Robert Walters posts 24% fall in Q4 profits

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Robert Walters has posted a 24% fall in fourth-quarter profits.

The recruitment firm revealed a fall in profits from £94.2m last year to £71.4m. Profits at the firm have fallen the past two consecutive quarters, where profits were down 34% and 30% respectively.

Robert Walters operates in over 30 countries and said the current climate was challenging, however, was optimistic about the improving conditions in the Asia Pacific.

Full-year profits are expected to come in at the upper end of the forecast, despite the drop in profits over the past year.

Chief executive Robert Walters said: “Once again I would like to begin by thanking all of our people across the globe, whose wellbeing remains our number one priority, for the incredible durability and commitment they have shown during this most unprecedented and difficult of years.

“It’s their drive, passion for the business and singular focus on helping our clients and candidates that has enabled the Group to deliver such a resilient performance.“I am however pleased to say that the better than expected performance in the fourth quarter, coupled with the sensible and targeted short-term cost reduction and control measures that were put in place at the beginning of the pandemic, means that profit for the full year is likely to be ahead of current market expectations,” he added.

Robert Walters shares (LON: RWA) are trading +4.82% at 484,25 (0931GMT).

Oil price gains on weaker dollar

The price of oil has climbed on Tuesday morning against a weaker dollar, following yesterday’s announcement that Goldman Sachs expects Brent prices to reach $65 per barrel by this summer.

A combination of Saudi Arabia’s decision to cut output and anticipation of a Democrat-driven stimulus check in the US has also boosted the commodity – “the traditional bellwether of economic hopes” – back towards the 10-month high it reached last week.

WTI Crude is up 0.63% as of 09:03, while Brent Crude is similarly up 0.57%, following an across-the-board rally of more than 45% since the end of October after numerous Covid-19 vaccine breakthroughs raised hopes of a return to normality for the travel industry.

However, the laborious process of vaccinating large swathes of the population is expected to take some time, and with outbreaks worsening in both the UK and the US, hopes of a sustained recovery are being increasingly pushed back to the latter half of the year.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its previous projections, stating that oil demand recovery will be slower in 2021 than first thought, and reducing its projections by 170,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 5.7 mbpd in 2021.

Analysis by S&P Global Platts suggests that oil demand will be 2.4 mbpd lower than 2019 levels, coming in at around 5.3 mbpd, with blame largely falling to the decline in global travel.

In fact, according to the IEA, 80% of the decline in fuel consumption in 2021 from 2019 levels is set to be attributed to “weak consumption” of jet fuel due to widespread travel bans.

The Hut Group Q4 revenue jumps 51%

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The Hut Group saw Q4 sales come in ahead of expectations, thanks to a 3.5m boost in new customers.

Revenues in the three months to December 31 were up by 51% year-on-year, this was more than the expected 40-45% increase.

Group revenue for the fourth quarter was £558.7m, up from last year’s £370.0m. Revenue was boosted by the firm’s acquisition of Dermstore.com and growth in demand for beauty products, which soared by 66%.

Over the fourth quarter, the group added 3.5m new customers. Over the whole year, The Hut Group saw an increase of 10.7m.

Matthew Moulding, Executive Chairman and CEO commented: “I am pleased to report another strong performance through Q4 2020, during what has been a transformational year for THG. Due to the focus and dedication of our rapidly growing global workforce we have delivered some significant milestones in 2020.

“Following our successful listing on the London Stock Exchange in September 2020, we have accelerated our sales growth across all areas of the Group, underpinned by record new customer numbers. We have also started reinvesting capital raised at IPO, including over £360m in M&A, principally within the US beauty sector.

“Furthermore, we have also invested significantly in our people, creating 3,000 new jobs during 2020, largely within the U.K, but also across our international operations. During 2020, we have made significant progress in commercialising our Ingenuity Platform, fast becoming a major global player in taking brands direct to consumers.

“Each of these milestones further underpin THG’s strategic growth pillars outlined at IPO, giving management significant confidence when looking ahead to 2021 and beyond, and driving the increase in our guidance for the year ahead,” he added.

The Hut Group shares (LON: THG) are trading 2.66% higher at 811,00 (0849GMT).

Kingfisher shares rise on strong online trading

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Kingfisher was a top riser on this morning’s FTSE 100, as the group posted a boom in online sales for the fourth quarter.

In a trading update, the group said its full-year profits are likely to be at the upper end of expectations. Profits are expected to be around £667m-£742m for this year.

Sales over Q4 increased by 12.6% amid the lockdown, where the retailer stores are still open for click and collect.

Overall, Q4 20/21 Kingfisher sales are up 16.9%, supported by ecommerce sales growth of over 150%.

