Rio Tinto completes sale of Indonesian Grasberg mine
Leading metals and mining company, Rio Tinto, has completed the sale of its entire interest in the Grasberg mine, Indonesia. The sale was completed for $3.5 billion, as part of a series of transactions involving Indonesia’s state mining company Inalum and Freeport McMoRan Inc.
The binding agreement was announced on 28 September earlier this year. It was subject to a number of conditions, including the receipt of regulatory approvals, which have now been completed.
The Indonesian mine was previously owned by Freeport McMoRan Inc., who had a 90.64 stake in Grasberg. The remaining 9.36% was owned by Inalum before the completion of this transaction.
The UK retail crisis: is Brexit really the problem?
The Office of National Statistics released data on Thursday outlining the latest retail sales statistics for November. Despite the well reported dire condition of the UK high street, it became apparent that retail sales increased by 0.4% for the three months to November on the back of growth in non-food stores and online retailing. Indeed, retailers reported strong growth in November as a result of Black Friday.
ING economist James Smith warned Reuters that these positive statistics must be treated “with some caution”.
“Whatever the case, it seems clear that the Christmas trading period has been a particularly challenging one for retailers,” he added.
These statistics should indeed be treated with care and assumptions regarding the revival of UK retail should not be made.
More and more retailers are releasing updates that they are suffering. On Monday, ASOS shares crashed 40% following an alarming profit warning issued during such an unexpected period – the run-up to Christmas. Seeing as ASOS is an online retailer, this indicates a sector-wide crisis rather than exclusively the UK high street.
Not to mention the harrowing 99% drop in John Lewis profits reported back in September or warnings released by Primark, M&S, Bonmarche and Sports Direct. The list of retailers struggling goes on, and what is strikingly familiar to each set of disappointing financial results is the far too often blamed Brexit uncertainty.
Rather than taking the easy option of blaming Brexit, there are other factors that might have contributed to the disappointing results issued by retailers.
Smarter shopping habits
One factor that is perhaps underestimated is the increase in smarter shopping habits. Essentially, shoppers are learning when to shop. What this means is that consumers are waiting for a specific sale to acquire a product for a cheaper amount, instead of paying the full retail price. This means waiting for sales. For example, if a consumer wishes to purchase an item in November, a smart shopper will wait until Black Friday to make the purchase. Shoppers know that retailers like ASOS will knock a certain percentage off of their products. In 2018, ASOS offered 20% off of all lines and in 2017 this figure was 30%. Therefore, any shopper with a slight awareness of the retail promotional calendar will wait for a specific sale period to acquire the product at a cheaper price. This does not exclusively apply to the Black Friday promotional period – it is applicable to year-round sales. Smart shoppers know that there is always a mid-season and end-of-season sale. It also applies to the Boxing Day sales following Christmas. In addition to shoppers learning when sales periods are, retailers are scheduling more sales throughout the year. No matter when you visit, high street shops always seem to be plastered in promotional sales offers. Even if the product is being sold at full price now, it will probably be on sale in a few weeks time. If it does not go on sale, then the smart shopper will simply look elsewhere for a cheaper alternative. This is highly applicable to the fashion industry, where similar designs of non-branded clothing from retailers such as ASOS, New Look or Topshop are be purchased elsewhere for a lesser price. Just a quick Google search of ‘cheap online clothing stores’ will direct you to online retailers such as ROMWE, Shein and Zaful. These retailers offer trending fashion lines at just a fraction of the price of the market leaders. In short, fewer consumers are paying full price for their products as they become more aware of when offers are scheduled. This hyper economic consciousness might just be an indirect consequence of Brexit, as economic uncertainty prevails. But, it is more a case of savvy shopping.Changing weather patterns
Anyone who stepped outside the house this year might have noticed a change in weather patterns. From blizzards to heatwaves, the UK climate has been one of the extremes in 2018. Indeed, snowfall was recorded as late as March 18th in some parts of the UK and summer highs reached 35.3°C in Kent. Equally, it has remained rather mild outside until the end of November. How might the weather be playing a role in the retail crisis? We already know that fashion retailers release their seasonal lines much earlier than expected. Spring clothing is often released in January/February and Autumn and Winter lines can be seen as early as July or August. There is already some kind of seasonal mismatch between the fashion retail calendar and the weather. That said, some consumers do appreciate clothing lines being dropped in advance to allow preparation for the following seasons. But, with climate change, this confusion is going to become even more apparent. A winter coat released in August won’t be needed until December if this year was anything to go by. Likewise, if it is still snowing in March then Spring clothing released in January will not be needed until April. The gap between the retail clothing calendar and the weather seasons will become even wider with global warming. Primark revealed in its financial results that “unseasonable weather in three distinct periods during the year held like-for-like sales back, especially in the Eurozone.” Will clothing lines be re-designed to consider the inevitable change in weather patterns? These are just two factors other than Brexit that may be contributing to the disappointing retail results. Of course, Brexit uncertainty is having a detrimental impact on the British economy. But perhaps Brexit is also playing a subconscious role in the psyche of shoppers. When the front page news of every media outlet is the strong negative language used to describe the UK’s departure from the EU, perhaps consumers are subconsciously spending less in fear of an economic crash.Danske Bank shares fall on profit warning
Danske Bank issued a second profit warning on Friday, sending shares in the troubled bank down to five-year lows.
