First traders given bail orders in Euribor rigging case

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Former traders at Deutsche Bank and Barclays stood trial in London today, accused of rigging the euro benchmark borrowing rate, Euribor.

Of the 11 men accused, six attended the hearing at Westminster Magistrate’s Court this morning. They are the first to stand trial as the Serious Fraud Office investigate manipulation of the Euribor between 2005 and 2009.

One of the traders, Christian Bittar, 44, was ordered to pay a bail of £1 million. The others, Colin Bermingham, 59, from Aldeburgh, Suffolk; Carlo Palombo, 37, from California; Philippe Moryoussef, 47, of Singapore; and Sisse Bohart, 38, of Denmark, were all. This is the latest in several cases of interest rate rigging to reach the courts, with Tom Hayes becoming the first person to be convicted for the crime in August. One similar trial is currently in process in Southwark crown court, with another scheduled to begin next month.
11/01/2016

Remitsy: the new alternative to expensive, slow international payments

The last couple of years have seen Fintech companies soar – especially those that are challenging traditional banks in areas of weakness. One such company is Remitsy – who utilise blockchain technology to make paying Chinese suppliers cheaper for businesses.

Remitsy was founded in April 2015 by Richard Bensberg, a businessman tired of making international payments which were both costly and time-consuming. Remitsy has identified a key area where banks just aren’t coming up to scratch; charging between 3 – 8 percent for transfers and taking up to five working days, banks are using old technology and run an expensive service. By matching sellers and buyers of bitcoin and facilitating a ‘swap’, Remitsy can save around businesses around 80 percent, and complete each payment within as little as 6 hours.

Richard Bensberg, Remitsy CEO
Richard Bensberg, Remitsy CEO
Remitsy is one of several Fintech companies tackling areas where banks are weak – their inability to react quickly to new technology has meant they are failing in an increasingly competitive market, with new companies such as TransferWise undercutting banks to become consumers’ first port of call for payments. Combined with the public’s general lack of trust in overpaid bankers, banks are in danger of losing out – so where does the future of business finance lie?

Remitsy’s CEO Richard Bensberg says: “New solutions are now helping businesses catch up using the open-source and scalable power of the blockchain. Banks have been doing international settlement much the same way since 1971 – and even where they have leveraged new technology to improve their products, as a user it often feels clumsily crowbarred into legacy systems. Whilst it is clear that banks now see the potential of the blockchain, I think we’ll continue to see the most cutting edge implementations coming from leaner fintech companies.”

He continues: “That being said, banks are more than the sum of their technology, and we are not looking to replace the bank…but we have all heard that software is eating the world, and I see payments as the banks’ bread and butter. And we are hungry!”

Miranda Wadham on 11/01/2016

Is China on the brink of collapse?

China has been growing steadily over the last couple of years, helped by market manipulation and a large economic stimulus programme. However, the ‘Great Fall of China’ last year hinted at cracks in the country’s economic foundations, which appear to have enlarged over the last two weeks. But is this a temporary hiccup – or is China on its way to collapse? All eyes were on China last summer, with economists eager to ascertain whether the 30 percent fall in the Chinese markets, dubbed ‘Black Monday’, was a one-off – or whether it signalled worse things to come. After huge market intervention from Beijing, which included an interest rate cut and a 250 billion RMB loan to prop up state banks, Chinese markets seemed to stabilise for the rest of the year. However, last week global economies shook again as trading was suspended twice, wiping away all market gains made last year. Whilst the ruling Chinese Communist Party continues to assure the world that China’s economy is not in the midst of a meltdown, the reality is that economic data from the region looks undeniably shaky. On Monday, the private Caixin/Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index showed China’s manufacturing sector had declined for the tenth month in a row, in sharp contrast with the official figures released by the Chinese government; causing a 300 point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Index and impacting on economies across Europe and Asia. On Thursday, another devaluation of renminbi caused trading suspension on the Chinese markets and a 400-point tumble at the close of trading in New York. China have continuously devalued their currency since the beginning of last year, but it doesn’t appear to have the desired effect – largely because there is a lack of demand for money. Furthermore, China’s growth is looking rocky. Whilst the official National Bureau of Statistics reported that growth in the third calendar quarter of last year was 6.9 percent, Citigroup’s chief economist has said that China is probably looking at growth of around 4 percent. Combined with this, China’s overall debt is climbing rapidly. Household sector debt is a modest 38 percent – but when combined with its rocketing private non-financial business sector debt, at 163 percent, it reaches a total of just over 200 percent. Despite appearances, the government in Beijing are panicking. Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is panicking. They are faced with slowing growth, a market hindered by short-sighted government intervention and an aging work-force – something that has been tackled with the abolition of its decades-old one child policy. But China won’t see the effect of this change for a few generations – and unless the government’s short term measures start to kick in soon, it may be impossible to prevent the spiralling decline of the world’s second biggest economy.
Miranda Wadham on 11/01/2016

