Property and financial stocks lead FTSE 100 gains on Monday

In what has been a bright start to the week for the FTSE 100 index, among the frontrunners of the top risers crib sheet were property developer stocks, who have likely enjoyed a period in which house buyers and retail consumers released pent-up demand. There were also gains in financials with HSBC rising 9% after a Chinese insurer increased their stake in the bank. Lloyds and Natwest Group both finished the day over 7% stronger.

Land Securities soars

Leading the charge on Monday was the UK’s largest commercial property development and investment company, Land Securities (LON:LAND), who saw their shares rally over 8.30%. This rally came despite the company reporting consecutive loss-making periods, as well as following the lead of many others, and cancelling its dividend to conserve cash during the ongoing pandemic. At present, the company’s shares are up 7.85% or 38.50p, to 528.90p a share 28/09/20 12:30 GMT. The current price is 38% below where it was a year ago today. Analysts currently maintain a ‘Hold’ stance on Land Securities stock, as well as a 12-month consensus target price of 732.14p a share. It was also given a 54.31% ‘Underperform’ rating by Marketbeat‘s community and has a p/e ratio of 8.77.

British Land Company booms

Following close behind, fellow commercial property developer, British Land Company (LON:BLND), posted a 7% bounce on Monday morning. This, much like Land Securities, followed underwhelming trading updates, and what was likely a difficult time for retail-focused commercial property landlords. The company’s shares are currently up by 6.68% or 21.50p, to 343.50p apiece 28/09/20 12:30 GMT. This price is short of where it was on the same day last year by about 41%. Again, much like Land Securities, analysts maintain a ‘Hold’ stance on British Land, with an equal number of ‘Buy’ and ‘Sell’ ratings falling either side. It was also given a 12-month consensus target price of 471.62p, a 51.57% ‘Underperform’ rating by Marketbeat’s community, and a p/e ratio of 9.85.

The outlook for property developers

Despite recent trading being more promising, the Times and FT have both run stories suggesting that recent price optimism will likely subside in the coming months, with the CEBR predicting that property prices could fall by as much as 14% in 2021. As far as commercial property developers are concerned, the looming potential of a second lockdown can only be bad news, with many tenants waiting for the government to grant rent holidays or deferrals. The increased shift to digitalisation will also be tricky to manoeuvre, with high street bigwigs such as Theo Paphitis calling for business rate relief to continue indefinitely.

Aldi plans £1.3bn UK investment

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Aldi has revealed plans to create 4,000 jobs and open 100 new stores in the UK. Thanks to surging sales amid the Coronavirus pandemic, the discount-grocery chain has already created 3,000 new permanent roles in the UK. Aldi is launching a £1.3bn investment drive in the UK, where it is currently the fifth-largest grocer. “With the UK’s economic outlook increasingly uncertain, families are more concerned about their grocery bills than ever,” said Giles Hurley, the chief executive for Aldi UK and Ireland. “We’ve seen before that our customers need us most in times of financial hardship, which is why our commitment to remain Britain’s lowest-priced supermarket is more important than ever.” Over this year, the supermarket chain will have created 8,000 new jobs. On this announcement, the supermarket reported a 8.3% rise in sales to £12.3bn. Aldi launched a click and collect service last week. “The business performance has been very, very solid… but we also recognise customer habits are changing and that we need to evolve our business to meet the new demands and we’re actively doing that,” said Hurley. “We have a unique model, a set of efficiency principles unrivalled in the market, and that it is my firm belief that we can apply those principles to picking and packing stock in a very efficient way for customers… I’m very excited about it,” he added.  

Reach shares surge 20% despite paused dividend

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Reach shares (LON: RCH) shot up 20% on Monday as the publishing group announced plans to suspended its interim dividend. The publisher of the Mirror and the Express had revenue fall 17.5% £290.8m in the six months to 28 June, compared to the £352.6m profit in the same period a year earlier. Operating profit also fell from £71.3m to £54.9m. Reach has suspended its interim dividend “due to Covid-19 uncertainty”. “We have seen a strong recovery in the digital advertising market since the worst impacts of COVID-19 in April which has driven a return to healthy digital revenue growth since July, assisted by increased customer engagement and loyalty,” Jim Mullen, the group’s chief executive. “Following the implementation of the major parts of the transformation programme, Reach now has a strong foundation to drive the next phase of the customer value strategy with increased efficiency and agility in our advertising and editorial operations,” he added. Shares in Reach (LON: RCH) are trading +20.93% at 78,00 (0845GMT).  

