AIM movers: 500% increase in resource for Rockfire Resources and Eqtec raises cash

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Rockfire Resources (LON: ROCK) has increased the size of the resource at the Molaoi zinc lead silver germanium deposit in Greece by 500%. The JORC 2012 compliant mineral resource estimate is 15 million tonnes at an average grade of 9.96% zinc equivalent. Allenby estimates that it is one of the top 20 undeveloped zinc prospects. There is also 4.8mt of germanium. There are high recovery rates. Only 2.1km of the 7km potential strike has been tested so far. Allenby estimates a fair value of 2.6p/share. The share price is one-quarter higher at 0.225p.

Battery storage technology developer Gelion (LON: GELN) has developed a lithium-sulfur pouch cell that achieved 4012Wh/kg, which is more than 60% better than existing lithium-ion batteries. The technology is designed to be low weight and low cost, and commercial partners will be sought. The share price rose 6.38% to 25p.

Mosman Oil and Gas (LON: MSMN) says the completion date for the sale of its US production asset has been extended until 9 September. The cash raised will fund the acquisition of 10% of a US helium project in Las Animas County. The share price improved 4.85% to 0.054p.

Magnetic resonance imaging developer Polarean Imaging (LON: POLX) has increased interim revenues from $100,000 to $1.1m and the full year outcome is expected to be between $2.5m to $3m. Lower operating expenses have reduced the cash outflow. The share price increased 4.55% to 1.725p.

FALLERS

Eqtec (LON: EQT) has received £2m from the sale of land for the former project at Deeside. The waste-to-energy technology company is raising £1.1m from a placing at 1p/share with up to £200,000 more coming from a retail offer. There will also be £522,000 of debt converted to equity. The share price slipped 20.4% to 0.975p.

Helium One Global (LON: HE1) has completed the extended well test at Itumbula West-1. The fractured basement interval flowed at a sustained average of 5.5% helium and a maximum of 6.7% helium. There was also hydrogen. The faulted Karoo Group interval flowed at a sustained average of 5.2% helium and a maximum of 7.9% helium. The preliminary model demonstrates positive project economics. The share price slumped 21.9% to 1.055p.

Andrew Carter has resigned as chief executive of wines producer Chapel Down Group (LON: CDGP) and will become the boss of Timothy Taylor next year. Interim revenues fell 11% to £7.12m due to a slump in off-trade sales. There was not the expected restocking by retailers. Pre-tax profit slumped to £40,000. Net debt was £5.8m at the end of June 2024 after investment in further planting at the Buckwell vineyard. The share price declined 15.8% to 58.5p.

Shield Therapeutics (LON: STX) had $8.1m in gross cash at the end of June 2024 with a milestone payment of $5.7m expected in the second half. The first half cash outflow was $5.8m. Management believes that the business should be monthly cash flow positive during the second half of 2025. Iron deficiency treatment ACCRUFeR generated revenues of $11m in the US in the first half and total group revenues were $12.1m.  Full year US revenues could be $27m. The share price is 10.4% lower at 4.75p.

Barratt Developments shares fall as revenue and completions sink

Barratt Development’s shareholders should hope the boost in housebuilding promised by the Labour government will kick in soon.

Shares in the housebuilder were down around 2% on Wednesday after the group reported an 18% drop in completions and 21% drop in revenue for the full year period ended 30 June. Adjusted profit before tax was down by 56%.

“Barratt Developments has struggled to build momentum and full-year numbers were a painful read for investors. The group completed around 14,000 new homes last year, which was towards the top end of group guidance,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“But that still marks a big drop off from the 17,206 seen in the prior year as mortgage and affordability pressures are still weighing on potential buyers. Momentum did improve slightly as the year progressed, but further easing of mortgage rates will be necessary for activity to pick up significantly. With fewer homes being sold and at lower prices, less cash has come through the front door. Alongside elevated levels of incentives, used to convince buyers to sign on the dotted line, underlying pre-tax profits have taken a big hit and more than halved year-on-year.”

