Imperial Brands predicts rising profit and revenue in 2024

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Imperial Brands predicted a rise in revenue and profit for the upcoming year, yet announced on Tuesday that the growth in the first half would be slower due to this year’s price increases and investments in alternatives to tobacco.

Imperial Brands shares are down 0.96% at the time of writing.

Imperial’s Finance Chief Lukas Paravicini explained to journalists that slower growth in the first half of a year was predicted due to the tough comparison with a robust previous year, during which Imperial implemented substantial price hikes.

The company posted a 3.9% increase in adjusted operating profit for the 12 months ending 30th September, excluding the effects of foreign exchange and Imperial’s withdrawal from Russia. This surpassed the average analyst estimates of 3.5%.

CEO Stefan Bomhard stated that Imperial’s strategy, focused on reclaiming market share in five crucial tobacco markets, is yielding positive outcomes.

Imperial Brands forecasts low single-digit revenue growth in 2024, with adjusted operating profit expected to fall within the middle of its mid-single-digit range.

According to investment director at AJ Bell, Russ Mould, “Parts of the market remain doubtful nonetheless. When you have headlines about governments in different countries clamping down on smoking and trying to stop young people from vaping, it’s no wonder that sentiment remains poor towards shares in the sector.”

He added, however, that “consumers are increasingly paying more attention to health and wellness, and owning shares in this sector may not sit well with their moral conscience. But there will be others who see the opportunity to buy growing companies at cheap valuations. At the moment, the balance seems to be in favour of the former.”

Geothermal Engineering Limited to produce lithium from Cornish geothermal operations

On Tuesday, Geothermal Engineering Limited (GEL) announced plans to provide zero-carbon lithium onshore in the UK from next year, derived as a by-product from their geothermal mines in Cornwall.

GEL plans to produce approximately 100 tonnes per annum (tpa) of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) by late 2024, with the goal of scaling up to at least 1,000 tpa from this site as early as 2026.

This capacity would be sufficient to manufacture about 250,000 electric vehicle batteries for an average-sized car.

In context, this production level would have covered 94% of the LCE required for the 267,000 new battery electric vehicles (BEVs) registered in the UK in 2022.

GEL recently received support from government funding through the Automotive Transformation Fund, enabling the commencement of geothermal lithium production in 2024.

The company has identified one of the most significant concentrations of geothermal lithium in Europe within the initial deep wells at its United Downs power plant site in Redruth.

GEL’s main geothermal operations involve generating consistent geothermal electricity and heat. This process yields a naturally hot geothermal brine, from which lithium can be extracted sustainably in the UK.

By using zero-carbon geothermal power for the extraction, companies like GEL avoid the water-intensive evaporation ponds and the carbon-intensive quarrying and extraction methods employed in large open-cast mines commonly used for lithium production.

Current lithium production in Europe falls significantly short of meeting the anticipated demand for electric vehicles. China currently supplies most of the lithium used in the region.

The timely onshore or EU sourcing of lithium is becoming critical for automotive manufacturers such as VW, Ford, and Jaguar Land Rover.

The ‘rules of origin’ deadline in 2024 stipulates that 60% of battery packs must originate from the UK or Europe. Failure to meet this requirement could result in fines imposed by regulators.

The company holds planning permission for two additional geothermal projects in Cornwall and aims for rapid expansion, targeting over 12,000 tpa in the UK by 2030. 

According to Ryan Law, CEO of Geothermal Engineering Ltd., “We are extremely excited by the high concentration of lithium that we have found in our geothermal wells in Cornwall, as it will enable us to produce meaningful quantities of lithium without damaging the environment.”

“Our ability to produce both zero-carbon lithium and zero-carbon baseload power will provide a foundation for the electric car market to be truly sustainable in the UK. The importance of our projects is now being recognised by the government with recent grant funding awards and secure contracts for the electricity we produce,”, he added.

