European markets anticipate non-farm payroll report

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The FTSE 100, like other markets across Europe, is in a noncommittal mood ahead of the announcement of the non-farm payroll figures later today.

The FTSE 100 continued to bob around the 7,055, falling 0.14%, while the DAX edged to a fresh all-time high of 15,675, and the CAC lurked at 6,500.

“The futures are suggesting much the same for the US open, with the Dow Jones set to start Friday’s trading unchanged around the 34,600 mark,” said Connor Campbell, financial analyst at Spreadex.

It could be argued that nothing much changes until the latest non-farm data is released.

“Last month was a shocker, with the headline nonfarm figure coming in at just 266,000 against the near-1 million forecast. Yet it was a result that investors weren’t exactly unhappy with, given it may cause the Federal Reserve to reconsider any stimulus tapering talk,” Campbell said.

“For May, however, signs are pointing to a rebound. The ADP non-farm reading on Thursday shot past expectations, rising from 654,000 to 978,000, while jobless claims have been steady falling week-on-week, yesterday striking a pandemic-low of 385,000.”

Analysts’ estimates have the nonfarm number climbing to 645,000, with the unemployment rate falling from 6.1% to 5.9%. Average hourly earnings are, as ever, the one outlier, with expectations of 0.2% against the previous month’s 0.7%.

“Considering that nonfarm forecast lies somewhere between the levels expected last month, and the number produced last month, it will be interesting to see how investors react. It might hit that sweet spot – strong enough to point to a continuing recovery, but not strong enough to prompt any action from the Fed,” Campbell said.

FTSE 100 Top Movers

Johnson Matthey (1.42%), B&M (1.04%) and Royal Mail (0.97%) are the top movers on the FTSE 100 on Friday having made modest gains.

At the bottom end during the morning session is Rolls-Royce (-2.77%), Bunzl (-2.21%) and Sage Group (-1.63%).

Musk ‘trolling’ stops bitcoin recovery in its tracks

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Bitcoin is own by 5% as Musk hints at possible breakup

Bitcoin is down by 5% on Friday as Elon Musk took to Twitter again, appearing to hint at a ‘breakup’ with the cryptocurrency through his tweets.

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1400620080090730501

Musk, along with Tesla’s, and his own substantial holdings of bitcoin, is able to put the market on a knife edge whenever he takes to the social media website.

Musk has previously stated that Tesla was not willing to sell its bitcoin, however his tweets are enough to make the market nervous as it is still reeling in shock from a torrid May.

“He’s trolling the community,” Bobby Ong, co-founder of crypto data aggregator and analytics website CoinGecko, told Reuters.

Friday’s dip means that the cryptocurrency, at $36,697.21, is below its 20-day moving average.

Musk has previously been an ardent supporter of bitcoin, but more recently turned against it over concerns around its energy usage.

Since Tesla announced its $1.5bn purchase of bitcoin, its stock has fallen by one third.

Since its record peak at nearly $65,000, bitcoin is down by more than 40%.

Bitcoin is constantly on the minds of investing-minded millennials as the cryptocurrency is viewed as a way of creating wealth. 

It could even be that millennials’ interest in bitcoin is what paves the way for an eventual mass adoption. 

Data collected by Crypto Parrot, the cryptocurrency trading simulator, shows that millennials aged between 25-35 lead the way in the bitcoin community with an engagement rate of 41.51%. 

Those aged between 35 and 44 years old are the second-highest group with an engagement rate of 20.16%.

Airline shares dive as Portugal is taken off the green list

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Traveling to Portugal will now require a ten-day home quarantine return

Shares in major travel companies plummeted yesterday as the UK government removed Portugal from its green list of safe destinations.

The decision caused chaos among holidaymakers, many of whom rushed to cancel their trips abroad.

Tui saw its share price fall by 4.5% yesterday, while the easyJet share price was down by over 5%.

Ryanair and IAG, owner of British Airways, also saw sizeable losses, down 4.5% and 5.4% respectively.

The government’s decision to change Portugal’s status to amber means those traveling will have to do a ten-day home quarantine on their return.

Chief executive of the Business Travel Association, Clive Wratten, told The Times that the government’s ruling effectively meant the UK had essentially closed its border. “It is a devastating day for the travel industry as a whole. Removing Portugal from the green list will destroy any confidence in international travel, whether for work or leisure.”

The possibility of travelling to Portugal throughout the summer gave hope to airlines and travellers alike in an otherwise dreary summer season.