The acquisition of Redrow featured heavily in Barratt Development’s full-year results and investors will hope the combination can help turn the tide for the enlarged group.

The deal is in the hands of the CMA and both parties await competition clearance before the combination can finalised. Due to regulatory constraints, guidance for FY25 couldn’t include Redrow’s numbers, so Barratt provided guidance for themselves only.

The forecast of only 13,000 to 13,500 completed homes in FY25, lower than FY24’s 14,000, will certainly raise some eyebrows.

Pan African Resources – Gold Produced At $1,350 An Ounce, Achieved $2,021 Average Last Year, Expecting More This Year 

Next Wednesday, 11th September, Pan African Resources (LON:PAR) will be declaring its 2024 Final Results for the year to end-June, they should be very good, showing at least a 50% increase in pre-tax profits. 

It has helped that the price of gold has been on the rise over the last few years – the recent strong push will show through forcefully in the current year to end-June 2025. 

A year ago, the £541m capitalised group’s shares were trading at around 12.50p, they are now 29p and looking capable of an even further rise in due course. 

The Business 

The group is a mid-tier African-focused gold producer, with a production capacity in excess of 200,000oz of gold per annum.  

The company is a unique combination of underground and surface mining, owning and operating a portfolio of high-quality, low-cost operations and projects. 

From new retreatment and infrastructure plants to underground expansions, the group boasts of a proven record of bringing new operations online on-time and in-budget. 

It has four major producing precious metals assets in South Africa: Barberton (target output 95koz Au pa), the Barberton Tailings Retreatment Project, or BTRP (20koz), Elikhulu (55koz) and Evander underground, incorporating Egoli (currently 30koz, rising to >100koz). 

With over 12m oz of Gold Reserves and 40m oz of Gold Resources, Pan African’s unique portfolio mix presents significant upside potential for many years to come.  

Its Mining rights in Barberton are valid until May 2051 and at Evander until April 2038. 

It also has interests North-West of Port Sudan, where it is assessing five exciting prospects that have yielded promising samples. 

The group has succeeded in maintaining its gold production levels while simultaneously lowering all-in-sustaining costs for improved operating margins.  

For investors, that means a capital-efficient, optimally run portfolio of African mines geared for exceptional investment returns. 

Latest Operational Update (29th July) 

For the year to end-June 2024, the group’s production of 186,039oz (175,209oz) was within guidance and increased by 6.2% year-on-year.  

The average achieved gold price for the year was $2,021/oz, which will be noted as the highest on record for the group.  

The group’s all-in sustaining costs for the year was around $1,350/oz. 

CEO Cobus Loots stated that: 

“We are pleased that the Group has again delivered into its production guidance, while further improving safety rates and maintaining its industry leading safety performance during the 2024 financial year. 

The surface tailings retreatment operations at Elikhulu and the BTRP performed exceptionally well, with some of the lowest all-in sustaining production costs in Southern Africa.  

The Group is poised to deliver another world class tailings retreatment operation ahead of schedule and below budget in the coming months with the MTR Project. 

Barberton Mines has seen a steady improvement in gold production, with planned optimisation initiatives to increase ore tonnages expected to further bolster gold production in the next financial year.  

Commissioning of the ventilation shaft hoisting system at Evander underground during the start of the 2025 financial year, will substantially improve efficiencies and reduce reliance on the cumbersome conveyor system currently in use, vastly improving this operation’s production profile and facilitate the 25-26 Level project’s development. 

We look forward to presenting our 2024 year-end financial results in September, and to provide further details on developments at our operations and exciting pipeline of growth projects that will significantly increase the Group’s total annual gold production in FY2025.” 

Analyst Views 

After next week’s results announcement, it will be interesting to see the latest analyst opinions as to the group’s value and their Price Objectives. 

