Labour tells government to ‘Build it in Britain’ with Biden-style green economy

Serving up the latest hot slice of catchy soundbite, the Labour Party has taken ownership of the ‘Build Back Better‘ campaign, and called for the government to ‘Build it in Britain’, with a Biden-esque recovery driven by the green economy. The call from the UK’s largest opposition party comes ahead of next month’s Comprehensive Spending Review, and challenges the government to boost jobs in UK manufacturing and spend big on low-carbon infrastructure, as part of the push towards a cleaner economy. This latest round of pressure follows almost 2,000 consultation responses from businesses, trade unions and other stakeholders, which informed the party what a credible green recovery ought to look like. As part of the ‘Build it in Britain campaign’, the party called for the government’s £30 billion capital investment to be pulled forwards, and used to retrain workers affected by the COVID crisis, and equip them with the skills needed to be employed in the green economy. Further, Labour also challenged the government to follow the lead of other countries, and create a National Investment Bank that focuses on driving green investment. Speaking on the pressure being put on the government for a ‘Build it in Britain’ eco-friendly recovery, Shadow Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, Ed Miliband, said: “This is the right thing to do for so many people who are facing unemployment, the right thing to do for our economy to get a lead in the industries of the future and the right thing to do to build a better quality of life for people in our country.” As part of the infrastructural changes being called for, Labour wants the government to accelerate the planned investment on electric vehicle charging infrastructure, and expand its energy efficiency and retrofit programmes, including in social housing. Commenting on the green economy push, and the need for retrofitting to applied more broadly, Ringley Managing Director, Mary-Anne Bowring, suggested: “[The] focus needs to be much wider than simply social housing. The UK has some of the oldest housing stock in Europe, and this is an even greater issue in the private rented sector.” “While part of the answer is encouraging the supply of quality new-build homes that are more energy efficient, retrofitting existing homes must also be part of the solution.” “Beyond providing subsidies for homeowners and landlords to upgrade their properties, another policy lever the government could pull is to cut or abolish VAT on retrofit projects, which currently stands at 20 percent.” Andrew Shepherd, managing director at TopHat, adds that we need to not just improve what also exists,but lay the right groundwork for future infrastructure and construction work: “We would also urge politicians not to lose sight of the need to ensure that the homes we build today will stand the test of time, and to focus investment on scaling up the skills and supply chains needed to harness innovations in modern methods of construction, which are already delivering some of the most energy efficient homes ever seen.” “Modular housing, which can be delivered more quickly and with greater energy efficiency than traditional homes, will be an essential part of the solution. Investment in skilled manufacturing jobs to deliver low-carbon homes will allow a rebasing of the UK economy away from the pressured south east, delivering an economic benefit to the rest of the UK.”      

Landsec posts £835m loss – CEO remains confident

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Landsec (LON: LAND) has said that the demand for London office space remains strong despite more people working from home. The property company wrote almost £1bn a billion off the value of its portfolio to £11.8bn – but chief executive Mark Allan remains confident of demand. In the six months to 30 September, Landsec made a pre-tax loss of £835m, which is an increase from last year’s £147m. The group will pay a dividend of 12p a share in January. Landsec said earlier this month that it plans to sell almost a third of its £12.8bn property portfolio over the next four to five years. The property group behind Trinity Leeds shopping centre and Bluewater in Kent said that it will reinvest the money in new developments. Landsec shares (LON: LAND) are trading +4.69% at 673,60 (1544GMT).    

Interview with Mode Banking Executive Chairman, Jonathan Rowland

Mode Banking Executive Chairman Jonathan Rowland joins the UK Investor Magazine Podcast to discuss recent progress at Mode and their plans for the future.

Mode Group Holdings (LON:MODE) has recently listed on the LSE Standard List raising £7.5m to fund the growth of their Digital Asset Banking App that harnesses Open Banking systems.

Classic Motorcycles or Classic Cars? Which offers better returns?

In a recently recorded interview, Brand Communications CEO Alan Green and The Motorcycle Broker Paul Jayson look at the investment returns from some of the great classic motorcycles and cars over recent years.

Average investment returns for classic cars over 15 years from the Coutts Passion Index are discussed, before Alan and Paul look at some examples of investment returns from rarer machines, including the Ferrari 250 GTO, Alfa Romeo 8C and 6C, Aston Martin DB4, Ducati 916 Carl Fogarty race bike, Ducati 750SS Green Frame, Brough Superior, Vincent Black Lightning and Honda CBX 1000. Paul looks at some of the pitfalls for prospective classic motorcycle purchasers, and emphasises the importance of machine provenance and originality before the purchase.

Ahead of the next episode covering potential dark horse classic motorcycle investments for the coming decade, Paul talks about the amazing Allen Millyard Kawasaki 1000 four cylinder two stroke.