AIM movers: Positive trial news for Allergy Therapeutics and Horizonte Minerals running out of cash

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Phase III trials of the Allergy Therapeutics (LON: AGY) treatment for grass allergy have met the primary endpoint. There was a highly statistically significant reduction in the combined symptom and medication score compared to placebo. The trial was conducted in the US and Europe. Full analysis of data is continuing. The share price increased 20.8% to 1.8p.

DP Poland (LON: DPP) bounced back 12.5% to 9p after a positive trading update. Third quarter like-for-like sales in Poland were 14.1% higher and they were 34.8% ahead in October. The Croatian business is growing even faster. Singer believes the pizza retailer could move into profit in 2024.

Steel structures supplier Billington (LON: BILN) is continuing its strong momentum and Cavendish has raised its 2023 earnings forecast by one-third to 83.9p/share. Manufacturing efficiencies are combining with higher revenues. Net cash of £16m is expected for the end of the year. The total dividend is still expected to be 20p/share. The 2024 forecast has not been changed. There is a good pipeline, but there is still economic uncertainty. The share price moved ahead by 10.4% to 350p.

Aeorema Communications (LON: AEO) is increasing its dividend by 50% to 3p/share after it announced a one-quarter improvement in pretax profit to £1m on revenues of £20.2m. The strategic communications company has £1.9m in cash. The share price improved 10% to 77p.

Lithium project developer Kodal Minerals (LON: KOD) has updated its mineral resource estimate for the Bougouni spodumene project in Mali. The total resource is 32 million tonnes, up from 21 million tonnes. There is scope for a much greater increase in resource. First production could be at the end of 2024. The share price rose 4.55% to 0.69p.

FALLERS

Nickel project developer Horizonte Minerals (LON: HZM) is reducing construction activities at the Araguaia nickel project while it continues financing discussions. The project has enough working capital until mid-December, although this could be extended into the first quarter of next year. This is when the due diligence of the finance providers should be completed. The share price slumped 44.3% to 10.375p, which is a new low.

Kidney disease diagnostics developer Renalytix (LON: RENX) reported halved third quarter revenues halved to $459,000. Testing volumes were maintained, but there were more that were not billable. A distribution agreement has been secured for the Middle East. Operating costs reduced and there is more cost cutting to come. The net loss fell from $12m to $10.2m. There was $13.9m in the bank at the end of September 2023 and there are discussions on financing until 2026. The share price slipped 30.7% to 26p.

Inspirit Energy Holdings (LON: INSP) has raised £200,000 at 0.01p/share. The share price is down 23.3% to 0.0115p. Nearly one-quarter of the shares are being taken up by directors. The developer of micro combined heat and power boilers requires the cash for working capital.

Trading recommenced in Rockfire Resources (LON: ROCK) shares yesterday afternoon after it said it was not going ahead with the acquisition of Emirates Gold because of UK sanctions on the current owner Paloma Precious. Rockfire Resources still has a 10% stake in Emirates Gold. The share price continues to fall and is 23.3% lower at 0.23p.

Wage growth in the UK eases but remains close to a record level, pound gains against dollar

According to official data, wages in Britain increased at a slightly slower rate in the three months leading up to September, following a previous record pace.

Job vacancies fell, signalling a minor step down in the UK jobs market.

In the third quarter, earnings excluding bonuses were 7.7% higher compared to the same period a year earlier, as shown by the data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Tuesday.

This number reflects a slight decrease in regular pay growth, down from 7.9% in the last two reports by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The previous rates were the highest recorded since the start of this data series in 2001.

This information is likely to make the Bank of England vigilant about potential inflation pressures.

Following the release of the ONS figures, the pound slightly strengthened against the U.S. dollar.

The Bank of England (BoE) is closely monitoring pay growth to evaluate the remaining inflation pressure in the UK economy, having increased interest rates 14 times consecutively from December 2021 to August this year. Since then, it has maintained rates at the same level.