Following the recent Update, Charles Gibson at Edison Investment Research, increased his estimates for the current year, reflecting the higher gold price. 

He now has a 52.31p valuation out on the group’s shares. 

His estimates for the year to end-June 2024 are for revenues of $390.7m ($321.6m), lifting pre-tax profits to $142.0m ($92.9m), earnings of 5.72c (3.54c) and a slightly higher dividend of 0.98c (0.95c) per share. 

For the current year, he looks for $473.9m revenues, $211.4m profits, 8.02c earnings and a maintained 0.98c dividend per share. 

In My View 

With the Finals due on Wednesday next week, there should be some positive reaction to the figures. 

Sentiment remains strong aligned with the price of gold – and look at those estimates of $2021 per ounce achieved, against a production cost of just $1,350 per ounce – the sums look extremely attractive. 

Gold continues to edge higher, as does the group’s production. 

At 29p the shares offer attractive upside prospects. 

Helium One secures sustained helium flow in Tanzania, economic evaluation awaited

Helium One has provided an update on its Tanzanian helium operations and the completion of extended well tests at Itumbula. The company said the well tests were a major milestone and that it was looking forward to the next stage of development. 

Investors will be pleased to see strong shows of helium during the tests.

The fractured Basement interval yielded a sustained average of 5.5% helium (air corrected), with peaks reaching 6.7%. Equally promising results were observed in the faulted Karoo Group, which produced a sustained average of 5.2% helium (air corrected), achieving a maximum concentration of 7.9%.

In terms of flow rates, the well demonstrated robust natural performance. Under current conditions, using a 36/64ths of an inch choke setting, the well achieved a maximum flow rate of 2,701 barrels per day (bpd) of fluid. This translates to approximately 834 standard cubic feet per day (scf/d) of helium.

The major constraint for new Helium projects is the cost to bring to production. Finding Helium is one thing; commercialisation is something completely different.

Although today’s announcement was broadly positive, the company has yet to confirm the commercial viability of the Itumbula West-1 project. The mixed nature of today’s update was reflected in mixed trading for Helium One shares, which started the day positively but were quickly sold into.

The company suggested they would have to employ a form of artificial lift to make the project economically viable. However, the company didn’t share the type of artificial lift being considered, leaving questions about how expensive the next phase of testing may be and how the artificial lift will impact the economics of the project.

The company also said financial modelling demonstrated positive ‘project economics with artificial lift and additional development wells’. The statement suggests that economic viability is conditional and requires an expanded work programme.

Investors won’t have to wait too much longer for formal evaluations with the feasibility study underway that will form Helium One’s mining application.

FTSE 100 slips as investors await Non-Farm Payrolls

The FTSE 100 slipped on Tuesday as traders returned to their desks after the summer break and awaited fresh catalysts for equities.

That catalyst could come later this week from the Non-Farm Payrolls – the last jobs report before the Federal Reserve meets to decide on interest rates towards the end of September.

Non-Farm Payrolls are always eagerly anticipated, but August’s reading is particularly important given the volatility that followed July’s jobs report. There have also been downward revisions to prior jobs reports so a weak figure suggesting weakness in the US could send waves through global equities.

There is a feeling of nervousness among traders as we move into September with US and UK stocks near record highs. In recent years, September has brought severe bouts of volatility and with the concerns that sparked a sharp, yet brief, sell off in early August still rumbling in the back ground, some analysts are cautioning we could be in for a bumpy ride this month. 

“There are some tough seasonal trends ahead, as September has historically been a poor month for the S&P 500,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Couple that with political and geopolitical uncertainty, and investors are likely in for a choppy month. US non-farm payroll figures on Friday are the highlight of the week, which could have a meaningful impact on the size of the first Fed cut later this month.”

Investors were provided with some UK data to consider in Retail sales and Barclaycard spending data, although this barely moved the dial. 

