Petro Matad shares surge after Mongolia tests ‘exceeded expectations’

Petro Matad has announced that well testing at its Gazelle-1 site has exceeded expectations, with the company now fast-tracking the well for production before month-end.

At long last, some good news from Petro Matad.

The AIM-quoted Mongolian oil company revealed on Wednesday that the well flowed oil and gas to surface without artificial lift after perforating an eight-metre zone in the Tsagaantsav Formation.

Initial flow rates reached 160 barrels of oil per day on a 1/8 inch choke. This jumped to 300 bopd on a larger choke, ultimately achieving approximately 460 bopd on a 1/4 inch choke.

Crucially, no formation water appeared during testing. The oil quality measured 43° API, matching crude from the company’s Heron-1 well.

‘The performance of Gazelle-1 on test has exceeded expectations’, Petro Matad said in an RNS released on Wednesday, adding that production is targeted to begin before the end of October. Neighbouring operator PetroChina has provided equipment from its inventory to expedite completion and start-up.

Petro Matad shares were 30% higher at the time of writing.

The flow rates mean the rig will remain at Gazelle-1 rather than moving to test the Gobi Bear-1 well as planned. That operation has been postponed until April 2026. Investors shouldn’t be too upset that development at Gobi will take a while longer.

Elsewhere, Petro Matad reported progress at Heron-2, where beam pump installation began this month, and confirmed completion of Heron-1’s connection to Mongolia’s national electricity grid.

“We are delighted that the results from the Gazelle-1 well test have exceeded our expectations and we are now prioritising getting the well onstream as it shows the potential to significantly increase our daily production and revenue,” said Mike Buck, CEO of Petro Matad.

“We are also glad to see the start of an efficient down hole clean up at Heron-2 which should give us the definitive results on flowing fluid and well rate that we seek.

“We are disappointed that we will not be able to test Gobi Bear-1 during this operational season but there is minimal additional cost to remobilise for this activity in 2026 and right now, given the enthusiasm with which Gazelle-1 has tested, the production addition must be our first priority.”

Petro Matad was included in UK Investor Magazine’s ‘Top 20 Stock Picks for 2025’ and is currently one of the worst performers, losing 27% year-to-date.

Ramsdens Holdings: yesterday’s price fallback offers good buying opportunity 

Just nine days ago I featured Ramsdens Holdings (LON:RFX) ahead of its Pre-Close Trading Update for its year to end-September. 
The shares of the £120m-capitalised diversified financial services provider and retailer were then 375p. 
Yesterday they hit 395p, with heavy trading volumes of nearly five times the daily average, following the group’s latest statement, before then dipping to 367.50p on profit-taking. 
The Pre-Close Trading Update 
The group anticipates that its FY25 profit before tax will be slightly ahead of analyst expectations, which were previously at £15.4m....

Why investors shouldn’t mistake short-term setbacks for a slippery slope  

Gabriel Sacks is Co-Manager of Aberdeen Asia Focus

What would you think if I were to say resilience is one of the most important attributes an investor can possess? More specifically, what would you think if I were to suggest it can be particularly useful in a market such as Asia? 

You might infer that investing must be a dispiriting exercise, not least in the region in which my colleagues and I specialise. You might even conclude that it must be a matter of somehow triumphing in the face of overwhelming odds. 

Thankfully, the point I want to make is rather more upbeat. I believe resilience is essential because successful investing is usually rooted in taking a long-term view and accepting setbacks are inevitable but eminently surmountable. 

I thought about this recently when contemplating one of my sporadic forays into the world of skiing. It goes without saying that most skiers, whatever their level of proficiency, suffer some painful tests of character. 

Hermann Maier offers one of the most remarkable illustrations. The Austrian multiple champion amassed 54 World Cup race victories in the 1990s and 2000s, but his stellar career was not without incident. 

In 2001, while riding his motorbike home after a training session, Maier collided with a car. His right leg was so badly injured that doctors considered amputation. Extensive reconstructive surgery was eventually carried out. 