Chief executive Thierry Garnier said: “The safety of our customers and teams remains our first priority while we fulfil the essential
needs of our customers. We will continue to support our colleagues during these most difficult times, and I want to express my sincere appreciation for all our teams as they continue to operate in such a challenging environment.


“While the strength of our Q4 trading, to date, is reassuring, uncertainty over COVID-19 and the impact of lockdown restrictions in most of our markets continue to limit our visibility. Longer term, we are confident that the strategic and operational actions we are taking are building a strong foundation for sustainable long-term growth. We also believe that the renewed focus on homes is supportive for our markets.

Richard Chamberlain, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, said: “The outlook for home improvement has improved, with people spending more time at home, more wear and tear, and people looking to save money doing DIY. We also think Kingfisher’s new management team has introduced a more effective trading strategy, with a stronger digital offer, lower inventory and better cost control.”

In December, Kingfisher confirmed plans to return £130m it received in business rates relief.

Kingfisher shares (LON: KGF) are trading 2.11% higher at 285,40 (0831GMT).

Lloyds share price: further upside potential in 2021

The Lloyds share price (LON:LLOY) staged a white-knuckle ride of a rally in late 2020, before making a retracement into the close of the year.

Despite the sharp pull-back, Lloyds has more to offer investors in 2021 with shares valued attractively and the prospect of a UK economic recovery likely to boost sentiment around Lloyds shares.

As we have previously noted when analysing Lloyds, valuing Lloyds by their profitability during the pandemic can be a perilous pursuit as UK banks’ profits have been ravaged by the Black Swan event of COVID-19, making the past 12 months earnings a poor barometer of earnings in the future.

In addition, profits over the next couple of quarters will be unpredictable and largely correlated to short-term government decisions on economic lockdown restrictions. 

We would look to the book value or net asset value of Lloyds as the foremost valuation methodology.

Lloyds shares

During the pandemic, investors have effectively marked down their perceptions of what Lloyds assets are worth due to the risks of default caused by a severe economic downturn.

The Lloyds share price fell as low as 24p in 2020, before recovering.

Now that the worst of the economic uncertainty is behind us with the roll out of vaccines, the market is likely to reduce their risk rating attached to Lloyds shares as the chances of significant rates of default diminish.

The end of the furlough scheme and changes to taxes in the UK still pose potential threats to the underlying health of the UK economy, and Lloyds profitability, but these are favourable when compared to a protracted pandemic and lockdown. 

With Lloyds shares trading at roughly 50% of the Book Value of the company, there is plenty of space for shares to move to the upside and back in line with historical averages. 

Lloyds Dividend

There is also the prospect of the bank resuming the payments of dividends in the near term. Lloyds, along with all other UK banks, ceased the payments of dividends after a warning from the Bank of England they must conserve cash to see them through the coronavirus pandemic.

With the pandemic seemingly moving towards its final stages after the approval of the third vaccine in the UK, The Bank of England have lifted guidance against paying dividends meaning Lloyds are now free start paying dividends again. 

Investors should expect dividend guidance in Lloyds next update, but also understand the resumption of dividends will likely be gradual over the coming reporting periods. 

Nonetheless, the additional buying pressure from income investors returning to the stock will provide support for the share price going forward.

The combination of anticipation surrounding the Lloyds dividend and the low Price-to-Book valuation means the 2021 trading year is likely to be a positive one for the Lloyds share price, discounting any unexpected bad news concerning coronavirus.

Heathrow passenger numbers plunge 73%

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Passenger numbers at Heathrow airport have plunged 75% in 2020, down to 22.1m.

The number of people passing through the airport last year was 85m fewer than in 2019.

In October, Heathrow was no longer deemed Europe’s largest airport and the drop in passengers led to Charles de Gaulle in Paris taking the title.

The pandemic has led to a sharp drop in passengers in 2020 and despite fewer restrictions in December, the number of people travelling through the airport was still down 83% to 1.1m.

Recent rules introduces means that passengers arriving in the UK are having to provide a negative Coronavirus test. Heathrow’s chief executive John Holland-Kaye commented: “While we support tightening border controls temporarily by introducing pre-departure testing for international arrivals, as well as quarantine, this is not sustainable.”

“The aviation industry is the cornerstone of the UK economy but is fighting for survival. We need a road map out of this lockdown, and a full waiver of business rates.

“This is an opportunity for the government to show leadership in creating a Common International Standard for pre-departure testing that will allow travel and trade to restart safely so that we can start to deliver the Prime Minister’s vision of a Global Britain,” he added.

The airport has introduced rapid Covid tests. Tests available at the airport will cost £80 and results will be made available within the hour and will be offered by British Airways, Virgin Atlantic, and Cathay Pacific.

“Many other countries are already using testing to keep their borders safe while restarting trade and travel,” said Holland-Kaye. “These facilities will make it easier for passengers going to those countries to get a test and have the potential to provide a service for arriving passengers,” he added.