Cameron to back Brexit if the public vote for it – but it is not the “right answer”

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David Cameron has said that he does not think it is the “right answer” for Britain to leave the EU, but his priority is to hold a referendum and “abide by what the British public say”.

In an interview on the Andrew Marr Show over the weekend, Cameron confirmed that he is “hopeful” of reaching a deal with European leaders next month which will renegotiate Britain’s relationship with Europe. A referendum will then be held on the subject in 2017.

Cameron said that he hopes that voters will back Britain staying in Europe if new terms are reached; however, an opinion poll released on Thursday showed that a majority of Britons would vote to leave the EU. So far, Cameron’s attempts to renegotiate the terms of the UK’s membership of Europe have been met with opposition from European leaders. His four main points include economic security for those not in the Euro, a reduction in excessive European regulation, restrictions on the benefits offered to migrants from the EU and giving the UK parliament greater powers to block EU legislation. Unfortunately, these four points are all major elements of being in the Eurozone. Essentially what Cameron wants is to extract the UK from all obligations towards Europe, but retain access to all the benefits – which, understandably, is likely to be met with opposition from other member countries. Whilst Cameron has pointed out that a few countries, such as Switzerland and Norway, have a hands-off membership of the European Economic Area, they still have to comply with obligations without the benefits of getting a say in what regulations are made – an unenviable future for the UK.
Miranda Wadham on 11/01/2016

Shell-BG deal hit by opposition as key investor votes no

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One of Royal Dutch Shell’s (LON:RDSA) key investors has spoken out against their proposed takeover of BG Group (LON:BG), as oil prices continue to fall and cast further doubt on the financial benefits of the deal.

David Cumming, head of equities at Standard Life, well-known for having a sceptical view on the deal, said: “We have concluded that the proposed terms of the acquisition of BG are value destructive for Shell shareholders. This view is based on the downside risks to Shell’s oil price assumptions plus the tax and operational risks surrounding BG’s Brazilian asset base. Consequently we shall vote against the deal.” He has confirmed that he will oppose the deal when it goes to a shareholder vote later this month. However, Shell remains confident that they have enough support to win the vote, with a spokesman saying: “We continue to believe we have the broad base of shareholder support we need for the deal to complete.” The price of oil has fallen over 50 percent since the deal first surfaced back in April, from $65 to $33 currently, making the tie-up between the two companies look far less appealing. The terms agreed by Shell – 383p in cash, plus shares currently worth 665p – has meant that in the current climate, Shell is arguably over-paying for BG. Concern about this has led to a massive drop in Shell’s share price over the last couple of months, falling around 25 percent since July. The Shell board need a majority of its shareholders and 75% of BG investors to back the deal for it to go through. Shell is currently trading down 0.87 percent, with BG down 1.28 percent (1052GMT).
11/01/2016

Asda steps up price war against Big Four rivals

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Walmart-owned chain Asda has predicted another gloomy year for the Big Four supermarkets, and announced plans to spend a further £500 million on a price war with its rivals. In a statement released over the weekend, CEO Andy Clarke confirmed that 2016 would be “another year of intense pressure” for supermarkets, and warned that “radical action”would be taken to compete with budget rivals Lidl and Aldi. On top of the £1 billion investment into cutting prices that Asda announced in 2013, another £500 million will be put aside to increase competition in 2016. Britain’s Big Four supermarkets have had a difficult time of late, all losing out to independent stores and budget rivals. Clarke described the change as “a global phenomenon”, saying that “We saw the change coming and responded in 2013, but we didn’t move fast enough.” The announcement comes just ahead of a big week for supermarkets, most of which will announce their post-Christmas trading updates later this week.
11/01/2015

Fresh concerns for China as market closes down five percent

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China has led global economies into another bad week, with the Shanghai Composite closing down over five percent on Monday.

