Boohoo shares spike over 5% after annual guidance is lifted
Markets unphased by US-China trade deal progress
“The markets didn’t really get anything from the newly revealed details of the US-China trade deal, instead drifting lower after the bell.”
“With the agreement all ready to be signed tomorrow, Washington removed the ‘currency manipulator’ label from China – a symbolic gesture rather than tangible one, but nevertheless another example of thawing relationships between the two superpowers.”
“This helped send the yuan to a 5-month high, but did little for the Western indices. Instead the DAX and CAC fell 0.5% apiece, with the Dow Jones set to drop 0.4% later this afternoon. The FTSE avoided the same kind of losses, though was still down a handful of points.”
“The trouble is, the positive aspects of the trade deal are pretty thoroughly priced in. In contrast, any rogue comments from Donald Trump in the coming days – especially those related to ‘phase two’, if the US and China ever get to that point – may then have a disproportionate impact on the markets, good or bad.”
“The reason the FTSE was able to outperform its peers was the continued weakening of sterling. The pound lost another 0.2% against dollar and euro alike, the ongoing speculation of an incoming interest rate cut, heightened by Monday’s dreadful GDP reading, weighing on the currency.”
“It was, broadly, a terrible Christmas for UK retailers. However, as is often the case, boohoo managed to buck the trends that have afflicted its high street peers, crying tears of joy after a record quarter. For the 4 months to the end of 2019 revenue jumped 44%, causing it to lift its forecast growth for the year to 40-42% against previous estimates of 33-39%. That increase was enough to send the stock to a fresh all-time high, the fashion brand rising 3.3% to strike £3.28.”
Taylor Wimpey expect results to be steady following turbulent 2019
Taylor Wimpey plc (LON:TW) have told the market that they expect their results to be in line with expectations.
The firm had alluded to both political and economic complications across the 2019 trading year, as the property market was hit by external shocks.
The FTSE 100 trader said that the housing market remained stable in the last year, however there were challenges faced in London and the South East.
Taylor Wimpey noted that total house completions in 2019 has increased by 5% to 15,719 which included joint ventures.
“While 2020 will continue to be a year of change for the UK, we welcome the increased political stability following the general election,” the company said.
“We start the year with a strong order book and continue to target a smoother profile of completions throughout the year but expect 2020 to continue to be second half weighted,” the housebuilder said.
2019 ended with a record total order book valued at £2.17 million, which showed a ruse from the £1.78 figure a year ago.
The house builder said that it remains cash generative and intends to return £610 million to shareholders in a dividend form.
Pete Redfern, Chief Executive, commented:
“Our results for the year to 31 December 2019 will be in line with our expectations. Despite an uncertain political and economic backdrop in 2019, we have continued to experience a good level of demand for our homes and trading in the second half of the year was as anticipated. The Group has again delivered a record sales rate and we increased home completions by c.5% in the year.
In 2019, our focus was on strengthening the long term sustainability of the business, further improving our build quality and customer offering, as well as increasing operating capacity and flexibility. In 2020, we will continue with these initiatives and will also prioritise a renewed cost focus and process simplification improvements.”
Operating profit for the period was down 9.4% to £311.9 million, however this was attributed to higher build costs and geographic mix.
Market analysts have been somewhat impressed with the performance of Taylor Wimpey, which will please shareholders.
John Woolfitt, Director of Trading at Atlantic Capital Markets commented
“Today’s figures show, that despite political uncertainty, the sector is still performing well. Record sales rates for Taylor Wimpey and an increase in home completions all bode well for the builder’s shares which are shaking off any concerns over slowing house prices.”
“This, and a positive outcome for the conservatives in the December election, has also led to further upgrades for the whole sector and a positive outlook for the year ahead.”
“Dividends increased significantly to £600m in 2019 and although dividends are not set to jump to the same degree in 2020, investors can look forward to a similar payout of around £610m from Taylor Wimpey in the year ahead.“Wimpey build from November
In November, the firm reported strong demand in their second half update.
Taylor Wimpey did warn homebuilders about potential rising costs in 2020, however in the Wednesday statement, the firm speculated that cost inflation may reduce in 2020 instead.
The FTSE 100 listed home builder, reported a 12.5% rise in its orders, to £2.7 billion as it exploited strong demand coupled with lower interest rates and the governments Help to Buy scheme boosting demand.