Amid the money-laundering scandal, the Danish lender cut its previous forecast of 16-17 billion Kroner to 15 billion (£1.8 billion) for 2018.
“The revision to the outlook is mainly the result of worsening conditions during the fourth quarter in the financial markets compared to the first nine months of 2018,” said Christian Baltzer, the group’s chief financial officer.
“The underlying business performance is still good,” he added.
Shares in the group on Friday morning and have halved since March.
The group is facing trouble amid authorities due to an alleged €200 billion (£180 billion) money laundering scandal.
The scandal involves the Danish Bank handling up to $30 billion of Russian and Ex-Soviet money in non-resident accounts in its Estonian branch in 2013 alone. This came in addition to an earlier investigation this July, in which a Danish newspaper reported that Danske had laundered up to $8.3 billion between 2007-2015.
A Danske spokesperson said amid the scandal: “The matter is very complex, and no conclusion as to the number of suspicious customers or transactions – or indeed the extent of potential money laundering – can be drawn from any individual pieces of information taken out of context.”
This week, Estonia arrested 10 former employees of the bank.
Shares in the group (CPH: DANSKE) are trading down 1.74% (1302GMT).
Interserve shares open 18% higher amid rescue deal talks
Interserve has agreed on a rescue deal with lenders in attempts to avoid a collapse similar to Carillion.
The outsourcing firm said that it hopes to convert its £500 million debt into equity, where part of this new equity will be offered to shareholders and new investors in a public offering.
“The key question remains as to whether this new restructuring arrangement finally draws a line under the problems that have dogged the company since the collapse of Carillion almost a year ago,” said Michael Hewson, the chief market analyst at CMC Markets.
Interserve is one of the UK’s biggest outsourcing firms and employs 75,000 people worldwide.
Shares in the troubled group opened up more than 18%. The group’s stock market value has plunged over 90% this year.
The week construction market saw the group’s market value fall from a peak of £1 billion in 2014 to just £16.2 million.
Interserve said on Friday that talks with its lenders were “constructive”.
Debbie White, who is the chief executive of Interserve, said: “This progress on the Deleveraging Plan is excellent news for all our employees, customers and suppliers.”
“It will provide us with a strong balance sheet and enable us to move forward with confidence and the ability to improve our business and deliver our long-term strategy.”
The group agreed on changes to its structure as part of its “commitment to growth strategy” earlier this week. Interserve merged its citizen services division with its support services unit.
Shares in the group (LON: IRV) are trading -0.91% at 10.78 (1235GMT).
Ghosn re-arrested on latest charges
Carlos Ghosn has been re-arrested following new allegations of financial misconduct.
The former Nissan (TYO: 7201) boss, who was arrested a month ago, will be spending a further 10 days in a Tokyo jail.
Ghosn was initially arrested last month after an an investigation into alleged financial misconduct where he failed to report his income.
He allegedly underreported his pay by about 5 billion yen between the years of 2011 and 2015.
He has continued to deny all allegations against him.
“Things as they stand are absolutely unacceptable. I want to have my position heard and restore my honour in court,” he said through his lawyer.
Whilst car manufacturers Nissan and Mitsubishi (TYO: 8058) fired Ghosn as chairman after his arrest, he remains on as the Renault (ETR: RNL) chairman.
Nissan said in a statement that it “takes this situation extremely seriously. Making false disclosures in annual securities reports greatly harms the integrity of Nissan’s public disclosures in the securities markets, and the company expresses its deepest regret.”
“Nissan will continue its efforts to strengthen its governance and compliance, including making accurate disclosures of corporate information,” it added.
If he is found guilty of the charges, Ghosn could face up to 10 years of jail time as well as a fine of up to 700 million yen ($6.2 million; £4.9 million)
Centrica to launch legal challenge to government cap
Centrica is going to challenge the government’s energy price cap.
The British Gas owner has said apply for a judicial review against the review just days before the cap will come into place.
The cap, which will come into effect on January 1, will save households an average of £76 per year.
Centrica said earlier this year that the proposed government cap would cost the group £70 million in operating profits in the first quarter of 2019. The cap has been blamed for some smaller providers losing money.