This is the beginning of a second consecutive week of instability in China, which last week saw trading suspended twice as a circuit breaker mechanism designed to curb volatility came into effect. That mechanism was suspended on Friday, boosting investor sentiment.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index closed down 2.8 percent, with the Nikkei also down 0.39 percent. Europe started the day on the back foot, with all the main indexes down. However, the DAX and the FTSE have both regained ground, with the latter now trading up 0.17 percent.
11/01/2016

Profile: Zhou Xiaochuan, controversial governor of China’s central bank

Born in 1948, Zhou Xiaochuan has come a long way from the rebellious teenager on a state farm during China’s Cultural Revolution; he is now the country’s longest serving, and arguably most radical, governor of the Chinese central bank. It may be a new year, but all eyes are still on China – another shock devalution of the yuan earlier this week caused turmoil on markets globally. And Zhou Xiaochuan is the man behind the news – quietly recommending free-market economic policy to the State Councils that control Communist China. The son of a an early Communist leader persecuted by the government then in power, Zhou was sent to a state farm for difficult teenagers in 1968, where he defied the powers that be by listening to banned classical music. His luck changed when President Jiang Zemin, a former protégé of his father, came to power in 1989 – and his career began to take off. Xiaochuan landed a string of jobs in the upper echelons of China’s finance sector, from the president of China Construction Bank to the head of of the China Securities Regulatory Commission. His career has several impressive milestones; over-hauling the state-owned banks to encourage a more competitive market and persuading Beijing to devalue the yuan, paving the way for a free-floating currency that can challenge the US dollar, to name just a few. Since 2002, Zhou has has served as the governor of the People’s Bank of China, but success rarely comes easily; over the years, he has been heavily criticised for ‘selling out to foreigners’, in the case of the modification of the state banks, and for disagreeing with the huge economic stimulus plan ordered in 2008 by Premier Wen Jiabao. Rumours have been abound that his time as head of the Bank may soon be over; however, he has so far outlived three administrations and his reign looks set to continue for a while longer. Throughout his time as head of the central bank, Zhou has consistently pushed for a freer, globalized currency and is almost solely responsible for the rising international use of the yuan since 2005. Amongst friends and peers, he is well known for his excellent English, love of tennis and ability to mix easily with global economic figures. Over the last couple of months, however, China has been on something of a downward spiral – arguably, it is now that Zhou’s skills as an economic leader will be truly put to the test.
Miranda Wadham on 08/01/2016

Sports Direct shares drop after Christmas sales slump

Sports Direct (LON:SPD) have seen shares plummet over 15 percent today, after disappointing sales in the run-up to Christmas led to the issuance of a profit warning. The company said in a statement that they were unsure whether they would be able to hit their adjusted earnings target of £420 million and lowering the expectation to between £380 and £420 million. They have been the latest in a string of companies to blame the unseasonably warm weather for a decline in sales, with both Next and Marks and Spencer citing the same reason for disappointing Christmas figures. Arguably, however, Sports Direct are less likely to have seen a decline in sales due to the weather, with their primary offering being sports clothing and footwear. In comparison, rival JD Sports adjusted their profit expectations for 2015 upwards by £10 million in December. Sports Direct stock has fallen by a quarter in the last month, with over £400 million wiped off today. It is currently trading down 15.49 percent at 432.70 (1401GMT).
08/01/2016

US non farm payroll figure shocks at 292,000

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The latest US jobs data has just been released, with the non farm payroll figure coming in at 292,000. This is a huge advance on November’s figure of 211,000 and well above Bloomberg analysts’ expectations, which stood at 200,000. Unemployment rates were unchanged 5 percent. This is the first non farm payroll figure since the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates at their meeting in December, and such a positive figure may well encourage another rate rise within the next few months.
08/01/2016