Chamberlin reports operating loss amid “toughened” trading conditions

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Chamberlin plc (LON:CMH) released a trading update on Tuesday for the financial year to 31 March 2019, outlining a first-half operating loss. The specialist castings and engineering group has implemented various cost reduction measures as a result of the changing trading conditions and Brexit uncertainty. Shares in the company dropped by over 9% during early trading on Tuesday morning. Underlying operating loss (before exceptional items and legacy pension costs) of the continuing operations during the year to 31 March was £0.3 million. The company’s operating loss for the first-half of the year (the six months to 30 September 2018) was also reported as £0.3 million. However, the company has said the sale of Exidor for £10 million has strengthened its balance sheet. It has also underlined that the sale has significantly reduced its pension liability. Following a one-off contribution of £2.5 million from the cash proceeds from the sale of Exidor, Chamberlin’s adjusted reported pension liability was £1.5 million as of 30 September 2018.

Chamberlin has warned of the “toughened” trading conditions.

Despite its strengthened financial position, trading conditions have toughened. “Customer schedules for the European turbocharger market have suffered significant reductions, partly related to the disturbance to production schedules resulting from the new WLTP (Worldwide Harmonised Light Vehicle Test Procedure) emissions testing regime,” the company said. Moreover, the uncertainties surrounding Brexit have exacerbated the uncertain trading climate, with the petrol business experiencing a slowdown. As a result of the changing trading conditions, the company has said that the board has implemented various cost reduction measures. Additionally, the board has completed a reassessment of the likely outcomes during the second half of Chamberlin’s current financial year. It expects the loss in the second-half will be similar to the figure during the first-half. In order to see the benefits of the company’s cost reduction measures, it will have to wait until the next financial year to 31 March 2020. Elsewhere on the stock market Tuesday morning, Carpetright performance has followed expectations amid “volatile” trading patterns. Additionally, Ocado’s full-year losses widened to £44.9 million and BP’s full-year profits more than double. At 08:43 GMT today, shares in Chamberlin plc (LON:CMH) were trading at -9.26%.

Carpetright performance aligns with expectations amid “volatile” trading patterns

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Carpetright plc (LON:CPR) released a trading update and a directorate change announcement on Tuesday. The group’s overall performance aligns with its expectations amid volatile trading patterns and uncertain trading conditions. Shares in the company dropped slightly during early trading on Tuesday morning. The specialist carpet and floor coverings retailer has said that its overall performance remains in line with expectations. Moreover, UK like-for-like sales remained negative during the period, which continues to stick to its anticipated expectations.

Carpetright has said that trading patterns remain “volatile” week to week.

These are set against a backdrop of “uncertainty and weak consumer confidence”, the company announced. In December, shares in Carpetright rose despite reports of its widening losses. The company swung into loss in June as the retailer continued to struggle throughout the “very difficult year”. Its trading in its European markets remain consistently ahead of results from the same period a year earlier. This has been particularly driven by a strong performance in the Netherlands. The company has affirmed that it remains on track to achieve the £19 million of annualised cash savings announced in May last year as part of the group’s recapitalisation plan. Additionally, Carpetright has announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Neil Page, is set to retire from his full-time role. Neil Page is set to step down from the board on 25 February later this month. Neil Page will be succeeded by Jeremy Simpson. Chief Executive of Carpetright, Wilf Walsh, commented on the announcement: “As CFO, Neil has made an outstanding contribution to Carpetright over many years and the Board wishes to express its gratitude for his unstinting commitment to the business, particularly through the recent challenging period of restructuring. We are delighted that Jeremy is joining us as CFO – he has a strong plc track record and will be able to integrate swiftly into the executive team”. At 09:18 GMT, shares in Carpetright plc (LON:CPR) were trading at -3.76%.

Ocado full-year losses widen to £44.9 million

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Ocado Group plc (LON:OCDO) announced its full-year 2018 financial results on Tuesday for the 52 weeks to 2 December 2018. The online grocery retailer revealed a £44.9 million annual loss as its continued investment in its technology platform has more than outweighed a sales increase. Shares had begun to decrease Tuesday morning during early trading. The £44.9 million pre-tax full-year loss compares to a £9.8 million loss posted the year prior. Group revenue was 12.3% higher compared to 2017 at £1.6 billion.

Ocado’s retail revenue increased 12% to £1.48 billion.