In a statement, Centrica said: “Centrica plc is seeking judicial review of Ofgem’s decision of 6 November 2018, which relates only to the treatment of wholesale cost transitional arrangements and Ofgem’s decision not to investigate and correct its failure to enable the recovery of the wholesale energy costs that all suppliers incur.”
“Through this action Centrica has no intention to delay implementation of the cap, and does not expect the cap to be deferred in any way.”
“As we have previously said, we do not believe that a price cap will benefit customers but we want to ensure that there is a transparent and rigorous regulatory process to deliver a price cap that allows suppliers, as a minimum, to continue to operate to meet the requirements of all customers.”
The government has not yet commented on the legal challenge from Centrica.
The group is the UK’s biggest energy supplier and has over 12 million customers.
An insider on the matter said: “We want to ensure that the tariff cap being implemented by Ofgem proceeds in a fair and workable way, for all energy suppliers, and that it properly reflects the costs energy suppliers have incurred to supply customers.”
Npower and Scottish Power are said to have offered encouragement to Centrica but are not planning on joining the legal battle.
Shares in the group (LON: CNA) are currently trading -0.26% (1115GMT).
ONS: Economy grows whilst business investment drops
New figures from the Office of National Office of Statistics have shown business investment to fall for the third consecutive month.
The latest ONS figures said that in the three months to the end of September, business investment fell by 1.1% to £46.9 billion.
This is the first time that investment has fallen for three consecutive quarters since the 2009 recession.
ONS statistician Rob Kent-Smith said: “The longer-term picture remains subdued and business investment has now fallen for three consecutive quarters.”
News on Friday also revealed car production to fall for the fifth consecutive month.
The industry’s trade body showed output to tumble by 20% amid Brexit concerns, falling to the lowest point since the 2009 recession. November is the fifth consecutive month for production to fall.
As well as the fall in car production and business investment, the UK deficit widened by £6.6 billion to £25 billion.
“The further, marked rise in the current account deficit is disappointing as an elevated shortfall is a potential source of vulnerability for the UK economy – particularly if there was any major loss of investor confidence in the UK for any reason such as Brexit concerns,” said Howard Archer, an analyst from EY Item Club.
ONS figures also revealed a growth to the economy, where GDP grew by 0.6% in the third quarter.
Growth was helped by the services sector, construction and manufacturing.
“Today’s figures confirm the economy picked up in the third quarter with a solid showing from services and construction,” said Kent-Smith.
“However, the longer-term picture remains subdued and business investment has now fallen for three consecutive quarters. Households continued to spend more than they received, for an unprecedented eight quarters in a row.”
Samuel Tombs, who is the chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconmics, said consumers are currently keeping economic growth alive, however this is not sustainable and business investment is necessary.
“The recent deterioration in consumers’ confidence and the pick-up in saving intentions suggests that growth in spending will slow in the near-term, even though real wages should start to rise at a faster rate,” he said.
“Accordingly, the latest national accounts do not inspire confidence that the economy will pull through the current political crisis unscathed.”
Car production falls for fifth consecutive month
A new report from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) revealed UK car production to plummet in November.
The industry’s trade body showed output to tumble by 20% amid Brexit concerns, falling to the lowest point since the 2009 recession.
November is the fifth consecutive month for production to fall.
Mike Hawes, the chief executive of the SMMT, said: “It’s very concerning to see demand for UK built cars decline in November, with output seriously impacted by falling business and consumer confidence in the UK allied to weakening export markets.”
As well as concerns in the car industry, Brexit has also impacted car manufacturers who have issued many warnings on the impacts that a no-deal Brexit could have on production.
“Thousands of jobs in British car factories and supply chains depend on free and frictionless trade with the EU. If the country falls off a cliff-edge next March the consequences would be devastating,” said Hawes.
The SMMT chief executive has called for a no-deal Brexit to be ruled out. He said that thousands of car manufacturer jobs and their suppliers depend on frictionless trade with the EU.
Jaguar Land Rover has announced plans to cut as many as 5,000 job next year amid falling sales in China.
“Jaguar Land Rover notes media speculation about the potential impact of its ongoing charge and accelerate transformation programmes.” said the carmaker.
“As announced when we published our second-quarter results, these programmes aim to deliver £2.5 billion of cost, cash and profit improvements over the next two years. Jaguar Land Rover does not comment on rumours concerning any part of these plans.”
Elon Musk undercuts LA traffic with new tunnel
Pioneer and tycoon Elon Musk has unveiled a new tunnel designed and built by The Boring Company, to tackle the landmark Los Angeles trope – the traffic.
