Lloyds share price hits 6-week high following PM May’s defeat

Lloyds share price (LON:LLOY) has hit a 6-week high following Theresa May’s devastating defeat in the house of commons. Lloyds share price was up over 1% on Wednesday touching 56.5p. Lloyds had fallen as low as 50p during December as uncertainty over Brexit negotiations hit UK assets. Theresa May’s crushing defeat on the Brexit deal moves the country closer towards a number of scenarios that will soften the impact of Brexit. The first of these options, as requested, by Jeremy Corbyn is a general election. Although this is unlikely in the short term, a general election could see Jeremy Corbyn, a proponent of a softer Brexit and staying in the customs union, as prime minister. Staying in the customs union would reduce any negative impact on trade and have less of an impact on the economy which would be a positive for Lloyds share price. Despite being rubbished initially, there is growing momentum for a second referendum, the question on the paper is anyone’s guess, but again such a scenario is likely to avoid the no deal or hard Brexit damaging to the UK economy and Lloyds share price. The third scenario, and one that would avoid the UK going to the polls again, is the revoking or extending of Article 50. A revocation would provide the government more time to formulate a plan that can actually make it through parliament, a would an extension. It may also stop Brexit altogether. In any of these scenarios the forecast devastation of the UK economy would be avoided and provide the potential for plenty of upside in the Lloyds share price. Lloyds reported a 18% increase in profit after tax in the nine months to 30th September reflecting the reduction in litigation and PPI costs. Lloyds is set to report full year results 20th February.

Pub Group shares rise over strong Christmas trading

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City Pub Group (LON: CPC) has reported a positive start to the year, revealing strong Christmas trading. In the 52 weeks to the end of December, the group reported a 1.6% increase in like-for-like sales. Sales were particularly strong over the Christmas period, where the six weeks to January 6, like-for-like sales were up by 7%. City Pub Group opened 11 new sites over 2018, including its £2.2 million acquisition of Chapel 1877 in Cardiff. The deal was brokered by GVA’s Cardiff hotels and leisure team. John Coggins, associate director at GVA, said about the deal: “On behalf of the vendor, Bevan Holdings we received multiple expressions of interest for the business, a reflection of Chapel 1877’s appeal within the city.” “The Chapel is an ideal fit for the City Pub Company’s growing portfolio of 42 pubs across the south of England and Wales and we’re delighted to have completed on the confidential sale in a matter of weeks with excellent assistance from Gordon Dadds Solicitors.” Turnover for the group increased by 22% to £45.6 million, thanks to increased volume. The pub chain said that it would benefit from the higher prices introduced at the end of the year in 2019. “Trading was very encouraging over the festive period and throughout 2018, particularly post-Easter. We have grown very rapidly over the last two years, performed well and our new sites are showing their potential,” said Clive Watson, the group’s chief executive. “Our low gearing puts us in an enviable position to take advantage of attractive acquisition opportunities that present themselves. If we enter a period of uncertainty caused by Brexit, there is much we can continue to achieve organically,” he added. Shares rose 4% on Wednesday morning. They are currently trading +4.31% at 205,50 (1225GMT) In other news, Wednesday also saw a strong trading update released by Bovis Homes, despite Brexit uncertainty.

London house prices fall as Brexit uncertainty bites

London house prices fell 1.2 per cent month-on-month in November, according to the latest official figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Overall, annual house price growth in the UK hit 2.8 per cent for the month, with London and the South-East dragging down figures. The statistics revealed that the lowest growth was indeed in the capital, with prices falling by 0.7% over the year to November 2018, remaining unchanged from the month before. Meanwhile, the average UK house price came in at £231,000 in November 2018, proving £7,000 more the same month in 2017. However, on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK dipped by 0.1% between October and November 2018. Many London based property agents have been feeling the impact of a subdued market in the capital, with buyers deterred amid ongoing economic uncertainty. Back in July, Foxtons (LON:FOXT) reported a loss for the half-year as a result of the lessening demand in London. Moreover, Foxtons also announced the closure of six London branches back in November, amid a “challenging market”. Similarly, Kevin Roberts, director of the Legal & General Mortgage Club, commented on the latest house price figures: “The ongoing political uncertainty is clearly causing some buyers and sellers to take a wait-and-see approach when it comes to the property market.”