Arena Events remains in strong financial position, despite Corona impact

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Arena Events Group Plc shares (LON: ARE) opened 24.55% higher after the group released a trading update for the six months ended 30 September 2020. Due to Corona restrictions and the ban on mass gatherings, revenue fell from £88.3m in 2019 to £42.8m. Gross profit fell from £24.9m to £14.8m. Despite the tough trading environment, Arena Events Group Plc protected significant overhead cost reductions, which was 10.3%. In the UK and Europe, the group delivered numerous structures for temporary Corona medical facilities and testing centres. The group has also signed a multi-million pound contract extension for the rental of 26,000 seats to the Tokyo 2020 Olympics, which will now be held in 2021. Greg Lawless, the chief executive of Arena Events Group Plc, commented: “We are at the epicentre of the economic destruction that the COVID-19 pandemic is causing to the hospitality sector worldwide with virtually no live audience participation at any event over the last six months. However we have been proactively working to reduce the impact on our business as much as possible by securing extensive non-event revenues, reducing our cost base and raising funds from both our bank, HSBC, and shareholders to be able to put the Group in a solid financial position to trade through these very difficult times and emerge in a stronger, more cost efficient position. “The fact that we have delivered a positive EBITDA out-turn for these first six months, taking everything into consideration, reflects a robust performance that demonstrates the benefits of a global platform and, in particular, the tremendous tenacity, agility and positive attitude of the senior executives and their teams across all of our business units. “No dividend will be paid in relation to FY21 as the Board prioritises the optimisation of cash resources. Audited full year results are expected to be released in early July 2021.” Arena Events Group Plc shares (LON: ARE) are trading +30.25% at 7,16 (1014GMT).  

Persimmon reveals plans to pay extra dividend

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Persimmon (LON: PSN) revealed in its latest trading update that it plans to a second interim dividend thanks to strong trading. The housebuilder plans to pay an interim dividend of 70p per share in December after the group resilient demand for new homes and secured £1.4bn of sales for future years. In the period between July 1 and November 9, the group average private weekly sales rates per site was 38% higher than the year previously. Chief executive Dean Finch said: “Persimmon continues to perform robustly despite the significant challenges presented by the Covid-19 pandemic and we are currently on course to deliver a good result for 2020.” Head of Markets at Interactive Investor, Richard Hunter, said: “Persimmon is playing the hand which it has been dealt prudently and profitably. “Returning demand meant that during the summer, the company was indeed able to make hay while the sun shone. “The summer surge, partially driven by some pent-up demand, has resulted in a strengthening of the company’s financial position, with net cash of £960 million comparing to £829 million at the half-year results.” On Monday, rival housebuilder Taylor Wimpey also said that it expects this year’s financial results to be at the upper end of expectations and remains confident about next year. Shares surged on Monday morning as the housing market continues to be resilient after reopening after the second quarter shutdown. Persimmon shares (LON: PSN) are down 3.14% to 2.694,40 (0949GMT).

ONS: Unemployment reaches four-year high

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New figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have shown unemployment levels to reach a four-year high. As redundancies hit record highs, the UK’s unemployment level has jumped to 4.8% in the three months to September – the highest level since 2016. The ONS said: “For July to September 2020, an estimated 1.62 million people were unemployed, up 318,000 on the year and up 243,000 on the quarter. “The annual increase was the largest since December 2009 to February 2010 and the quarterly increase was the largest since March to May 2009. The quarterly increase was mainly driven by men (up 178,000) and there were increases across all age groups.” In the same period, 314,000 people were made redundant. “Redundancies increased in July to September 2020 by 195,000 on the year, and a record 181,000 on the quarter, to a record high of 314,000m,” said the ONS. “The annual increase was the largest since February to April 2009.” The sharpest fall was among part-time and self-employed workers. the ONS explained: “Looking more closely at the quarterly decrease in employment, it can be seen that this is driven by decreases in the number of part-time workers (down 158,000 on the quarter to 8.11 million) and self-employed people (down 174,000 to 4.53 million, with a record 99,000 decrease for women).” “The quarterly decrease was partly offset by an increase in full-time employees, up by 113,000 on the quarter to a record high of 21.17 million. The increase in full-time employees was driven by women (up a record 165,000 on the quarter to 8.72 million), while men decreased by 53,000 to 12.45 million, the first quarterly decrease since March to May 2019.” Suren Thiru, the British Chambers of Commerce head of economics, said: “The rise in the unemployment rate and redundancies is further evidence that the damage being done to the UK jobs market by the coronavirus pandemic is intensifying.” “The extension to the furlough scheme will safeguard a significant number of jobs in the near term. However, with firms facing another wave of severely diminished cashflow and revenue and with gaps in government support persisting, further substantial rises in unemployment remain likely in the coming months.”  