Elon’s new(ish) company
Founded in 2016, The Boring Company was created with the sole purpose of revolutionising the way we do road transport, with Elon’s vision being to implement this system of underground road arteries in cities around the world. Mr Musk has stated, “I am actually going to do this. Defeating traffic is the ultimate boss battle.” “It’s not like you’re going through a whole series of stops. Nope, the main arteries will be going super fast, and it’s only when you want to get off the loop system that you slow down.” Elon has said that after considering a skate-style format, he settled on the concept of fitting the cars with specially designed wheels that would pop out perpendicular to a car’s regular tyres and mount the track. The price is expected to stand at $200-300 per car.From concept to reality
After securing permission to build the tunnels in June, the Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) founder has gone on to build a trial ‘loop’ system underneath Los Angeles, which he said would – with time – act more as an underground highway network than a subway, with exit points being distributed throughout the network of tunnels. Since June, the O’Leary Station has been built and within the last day, the first public tests were carried out. A wall-less lowered the electric vehicle thirty feet below surface level, with a Tesla Model S being driven at 40mph through the tunnels, though Elon later said that the vehicle would be capable of travelling at 150mph through the subterranean road. Mr Musk described the first trial as,“Epic” “For me it was a eureka moment. I was like, ‘This thing is going to damn well work’.”Musk later noted that there were a few rough edges, with the speed of his paving machine not keeping pace with the ambitious man’s best-laid plans. However, he vowed that going forward, the future systems would be “smooth as glass” and that, “This is just a prototype, that’s why it’s a little rough around the edges”.
Standard Elon Musk patter
To bolster the merits of his next big project, Mr Musk then pointed out that the tunnels would be the ‘safest’ place to be during earthquakes. He then went on to refute claims that the construction of the tunnels would be at all disruptive, “The footsteps of someone walking past your house will be more noticeable than a tunnel being dug under your house.” Whether just another quaint idea or a vision for the future, history will remember Elon Musk as either an egotist or a genius.The Environment Agency introduces fishing restrictions to target salmon shortages
The Environment Agency announced the implementation of a series of new fishing restrictions to combat declines in salmon and sea trout stocks.
The new regulation is set to come into effect from the January 1st, in a bid to encourage greater prioritisation of sustainability within the UK’s fishing industry.
According to 2017 government figures, the UK’s waters have witnessed a marked decline in returning salmon across the last decade.
In fact, as many as 27 of the total rivers in the UK had been categorised by the findings as ‘probably at risk’, with an additional 9 already considered to be at ‘at risk’.
Kevin Austin, Environment Agency’s Deputy Director for Agriculture, Fisheries and the Natural Environment said of the newly implemented restrictions:
“It is only through continuing to take concerted action, and through the co-operation of others, that we will successfully protect this iconic fish for future generations.
We are not implementing these changes lightly and have consulted widely with those affected. There is no single solution to protecting salmon stocks; reducing the catch of salmon can only partly contribute to the recovery of salmon stocks.”
However, the shortages are not limited to the UK’s waters, with global salmon levels continuing to deplete alongside other marine life. In fact, according to statistics, 90% of world marine fisheries are overfished or fully fished, with numbers only set to decline further, as high levels of plastic continue to pollute the world’s oceans at a remarkably rapid rate. It’s not just government agencies that are ramping up efforts to improve the sustainability of the fishing industry. Recently launched businesses, such as Pure Salmon, are championing a more socially conscious brand of fishing. Specifically, Pure Salmon, a business developed by 8F Asset Management, is set to employ a technology called ‘Recirculating Aquaculture System (RAS)’ across its farms. The business has said that the land-based alternative to fishing is a ‘proven and scalable method of aquaculture’. Alongside promoting a more sustainable approach to fishing, the new technology is also set to ensure that its salmon produce is free of any chemicals, antibiotics, hormones, mercury and microplastic. Moreover, because the fish will be produced closer to consumers, it hopes to achieve lower levels of harmful carbon emissions due to reduced transportation costs. Stephane Farouze, Chairman and Founder of 8F, commented on the launch of the business: “We’re delighted to be launching what is the most exciting global development in land-based Atlantic salmon farming. We believe that RAS technology will be the leading driving force for growing salmon in a resource strained world, where producing sustainable food without further damaging our oceans is paramount.” Whilst businesses such as Pure Salmon are leading the way in revolutionising fishing for the better, there is still some way to go to truly preserve the world’s oceans, amid staggering levels of plastic pollution. Nevertheless, public awareness of the issue is on the rise. In fact, ‘single-use’ was recently named the word of Collins’ Dictionary’s word of the year for 2018. What’s more, government’s too are increasingly beginning to prioritise the issue. Back in October, the European Parliament voted for a complete ban on various single-use plastic goods. The Environment Agency’s latest legislation decision is only a further indication of the strength of the growing momentum behind the cause.