Midterms: Obama & Trump continue to campaign

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Monday is the last day of campaigning before the US midterms. With a high turnout expected, the pressure is on as the Republicans hope to tighten control over the Senate. Donald Trump and Barack Obama campaigned on Sunday, rallying voters. Speaking to a crowd in Georgia on Sunday, Trump said: “You put Stacey in there and you are going to get Georgia turn into Venezuela. Stacey Abrams wants to turn your wonderful state into a giant sanctuary city for criminal aliens, putting innocent Georgia families at the mercy of hardened criminals and predators.” Obama spoke in Indiana over the weekend and whilst he did not mention Trump by name, suggested that Trump has no issues on playing on people’s fears. “What kind of politics do we want. What we have not seen at least in my memory is where, right now, you’ve got politicians blatantly, repeatedly, baldly, shamelessly lying. Just making up stuff.” “Two weeks before the election they are telling us that the single greatest threat to America is a bunch of poor, impoverished, broken, hungry refugees 1,000 miles away.” “Sometimes these tactics of scaring people and making stuff up work,” he warned. “There have got to be consequences when people don’t tell the truth. When words stop meaning anything, when people can just lie with abandon, democracy can’t work. Nothing works… Society doesn’t work unless there are consequences.” Around 34 million Americans have already voted in the midterms. The figure in 2014 was just 27.5 million. In October, singer Taylor Swift broke her political silence and revealed plans to vote for the Democrats in the midterms. “I always have and always will cast my vote based on which candidate will protect and fight for the human rights I believe we all deserve in this country. I believe in the fight for LGBTQ rights, and that any form of discrimination based on sexual orientation or gender is WRONG. I believe that the systemic racism we still see in this country towards people of color is terrifying, sickening and prevalent,” wrote the singer on social media. “As much as I have in the past and would like to continue voting for women in office, I cannot support Marsha Blackburn,” she added in the post. Polls are indicating that Democrats have a significant lead. The first polls will close at 23:00 GMT (18:00 EST) on Tuesday.    

UK service sector growth falls to seven-month low

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The UK service sector saw sharp slowdown in October, according to a survey of executives. The IHS Market services purchasing managers’ index revealed the slowest pace of growth since the beginning of the year. The survey for the sector, which includes hotels, restaurants, transport and finance, showed more cautious spending patterns, as Brexit uncertainty continues to bite. The monthly purchasing managers’ index from IHS Markit/CIPS dipped to 52.2 in October from 53.9 in September, marking the weakest growth since March. “The disappointing service sector numbers bring mounting evidence that Brexit worries are taking an increasing toll on the economy,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit.

Commenting on the latest services sector figures, Andrew Wishart of Capital Economics says: “Based on past form, the all-sector PMI in October is consistent with GDP growth of about 0.2%. If sustained over the remainder of the year, that would leave annual growth in 2018 at 1.3%, the weakest since the financial crisis.

“But we are optimistic on the outlook for growth next year. So long as a Brexit deal is agreed, we think that a rebound in investment, sustained growth in real wages, and supportive fiscal policy could see growth accelerate to just over 2%.”

The UK services sector makes up about 80% of the nation’s economy, including everything from restaurants, hotels to banking.

ITV announces Chris Kennedy as new CFO

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ITV has announced that the Micro Focus (LON:MCRO) director Chris Kennedy will become the group’s new chief financial officer (CFO). Kennedy, who is the former easyJet CFO, has been at Micro Focus since January and will be leaving to join ITV in February.
“I am really pleased to be working with Chris again as CFO,” said Carolyn McCall, the CEO of ITV.
“He will play a huge role in helping us deliver our new More Than TV strategy and I know he will work really well with the senior leadership team of ITV,” she added.
McCall was the previous CEO at the budget airline. Kennedy commented: “This is an exciting time to be joining ITV. I’m looking forward to working with the team to execute the strategy and deliver value for shareholders.” Kennedy will receive an annual salary of £660,000 and a pension allowance of 9% of salary. Sir Peter Bazalgette, Chairman of ITV, said: “Chris was the stand out candidate in a very strong short list and the Board are really pleased that he will bring his experience and expertise to ITV. He has a great media background from his 17 years at EMI and he has built on that as a CFO of three FTSE 100 companies.” AJ Bell investment director, Russ Mould said: “The appointment of Chris Kennedy may initially look a bit odd given he presided over a major profit warning at his current employer, software firm Micro Focus.” “But given that said warning occurred just two months into his tenure, blaming him would equate to shooting the messenger.” “Instead shareholders may be enthused by his previous experience at technology firm ARM and EasyJet where he, alongside his new boss Carolyn McCall, presided over strong returns for shareholders,” he added. Shares in ITV (LON: ITV) are trading at 155,45 (1220GMT).