Hardly anyone expected a return to action, let alone a full-blown comeback, yet Maier re-entered top-level competition a little over a year later. Within two weeks, sensationally, he added to his tally of World Cup wins. In light of his apparent indestructibility, fans dubbed him “The Herminator”. 

Investing very rarely serves up such extremes, of course. Neither the lows nor the highs are likely to be so pronounced. But there are bound to be ups and downs, with the latter occasionally testing patience and resolve. 

For example, imagine seeking out the brightest opportunities among Asia’s smaller companies. This is likely to mean venturing into relatively unfamiliar territory – not just in terms of region but in terms of asset class – for most investors. 

Some might be immediately deterred by the fact that Asia is home to numerous emerging markets (EMs). Wherever they may be, EMs are often perceived as inherently risky and unstable. 

The paucity of information on smaller companies could also be a source of discouragement. A small-cap business in Asia is likely to be covered by just a handful of analysts – or very possibly by none at all. 

Fortunately, these initial hurdles are not difficult to overcome. They barely amount to taking a gentle tumble on the nursery slopes. 

The truth is that EMs are nowadays seldom defined by instability. A key lesson of the past few years is that volatility and uncertainty can be found pretty much everywhere – not just in EMs but in their developed counterparts – and the consequences tend to be short-lived. 

The analysis gap also need not be a problem. Investment teams such as ours are able to draw on our own in-depth research – including first-hand, on-the-ground insights – to learn more about the attractions of companies at the lower end of the market-capitalisation spectrum. 

Naturally, there are instances when we might dig pretty deep before discovering a business’s ostensible appeal fails to withstand ever-closer scrutiny. This can be frustrating. 

There are also instances when, for whatever reason, a holding may prove incapable of generating the kind of growth and performance for which we originally hoped. This can be disappointing. 

Yet such is the way of investing. Moments of frustration and disappointment are inevitable. Resilience lies in recognising the value of dusting yourself down, ploughing on and learning to live with short-term noise and fleeting dissatisfaction. 

Historically, smaller companies have outperformed their larger counterparts over time. This acknowledged trend, which has been evident both in Asia and elsewhere, continues to underpin the investment philosophy that drives abrdn Asia Focus plc. 

No strategy is infallible, because markets are themselves imperfect. So is the information that shapes them. 

But strategies that are able to benefit from a diligent stock-picking process and sensible but agile portfolio management are likely to succeed over the long run, despite the many twists and turns that punctuate every investment journey. Our own performance record clearly demonstrates as much. 

Incidentally, in case you may be wondering, I will spare you the details of my latest skiing exploits. Suffice to say that resilience was once again a useful quality to possess. As The Herminator himself may well have said: “I’ll be back.” 

Important information 

  • The value of investments, and the income from them, can go down as well as up and investors may get back less than the amount invested. 
  • Past performance is not a guide to future results. 
  • Emerging markets tend to be more volatile than mature markets and the value of your investment could move sharply up or down. 
  • Investment in the Company may not be appropriate for investors who plan to withdraw their money within 5 years. 
  • The Company may borrow to finance further investment (gearing). The use of gearing is likely to lead to volatility in the Net Asset Value (NAV) meaning that any movement in the value of the company’s assets will result in a magnified movement in the NAV. 
  • The Company may accumulate investment positions which represent more than normal trading volumes which may make it difficult to realise investments and may lead to volatility in the market price of the Company’s shares. 
  • The Company may charge expenses to capital which may erode the capital value of the investment. 
  • The Company invests in smaller companies which are likely to carry a higher degree of risk than larger companies. 
  • Movements in exchange rates will impact on both the level of income received and the capital value of your investment. 
  • There is no guarantee that the market price of the Company’s shares will fully reflect their underlying Net Asset Value. 
  • As with all stock exchange investments the value of the Company’s shares purchased will immediately fall by the difference between the buying and selling prices, the bid-offer spread. If trading volumes fall, the bid-offer spread can widen. 
  • The Company invests in emerging markets which tend to be more volatile than mature markets and the value of your investment could move sharply up or down. 
  • Specialist funds which invest in small markets or sectors of industry are likely to be more volatile than more diversified trusts. 
  • Yields are estimated figures and may fluctuate, there are no guarantees that future dividends will match or exceed historic dividends and certain investors may be subject to further tax on dividends. 