Total order book, excluding joint ventures, stood at 10,433 homes as at November 10 from 9,843 homes a year earlier.
The Homebuilding market – Boris Bounce wears off
Just as the election results were hitting news headlines on 13th December, many of the British Home builders saw their shares in green.
Notable rises came from Berkeley Group Holdings PLC (LON:BKG) whose shares spiked 13.06%, whilst Barratt Developments Plc (LON: BDEV) shares rose 12.52% to 755p.
MJ Gleeson (LON:GLE) updated the market last week saying that they remained confident in a home building market that was still facing uncertainty.
The householder said that its Homes unit had sold 811 units during the half year period to end 2019, which saw a 17% climb year on year from the 691 figure.
Additionally, Gleeson said that the demand for its low cost homes remains strong and is on track to deliver full-year unit completions in line with expectations.
For financial 2019, the firm reported pretax profit of £41.2 million, which showed growth by 11% from the £37 million a year ago.
The results today posted by Taylor Wimpey are impressive, and shareholders will be keen to see how 2020 unfolds as the Brexit negotiations take their turn and hopefully many political uncertainties are cleared.
Shares of Taylor Wimpey trade at 205p (+1.88%). 14/1/20 10:34BST.
Will Bidstack shares overcome this hurdle in their business model?
Bidstack Business Model
Here lies the fundamental flaw in Bidstack’s model. Adverts run through Bidstack’s inventory is void of opportunity for engagement. Bidstack have said they don’t want to ruin the immersive experience of gaming. This is attractive to the game developer, but not so much to potential advertisers. Can you imagine a gamer playing Fifa online and pausing their match mid flow to interact with an advert and buy a product? It seems unlikely. Firstly because the functionality isn’t there and it is very doubtful to ever be there at a meaningful scale. Secondly, and most importantly, gamers are going to have little propensity to stop their game and make third part purchases, even if they could.
This removes a lot of the potential value from Bidstack’s business model when compared to the traditional digital advertising networks.
However, it doesn’t render it completely worthless. The attention of gamers carries significant value. Twitch is an example of this.
The challenge for Bidstack is their inventory merely replicates an out-of-home advertising model but places it in a digital environment, without the interaction enjoyed by other forms of digital advertising. This may raise questions among the major agencies when creating plans for the world’s leading advertisers.
Demographics
Despite engagement presenting a potential hurdle, Bidstack does provide value to advertisers in the form context and the ability to gain the attention of a specific demographic. Harnessing this effectively is where long term shareholder value should be created given the recent decline in social media users. The recent slow down could signal a top in advertising growth through Facebook, Instagram and Twitter. This is of course a high risk assumption given the resources of the social media giants, but it may play into Bidstack’s hands. “Bidstack is a very interesting proposition and appeals to me as a more speculative aim stock. They look to have coupled up two sectors in a partnership that will see advertising delivered to a huge demographic in a new, unique and very passive way,’ said John Woolfitt of Atlantic Capital Markets. Summarising the potential risk of Bidstack’s model John Woolfitt continued “with any company like this you must see it for what it is, this is no defensive income share and it will need potential investors to understand the concept. Shares like this should occupy the smaller more speculative section of your overall portfolio.” “That all being said the company is well positioned to take advantage of the evolving technology, and as a lot of gamers globally are now in their 30’s and have disposable income they are well positioned to catch the opportunity at a time that has now seen the consumers become a valid audience for advertising.” Bidstack (LON:BIDS) listed in 2018 at 6p per share and currently trade at 11p, having reached highs of 42p in June.City Pub Group fall 8% following festive slow down
Generally successful year for City Pub
In September, the firm saw its profit rise as it posted impressive financial results for the first half of FY19. In spite of their trading performance following the announcement, the Company performed well during the first half, with like-for-like sales increasing by 2.6% and revenues spiking 36% on a year-on-year basis, to £27.1 million. This led the Group’s 20% EBITDA surge, to £3.6 million, and a 19% hike in adjusted profit before tax, to £1.9 million. City Pub Group said they had opened four new pubs during the period, with their in development becoming their main focus, in lieu of further acquisitions. The Company added that it had reaped the rewards of its new regional management structure and Weekly Employee Bonus Scheme, both of which the Group said would bolster growth and incentivise staff.Competitors – JD Wetherspoon still leads the market