Real Living Wage to rise to £9

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The “Real Living Wage” is set to increase by 2.8% this week to £9 an hour. For the 180,000 staff whose employers have signed up to the voluntary wage, the minimum wage will increase by 25p. The Real Living Wage is not the same as the National Living Wage, which is currently £7.83 for those over 25. The organisation’s director, Tess Lanning said: “The Living Wage campaign is about tackling the rising problem of people paid less than they need to live.” “Responsible businesses know that the government minimum is not enough to live on, and today’s new Living Wage rates will provide a boost for hundreds of thousands of workers throughout the UK,” she added. Approximately 4,700 employers in the UK have signed up to the agreement, including Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), Aviva (LON: AV) and Ikea. “Employers that pay the real Living Wage enable their workers to live a life of dignity, supporting them to pay off debts and meet the pressures of rising bills,” said Lanning. “We want to see local councils, universities, football clubs, bus companies and the other major public and private sector employers in every city commit to become real Living Wage employers.” Philip Hammond’s Autumn budget speech announced plans to increase the minimum wage almost 5% next year, taking it to £8.21. “We will want to be ambitious with the ultimate objective of ending low pay in the UK,” said Hammond. “But we will also want to be careful – protecting employment for lower paid workers. So we will engage responsibly with employers, the TUC and the LPC itself over the coming months, gathering evidence and views to ensure we get this right.”  

SMMT: Car sales continue to fall in October

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The Society of Motor Manufacturers & Traders (SMMT) has revealed new car sales to fall in October. Though sales slightly recovered from the month previously, sales are continuing to fall about 3% year on year. Figures improved from last month, where September faced a 20.5% decline. Mike Hawes, SMMT chief executive, said: “[Vehicle tax] upheaval, regulatory changes and confusion over diesel have all made their mark on the market this year so it’s good to see plug-in registrations buck the trend. Demand is still far from the levels needed to offset losses elsewhere, however, and is making government’s decision to remove purchase incentives even more baffling.” “We’ve always said that world-class ambitions require world-class incentives and, even before the cuts to the grant, those ambitions were challenging. We need policies that encourage rather than confuse.” “Government’s forthcoming review of the Worldwide Harmonised Light Vehicle Test Procedure’s (WLTP’s) impact on taxation must ensure that buyers of the latest, cleanest cars are not unfairly penalised else we will see older, more polluting cars remain on the road for longer,” he added. Manufacturers have expressed concern over Brexit uncertainty, with Jaguar Land Rover blaming weakening global demand for the decision to pause production in the Solihull plant. Last week the car manufacturer said that car sales had fallen sharply, taking it into a loss for the three months to October. The group made a pre-tax loss of £90 million for the most recent quarter. This is compared to a profit for the same period last year. Hybrid and plug-in registrations increased by 30.7%, however, government cuts to electric car grants make it difficult to predict future growth. James Fairclough, who is the chief executive of AA Cars (LON: AA), said: “If the government really does want to see the wider take-up of alternative fuelled vehicles, it needs to make sure it doesn’t pull the plug out from under this burgeoning sector by removing incentives before they have a chance to properly bed-in.” “What’s really needed to encourage growth in the electric vehicle sector is a rapid increase in the number of public chargers as the AA’s own research suggests this is one of the greatest barriers to EV ownership.”    

Over 350 Crawshaw jobs axed as group falls into administration

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The Crawshaw Group has fallen into administration, leading to the loss of 350 jobs. The Yorkshire-based chain of butchers is the latest to be hit by the difficult high street conditions and has shut two-thirds of its stores. On Friday, the group appointed Ernst & Young as administrators. The store will keep 19 stores open, employing 261 people. Crawshaw has been hit by rising rents, higher business rates and falling consumer confidence amid Brexit uncertainty. The group released a statement after announcing its collapse saying that the board had “taken the decision to place the company into administration and intends to appoint administrators shortly with the purpose of seeking buyers for the group’s business and assets on a going concern basis.” The firm reported pre-tax losses of £1.7 million for the first half through to July and despite extensive discussions with existing and prospective investors, the company said that they had “not been successful in raising sufficient capital”. Other retailers including Evans Cycles, House of Fraser, Toys R Us and Maplin have been hit by the current retail environment. Philip Hammond recently announced a £1.5 billion high street regeneration plan. “We propose a new permitted development right to extend certain existing buildings upwards to provide additional, well designed, new homes to meet local housing need,” said the planning reform consultation document. “National planning policy is clear … we should make effective use of previously developed land and buildings, including the airspace above existing buildings, to create new homes.” The business was founded in 1954. Shares have been suspended from trading.  