Other important information: 

The details contained here are for information purposes only and should not be considered as an offer, investment recommendation, or solicitation to deal in any investments or funds and does not constitute investment research, investment recommendation or investment advice in any jurisdiction. Any data contained herein which is attributed to a third party (“Third Party Data”) is the property of (a) third party supplier(s) (the “Owner”) and is licensed for use with Aberdeen. Third Party Data may not be copied or distributed. Third Party Data is provided “as is” and is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. To the extent permitted by applicable law, none of the Owner, Aberdeen, or any other third party (including any third party involved in providing and/or compiling Third Party Data) shall have any liability for Third Party Data or for any use made of Third Party Data. Neither the Owner nor any other third party sponsors, endorses or promotes the fund or product to which Third Party Data relates. 

The abrdn Asia Focus plc Key Information Document can be obtained here

Issued by abrdn Fund Managers Limited, registered in England and Wales (740118) at 280 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 4AG. The company is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK. 

Find out more at aberdeeninvestments.com/aas or by registering for updates. You can also follow us on X, Facebook and LinkedIn

Mobico wins ‘major’ €500m Saudi Arabia transport contract

Mobico Group shares jumped on Thursday after the transport group announced it had secured a major eight-year transport contract in Saudi Arabia worth €500 million.

Mobico Group’s long-suffering shareholders were due some good news and that has come in the form of a ‘major’ contract with the Kingdom.

The company’s ALSA subsidiary will operate the service through a joint venture with a local firm. It will operate 156 vehicles—126 of which are electric—serving Qiddiya, a new city being developed near Riyadh.

The agreement will help support local development plans in Qiddiya, one of Saudi Arabia’s flagship projects. Qiddiya is believed to become the country’s largest entertainment destination.

The contract covers park-and-ride facilities and shuttle services linking Riyadh with Qiddiya. It marks a significant expansion for ALSA in the kingdom, where the company has operated long-haul intercity routes in the southern region since October 2023.

Mobico described the deal as “capital-light”, suggesting limited upfront investment requirements.

One would think the deal puts Mobico in good standing for further contracts as Saudi Arabia undertakes ambitious development and infrastructure projects.

“This new contract, which meets our disciplined return hurdles, strengthens Mobico’s presence in the Middle East and showcases ALSA’s ability to win competitive contracts in large-scale overseas projects, positioning ourselves as a leading operator of innovative, sustainable transport services,” said Phil White, Executive Chair of Mobico.

Vietnam upgraded to Emerging Market by FTSE Russell

Vietnam has been upgraded to a Secondary Emerging Market from a Frontier Market status by FTSE Russell, as the global index provider recognises the progress Vietnam has made in developing its equity market, ready for increased foreign investment.

The reclassification marks a major step in Vietnam’s continued economic development, with the country meeting all the criteria set out by FTSE Russell

“The official recognition and upgrade of Vietnam’s securities market is clear evidence of the country’s sound development path and its growing capacity to integrate deeply into the global financial system,” said Mr. Nguyen Van Thang, Minister of Finance of Viet Nam.

“The Ministry of Finance remains committed to advancing deeper and broader reforms, maximising accessibility for both domestic and international investors, while accelerating the modernisation and digitalisation of its market infrastructure – with the objective of establishing an increasingly transparent and efficient market.”

The actions implemented by Vietnam to achieve Emerging Market status included removing the prefunding requirement for Foreign Institutional Investors and establishing a formal process for handling failed trades.

Vietnam will officially be recognised as an Emerging Market in September 2026, conditional on an interim review in March 2026.

The upgrade has been on the cards for several years, but it was widely expected that the reclassification would be confirmed this time around.

Vietnamese stocks have surged in the run-up to the decision, with the leading VN Index gaining 33% over the past year.

Looking to the future, the upgrade opens the doors to fresh external capital, which will undoubtedly boost Vietnamese stocks. However, experts have explained that the flows will be more gradual than one might think.

