued to change but Barratt’s trading statement offers welcome reassurance,” said AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

“The net reservations rate in its new financial year may have dipped slightly compared to 2020 but it has exceeded the level seen at this stage in 2019 by 18%, even though Help to Buy has represented only a fifth of house purchases compared to more than half in the first three months of the last financial year (and just under 40% for the year as a whole).

Marston’s sales hit by lockdown restrictions

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Marston’s sales tumbled 22% this year as lockdown restrictions hit the business.

The pub group sales stood at £402m and the 1,500 pubs were only open for just over half of trading days for the year ending in October.

Since April, the group has been trading at 94% of pre-pandemic levels, resulting in the groups’ chief executive to say that they were “encouraged by the trading momentum which we have experienced since April and pleased to be trading robustly and above 2019 levels again.”

“Our business benefits from an optimally balanced pub estate of food and wet led pubs that are predominately suburban, community-based and well located for the changes in consumer behaviour that we are seeing,” said Andrew Andrea.

Marston’s share price remained flat on the trading update.

UK economy picks up in August

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The UK economy was up by 0.4% in August but GDP still remains 0.8% below pre-pandemic levels .

The service industry was up by 0.3% whilst manufacturing was up by 0.5%. The economy in the three months to August grew by 2.9%, which is lower than forecasts of 3%.

New data from the Office of National Statistics found that hotels and restaurants picked up by 10.3% as people socialised more and were getting ‘pinged’ less.

“The improvement in August probably had a lot to do with the fading of the restraint from July’s “pingdemic”, which at one point meant more than 1m people were self-isolating,” said Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics.

“And the recent broadening in shortages and the fuel crisis may mean that growth has come to a near-standstill since August.”

Transport also picked up in August, however, still remains below pre-pandemic levels. Air travel, for example, was up 27.5% in August thanks to relaxed restrictions. It is still 75% below pre-pandemic levels.

Forecast upgrade for EKF

Acquiring Advanced Diagnostics Laboratory (ADL) has sparked a substantial upgrade for EKF Diagnostics (LON: EKF).
ADL is a Texas-based PCR-focused testing laboratory operator. It is certified under the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments (CLIA) for complex testing. The deal costs an initial $10m in shares. Performance-based consideration could be payable over three years. This is capped at $60m.
This is a new business that was founded in May 2020, but it does have an experienced management. ADL undertakes Covid testing in the US, and it offers a range of other testing. EKF will invest t...

High grade gold intercepts reported at Chaarat Gold Holdings

Chaarat Gold Holdings (LSE: CGH) operate a gold mine in Kapan Armenia with assets at various stages of exploration  development in the Kyrgyz Republic both are ‘politically sensitive’ territories, but CGH have been there a long time and know the ‘politics’.  
Exploration drilling programmes for Tulkubash and Kyzyltash  are large targets and  started in May. It recently announced the completion of the Kyzyltash 2021 drilling programme  with the drilling intersected showing significant high grade gold intercepts within the current JORC compliant of 5.4m ounces ...

FTSE 100 feels the pressure of potential interest rate hike

The FTSE 100 fell on Tuesday as the market begins to price in the possibility of higher rates following a period of easy policy designed to battle the economic impact of the pandemic.

Uk jobs data released on Tuesday demonstrated the UK economy was healing quicker than some had predicted, bringing forward the point the Bank of England would be forced to raise rates.

The latest data from the ONS showed that employment figures were back to what they were prior to the pandemic.

“The dials in the labour market are pointing towards an interest rate rise, with job vacancies at a record high, unemployment falling, and the number of payrolled employees back to pre-pandemic levels. The only sign that tightness in the labour market might be easing was the continued fall in average earnings, as base effects start to fall out of the equation,” said Laith Khalaf, head of investment analysis at AJ Bell.

The FTSE 100 reacted the prospect of higher rates with early declines of around 0.9% before recovering through the session.

“The big squeeze on companies as higher costs take hold has again choked off gains for the FTSE 100, keeping the index down 0.5% by mid-morning. It’s the expectation that the Bank of England will step in to try and squash down inflation by raising interest rates by the end of the year, that’s weighing down stocks, given the financial markets have become so addicted to ultra-low rates and easy financing,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“With vacancies hitting 1.1 million between July and September, the highest level since records began 20 years ago, it’s putting even more pressure on many companies which are already struggling to cope with the tourniquet of higher energy costs and supply chain problems.”

“As the labour market tightens again, the fight for staff is increasing, with starting salaries rising at the fastest rate in 24 years.  Although it signifies that pandemic recovery is continuing and demand is back, businesses can no longer turn on the easy taps of labour from the European Union to ease labour shortages. With oil and gas exploration limited as the transition to renewables is stepped up, energy prices look set to stay elevated, with Brent crude rising above $84 a barrel earlier, a three year high.”

The fears led to broad declines in most sectors and IAG was the biggest faller around midday on Tuesday.