Ashtead was among the top risers after the plant hire group announced positive first-quarter results that suggested the group could be turning a corner after a period of soggy growth.

“Sometimes when a company has been under pressure it’s enough that things haven’t got any worse. That has proved to be the case with Ashtead’s latest quarterly results,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“While the three-month period could hardly be characterised as stellar, the equipment hire company is sticking with its full-year forecasts.

“Ashtead has been able to eke out some growth and the hit to profit is largely linked to lower levels of used equipment sales, which is not its core business.”

The negative impact of soft Chinese data over the weekend was still evident in UK stocks on Tuesday, with miners Rio Tinto and Antofagasta lingering at the bottom of the leaderboard.

Rightmove was the top faller as investors booked profits after its shares spiked due to a potential takeover.

AIM movers: Helix Exploration drilling challenges and EnSilica contracts

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Jersey Oil & Gas (LON: JOG) shares recovered following yesterday’s slump following delays in the development of the 20%-owned Buchan project. A government consultation is expected to conclude next spring. The Buchan project was expected to produce oil in late 2027, but it will be later than that. Jersey Oil & Gas had £13m at the end of June 2024 and has no further cash exposure to the Buchan project. The share price rebounded 10.2% to 65p, but it is still more than one-fifth lower over the past week.

Hospital accounting software provider Craneware (LON: CRW) improved full year revenues by 9% to $189.3m. Annual recurring revenues rose from $169m to $172m. Earnings improved from 87 cents/share to 97 cents/share. Forecasts have been raised for 2024-25 and earnings are expected to be $1.08 cents/share. Net debt has fallen to $800,000 and net cash could be more than $20m by the end of June 2025. The share price is 7.97% ahead at 2235p.

EnSilica (LON: ENSI) has received the first orders for the ARM-based industrial controller ASIC. It will be used in factory automation controller systems. The first orders will be delivered in the first half of 2025. Total revenues should be worth $30m. This follows a contract with a telecoms equipment supplier that will be worth more than $30m. Supply should start in 2027. The share price improved 6.59% to 48.5p.

Food distributor Kitwave Group (LON: KITW) trading has been strong in the four months to August 2024, which is an important trading period. Canaccord Genuity still expects pre-tax profit to improve from £27.5m to £29m in the year to October 2024. The new south west England distribution facility should be completed by the year-end. The share price rose 6.11% to 334.25p.

FALLERS

Helium explorer Helix Exploration (LON: HEX) lost some of its recent gains after it reported an operational update for the Clink 1 at the Ingomar Dome project. Activities will pause for one month as it mobilises a rig to set intermediate casing over an area where there was caving of shale that compromised the stability of the well bore. The share price slumped   22.6% to 16.25p.

Investment company Gunsynd (LON: GUN) has raised £250,000 via a placing at 0.125p/share. Every two shares come with a warrant exercisable at 0.2p/share. This cash will enable new investments and fund activities of recently acquired exploration projects. The share price dipped 18.8% to 0.13p.

First Property (LON: FPO) has launched a one-for-three open offer to raise £2.96m at 8p/share. It is underwritten by directors Ben Habib and Alasdair Locke. The cash will settle the deferred payment for the Blue Tower property and complete the fit-out. The open offer will dilute NAV. The share price fell 13.7% to 14.5p.

Productivity and document management software developer GetBusy (LON: GETB) grew constant currency revenues by 4% in the first half and Cavendish expects growth to accelerate in the second half. However, operating costs are also set to increase. There could be a small loss this year. GetBusy operates at around breakeven because it is investing in growing the business. The share price slipped 12.2% to 61p.

Continued weakness in the construction market hit the interims of Michelmersh Brick (LON: MBH) with volumes and prices declining. The brick manufacturer reported a 16% slump in revenues, and this led to a 22% dip in pre-tax profit to £5.3m. Net cash fell to £4.1m because of higher inventories. Even so, the dividend was raised 7% to 1.6p/share and is set to steadily increase over the coming years. There is unlikely to be a recovery in profit in the second half, but it could rebound in 2025. The share price declined 6.25% to 97.5p.