As for its 2019 outlook, Ocado has said it remains confident in achieving revenue growth of 10-15% in its retail business as it increases its fulfilment capacity and grows its UK market share. It has warned, however, that this depends on stable economic conditions. In July, Ocado reported a loss for the first-half of the financial year. This was due to a heavy reinvestment that outweighed a rise in revenue over the period. During the first-half of the financial year, the company faced a £1.5 million hit to its profits as a result of the ‘Best from the East’ storm. Reports of a profit plunge date as early as February of the 2018 financial year. Ocado’s Chief Executive Officer, Tim Steiner, commented on the results: “Our performance last year was the result of many years of focus, dedication and perseverance: what we have called our “18-year overnight success”. Our growth story, however, is only just beginning. We now have in place a platform for significant and sustainable long-term value creation as the leading pure-play digital grocer in the UK, a world-leading provider of end-to-end ecommerce grocery solutions, and as an innovative and creative technology company applying our proprietary knowledge to a range of challenges.” “Our transformation journey is well under way with increased cash fees earned and greater investment as we execute on behalf of our partners. Creating future value now will involve us continuing to scale the business, enhancing our platform, enabling our UK retail business to take advantage of all its opportunities for growth, and innovating for the future. We look forward to fulfilling these opportunities with excitement and determination”. At 08:55 GMT today, shares in Ocado Group plc (LON:OCDO) were trading at -0.36%.

BP full-year profits more than double

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BP Group (LON:BP) announced its fourth quarter and full year 2018 results on Tuesday. Profit almost doubled for the year, exceeding the company’s expectations. Underlying replacement cost profit for the full financial year reached $12.7 billion. This figure is more than double of that reported for 2017. The figure for the fourth quarter alone is $3.5 billion. The company has said its surge in profits was down to the strong operating performance across all its business segments.

In October, BP’s third-quarter profits hit a five-year high.

It reported a strong increase in its profits throughout the year, with second-quarter profits jumping on the back of higher production and a recovery in the oil market. Operating cash flow, excluding the Gulf of Mexico oil spill payments, was £26.1 billion for the full year. This compares with $24.1 billion for the previous 2017 financial year. Chief Financial Officer, Brian Gilvary, said: “Operating cash flow excluding working capital change* was up 33% for the full year and 17% higher than last quarter, including a positive contribution from our new US assets. The continued strong cash flow growth underpins the balance sheet as we absorb the BHP acquisition and deliver more than $10 billion of divestments over the next two years.” Total divestments and other proceeds in 2018 were $3.5 billion. Dividend was 2.5% higher than the previous year at 10.25 cents a share announced in the fourth quarter. Group Chief Executive, Bob Dudley, commented on the results: “We now have a powerful track record of safe and reliable performance, efficient execution and capital discipline. And we’re doing this while growing the business – bringing more high-quality projects online, expanding marketing in the Downstream and doing transformative deals such as BHP. Our strategy is clearly working and will serve the company and our shareholders well through the energy transition.” In July of the last financial year, BP increased its stake in Clair field, alongside the sale of a pipeline business to ConocoPhillips. As for its 2019 outlook, BP expects full-year underlying production to be higher than that of 2018 as a result of major projects. Additionally, its expects its reported production to be flat with that of the fourth-quarter of 2018. At 08:23 GMT today, shares in BP plc (LON:BP) were trading at +3.56%.

Shefa Yamim presentation at the UK Investor Magazine Investor Evening 31st January 2019

Michael Rosenberg of Shefa Yamim presented at the UK Investor Magazine Investor Evening delivering an intriguing insight into their exploration progress in Northern Israel.      

Defensive shares and dollar earners drive Frederick & Oliver’s 2019 top share picks

More defensive, dollar earners have excelled so far in 2019 as investors take advantage of the sell off in 2018.

An apt place to find evidence of this is the Top Stock Picks for 2019 released by Frederick & Oliver shortly before Christmas.

When selecting their share picks for the coming year, the London-based stockbroker set out to provide stability to a portfolio of shares in a year that is likely to be dominated by uncertainties from Brexit and a global tightening in central bank monetary policy.

The strategy Fredrick & Oliver outlines involved a focus on shares that earned revenue in dollars or those that possessed ‘defensive’ attributes.

This would provide a natural defence against any wobbles in sterling and also ensured relative stability of cash flows though dividends at a time when volatility increased.

The inverse relationship between GBP/USD and the FTSE 100 has been a key theme since Brexit and this is likely to continue as we move towards the official leave date and the subsequent trade negotiations.

At the time of writing this has proved to be a deft move with their selections returning an average of 4% from the time of publication at the end of last year.

An example of the shares included in the report is FTSE 100 precious metals miner Fresnillo, up 18%.