“The anticipated upgrade of Vietnam to emerging market status represents a significant milestone, though the immediate impact may be more modest than some expect,” said Craig Martin, Chairman of Dynam Capital, the manager of Vietnam Holding.

“While approximately 30% of frontier investors already have positions in Vietnam, the transition will prompt emerging market investors to evaluate whether to allocate capital to the country. Vietnam will represent around 1-2% of the broader emerging market universe initially, and initial capital inflows are projected to be relatively measured, ranging from $1-10 billion over the subsequent 12 months as investors gradually reallocate their portfolios.

“Although we don’t expect a wave of capital to hit Vietnamese stocks on day one, we are looking forward to fresh interest from international investors. Passive funds tracking emerging market indices will likely make the initial allocations, with active managers potentially following as they assess the opportunity.”

Martin continued to explain that the upgrade should be viewed in the wider context of Vietnam’s open-door policies that have positioned the country as one of the world’s leading export economies.

“However, the true benefit extends far beyond immediate capital flows,” Martin said.

“The regulatory reforms Vietnam has implemented to meet emerging market criteria represent the most significant achievement. These improvements create a more level playing field for foreign investors and enhance overall market readiness, benefiting both international and domestic participants alike.

“Ultimately, the upgrade will represent a positive first step in Vietnam’s continued market evolution, with the reform process itself being more valuable for the long-term trajectory of Vietnamese stocks than any single reclassification event.”

AIM movers: WH Ireland could lose general meeting vote and Angle refines strategy

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WH Ireland (LON: WHI) has confirmed that current levels of proxy votes indicate that the planned sale of the wealth management operations, departure from AIM and the winding up of the company will not be passed by shareholders. The outcome will not be certain until the general meeting tomorrow. The share price jumped 212.5% to 1.25p.

Oxford Biodynamics (LON: OBD) has, alongside the University of East Anglia, developed a test for Chronic Fatigue System or ME – there are around 400,000 sufferers in the UK. A suitable partner will be sought. The share price increased 28.6% to 0.675p.

Washing machine technology developer Xeros Technology (LON: XSG) has secured a joint development and product launch agreement with a global OEM that will use the technology in domestic washing machines in America. Commercialisation could be within 18 months. There are three more potential agreements like this one. A reduced loss of £2.8m is forecast for 2025. The share price recovered 16.7% to 1.75p.

Synthetic binders developer Aptamer (LON: APTA) has secured a £360,000 development contract with a top 3 global pharmaceutical company. The fee-for-service contract is to develop Optimer binders as targeted radiopharmaceuticals. Aptamer retains the rights for licensing. This takes work secured for this financial year to £1.03m. Last year’s revenues were £1.2m. The sales pipeline is worth £3.4m.  The share price improved 15.8% to 1.1p.

Ariana Resources (LON: AAU) says that the second gold mine at Tavsan in Turkey is fully operational. Ariana Resources has a 23.5% stake in this mine which could produce up 30,000 ounces of gold each year at a cost of $1,500/ounce. At the current gold price, the company’s share of EBITDA could be £14m, according to Zeus. Cash could be used to invest in the Dokwe gold project in Zimbabwe. The share price is 14.9% higher at 1.925p.

Conroy Gold and Natural Resources (LON: CGNR) has raised £1.73m at 10p/share. The cash will finance geological work on interests in Ireland. The share price rose 11.9% to 11.75p.  

FALLERS

Angle (LON: AGL) chairman Dr Jan Groen has become executive chairman, and the company is changing its name to CelLBxHealth. This is designed to reflect the new focus on circulating tumour cells (CTC) intelligence. There are plans to integrate existing proteomics and genomic assays with the company’s Parsortix technology. Cash should last until the first quarter of 2026, and more cash will be required. The share price is one fifth lower at 2.2p.

Oil and gas producer Serica Energy (LON: SQZ) has had further disruption at the Triton FPSO. A problem with the flare system temporarily halted production. This means that production will be lower than previous guidance of 29,000-32,000 boepd. The share price fell 10.4% to 191.2p.