When considering bonuses, which can be erratic, pay growth decreased from 8.2% in the three months to August to 7.9%.

The BoE has mentioned that pay growth is declining too slowly for it to contemplate reducing interest rates, although informal estimates of wage increases indicate a less steep rise than the official numbers from the ONS.

According to Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, “When adjusted for inflation, it means people are finally feeling the benefit in their pay packets, and with inflation expected to have cooled significantly last month, it is an indication that the worst of the cost-of-living squeeze might be over. But there lies the rub. If households are feeling more confident and have a bit more room in the budget, they are likely to spend that cash, which could prove inflationary.”

Danni Hewson also added that “there’s also the continued tightness in the labour market that could force employers’ hands and push them to keep offering bigger pay packets to attract the staff they need to thrive.”

Vodafone shares drop as the company reports a significant fall in half-year profits

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Vodafone shares dropped on Tuesday after the telecoms group reported a half-year revenue decline of 4.3% to €21.9 billion as several disposals and adverse currency swings hit sales.

Vodafone shares had slipped by 2.4% at the time of writing after rising 1.3% in early trading.

The group’s shares have declined 27% over the past year.

According to Aarin Chierkie, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, “revenue and operating profits are heading in the wrong direction for Vodafone, reflecting recent disposals and the structural challenges at hand.”

He states that a lot of Vodafone’s financial resources have been invested in expanding fibre networks and acquiring portions of the 5G spectrum, which is putting pressure on cash flows.

Germany – accounting for 31% of Vodadfone’s service revenue – was a bright spot, reporting quarterly revenue growth of 4.2%, although service revenue for the half year fell.

While Vodafone’s Chief Executive, Margherita Della Valle, stated that the company delivered improved quarterly results in nearly all of its markets, there was weakness in Italy and Spain.

Sales in Spain and Italy continue to fall behind, following Vodafone’s announcement last month of the sale of their Spanish business, Zegona.

Operating profit for the half-year period fell 44.2%.

The company maintained its dividend for the period at 4.5c. Vodafone’s current dividend yield stands at 10%.

However, Chierkie warned this yield may be under threat if the current mediocre performance continues.

“Typically, when companies in this industry have dividend yields above 7%, there is downward pressure on the dividend. Historically, exceptions to the rule have been few and far between, and Vodafone is unlikely to be one of them,” pointed out Aarin Chierkie.

Vodafone’s net debt stands at €36.2 billion, showing a rise of €2.9 billion compared to the first half.

Kodal Minerals’ mineral resource upgrade met with a tepid market reaction

Kodal Minerals shares made minor gains on Tuesday after the company announced a significant increase in the mineral resource at their flagship lithium project.

Kodal Minerals has announced a 40% increase in the mineral resource at its Bougouni lithium project in Mali, Africa. Kodal reported a new resource estimate of 31.9 million tonnes at 1.06% lithium oxide for Bougouni, making the project one of the largest in the world.

Investors may be disappointed with the subdued market reaction, given the revised size of the resources.

The upgrade comes after recent drilling programs expanded resources at the project’s Ngoualana and Boumou deposits, which Kodal aims to develop in two stages.

The company plans first production from Ngoualana through a dense media separation plant, with a later expansion to process ore from Boumou and Sogola-Baoule using a flotation method.

Kodal said the increased resource at Ngoualana has improved confidence in the deposit ahead of initial mine development, with optimisation and design work now underway.

More drilling is imminent to expand resources further and advance additional targets at Bougouni.

Kodal Minerals shares were up only 7% at the time of writing on Tuesday despite a substantial increase in the resource, which will feed through to better project economics.

Kodal recently announced the completion of the funding package with their Chinese partners to develop the project.

Horizonte Minerals shares crash on funding uncertainty

Horizonte Minerals shares sank on Tuesday after the nickel miner said it was reducing mine construction activities as funding uncertainty mounts.