FTSE 100 outlook, GBP/USD, and the AI trade with City Index’s Fiona Cincotta

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome City Index’s Fiona Cincotta to the podcast for a deep dive into the FTSE 100, GBP/USD, Nvidia, and the key economic events for Q4.

After the Fed signalled they would cut rates in September, we explore the market positioning for a rate cut and what will happen if they don’t (however unlikely that may be).

Turning attention to the UK, Fiona discusses the GBP/USD rally, the factors behind it and whether the trend is still intact. We look at the FTSE 100 and the dynamics that could take London’s leading index to fresh all-time highs.

We ask Fiona the $10 trillion question – is the AI trade over? We touch on Nvidia results, which were apparently not good enough to sustain a rally in the chip maker and the wider sector.

With Labour’s first Budget coming up in October, Fiona outlines the key markets in the run-up to 30th October.

We finish by earmarking the markets with the most potential for volatility going into the end of the year.

Majestic Corporation to acquire Telecycle amid UK e-waste recycling expansion

Majestic Corporation, a sustainable circular economy solutions provider specialising in recycling precious and non-ferrous metals, has announced its plans to accelerate its UK expansion through the acquisition of Telecycle Europe Limited, a specialist e-waste recycling business based in Deeside, UK.

The acquisition, valued at up to £2 million, is set to be completed by 31 December 2024, subject to the delivery of a specified quantity of recyclable materials.

The acquisition aligns with Majestic’s strategic goal to expand its presence in the UK, a market the company believes presents significant growth opportunities in reducing supply chain waste of critical minerals.

In 2021, the UK generated approximately 1.6 million tonnes of e-waste, underscoring the urgent need for effective recycling solutions. By acquiring Telecycle, Majestic aims to address this challenge whilst strengthening its market position.

The acquisition means Majestic will gain a fully licensed and ISO-certified facility at Telecycle’s Deeside plant, providing a wholly-owned UK subsidiary for e-waste collection, sorting, processing, and shipping operations. This move is expected to lead to immediate revenue recognition for the year ending 31 December 2024 as Telecycle is integrated into the enlarged group.

Majestic believes the acquisition will provide operating efficiencies, leading to improved margins for both businesses. It also presents an opportunity to reduce the UK’s supply chain waste of critical and precious metals, including lithium, gold, cobalt, copper, and nickel.

The enhancement of relationships with UK suppliers is anticipated to help grow Majestic’s UK recycling volumes. This strategic move positions Majestic to capitalise on the significant growth opportunities in the UK recycling market whilst contributing to the country’s sustainable waste management efforts.

“We are delighted to have conditionally agreed to acquire Telecycle and expand our UK operations,” said Peter Lai, Executive Chairman of Majestic Corporation.

“The UK market’s commitment to sustainability and recycling makes this Acquisition a crucial driver for future growth. We look forward to integrating Telecycle into Majestic and updating shareholders on our progress.”

Adsure Services: stock to watch in Q4 2024?

In a world where Nvidia is the most valuable AI company globally, a plethora of smaller AI companies are starting to gather steam with early-stage investors — keep an eye out for developments in the coming quarter — but one to watch right now has to be Adsure Services.

Adsure is the parent holding company for TIAA Ltd, a specialist in providing support to organisations struggling with the world of strategic risk, The company offers a portfolio of advisory and assurance services tailored to align with key economic risks impacting the business world. This covers internal audit, anti-crime, security management, IT audit, cyber assurance and advisory services.

The company began life in 1995 as an inhouse internal audit function for a consortium of regulated social housing providers — but by 2002 had become an independent private owned company backed by a small number of private investors. A decade later, TIAA expanded into healthcare by acquiring Parkhill and had also grown into the not-for-profit market by acquiring the South Coast Internal Audit Agency.