Shares in pawnbroker Ramsdens (LON: RFX) slipped 5.16% to 367.5p despite Panmure Liberum raising its target share price from 385p to 450p on the back of the full year trading statement. This is due to the strong gold price and an 8% increase in the pawnbroking loan book to £11.5m. Net cash is estimated at £2.5m. The 2024-25 pre-tax profit has been edged up from £15.4m to £15.7m and the 2025-26 figure increased by 11% to £15.9m.

FTSE 100 powers to record highs as Lloyds gains

The FTSE 100 powered to record highs on Wednesday, with precious metals miners and Lloyds helping the index shake off a poor session in the US overnight.

London’s leading index was trading at 9,532 at the time of writing.

“After a miserable day on Wall Street yesterday, European markets opened with a spring in their step,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“The FTSE 100 was propelled by Lloyds enjoying a relief rally amid relatively positive news on the motor finance scandal, while Endeavour Mining continued to shine off the back of gold surpassing $4,000 an ounce for the first time.

“While stock markets have generally done well this year, gold has been a superstar. Traditionally, investors would load up on the shiny stuff when markets look gloomy, not when they’re motoring ahead. It shows that investors are hedging their bets, particularly as there are growing concerns that euphoria around AI has gone too far and the bubble could burst at some point.”

Precious metals miners have been a core driving force in the FTSE 100’s gains so far this year, and Endeavour Mining and Fresnillo were again among the top risers as gold took out yet another key level on Wednesday

And the rally could be set to continue. The latest gains in gold are being attributed to the US government shutdown, which shows little sign of being resolved in the short term.

“This latest high marks the latest stage in what has been a meteoric rise in the gold price, which has now doubled in the last two years,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Some are pointing to the ongoing US government shutdown, where Federal workers have been sent home, possibly with no pay, if overnight reports of President Trump’s intentions prove accurate.”

Endeavour Mining was the top FTSE 100 riser with gains of 2.7%.

Lloyds was also among the top risers as investors cheered an FCA proposal that could mean the financial impact of the motor finance scandal for Lloyds is less than previously feared.

“The motor finance scandal is proving to be less dramatic than thought. Lloyds’ shares jumped after the regulator proposed that motorists would get £700 on average in compensation, lower than the previous indicated amount of £950,” Russ Mould said.

“Lloyds has already taken a £1.2 billion provision to cover the cost, which now looks like a reasonable assumption. The fact its share price jumped means the market is comfortable with the outcome and that a big uncertainty factor will soon be removed.

“Lloyds’ management will be keen to shift the market’s focus to the bank’s growth opportunities in the future, not what it has done in the past.”

Lloyds shares were 2% higher at the time of writing.

Tesla shares slump after underwhelming Model Y and Model 3 launches

Tesla investors were not impressed with the launch of the latest models of Tesla EVs and shares fell in an immediate reaction to the release of the low-cost Model Y and Model 3.

Elon Musk’s Tesla is facing growing competition from Chinese players, such as BYD, which has overtaken Tesla in terms of sales in many geographies. There were hopes that new models could improve their position.

However, the launches did nothing to address concerns that Tesla was at risk of becoming just another EV maker amid the growth of specialist EV manufacturers and the increasing range of EVs produced by traditional automakers.

“After days of cryptic X posts, Tesla’s announcement landed with a dull thud for those dreaming of a game-changing new model. Instead, it debuted cheaper ‘standard’ trims of the Model 3 and Model Y, achieved by stripping out premium features like glass roofs, rear screens, and some creature comforts – but this is cost-cutting, not reinvention,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“For realistic investors, this was as expected, and still an important step to help bridge the affordability gap in the US, with the tax credit no longer on the table. The near-term focus is on squeezing costs from existing platforms, not launching a $25k car. That rumoured ‘Model Q’ or sub-$30k Tesla is still just chatter, with the Cybercab project likely occupying that slot in Tesla’s roadmap.”

Tesla shares fell 4% in US trade overnight but were slightly higher in the premarket on Wednesday.

Although investors will be disappointed about the lack of innovation in the new launches, many will have their eyes on a different prize. And that’s the future of autonomous vehicles.