Various Eateries goes to first day discount

Hugh Osmond, who reversed Pizza Express into a listed shell three decades ago, has floated his latest restaurant group on AIM. On the first day of trading the Various Eateries (LON: VARE) share price fell from the placing level of 73p to 69.5p. The flotation was confirmed just before the latest tightening of lockdown restrictions in the UK and that might have affected early dealings.
Osmond believes that this is a time when acquisition opportunities, either sites or groups of restaurants, are likely to come about and Various Eateries will have the cash to take advantage.
Various Eateries raise...

boohoo accepts supply chain criticism

Online fashion retailer boohoo (LON: BOO) has published the independent report on its suppliers in Leicester and the share price recovered 50p to 374.5p, compared with a year high of 433.5p and well above the level when criticism started. Management has accepted the findings and recommendation of the report.
The 234 page report is critical of boohoo and its processes and says that the allegations about suppliers in Leicester were substantially true. There have already been six suppliers terminated and others suspended.
More than 150 audits of suppliers have already been carried out. Suspended ...

FTSE bounces back from lunch-time dip thanks to modest Dow Jones gains

After starting the week on a bright note, the FTSE looked set to repeat yesterday’s regression. That was, before the Dow Jones opened with a relatively meagre rally, that proved enough to give the FTSE a burst of energy and finish the week in the green. Having dropped by just under a percent by midday, the FTSE then recovered during the afternoon, up by 0.34%, to 5,842, as the final bell went. At this level, it is still short of the 6,000 point benchmark which has become something of a target since the pandemic kicked in (though I can remember the target once being 7,500 points). Forgetting the larger picture, however, we can take some consolation from finishing the week on a tentatively positive note. This was only made possible, mind, by reassurance offered by the Dow Jones. Initially, US politics had offered the FTSE cause to falter around lunchtime, with Spreadex Financial Analyst, Connor Campbell, saying that: “This appeared to be on fears that Congress is nowhere near getting a covid-19 spending plan signed off, with a huge gap between the $2.4 trillion the Democrats want, the $1.5 trillion Trump is willing to agree to, and the measly $1 trillion cap set by Republicans.” Later, these fears were somewhat put out of mind by short-term gains from the Dow. “It helped that the Dow Jones avoided dropping to 26550 as suggested at point by the futures, instead opting for the same kind of wishy-washy gains as the FTSE. Adding 0.2%, the Dow finds itself lurking just above 26850, but lacking the confidence to push beyond that level with any gusto.” Now up 0.31%, to 26,899 points, the day is still young for the US index – with every chance that events later in the day will in some way inform the FTSE open next Monday. In a less cheery mood on Friday, the DAX fell by 1.19%, to 12,456 points. Following close behind, the CAC shed 1.12%, to 4,709.

Bahamas Petroleum shares rally 21% with spud expected before year-end

Caribbean and Atlantic-focused oil and gas company, Bahamas Petroleum Company (AIM:BPC), saw its shares rally as it announced that it had both chosen a spud date for its Perseverance #1 prospect, and had nominated a drilling rig to use on the project. Having received formal notification from Stena Drilling, the company stated that, consistent with the existing contract, it had nominated the Stena IceMAX as the intended drill rig for the upcoming Perseverance #1 drilling campaign. The company boasted that the Stena IceMAX is ‘one of the most advanced drillships’ around, and designed specifically for safe and efficient operations in a wide variety of conditions.

Bahamas Petroleum also added that the start of the contracted window – 15 December 2020 – would be the approximate arrival of the drill ship in the field, with an anticipated well spud coming coming 3-4 days later, once the rig is on station.

The company continued, stating that it expects the Perseverance #1 well to target probable oil resources of around 0.77 billion barrels, with an upside of 1.44 billion barrels.

Speaking on the Perseverance well and Covid disruption, company CEO, Simon Potter, stated:

“In March 2020, the Company was within weeks of commencing the drilling of the Perseverance #1 well when compelled to defer operations due to the anticipated impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic.”

“As might be expected when such an advanced well plan is halted so close to final implementation, major elements were already in train or sufficiently well established such that reactivation is a relatively straightforward matter.”