Horizonte Minerals’ funding calculations for the Araguaia nickel project in Brazil have forced the company to scale back construction while it seeks new funding sources.

The London-based developer said Tuesday it is running out of working capital and will have to halt most construction activities at Araguaia by mid-December unless it can secure additional financing.

Horizonte has slowed work to critical areas only as it holds talks with cornerstone shareholders and lenders on a new financing plan to cover remaining construction costs. The company needs the fresh capital injection to meet the conditions for an existing $131 million debt facility.

The company has $38m cash to see them through to mid-December.

Shareholders and lenders visited Araguaia last week to conduct due diligence for the potential investment. But Horizonte does not expect funding deals to be finalised until late in the first quarter 2024, pointing to significant delays in the commencement of production at the project.

The financing crunch has cast uncertainty over the development timeline and commercial viability of Araguaia, Horizonte’s flagship nickel project.

“Discussions with the Company’s major shareholders and lenders on funding the Project to completion are progressing.  While work on the funding solution continues, we have elected to focus capital and human resources on the critical work packages,” said Horizonte Minerals CEO Jeremy Martin.

“This work is planned is to ensure that we are well-positioned to resume full construction activities post receipt of the funding to benefit stakeholders and our community alike. Notwithstanding the expected increase in capital, the Araguaia project remains a Tier 1 nickel project that will produce a high grade, low cost, low impurity FeNi product over a 28-year mine life.”

Horizonte Minerals shares were down 38% at the time of writing on Tuesday.

Heliac’s RockStore technology is revolutionising power storage using simple and low-cost systems

Heliac is a fast-growing renewable energy company providing patented solar thermal technology and innovative heat storage solutions for emission-free energy.

Led by technical founders, the company has built solar fields and storage facilities for energy majors E.ON and Norfors and is targeting the rollout of their technology across Europe.

Realising the global need for affordable energy storage, Heliac expanded from solar power generation into heat storage, developing the RockStore system.

The company has raised €13.5m to date and is currently raising funds on Seedrs to fund further growth.

Heliac’s RockStore thermal storage technology uses rocks such as granite to store surplus heat from sustainable energy sources for later use – either for heat applications or electricity.

Speaking on a recent podcast with UK Investor Magazine, Michael Lindegaard, CFO at Heliac, said the cost efficiencies associated with their storage technology make their solution an attractive alternative to lithium batteries or pumped hydro.

The RockStore uses mineral oil instead of water for heat transfer, allowing compact and cost-effective components. Solar or renewable electricity heats the oil, which is stored in insulated tanks with granite. When heat is needed, cold oil is heated to generate electricity.

Heliac CEO Henrik Pranov is delighted with the technology, proven capable of storing heat for months. He emphasises RockStore’s potential to support the energy transition.

A key focus is balancing engineering and costs. Although higher efficiency is possible, Heliac prioritises feasibility. The expected cost is around 200 Danish kroner per kWh – highly competitive compared to alternatives.

“We are constantly trying to strike a good balance between engineering efficiency and cost-effectiveness. We know that we could achieve a much higher electrical-to-electrical efficiency than we’re aiming for, but it would increase the price,” says founder and CEO Henrik Pranov.

“In the end, the electrical-to-electrical efficiency doesn’t matter as much to us because we primarily use it for heat projects with the added benefit of supporting the electrical grid.”

The unique oil heat transfer allows thinner, cheaper tanks, further demonstrating the cost efficiencies of the technology.

Heliac’s vision is larger commercial-scale storage by 2025. With continued streamlining and regulatory support, their innovative RockStore technology shows promise for affordable renewable energy storage.

Capital appreciation and uncorrelated diversification with Foresight Sustainable Forestry

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Richard Kelly, Co-Founder and Co-Lead of the Foresight Sustainable Forestry Investment Trust, for a comprehensive discussion about the trust and current environment.