Shares in Bovis Homes up 5% on “encouraging” trading

Bovis Homes has reported that it is in line with expectations, as the housebuilder built 3% more homes than last year. The group said on Wednesday that it has seen “encouraging” early signs for trading this year and that it expects a record year of profit. Bovis Homes built 3,759 homes last year, selling for an average price of £273,000. Following the positive trading update this morning, shares in the group rose by 5%. The “significant” increase in operating margin for the year comes amid caution in the property market as Brexit uncertainty continues. “The significant improvement in operational performance across all areas of the business is expected to deliver a record year of profits for the group,” said Greg Fitzgerald, the chief executive. “We are looking forward to delivering the first homes from our new housing range in 2019 and continuing to make further operational and financial progress,” he added. “The industry fundamentals remain strong with customer demand for new homes supported by attractive mortgage finance and government initiatives, in particular, Help to Buy.” Shares in Bovis Homes (LON: BVS) are trading +4.77% (1148GMT).

UK Inflation rate falls to 2.1% in December

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UK inflation fell to 2.1% in December, down from 2.3% in November, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The fall was largely driven by a lowering of petrol prices, the ONS said. The drop proved in line with analyst expectations. Inflation has been largely falling since reaching a six month high of 2.7% in August. Last month’s inflation figure proves closer to the Bank of England’s target of 2%, suggesting that a future rate hike may prove unlikely. Back in December, the Bank of England opted to keep interest rates on hold in light of continued Brexit-related uncertainty. Uncertainty only seems set to continue after the Prime Minister was heavily defeated in a Commons vote on her Brexit deal last night. The head of inflation at the ONS, Mike Hardie, commented: “Inflation eased mainly due to a big fall in petrol, with oil prices tumbling in recent months. “Air fares also helped push down the rate, with seasonal prices rising less than they did last year. These were partially offset by small rises in hotel prices and mobile phone charges. “House price growth was little changed in the year to November, with buoyant growth across much of the UK held back by London and the South East.”

Sativa Investments outlines 2019 expansion plans

Sativa Investments (LON:SATI) have made an exciting start to 2019 with the release of a trading update and the announcement of plans for new wellness centres. Sativa Investments listed on NEX Exchange in March 2018 and was the first London listed cannabis investment vehicle available to UK investors. In early January the company released a trading update that outlined the progress of their investments. Geremy Thomas, Sativa Investments Founder & Chief Executive Officer commented on the progress: “The Company has made significant progress since its admission to the NEX Exchange Growth Market in March last year. The Company’s operations now cover seed growing, in so far as the Company has already successfully grown a hemp crop under the CEO’s own growers’ licence, and along with great strides in developing its medical cannabis business, and has researched, tested, marketed and sold CBD products. “Sativa now has a solid base on which to build its seed-to-consumer model and this next round of fund raising will allow institutions and other investors to participate in what is expected to be a major UK industry.”

Wellness Centres

Sativa’s trading updates was closely followed by the announcement of plans for Wellness Centres named Goodbody & Blunt. The centres will consist of drop in centres where individuals will be able purchase a range of CBD (cannabidiol) products. CBD products such as oil do not contain psychoactive THC and have long been available for sale in the UK and can be purchased in many supplement stores. While the distribution of CBD is not amazingly groundbreaking it does provide Sativa Investments time to build the Goodbody & Blunt brand in anticipation of recreational legalisation of cannabis with THC in the UK. The UK fired the starting gun on potential recreational legalisation when last year medicinal cannabis was very publicly legalised. Taking the examples of the United States, Canada and a number of countries in Europe, it takes around 3-5 years from medicinal legalisation to recreational legalisation. Sativa Investments have appointed Chris Jones to head up the unit who brings experience from the vaping and mobile phone markets.

Brexit: Theresa May faces confidence vote amid deal defeat

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Theresa May’s Brexit plan was defeated by a majority of MPs in Parliament on Tuesday, with Labour now launching a vote of no confidence against the government. The Prime Minister’s Brexit deal was rejected by 230 votes, in a huge blow to the government given it has spent the last two years negotiating it. After the defeat, May told the Commons that the vote “tells us nothing about what it does support, nothing about how or even if it intends to honour the decision that people took in a referendum”. Nevertheless, she said she would respect the outcome of the vote. She also said: “The house has spoken and the government will listen,” she told the Commons earlier today. The vote is set to take place after Prime Minister’s questions today. Should Labour win the vote, an immediate election would not take place. May’s government would have two weeks to attempt to regain confidence from MPs, or an alternative government would be allowed to form. Nevertheless, both Tory rebels and DUP MPs have allegedly pledged to give their support to the Prime Minister, meaning a Labour victory seems unlikely. Still, uncertainty about the road ahead remains. If May survives a no-confidence she will likely head back to Brussels to renegotiate. Thus fur, however, the EU has dismissed the option of further talks. The European Council Chief Donald Tusk took to twitter hinted that the only possible resolution would be to cancel Brexit. He tweeted: https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