John Foster, director of policy at the CBI, said: “The UK mustn’t jeopardise the strides made through the vaccine programme, but the international travel sector is on its knees and unable to trade its way to recovery. Without a successful summer season, the government will need to consider further sector-specific support to save jobs and skills essential for future growth.”

It is thought that the UK has been in talks, albeit slow paced, aimed at establishing a travel corridor between the nations.

The traffic light system was first put into place on May 17 when international leisure travel resumed. Now that Portugal is being removed from the green list, only 11 countries will remain.

There has been speculation that new countries could be added to the green list, including Malta and Finland, but the government is remaining cautious.

New AIM admission: Arecor Therapeutics

Arecor Therapeutics takes existing pharma products and reformulates them for new uses or to make them more effective. This reduces the risk, compared with developing completely new drugs.
Arecor has secured partnerships for some products, but the insulin products for diabetes are being developed to the phase II clinical trial stage and then a partner will be sought.
Any of these products could address significant markets so if one becomes a commercial product, particularly an insulin product, that could help to underpin the valuation of the company. The diabetes insulin products are still goin...

New Aquis admission: Pioneer Media Holdings Inc

Pioneer Media Holdings Inc is a Canada-based investment company with investments in eSports and mobile gaming businesses. It already has a portfolio of ten companies and a Canadian Stock Exchange listing.
The opening price was 47.5p and it has edged up to 48p. That values the company at £18.7m. Net assets were $12.7m at the end of February 2021 and more cash has been raised since then. It is difficult to assess the movements in all the share prices and currencies, but it seems safe to say that Pioneer Media is trading at a premium, probably significant, to NAV.
There have been two trades on Aq...

Lloyds share price awaits dividend announcement

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Lloyds Share Price

Having touched 50p this month the Lloyds share price (LON:LLOY) looks to be on the way up. Despite retreating today by over 1% to 49.35p, its price at the time of writing. Over the past six months the Lloyds share price is up by 25.7%. Over a longer period of a year, it has risen by 45%, in what appears to bee a sustained recovery from the pandemic-induced downturn. The question now is can Lloyds continue to make ground on its pre-pandemic level of 56p. Its H1 update in July could go some way to deciding the trajectory of the Lloyds share price for the remainder of 2021.

Dividends

Historically, Lloyds shares are popular, even when the share price is down, as they pay out a significant dividend. Investors will be on the look out for further announcements on this matter in the near future.

Lloyds, in April, said its intention was to resume a sustainable dividend policy. Analysts have even predicted a dividend yield this year of around 5.6%.

The next update on the matter can be expected to arrive when Lloyds announces its dividend policy in its H1 results in July. Between now and then, other factors could determine the Lloyds share price, such as the vaccine roll-out and broader economic issues. Although a month isn’t a long time in investing.

Argo Blockchain share price weathered the storm in May as crypto market crashed

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Argo Blockchain Share Price

2021 has been a year of volatility for the Argo Blockchain share price (LON:ARB). Having reached an all-time-high in February of 284p, it dipped towards the 100p mark just three months later. Of course there was a tumultuous period for bitcoin, as the Argo continued its evolution. However, investors remain interested in the company as many see bitcoin as playing a pivotal role in the future of finance. More recently, Argo Blockchain unveiled DeFi investments, in addition to providing updates on mining and infrastructure, while analysts remain bullish on bitcoin.

Operational Update

In an operational update for May, Argo confirmed it has made an investment of £146,000 in WonderFi Technologies. The investment was part of a wider £9.6m fundraising in a company that focuses on bringing DeFi tech to the mass market. Argo’s chief executive will be appointed as an advisor to WonderFi Technologies as part of the investment.

“We are pleased to announce Argo’s strategic investment into WonderFi. Access to this emerging sector needs to be democratised and we believe WonderFi is in an excellent position to achieve this”, CEO Peter Wall said in a statement.

The bitcoin miner also confirmed it mined 166 bitcoin during May, three more than the month before, bringing the total since the beginning of the year to 716 bitcoin. Argo’s revenue for May stood at £5.5m, down from £6.7m in April, based on present crypto prices and foreign exchange rates.

The company’s average mining margin in May is around 82%, while it finished the month holding 1,108 bitcoin. Despite the crash in the crypto market, Argo’s revenues held relatively steady.

May has been a packed month for Argo. Despite challenges, Argo delivered strong revenue and surpassing 1,000 bitcoin in holdings. The miner also signed the Crypto Climate Accord and has been involved in the creation of the Bitcoin Mining Council.

Bitcoin Price

In encouraging news for the Argo share price and the wider bitcoin community, bitcoin could soar to $500,000. That is according to ARK Investment chief Cathie Wood, who reiterated a longstanding position on the digital currency’s future.