Dr Martens prepares London IPO

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Dr Martens is planning its float on the London Stock Exchange, in what would be one of the first big public offerings of 2021.

The iconic footwear retailer, which sells shoes in 60 countries across the world, is owned by Permira.

In the year ending Mach 2020, the group saw revenues of £672m. In the six months ending 30 September 2020, the group had revenues of £318.2m, which is an 18% year-on-year growth.

Chairman Paul Mason said: “We have made significant investment in the business over the last few years to strengthen the team, our operations and position ourselves for the next exciting stage of development, as a publicly listed company. We’re also committed to strong corporate governance and making sure we always do things the right way.”

Dr Martens is working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley ahead of the flotation.

Chief executive Kenny Wilson said: “Our iconic brand appeals to a diverse range of consumers around the world who wear our footwear to express their individual style. We have invested massively to ensure that we deliver the best digital and store experiences to connect with our wearers, and through this we are driving our long term, sustainable growth.”

Due to strong trading last year, the retailer returned money from the government’s coronavirus job retention scheme. Dr Martens said in a statement: “Given the resilience in trading and financial strength of the business, the board took the decision to return the taxpayer funds utilised from the UK Government furlough scheme, and these funds have now been repaid.”

JD Sports shares rise on strong Christmas trading

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JD Sports shares were up over 4% this morning after the group said that its profits will be ahead of market expectations.

The retailer released a trading update for the Christmas period, where it said it expects pre-tax profits to come in at around £400m – this is much higher than the average forecasts of £295m.

Total revenues for the 22-week period to 2 January 2021 were more than 5% ahead of the prior year as consumers “readily switched between physical and digital channels.”

Looking ahead, JD Sports has said that the effects of the pandemic are continuing to present challenges.

“Whilst we are confident that we have the proposition to continue to attract consumers throughout this period, the process to scale down activity in stores and scale up the digital channels, often at extremely short notice, presents significant challenges. We are indebted to all of our colleagues in our different territories who have had to adopt new ways of working,” said the retailer in a statement.

JD Sports said that because of the ongoing uncertain outlook and UK stores likely to be closed until at least Easter, its current best estimate is for 5%-10% growth in headline pre-tax profit.

Last month, shares in the retailer surged as it bought sportswear brand Shoe Palace in a deal worth $325m (£243.7m).

The deal means that JD Sports is extending presence in California and other US states including Texas, Florida and Nevada. The deal was all in cash and the owner of the retailer, Genesis, will then have 100% of both Shoe Palace shares.

JD sports shares are trading 4.68% higher at 890,60 (0850GMT).

Bitcoin plunges 10% – FCA warns against cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin crashed over 10% on Monday morning to around $34,000. This comes after a recent surge where the price of the cryptocurrency doubled in just five weeks.

As the price of Bitcoin drops, the FCA has issued a warning around investing in cryptocurrencies. It said: “Investing in cryptoassets, or investments and lending linked to them, generally involves taking very high risks with investors’ money.

“If consumers invest in these types of product, they should be prepared to lose all their money. As with all high-risk, speculative investments, consumers should make sure they understand what they’re investing in, the risks associated with investing, and any regulatory protections that apply.”

Reasons that the FCA are speculative of cryptocurrencies are down to the lack of customer protection, price volatility, product complexity, charges and fees, and the marketing materials.

Bitcoin isn’t the only cryptocurrency that is down this morning.

Kyle Rodda is a market analyst at IG. She commented on Bitcoin’s turbulent nature: “Perhaps betraying it wares as a risk-asset itself, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are coming under selling pressure too today, as the upward momentum in prices begins to diminish, and even threaten to roll-over. Bitcoin is always a victim of thin liquidity, so much like last week, the dip so far seen in the cryptocurrency could be quickly bought come this evening when trading conditions become a little healthier.

“Of course, after such an extraordinary rally in recent weeks, to historically overbought levels, Bitcoin is arguably another asset overdue for a pullback.”

Bitcoin has doubled in value over December as it hit the $20,000 mark halfway into the month. Its price has increased by more than 700% since March 2020. It has critics and many analysts predicted the bubble is due to burst soon.

Online retailers set for impressive updates

Christmas retail trading statements have started to come thick and fast both from large retailers, such as Marks & Spencer (LON: MKS), and smaller retailers including AIM-quoted Joules (LON: JOUL). There are still plenty of significant trading statements to come from AIM-quoted retailers, particularly the online-focused ones.
Fashion retailer Joules has shown that its online sales growth has helped to offset the loss of high street sales. Between 15 November and 3 January there was a 0.3% rise in retail sales. Online sales grew 66% and high street sales fell 58%. There has been a downgrade...