Musk has been vocal about his intentions to become a leader in AVs and set out his stall with Robotaxis and limited launches of the driverless taxis in the US. There were early issues such as cars driving on the wrong side of the road. However, we are in the early stages of AV adoption, and Tesla shared interesting software developments that will lay the foundations for future growth in the area.

“Perhaps the more important headline, and one that went under the radar, wasn’t the cars at all – it was about software,” Britzman said.

“Tesla rolled out FSD v14, its biggest self-driving update in a year. The marriage of hardware and software is what really sets Tesla apart from most of its competition and is as important, if not more, than driving down the headline vehicle price.

“For investors looking for fireworks, this wasn’t it. But for those watching the autonomy story, yesterday was another important step toward the future Tesla is betting on.”

Rank Group: bingo! it is time to play the machines and read the cards, ahead of the AGM Update

I consider that the Rank Group (LON:RNK) is a real ‘money machine’ and that its shares at the current 130p are an absolute bargain. 
My last feature on them was on Thursday, 14th August, then at 137p, since when they hit 151.80p before easing back to the current 130p on the back of profit-taking. 
Next week, on Wednesday 15th October, we will see the £610m-capitalised gaming group holding its AGM, ahead of which it will put out a Trading Update. 
The anticipation of that statement could help to get the shares on the upward move again. 
The Business 
Over the course of ...

FTSE 100: Three Paths the Market Could Take Next 

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by Russell Shor

How to trade the FTSE 100 

The FTSE 100 has had a strong 2025 so far, gaining 16% year to date. The index trades at around 18 times earnings and offers a dividend yield slightly above 3%, supported by forecasts of £80 billion in dividends and more than £39 billion in buybacks. Its heavy weighting in banks, energy companies, miners, and consumer giants means profits remain closely tied to global growth and commodity prices. With interest rates at 4%, inflation at 3.8%, and gilt yields near 4.7%, dividends and buybacks continue to underpin valuations even as they appear stretched. From here, we examine three hypothetical technical scenarios for how the market may develop. 

FTSE100 Technical Analysis:  

Peak and Troughs 

Tradu’s FTSE 100 CFD, UK100, has broadly maintained a pattern of higher troughs followed by higher peaks since its reference trough in October 2022 and its reference peak in February 2023. There were periods where labelling was more complex, yet the overall trend has been clear. 

April was an exception. When President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day” (2 April), the index sold off sharply. A week later, however, a 90-day pause was announced, and the market staged a recovery. By the end of the month, the index had pared most of its losses and was down only about 1% for April. The bears had been forced out, and the bulls lifted prices well above the early April lows. 

A Continuation of the Trend Scenario 

If weakness sets in and a pullback develops, the key question is whether another higher trough can be established. Should that occur, the uptrend remains intact and would likely pave the way for a new higher peak. In this scenario, the series of higher troughs followed by higher peaks continues, reinforcing the existing bullish structure.

 

A Reversal of the Trend Scenario 

A second possibility is that the market is close to a peak and that a reversal is looming. In this case, a higher trough could still form initially, but the bulls may lack the strength to push through the previous peak. Instead, a lower peak would emerge, signalling potential fatigue. 

The real risk comes if bears then drive the next leg below the prior trough, creating a lower trough. This outcome would effectively resemble a head-and-shoulders formation, a classic sign of a trend reversal. 

The Trend Consolidates Scenario 

 A third option is that neither side gains the upper hand. If demand and supply balance, price action could settle into a sideways consolidation. This may take different forms, with a rectangular trading range being one likely outcome. A decisive breakout or breakdown from this range would then provide the signal for the next directional move. 

Conclusion 

The FTSE 100 has delivered solid gains this year, but the next stage will depend on how price action develops against a challenging backdrop of tight valuations, elevated rates, and shifting fundamentals. Whether the index extends its series of higher highs, signals a reversal through lower peaks and troughs, or pauses into a consolidation phase, each scenario carries distinct implications for investors and traders alike. Careful monitoring of peak and trough behaviour will be key, as the eventual breakout or breakdown will set the tone for the market’s next decisive move.

Click to find out more.