In November, J D Wetherspoon plc (LON:JDW) saw their shares spike following a bullish update. The British pub chain boasted strong sales figures, which increased across the quarter as customers spent more its nearly 900 pubs across Britain and Ireland. The company reported higher demand for coffee, pink gin, real ale and breakfast. Additionally beer sales rose significantly as British consumer trends changed by the quarter. J D Wetherspoon’s like-for-like sales rose 5.3%, which exceeded both market and analyst expectations. Additionally, the firm pledged to create 10,000 new jobs over the next four years in December. Wetherspoon updated the market by saying that they plan to open between 50-60 new pubs and hotels. These new branches will be located within in small and medium-sized British towns and cities but also in London, Edinburgh, Glasgow, Birmingham and Leeds as well as the Irish cities of Dublin and Galway. “Wetherspoon will not be entering into any deal like everyone else,” a company spokesman said.Fuller, Smith & Turner experience turbulence
Another name in the industry, in Fuller, Smith and Turner (LON:FSTA) saw their shares crash a few weeks back. In January, pub operator Fuller’s agreed to sell its historic brewing operations to Japanese brewer Asahi Group Holdings Ltd (TYO:2502) for £250 million. Fuller’s expects the higher overhead levels to remain in place until the services agreement ends in May. Following this, the now pure-play pubs and hotels operator will be able to transition its costs structure to this new focused business. The statement provided updated shareholders saying that annual profit was set to be unchanged.The firm alluded to costs with the separation of its brewing business came in significantly higher than expected. Certainly, City Pub have performed well across their financial year. The firm still has lots of growth and development to undertake, but shareholders can remain confident that 2020 will be a productive year for the firm. Shares in City Pub Group trade at 198p (-8.97%). 13/1/20 14:28BST.British economy sees weakest period of Economic Growth since 2012 in November
Caledonia Mining shares bounce over 5% following record production figures
Caledonia remain optimistic in future outlook
Looking to 2020, the Jersey-based company sees gold production between 53,000 ounces and 56,000 ounces. Chief Executive Steve Curtis said: “I am delighted to report a production record at Blanket of 16,867 ounces in the fourth quarter. An improvement in the electricity supply and vigilant focus on grade control and production tonnage have resulted in an excellent production result for the final quarter of which our entire operational staff can be justifiably proud. “The impressive operational turnaround was achieved without any compromises on safety. This is a commendable achievement given the distractions posed by the challenging conditions experienced by our workers due to the economic environment in Zimbabwe.” “I am also pleased to see we have not lost this momentum as we start 2020 with the mine continuing to perform very well into the new year. With the improved operational performance and the current buoyant gold prices leading to healthy operating margins we expect Caledonia to continue its track record of strong cash generation,” Curtis continued. “I expect 2020 to be a landmark year for our business: we look forward to commissioning the central shaft later in 2020 which we anticipate will then deliver increased operating cash flows and reduced capital expenditure will follow.”Shareholders remain impressed after beating annual guidance
In July, the firm said that it planned to retain its full year guidance as it updated shareholders on its Q2 activity. The Company stated that 12,712 ounces of gold were produced during Q2, which represented a 6.4% rise on the 11,948 ounces for Q1. Caledonia Mining retained its full year guidance of 53,000 – 56,000 ounces despite H1 output standing at just 24,660 ounces; this was 3.4% lower than last year’s volume of 25,582 ounces. The Company currently holds a 49% in Blanket Mine, but has penned a conditional agreement to expand this to 64%. It said it remained on target to reach its 80,000 ounces per annum target for 2022. “As at March 31, 2019, Caledonia had cash of approximately US$9.7 million. The Company plans for Blanket to increase gold production from 54,511 ounces in 2018 to approximately 75,000 ounces in 2021 and approximately 80,000 ounces by 2022,” the Company said.Zimbabwe Operators
Firms that hold operations in Zimbabwe have also given the market solid updates over the last few months. Notably, Botswana Diamonds PLC (LON:BOD) and Vast Resources PLC (LON:VAST) have announced a deal to replace the Heritage concession agreement between the two firms. The new agreement outlines the formation of a new company which holds the interest of Vast Resources,the Chiadzwa Community joint venture and Katanga Mining (TSE:KAT). Additionally, the agreement expresses the intent to issue new shares representing 2.5% of the newly formed company to Botswana Diamonds once the detailed agreement between Katanga and Zimbabwe Consolidated Diamond Co becomes effective. Shareholders of Caledonia Mining will be pleased with the update today, as 2020 could be a year of growth and expansion for the London listed miner. Shares in Caledonia Mining trade at 668p (+5.20%). 13/1/20 13:49BST.Feedback agree deal with Imagine Engineering for fluoroscopic medical equipment
Feedback Plc (LON:FDBK) have told the market about signing a new deal with a US based technology firm.