UK lawyers urge May to back second EU referendum

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Over 1,500 lawyers in the UK have signed a letter, urging Theresa May to back a second Brexit referendum. In a letter to the prime minister, the lawyers said that “democratic government is not frozen in time” and parliament should not be bound by the 2016 EU referendum. Comparing the latest referendum to the one held in 1975, the letter said: “There was a key difference between 1975 and 2016. The earlier referendum was held after negotiations were complete, so voters knew what they were voting for.” “In 2016, the nature of the negotiation process and its outcome were unknown. Voters faced a choice between a known reality and an unknown alternative. In the campaign, untestable claims took the place of facts and reality.” “The current state of the Brexit negotiations is worrying people throughout the UK and the legal profession is no exception to that,” said Jonathan Cooper, a barrister at Doughty Street Chambers. “We represent people from across industry and society and we see every day the way the prospect of a catastrophic Brexit deal is already causing real harm.” “This letter to the prime minister has been signed by over a thousand of my colleagues who are convinced that not only is a people’s vote the right thing to do, it is the most democratic thing to do as well,” he added. The letter signed by over 1,500 lawyers comes after the prime minister received a similar letter that was signed by over 70 business leaders, which also called for a second referendum. “The business community was promised that, if the country voted to leave, there would continue to be frictionless trade with the EU and the certainty about future relations that we need to invest for the long term,” the letter read. “Despite the Prime Minister’s best efforts, the proposals being discussed by the government and the European Commission fall far short of this.” “The uncertainty over the past two years has already led to a slump in investment.” The chief executive of Waterstones and former Sainsbury’s (LON: SBRY) boss were among those who signed the letter addressed to May.      

Uber to launch monthly subscription in US

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Uber has announced plans to launch a subscription for customers in Los Angeles, Austin, Denver, Miami, and Orlando. The fixed price plan will allow passengers to avoid price surges during peak times and always ride at a fixed price. The plan will cost $24.99 (£19) a month in Los Angeles and $14.99 in Austin, Denver, Miami, and Orlando. Product manager Dan Bilen said: “One thing we hear a lot from riders is that changes in price – however small – can make it tough to plan their day with Uber.” “The daily commute is a classic example, and it goes something like this: you pay one low price for the ride to work, only to find the ride back home is a different story.” “We want to make Uber a reliable alternative to driving yourself – an affordable option people can use for their everyday transportation needs.” The Ride Pass will apply to UberX, Uber Pool and Uber Express Pool and will eventually also apply to e-bike and scooter access. Chief Executive Dara Khosrowshahi has said that the firm is set to go public in 2019 and be valued at about $120 billion. “We are in a good position in terms of the company’s profile in terms of profitability,” he said earlier this year. “Margins continue to get better. We have a very strong balance sheet, and I do think that we are on track.” Ride-hailing app Lyft also plans to go public next year. The banks proposed a valuation range of $18 billion to $30 billion.

Asian shares surge on promising US/China trade talks

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Following months of trade disputes between China and the US, Donald Trump has hinted that he wants to reach an agreement with the Chinese President, Xi Jinping. The US President took to Twitter to say that he had spoken to Xi on Thursday and that trade talks were “moving along nicely” before they meet at the G20 summit this month. According to Bloomberg, the talks between the US and Chinese presidents was optimistic and concluded with Trump telling officials to begin drafting potential terms. News on the trade talks has send Asian shares soaring. The Hang Seng (INDEXHANGSENG: HSI) increased by 3.7% in Hong Kong. Nikkei (INDEXNIKKEI: NI225) in Tokyo climbed by 2.5%. The Kospi index jumped by 3.5%, its highest increase in seven years. Tai Hui at JPMorgan Asset Management has said that progress in trade talks will lead to the revival in the Asian market. “While we are still cautious over a full resolution of recent tensions in the medium term, resumption of dialogue between Washington and Beijing would be good enough to investors for now,” he told Bloomberg. In September, the US imposed further tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods. China responded with tariffs on $60 billion of US goods.

Paddy Power reports rise in revenues, boosted by World Cup

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Paddy Power Betfair has reported a jump in third-quarter revenues. The group reported a 12% increase year-on-year, with revenues of £483 million for the three months to 30 September. The chief executive, Peter Jackson, said: “Q3 was a good quarter for the group,” said chief executive Peter Jackson.” “In Europe, the encouraging momentum that we saw in Q2 accelerated further, with online revenue up 15%.” “This momentum, which was evident in both Paddy Power and Betfair, is driven by enhancements in product and good execution in promotions and marketing,” he added. The bookmaker said that the “good conclusion” from the Football World Cup helped benefit revenues over the summer. Paddy Power lifted its full-year guidance forecast of underlying earnings from £460-480 million to between £465-480 million. The group expects slight headwinds over the next year, including Irish betting taxes that are set to be hiked from January 1. The company also noted Chancellor Philip Hammond plans to increase taxes for offshore betting companies operating in the UK. “Had [these changes] applied throughout 2018, we estimate that the gross impact on EBITDA from the combination of regulatory, tax & product fee changes in the UK, Australia and Ireland would have been approximately £115 million,” said the group. AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould was still confident for the group. “The US market arguably remains the most exciting part of the business given the scale of the opportunity with legalised sports betting,” he said. “Paddy Power’s acquisition of FanDuel earlier this year is proving to be a clever move as it provides a ready-made audience of people betting on sports, albeit from a fantasy level. “It is pinning its hopes on cross-selling legal sports betting to this customer base as and when more US states allow it.” Shares in Paddy Power (LON: PPB) are currently trading +2.32% at 7.070,00 (1438GMT).