Between 2014 and 2019, TIAA then made a number of smaller acquisitions, before launching its IPO on AQUIS.

At a glance, Adsure:

  • listed on the AQUIS Exchange in 2023
  • generates recurring revenue from long-term contracts with government funded organisations with clear revenue projection going 2-5 years into the future
  • has a history of paying dividends which has continued after the AQUIS IPO
  • works with organisations including the NHS, emergency services and housing associations
  • has abundant organic growth opportunities and has identified new markets to enter
  • has a 25-year track record of growth prior to IPO
  • received an Innovate UK grant to develop AI Large Language Model (LLM)

Management

The team is led by CEO Kevin Limn, who has over 17 years of experience in internal audit, risk management and governance in a variety of sectors. He is responsible for the strategic configuration of TIAA’s Risk & Assurance and Risk & Advisory service, is FCCA qualified and has been a member of the ICAEW since 2010.

CFO is Victoria Davies, an FCCA qualified accountant who has worked at TIAA for over 20 years. Victoria heads TIAA’s Corporate Services Teams, ensuring that TIAA continues to provide pioneering and cutting-edge services to its customers.

Industry segments

TIAA now provides internal audit services covering two operational divisions: risk & assurance (internal audit, compliance, grant funding audits and scrutiny services) which generates 70% of total revenue, alongside risk & advisory (fraud, advisory, digital assurance, and security management), which together raise the remaining 30%.

It operates within four key industry categories — broken down by revenue generation:

  • Healthcare including trusts, integrated care boards and private providers (40.2%)
  • Housing, including social homes, supporting housing, and housing associations (19.75%)
  • Education, including universities, colleges, MATs and schools (23.95%)
  • Government, including all levels such as central government, local authorities and emergency services (16.28%)

It’s worth highlighting two key factors at this juncture. First, public sector contracts are difficult to get — but once you wedge a foot in the door, they tend to both get renewed and snowball. Second, the company enjoys diversified revenue streams that should protect it as the new government’s spending priorities shift.

For perspective, TIAA recently received an Innovate UK grant to assist in the development of a Generative AI Large Language Model — using open source artificial intelligence technology, Adsure Services is designing a proprietary AI tool to help government-funded organisations improve their efficiencies and reduce costs.

The focus for now is on the healthcare sector, though it will be expanded to the rest of the portfolio in time. Development is well underway and regular updates are expected.

Financially, Adsure has been delivering continued revenue, profit before tax and EBITDA growth in 2024, and entered the new financial year with a strong order book and in advanced discussions with new and existing clients to increase revenues further. The company paid a maiden interim dividend in April — and another is due by the end of the year.

Inaugural full-year results were released on 29 July, covering the financial year to 31 March 2024.

Adsure generated total revenue of £9.3 million, up from £8.9 million in FY23, driving profit before tax up some 72% to £471,000. As the encumbered asset charge has now been removed, cash balances remain strong, with £1,067,000 at hand as of the end of March.

Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation (EBITDA) rose by 33% year-over-year to £876,000, with an EBITDA margin of 9.4%, up from 7.31% a year prior.

The company is now at that explosive growth stage — where current contracts cover all costs with profits left over — and scaling up offers significant margin improvements as new contracts constitute more profit.

CFO Vicky Davies enthused ‘I’m delighted to report another year of growth for Adsure Services and TIAA Ltd. Revenue for 2024 grew 3.4% to £9.3m and profit before taxation increased 72% to £471k. Demonstrating action in cost control, our EBITDA margin improved to 9.4%. We have started the year strongly and will maintain our prudent approach to managing costs.’

Operationally, the company successfully delivered its pre-set objectives set out in the corporate plan which runs to 2028. It restructured the corporate services functions which has improved efficiency in the back office, implemented a sector led approach to business development, and expanded its Advisory Practice with significant awareness raised of the brand.