Feedback said that it had agreed a commercial partnership agreement with Imagine Engineering LLC to support the installation and refitting of a modernized fluoroscopic medical equipment across the US.
Imaging Engineering is the manufacturer of an X-ray fluoroscopy product, “Insight Essentials” which enables the capture of fluoroscopy and X-ray images using low-cost hardware.
Fluoroscopy is a form of dynamic X-ray capture which enables real time, moving patient imaging and is commonly used for a number of imaging investigations within gastroenterology, orthopaedics and interventional radiology.
Under the terms of agreement, Feedback Medical, Feedback’s wholly owned subsidiary, will receive a license fee for each installation performed by Imaging Engineering and will have no commitment beyond maintaining and providing the software.
The firm also added that all intellectual property relating to the software will remain with Feedback.
Feedback will provide the core software to manage the entire system for the “Insight Essentials” product, from image capture through data management to DICOM (Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine) networking
Feedback Medical will receive a licence fee for or each installation performed by Imaging Engineering.
Tom Oakley, CEO of Feedback plc, said:
“This partnership will allow US healthcare providers to modernise their fluoroscopic equipment to meet the needs of the next decade, with considerable savings for the provider and a reduction in equipment disposal. For Feedback, the licence fee provides us with a new stream of revenue reflecting our strategic focus on the Cadran product portfolio which includes our flagship product, Bleepa, and its commercial roll-out in 2020. We look forward to continuing to work with Imaging Engineering as it rolls out the Insight Essentials system throughout the United States.”
Feedback grow following Bleepa trial
In November, the firm updated shareholders about a new trial with Pennine Acute Hospitals NHS for its new medical communication platform, Bleepa.
Bleepa is a platform which enables clinicians to access medical grade images through smartphones, tablets and desktop computers.
Dr Georges Ng Man Kwong, Consultant Chest Physician and CCIO of Pennine Acute Hospitals NHS Trust, commented:
“Bleepa is addressing a direct clinical challenge to better support our busy respiratory clinicians (at the Royal Oldham Hospital) by improving referral process and patient care. Each referral requires rapid and reliable access to radiology images and clinical handover information, and a means of messaging referring teams and documenting outcome. Bleepa has the potential to bring this together for our clinicians and therefore for our patients. We are delighted to be involved with this innovation solution.”
The medical technology sector remains volatile
Consort Medical plc (LON: CSRT) are a noteworthy name in this sector. The firm said that interim profit was bruised due to an incident at its Aesica Cramlington manufacturing facility.
Consort’s pretax profit for the six months ended October 31 was £1.2 million, far less than the £9.6 million profit posted the year before as revenue fell 4.3% to £146.0 million from £152.5 million.
This was primarily caused by the Cramlington incident, in which a small area of the Northumberland-based operating plant was damaged in what was described by Consort at the time as “the rapid thermal degradation of a chemical resulting in the expulsion of material and contamination of the facility”.
Additionally, AorTech International plc (LON: AOR) have seen shares become volatile following research and development investments.
AorTech is focused on the commercialization of its world leading biomedical polymer technology, components and medical devices.
AorTech has, through a licence and supply agreement, all of its materials manufactured by Biomerics, a leading contract manufacturer and innovative polymer solutions provider in the USA.
The firm said in an update to shareholders said that it had widened its interim loss on costs. However, shareholders did get some consolidation with the fact that revenues had rose.
It seems that shareholders have been more focused on the revenue gains rather than the widened loss, as share price moved positively this morning.
For the six months to the end of September, the biomaterials and medical devices firm said its pretax loss widened to £239,000 from £225,000 the year before.
This was due to administrative expenses rising by 29% to £451,000 from £350,000, as a result of research & development activities.
However revenue, which comes from the licensing of AorTech’s polymer technology, grew by 27% to £299,000 from £236,000 the prior year.
Shareholders of Feedback should remain confident with the firm, as the new deal will allow them to expand into the US medical technology market which may see longer term benefits.
Shares in Feedback plc trade at 0.95p (-6.40%). 13/1/20 13:14BST.