EasyJet expects £1.1bn loss but remains optimistic

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EasyJet has seen a 400% surge in bookings over the Christmas period as travel restrictions relax.

Despite the recovery, the company said it expects a £1.1bn pretax loss for the year and hopes to fly 70% of pre-pandemic levels this quarter.

“It is clear recovery is underway. Business travel is returning to easyJet with corporates and SMEs attracted by our value, network and approach to sustainability,” said Johan Lundgren, chief executive.

“We have seen city breaks beginning to return alongside growing demand for leisure travel from customers looking for flights and holidays to popular winter sun destinations including Egypt and Turkey.”

The group has added 100,000 seats to destinations including Egypt, Turkey and the Canary Islands, which have been popular this autumn.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, commented: “Finally, the dark clouds are parting and are letting some bright light in. Restrictions are being eased, rules simplified, and travellers are regaining their appetite to fly once again.

“EasyJet has declared ‘the recovery is underway’, with losses narrowing and strong enough bookings to warrant increasing capacity for the last three months of 2021.

“That’s helped by decent demand for a week in the sun during the October half-term, with individuals eager to get a slice of sea and sun that many were denied this summer and last year.”

Greatland Gold releases Havieron pre-feasibility study results

Greatland Gold plc (LON:GGP) has released Stage 1 Pre-Feasibility Study for their world-class Havieron gold project in Western Australia.

The study found 4Mt of probable ore reserves set for a mine life of 9 years. Throughput is estimated to be 2Mtpa.

Greatland Gold shares fell over 9% in early trade on Tuesday following the announcement.

Shaun Day, Chief Executive Officer of Greatland Gold plc, commented: “This maiden Pre-Feasibility Study focuses on the South-East Crescent and should be viewed as the first stage. The study covers just a small fraction of the resource and the broader mineralised breccia system but is a tremendous first step towards creating a mine and unlocking our understanding and the value of Havieron. 

The investment proposition of Greatland is compelling, with Havieron confirmed as a world class ore body, being developed with a Tier 1 partner in Newcrest and all within a Tier 1 mining jurisdiction of Western Australia.”  

Mr Day went on to explain the benefits of reinvesting cash flow to help develop the rest of the project.

“The Stage 1 Study indicates a very modest capex hurdle for Greatland and thereafter the generation of cash flow. This provides the opportunity for Greatland to reinvest this cash flow into Havieron such that the Company can self-fund the full potential of Havieron. This capital profile is ideal for Greatland as a mid-cap miner. 

The quality of Havieron is observable in the AISC of just US$643/oz Au. This outcome will propel Greatland to the second lowest cost producer globally, with this low cost structure driving a high-margin, high IRR and fast pay-back development. 

Notwithstanding the tremendous outcome of this Stage 1 Study, the opportunity at Havieron remains ahead of us. A further 90,000 meters of growth drilling is planned to June 2022, to better understand the extent of the South East Crescent, the Northern Breccia and the recently identified Eastern Breccia. This growth drilling creates the opportunity to potentially apply bulk mining methods to the balance of the Havieron breccia system to complement the mining of the South East Crescent.” 

OntheMarket profits jump 163%

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OnTheMarket.com has posted strong profits for the first half of the year.

Revenues jumped 46% to £14.9m, whilst adjusted operating profit surged 163% to £2.1m. Traffic to the website jumped by 36%.

Jason Tebb, CEO of OnTheMarket, commented on the “strong financial performance, operational growth and real progress with our strategic objective of building a differentiated, tech-enabled property business.”

Shares in the group are down 20% this year to date, however, the group has increased its full-year revenue forecast and said it is expected to be “substantially ahead of expectations”.

UK unemployment falls to 4.5%

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Uk unemployment has fallen to 4.5% in the three months to August. 

New figures from the Office for National Statistics found unemployment to fall from 4.6%. Payroll figures surged to 29.2 million, which is back to pre-pandemic levels.

Vacancies over the previous quarter hit record highs of 1.2 million. The number of vacancies soared highest in transport and storage.

Commenting on UK unemployment falling to 4.5%, Ian Warwick, who is the managing partner at Deepbridge Capital, said: “Today’s unemployment data shows the resilience of the UK economy as economic stimulus measures taper off.”

“With economic stability and growth still at the forefront of the agenda it is therefore more important than ever that scale-up businesses, particularly in high-growth sectors such as digital technologies and life sciences are supported. They will be at the very heart of economic growth as we create an economy fit for the twenty-first century.”

“Government initiatives such as the Enterprise Investment Scheme have never been more important for helping entrepreneurs and innovators source the funding they require, whilst also offering private investors with tax incentives to develop UK-supporting private equity portfolios. With our EIS funds reaching record levels of funding in 2020/21 it is evident that there is considerable demand from investors and financial advisers alike to invest in early-stage UK companies which we believe will be at the forefront of our economic recovery.”