Watch Foresight Sustainable Forestry Presentation

We start by exploring the global timber market and the dynamics underpinning long-term trends. The conversation moves onto the UK timber market and the opportunity for investors in the structural supply deficit of UK-produced timber.

Richard details the trust’s assets, focusing on the stage in the life cycle and geographical distribution.

Discussing the trust’s characteristics, Richard explains that forestry is a unique asset class that provides a substantial level of diversification due to very low levels of correlations with equities, fixed income, or infrastructure.

Richard delves into the carbon credit and details how the trust is well placed to benefit global companies’ net zero pledges.

FSF is the first and only company to receive the London Stock Exchange’s Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) designation due to its funding of carbon mitigation that generates carbon credits.

Foresight Group LLP, a firm authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 198020) acts as the Alternative Investment Fund Manager to Foresight Sustainability Forestry.

AIM movers: Saietta India contract

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Saietta Group (LON: SED) says that its 49.5% owned Indian joint venture has secured an order for complete eDrives from its main client for a second of its light commercial vehicles. The initial order is worth £106,000 over three months and the first full year of production could generate £12.7m. This is the first significant order for the new radial flux technology. The share price is 15.2% ahead at 22.75p.

Shantonu Kumar Chundur has taken a 5.06% stake in Global Petroleum (LON: GBP). The share price rose by one-fifth to 0.105p.

RUA Life Sciences (LON: RUA) revealed at the end of last week that Mark Bradshaw has a 3.61% shareholding. The share price recovered 22.2% to 16.5p.

Mobile services provider Mobile Tornado (LON: MBT) says that InTechnology, where non-exec director Peter Wilkinson is the controlling shareholder, has transferred its 58.4% stake to Holf Investments, which is wholly owned by Peter Wilkinson. The transfer price was 2.43p/share. Holf Investments has also taken on £11.2m of preference shares and debt in Mobile Tornado, which still owes InTechnology £190,000 in debt and accrued interest.  The share price improved 18.4% to 1.125p.

Brave Bison (LON: BBSN) has won new contracts and secured renewals worth a total of £4m. Media practice Brave Bison Performance secured a renewal with an electricals retailer worth £2m over two years and a new contract with a Finland-based homeware retailer worth £1m up until the end of 2024. Digital commerce practice Brave Bison Commerce has gained a £1m contract with a Netherlands-based car parts retailer. The contracts underpin expectations for a 2023 pre-tax profit of £3.1m. This pushed up the share price 16.4% to 1.775p.

FALLERS

Uncertainty about whether AMTE Power (LON: AMTE) can raise more cash before its funds run out later this month has hit the share price, which is down 25.9% to 0.5p. Discussions concerning the £2.5m subscription by an investor continue but will not be concluded by the end of November.

88 Energy (LON: 88E) has signed a deal to earn up to 45% of petroleum licence 93, onshore Namibia. There will be a progressive increase in the stake as certain milestones are achieved. The licence is in the Owambo Basin, which has a proven petroleum system. The share price has slipped 7.14% to 0.325p.

Wentworth Resources (LON: WEN) says that it achieved record production levels of 105 mmscf/day in the first half. There was $44.6m in cash at the end of October 2023. However, revenues are lower because the way the production agreement is set up. The Tanzanian government is re-examining the historic cost pool audit for 2013-2015 and Wentworth’s maximum exposure is $14m. The bid by Etablissements Maurel & Prom is still awaiting regulatory approval because of complications over a potential first right of refusal for the acquisition of the main asset by another party. No dividend will be declared. The share price declined 6.67% to 24.5p.

Team Internet Group (LON: TIG) reported further growth in its business, but the weaker digital advertising market reduced the rate of growth for the online marketing division. It still grew 15% over nine months, while there was a strong performance by the domain names business. Group revenues were 16% ahead at $611.7m, while lower gross margin meant that EBITDA was 11% ahead at $68.8m. The share price has fallen 4.19% to 119p.