Victrex announce deal with Yingkou Xingfu to expand into China
VIctrex PLC (LON:VCT) have told shareholders that they will be partnering with a Chinese firm to build a manufacturing unit in China.
Shares in Victrex trade at 2,471p (-0.099%). 13/1/20 12:50BST.
VIctrex have said that they will tie up a deal with Yingkou Xingfu Chemical Co Ltd to build a manufacturing plant in Liaoning, in the north east of China.
Victrex said they “already has an established relationship with its joint-venture partner through its monomer supply chain, with Yingkou Xingfu having significant experience of developing and operating chemical facilities in China which meet international quality, process and environmental standards.”
Through its Hong Kong subsidiary, Victrex will own three quarters of the joint-venture, and will aim to build a polyether ether ketone, or PEEK, polymer manufacturing facility.
The company said it will invest £32 million in the partnership, and the facility will be capable of producing 1,500 tonnes of polymers per year.
This comes at a good time for Victrex, as it follows the China 2025 initiative, unveiled by the country in 2015, which aims to increase China’s presence as a competitive global player in the manufacturing industry by 2025.
Jakob Sigurdsson, Chief Executive of Victrex, said: “This investment is in line with our record of not only investing ahead of demand, but in complementing and further differentiating our range of PEEK and PAEK grades, as well as setting the stage for specific geographic growth, whereby we can capitalise on the significant opportunities in China and the Asia Pacific region by having a competitive manufacturing presence there.
“Alongside the Made in China 2025 initiative, some of our increasingly diverse application areas mean our customers require a quality and differentiated PEEK offering. Whilst we already manufacture a range of PEEK and PAEK grades, this will enhance our portfolio, making us even better positioned in a region where we have seen strong growth in recent years and continue to see attractive opportunities, aligned to our know-how and strong technical and application development capabilities.
“Overall, we believe this is a good entry point to a China manufacturing operation, working with an established partner and offering an attractive returns profile.”
Victrex build following slow update
At the start of December, the firm saw its shares dip following a modest update.
In the twelve months to September 30, Victrex recorded pretax profit of £104.7 million, down 18% on the £127.5 million reported the year before. Additonally, Revenue fell 9.8% year on year to £294.0 million from £326.0 million.
The company lowered its total dividend per year to 59.56 pence, down 58% on the 142.24p distributed the year before.
Victrex saw a 15% drop in group sales to 3,751 tonnes from 4,407 tonnes the year before.
The company explained: “This reflects the cyclicality in Automotive and the associated impact on our Value Added Resellers segment, together with some de-stocking, with supply chain inventories running very low.”
The company also noted the “weaker” Electronics market, with both the semiconductor and smartphone markets down.
Victrex said a further headwind was the “tough” year on year comparative in its Consumer Electronics business, where it signed a large contract in the prior year. Excluding that contract, total group sales are down 12%.
Automotive Industry slumps – one of Victrex’s biggest customers
The automotive industry is one of Victrex’s biggest customers, however 2019 was a very slow year for car manufacturers and retailers.
Notable updates came from Nissan (TYO:7201) who saw their shares slide on November 13, as the firm cut its full year forecast.
Nissan’s demand was hit by a strong yen and falling sales. Its poor performance highlights stagnation in the progression of the global automotive industry.
Nissan outlined a new executive team appointment, who are set to takeover on December 1st following a string of poor performances.
The scale of the recovery that is needed is evident as Nissan reported their second worst quarter performance in 15 years.
After the appointment of Chairman Ghosn, business has gone both after facing falling profits, uncertainty over management and tensions with shareholders.
Additionally, Renault (EPA:RNO) saw its shares in red after the firm cut its 2019 guidance as a result of “less favourable” economic environment.
The firm said it now expects its group revenue to decline between 3% to 4%, “due to an economic environment less favourable than expected and in a regulatory context requiring ever-increasing costs”.
Renault added that its revenue for the third quarter amounted to €11.3 billion, down by 1.6% from the €11.5 billion figure recorded in the third quarter of 2018.
The car manufacturer continued to add that “the Automotive operating free cash flow should be positive in H2 while not guaranteed for the full year”.
Moreover, Renault said that is management will review the “Drive the Future” mid-term plan targets introduced in 2017.
The announcement that Victrex have made today will certainly please shareholders, and gives an opportunity of growth in a young Chinese market.