Download the Top Stock Picks for 2019 report below for a full breakdown of the shares included.

Top Stock Picks for 2019

Free report containing the Top Stock Picks for 2019 designed to bring stability to a share portfolio in 2019

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In addition to the careful selection of a range of UK listed equities forming Frederick & Oliver’s Top Stock Picks for 2019, there was also the recognition of value in the US technology sector.

This formed the basis of a research paper on the sector which analyses the so called ‘FAANG’ shares. These are Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Alphabet (parent company of Google).

These shares have drove stocks market momentum through 2018 but were heavily sold towards the end of the year, creating key buying opportunities for a number of the FAANG shares.

Frederick & Oliver rated each of the shares in the sector buy or sell with the tips providing a cumulative 44% return at the time of publishing this article.

With many of the shares well below all time highs, there could well be further to go in the world’s largest technology companies.

Download the full report below to discover which FAANGs earned a buy rating and the ones rated a sell.

US Technology Shares Report

Free report containing US FAANG share tips

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Ryanair shares sink as over capacity and rising costs erode margins

Shares in Ryanair (LON:RYA) fell on Monday after the airline posted a loss for the third quarter. While the number of passengers rose to 32.7m from 30.4m in the same period as a year prior, average fares fell and costs rose, driving a €19.6m loss for the period. Ryanair joins a list of airlines facing rising costs and overcapacity that are ultimately eroding margins. Much of the rise in costs was attributed to higher fuel costs and staffing. Brent Oil touched $85 a barrel in the period, but has since dropped back to around €65 a barrel which is likely to provide some relief in the current quarter. Ryanair are locked into a race to the bottom on prices with average fares falling beneath €30. Despite the drop in average fares, overall revenue rose 9% to €1.53bn as ancillary services such as priority boarding helped the top line. Michael O’Leary, Ryanair CEO, commented on the results: “While a €20m loss in Q3 was disappointing, we take comfort that this was entirely due to weaker than expected air fares so our customers are enjoying record low prices, which is good for current and future traffic growth. While ancillary revenues performed strongly, up 26% in Q3, this was offset by higher fuel, staff and EU261 costs.” On Brexit, Ryanair said the ‘risk of a “no deal” Brexit remains worryingly high’ and that they had taken a number of step to secure routes and imposed shareholder restrictions on investors from outside of the EU to ensure the group remained ‘EU-controlled;. Shares in Ryanair (LON:RYA) fell over 4% in early trade on Monday, briefly touching €10.83.
The Ryanair share price has nearly halved in just 18 months after reaching intraday highs of €19.78 in August 2017. The selling has been sector wide however, with peers easyJet (LON:EZJ), Wizz Air (LON:WIZZ) and International Consolidated Airlines (LON:IAG) all slipping back from highs over the past 6 months.

CyanConnode Presentation – UK Investor Magazine Investor Evening 31st January 2019

John Cronin, Executive Chairman of CyanConnode presents at the UK Investor Magazine Investor Evening 31st January. CyanConnode is a specialist in Internet of Things (IoT) technology with a focus on smart meters

Deutsche Bank swings to first annual profit since 2014

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Deutsche Bank (ETR: DBK) returned to profit in 2018 for the first time in four years, however a disappointing fourth quarter dampened investor optimism. The German bank reported annual profit of €341 million (£299 million), compared to losses of €735 million back in 2017. Nevertheless, this proved significantly lower than analyst expectations of €422 million, overshadowing the bank’s return to growth. Moreover, Deutsche’s also disappointed in the final quarter of the year, reporting a loss of €319 million. Fixed income revenues also fell considerably to €786 million, down 23% as a result of “challenging market conditions.” Having missed earning forecasts, Deutsche Bank said it intends to ramp up its cost saving initiatives. Back in April, the embattled bank announced the departure of John Cyran as chief executive, after years of successive losses.
Cyran was replaced in April 2018 by Christopher Sewing, who has a background in retail. Christian Sewing, Chief Executive Officer, said of the latest annual results: Our return to profitability shows that Deutsche Bank is on the right track. Now, our priority is to take the next step. In 2019 we aim not only to save costs but also to make focused investments in growth. We aim to grow profitability substantially through the current year and beyond.” As of April 2018, the bank was the 15th largest bank in the world by assets. Deutsche Bank has been struggling since the financial crisis after a series of scandals and legal battles. In January 2017, the bank was fined $425 million by the New York State Department of Financial Services as well as £163 million by the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regarding accusations of failing to adequately monitor money laundering in Russia. Shares in the German lender are currently down -3.20% as of 12:28PM (GMT).