“A lot of traders see Bitcoin dropping…so traders just dump and run…I think we are in a capitulation phase,” the Ark boss explained, when discussing bitcoin’s crash in May.

Wood also said that bitcoin’s adoption of renewable energy and solar could be accelerated as it increasingly becomes an issue for investors. At the time of writing, bitcoin is back up to $38,670, as it appears to be slowly recovering. If it keeps moving up then this will be good news for the Argo Blockchain share price.

Oil hits two-year high as producers keep supply restricted

For the first time since May 2019, Brent crude oil reached $71.99 per barrel

The price of oil has touched a new two-year high, as demand is rising while economies emerge from lockdown restrictions and producers keep supply restricted.

For the first time since May 2019, Brent crude oil reached $71.99 per barrel, having steadied overnight at a two-year high.

Oil is now at its pre-pandemic level, and then some, after it crashed in the early months of 2020.

US crude oil is not far behind, touching $69.4 per barrel, the highest level since October 2018

The recent run comes following a meeting between OPEC+ countries where it was agreed production cuts would be eased, as the possibility of sanctions on Iran being lifted becomes more realistic.

Although it has stuck with its policy of slowly easing oil production cuts, OPEC+ retained a positive outlook over demand levels.

Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, is predicting a recovery in demand in both the US and China in the near future, as vaccine roll-outs continue to support the oil market.

Francisco Blanch, global commodities and derivatives strategist at Bank of America, told CNBC that he is bullish about the longer-term oil price as OPEC retains a position of power.

“We think in the next three years we could see $100 barrels again, and we stand by that. That would be a 2022, 2023 story,” Blanch said. “Part of it is the fact we have OPEC kind of holding all the cards, and the market is not particularly price responsive on the supply side and there is a lot of pent-up demand … We also have a lot of inflation everywhere. Oil has been lagging the rise in prices across the economy.”

A number of traders, as reported by the Financial Times, have suggested that the vaccine roll-out, along with stimulus packages, have pushed demand for oil. The resultant deficit is what caused the price of crude oil to surge by over 30% since the end of last year.

“Unless widespread cheating develops or a renewed uptick in global coronavirus cases evolves, OPEC’s current recipe for success would appear to represent a viable plan,” said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Illinois.

Advancing to sales at Advanced Oncotherapy

Advanced Oncotherapy (LSE: AVO)
After six to seven years and over £130m of investment in intense technical development of the next generation of proton beam therapy (PBT) machines, today AVO took a significant commercial step forward. It announced that AVO have signed an LOI (Letter of Intent) with Saba Partners to purchase a three-treatment room LIGHT system for around £75.5m.
The system is to be installed at Glion in Switzerland which has been acquired by Saba Partners who are building a medical centre of excellence there. This is subject to a CE mark, which should b...

UK service sector growth reaches 24-year high

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The IHS Markit’s Services PMI rose from 61.0 in April to 62.9 in May

The UK economy is seeing substantial growth as the service sector experiences soaring demand on lockdown restrictions being eased across the country.

According to the latest survey of purchasing managers at UK services firms, activity has risen during May at the quickest rate in 24 years.

A number of companies reported a recovery in both consumer and business spending, while new order rose at a rate not seen since October 2013.

As a result, companies took on more staff, leading the strongest rate of employment growth in over six years.

In May, lockdown restrictions were eased to the point where pubs and restaurants were able to serve customers indoors. This came after the reopening of non-essential shops in April.

The sharp rise in demand is also pushing costs up. Businesses raised their own prices by the largest amount since the survey began in 1996.

The IHS Markit’s Services PMI rose from 61.0 in April to 62.9 in May. Anything above 50 is an indicator of growth, while the recorded level shows a rapid level of growth, having contracted in previous months.

Tim Moore, economics director at IHS Markit, says the economy has the success of the vaccine roll-out to thank for recent strong growth.

“UK service providers reported the strongest rise in activity for nearly a quarter-century during May as the roll back of pandemic restrictions unleashed pent up business and consumer spending. The latest survey results set the scene for an eye-popping rate of UK GDP growth in the second quarter of 2021, led by the reopening of customer-facing parts of the economy after winter lockdowns.”

“Pressure on business capacity due to a spike in demand and staff hiring difficulties emerged as a major challenge for service sector companies in May. Job creation was the strongest for over six years, but backlogs of work accumulated to the greatest extent since the summer of 2014.”

The hospitality industry is now facing a recruitment crisis as it struggles to fill thousands of vacancies as the economy is reopening.