The Innovate UK grant to develop the Artificial Intelligence capabilities will see Adsure further help current and prospective clients with improved service delivery — via maximising the use of big data.

The CEO notes that ‘As part of our drive to improve efficiencies across the business, we have deployed an Innovate UK grant to develop proprietary Generative AI Large Language Model (LLM) technology specifically designed to enhance outcomes for our customers across government-funded organisations, including housing associations, healthcare services, emergency services, local governments and education institutions.’

Adsure also outsourced ICT functions, removing the potential single point of failure and significantly enhancing its technological capabilities — while principal trading entity TIAA became a certified B-Corporation. This demonstrates both the inherent social value within the business model and that Adsure meet the highest levels of social and environmental performance.

To be eligible for this status, a company must not only demonstrate a very high social and environmental performance but must change the corporate governance structure to be accountable to all stakeholders, not just shareholders, in addition to exhibiting transparency by allowing information about their performance measured against B -Corporation’s standards to be publicly available.

CEO Kevin Limn notes that:

‘We saw growth across all of our four key industry groups driven by strong customer relationships and a growing range of services, enabling us to increasingly meet our client’s complex internal audit and business assurance demands. Our growth strategy is underpinned by three defined objectives; to achieve organic growth, enter new markets, and enhance our technological capabilities. Our outlook is promising, and we have excellent visibility over our revenue in the years to come due to the long-term nature of our contracts, which deliver us recurring revenues. We look forward to expanding our relationships with existing customers by providing them with additional services, while welcoming new customers. We are identifying new markets and expect to execute plans to enter these markets in the upcoming period.’

The CEO also had comments on the wider dividend strategy:

‘TIAA Ltd has a history of paying dividends, and Adsure Services was delighted to recognise our investors with the payment of our maiden 0.49p per share dividend as an AQUIS-listed company in April, and we will continue to recognise long-term shareholders through the proposed increased final dividend of 0.99p per share to be paid later this year, subject to approval at our AGM on 9 October 2024.’

The bottom line

Adsure Services is capitalised and growing. It boasts multiple public sector contracts across a wide sphere of interests, and as new contracts are won, should start to see both margins and profits continue to rise.

And the government is so positive, it’s handed out grant money to see the private-public partnerships develop further.

Ashtead shares gain as revenue gains

Ashtead shares rose on Tuesday after the North American-focused plant hire group announced rising revenue, which bodes well for the company as the Fed cuts rates.

After a decade of bumper growth, Ashtead’s growth outlook has become increasingly unclear amid mixed US construction activity.

However, today results will be a source of encouragement for investors as revenues grew 2% in the group’s first quarter. The company attributed the tick higher in revenue to rising rental volumes and the amount they were able to charge for an average higher.

EBITDA rose 5% but operating profits slipped 2% as a result of higher interest costs. But with the Federal Reserve on the verge of cutting interest rates, this constraint on earnings may be about to ease. 

Ashtead shares were over 4% higher at the time of writing.

 “Equipment hire firm Ashtead has today announced a changing of the guard in terms of its CFO but perhaps more pertinently, a slip in profit in comparison to last year. Ashtead, which services construction, emergency response and events, has seen its numbers hurt by a comparative slowdown in the US, where the company does the lion’s share of its business,” said Adam Vettese, Market Analyst at investment platform eToro.

“Revenue is actually up year-on-year but this was not enough to offset increasing interest and depreciation costs, which we expect to ease as the Fed cuts rates. As such, the firm has maintained its guidance for the rest of the year.”

Although growth concerns may linger, one of the biggest considerations for investors is whether Ashtead remains a London-listed company or decides to follow other firms in switching its listing to the US in pursuit of a better valuation. 

“There is likely to be a fresh round of questions about whether Ashtead is looking to shift its listing to the US after news that the CFO role will be based in the US when Michael Pratt retires in September. Alex Pease will take up the role, and management has confirmed it will likely be based in the US,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.