JP Morgan reports 18% fall in revenue

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Following “challenging market conditions”, JP Morgan (LON: JMC) reported an 18% fall in revenue for the fourth quarter of 2018. The group’s quarterly profit that was reported on Tuesday fell below analysts’ expectations for the first time in 15 quarters. Despite the poor revenue results, the lender reported a 67% rise in profits to $7.1 billion. The rise in profit was a record for the fourth quarter. Earnings also grew to a record of $32.5 billion, whilst fixed-income trading fell to $1.9 billion (£1.5 billion). “Despite a challenging quarter, we grew markets revenue in the investment bank for the year with a record performance in equities and solid performance in fixed income,” said Jamie Dimon in a statement. Dimon also warned against the political shutdown in the US and the effects it may have on results. “We urge our country’s leaders to strike a collaborative, constructive tone, which would reinforce already-strong consumer and business sentiment,” he said. “Businesses, government and communities need to work together to solve problems and help strengthen the economy for the benefit of everyone,” added Dimon. Shares in JP Morgan fell 8.7% last year amid the concerns surrounding a US/China trade war. They are currently trading down 1.29% (1557GMT).

Dignity shares edge up on “stronger than expected” Q4 results

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Dignity reported a “stronger than expected” fourth quarter on Tuesday. Operating profit for the funeral provider expects to be £79 million, which is ahead of market expectation. In their trading update, Dignity said the stronger than expected profit was due to a comparable market share remaining robust and showing small growth year on year; the funeral average income remaining higher than anticipated; and overheads being lower than expected, partly due to the timing of some marketing spend which will now occur in 2019. “Good progress continues to be made on the Transformation Plan. Following the price reductions introduced in 2018, the Board continues to expect average funeral incomes to be lower in 2019 than in 2018 and there are therefore no changes to the Board’s expectations for 2019,” said the group in a statement. The funeral provider has struggled over the past year, due to increased competition from rival Co-op funeral group. The price war between providers has hit profits for Dignity. In the three weeks to September 29, profits for the group took a 27% hit to £11.1 million. In addition, the Competition and Markets Authority said in November that they would launch an investigation into the UK funeral market, which caused shares to slide. “The scale of these price rises does not currently appear to be justified by cost increases or quality improvements,” said the CMA at the time of the news. Analysts at broker Peel Hunt said on the trading update that it was “a pleasing surprise”. Shares in the group (LON: DTY) are trading +0.49% at 723,50 (1440GMT).      

Marks and Spencer names locations of store closures

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Marks and Spencer (LON:MKS) have announced the names of the stores that are set to close as part of the high street chain’s restructuring plans. The retailer announced the closure of 17 store locations last year, as it looks to streamline costs and revive its fortunes. The closures are set to put as many as 1,000 jobs at risk, as the company looks to compelte the closure of 100 stores by 2022. It also plans to cut the amount of space in stores dedicated to clothing, one of the worst performing divisions for the company. Sacha Berendji, the M&S retail, operations and property director, commented on the closures: “We’re continuing to transform M&S with pace and as part of this we are making good progress with our plans to close over 100 stores – radically reshaping our store estate to become more relevant for our customers.” “Proposing to close stores is never easy, for our colleagues, customers or the local community, but it is vital for the future of M&S. Where we have closed stores, we are continuing to see an encouraging number of customers choosing other nearby locations and shopping on M&S.com.” The stores named are as follows:
  • Ashford
  • Barrow
  • Bedford
  • Boston
  • Buxton
  • Cwmbran
  • Deal
  • Felixstowe
  • Huddersfield
  • Hull
  • Junction One Antrim Outlet
  • Luton Arndale
  • Newark
  • Northwich
  • Rotherham
  • Sutton Coldfield
  • Weston-super-Mare
Shares in Marks and Spencer are down -0.65% as of 12:32PM (GMT).