Premier Foods raises profit outlook on strong demand

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Premier Foods (LON: PFD) has raised its profit outlook for the full year as it expects higher demand amid new restrictions. The food manufacturer, which owns brands including Mr Kipling and Bisto, reported a pre-tax profit of 35.5% to £50.5m and a 15% increase in revenue. to £421.5m. The jump in profits in revenue was due to the stronger demand for products as more people are eating at home. The higher demand is expected to continue over the next four weeks and the group has raised its profit outlook. Premier Foods is also driving new products and television marketing. Chief executive Alex Whitehouse said: “We have seen many more meal occasions being consumed at home, particularly in the first quarter, followed by a transition towards more normal levels of demand through quarter two. During this entire time, we have continued to drive our branded growth model, launching insightful new products and supporting our three biggest brands with above the line advertising. “Consequently, we have continued to grow faster than all our categories, increasing market share in each one; a reflection not only of our strong brands but also the amazing performance of our supply chain colleagues to ensure product availability. “Looking to the second half of the financial year, we expect to see continued revenue growth driven by further new product innovation, strong commercial plans and increased marketing investment for our brands, with six major brands planned to be advertised on TV. We also now expect to see an increase in demand for our brands due to the impact of recently increased government restrictions on eating out. The longevity of this increased demand is likely to be linked to the duration of these new measures, and although we have tougher comparatives in the fourth quarter, we anticipate that Trading profit for the full year will be ahead of current market expectations.” Premier Foods shares (LON: PFD) are trading at 102,73 (0833GMT).

UK house sales enquiries dropped by 32% in 2020

A new report by WeBuyAnyHome has outlined the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the UK housing market, revealing that house sales enquiries have plummeted by 32% on average compared to 2019 as widespread lockdowns and market turbulence dampen appetites to buy. The data compares house sales enquiries from January to September 2019 to the same period in 2020, as well as analysing the fluctuation in sales demand during the pandemic by comparing figures from Q1 to Q2 across this year. According to the report, house sales enquiries in Scotland have also dropped by a whopping 48% in Q2 2020, although the few UK regions which have actually seen an increase in enquiries over recent months were all located in Scotland: Edinburgh (+53.50%), Clackmannanshire (+40.00%) and Dunbartonshire (+11.80%). In the North, however, the housing market has essentially stagnated due to the pandemic. Lancashire saw enquiries plunge by 38.4% compared to last year, while North Yorkshire suffered a 39.2% blow as predominantly low-income families have struggled to sell. As could be expected, London appears to have performed better than the rest of the UK, with sales enquiries down a meagre – but still significant – 14.2% in the last year. Some of the capital’s surrounding counties have seen a major drop in demand, however, with enquiries down 32.7% in Essex and 25.5% in Kent. Despite the apparent apprehension to buy, mortgage approvals reportedly hit a new 13-year high in September – with banks signing off on 91,500 mortgages – and the Bank of England citing the stamp duty holiday and the demand for more space during lockdown as driving the desire to move. Strict lockdown measures which came into force in the Spring essentially ground the housing market to a halt, but in recent months a “housing boom” has made up for lost time, although some are sceptical that the trend has much longevity. Andrew Montlake, managing director of mortgage broker Coreco, warned last month that the market boom is likely to lose steam: “The post-lockdown bull run is already over. Lenders have been pulling down the shutters due to ongoing struggles with capacity and concerns over rising unemployment levels, specifically the impact on house price growth”. So the figures are confusing. Sales enquiries have clearly taken a hit this year – particularly in the North of England – and even with a couple of months of new-found growth in the sector, investors would be right to view the recent trend with some caution. Once the stamp duty holiday comes to an end in March next year, and with a Brexit decision (deal or no-deal style) on the horizon leaving markets suspended in a seemingly permanent state of confusion, the momentum may well drain from the housing market on the other side of the New Year – or possibly even before.

Sunak announces ‘green gilts’ to bolster government’s low-carbon investment

Chancellor Rishi Sunak is set to announce the launch of the UK governments first ‘green gilts’, which will be used to boost its low-carbon investment capabilities. These targeted bond mechanisms follow the lead of 16 other countries, including Sweden and Germany, and will aid in government efforts to invest in green infrastructure projects – including the Boris administration’s commitment to scaling up Britain’s offshore wind capabilities. The move towards green gilts, or ‘green sovereign bonds’, also follows moves by the Bank of England and European Central Bank, to adjust their respective asset-purchasing strategies towards being geared more specifically towards low-carbon emitting companies. It likely also pre-empts a change in tone over the pond, with president-elect, Joe Biden, being vocal about his intentions to put his weight behind a low-carbon shift in US energy. It will also follow a move by the Financial Conduct Authority, which, from January 1 2021, will require all ‘premium listed companies’ to make ‘better’ disclosures about how climate change will impact their business – with the potential for these climate risk disclosures to be extended to cover asset managers, life insurers and pension providers. Commenting on Sunak’s green gilts, and what is at the very least a symbolic next stage in the green transition, Fran Boait, executive director of Positive Money, said:

“Markets are currently rife with ‘greenwashing’, and we’ve seen the farce of high-carbon corporations such as oil companies and airports issuing supposedly ‘green’ bonds. We need to make sure that these green government bonds are actually used for ambitious investment in a just green transition.”

“The Bank of England could also help support a fair green recovery by buying up green gilts through its quantitative easing programme, which is currently skewed towards high-carbon companies, including the likes of Shell and BP. Although there is high demand from private investors for sovereign green bonds, the Bank could divest from polluting companies and reinvest funds in these new green government bonds.”