“With the clarity of the anticipated delivery date of the Stena IceMAX into the field this work can now be reactivated against a detailed timetable and progressed. I very much look forward to updating shareholders in the coming months as we get closer to drilling.”

Following the update, Bahamas Petroleum Company shares rallied by 21.28% or 0.50p, to 2.85p a share 12:00 GMT 25/09/20. This is far ahead of its year-to-date nadir of 1.20p, seen in April, but far behind its high of 5.30p, seen in February.

The company was given an ‘Underperform’ rating, courtesy of 55.65% of Marketbeat’s community. They currently have a p/e ratio of -7.83.

Pennon shares manage modest rally with trading in line with expectations

FTSE 100 listed water company, Pennon Group plc (LON:PNN) saw its shares post a modest rally on Friday, as it told investors it had booked ‘resilient’ trading during the first half, and ‘in line with expectations’.

The company said that the impact of Covid had been broadly in line with its previous predictions, with a net revenue hit of £10 million.

It added that during the period, it had sold Viridor – a waste management company – for £4.2 billion on 8 July, with Pennon receiving £3.7 billion in cash from the sale.

The company also said it had not utilised any government support during the period, with none of its employees having been furloughed. It continued, saying that ‘the vast majority’ of its operations has continued in Covid-secure environments. Pennon also said it had signed up to the Kickstart Scheme, in order to support the Government’s ‘build back better’ campaign.

Speaking on the impacts of Coronavirus on the company’s operations, the Pennon statement read:

“As expected, the largest impact of COVID-19 on water usage has been on businesses and commercial customers (non-household). Overall revenue has reduced with an increase in household revenue offset by lower non-household revenue. Ofwat’s regulatory model allows for differences in revenue compared to the Final Determination to be trued up in future years.” Speaking on its financial outlook, it added: “Following the completion of the sale of Viridor in July, Pennon’s debt restructuring programme is progressing well, with around two thirds repaid to date of the up to £900 million the Group announced it would seek to retire. With shorter term deposit rates remaining low, the swift repayment of debt has significantly reduced the Group’s cost of carry. Alongside this, a contribution of £36 million has also been made into the Group pension schemes.” The Group said its South West Water business is also on track to outperform on it return on regulated equity, with a £1 billion investment programme underway, alongside a £30 long funding finance lease, its WaterShare+ expected to outperform by £20 million, and its successful expansion into the Isles of Scilly.

After mustering around a 1.5% rally, Pennon Group shares have since tapered off, now up 0.44% or 4.61p, to 1,044p a share 25/09/20 11:42 BST. The company currently has a 12-month consensus price target of 1,135.00p a share, which would represent around a 9% upside on its current price.

The company also has a consensus ‘Hold’ rating, with 54% of Marketbeat’s community voting ‘Underperform’, and a p/e ratio of 16.86 below the utilities sector average of 19.82.

What will the 10pm curfew mean for pubs, bars and restaurants?

Widely-ridiculed for its arbitrary timing, the government‘s 10pm curfew comes into effect today, and will mean that all pubs, bars and restaurants will have to close their door to customers mid-way through a typical evening’s late seating. So, what will this new rule mean for food and drink outlets, and other hospitality businesses? According to the Director of Conister Bank, Douglas Grant, the new 10pm curfew will force business owners to ask themselves a lot of difficult questions about the long-term viability of their businesses: “For many businesses operating in the bar, restaurant and other hospitality sectors, the introduction of tonight’s curfew will represent a difficult choice over whether this is sustainable in the long run, especially considering that post 10pm takeaway is said to represent around half of all takings of many hospitality businesses, particularly those selling food and drink.” To be clear, takeaway and delivery of food and drink will not be included in the 10pm cut-off, with government guidance stating that, “Businesses and venues selling food for consumption off the premises, can continue to do so as long as this is through delivery service or drive-thru.” Instead, it will only be the eat-in facilities of eateries that must close at 10pm. Mr Grant adds that the new restrictions will force companies to rethink their business models: “In the brewing industry for example, Covid-19 has led to a rethink of their distribution models and we are seeing many brewing businesses now looking to transition from pubs to supermarkets for their distribution. Carbonated beer, for instance, has enjoyed improved sales driven by increased consumer demand at supermarkets. We believe that smaller sized breweries that have adapted to new consumer behaviours will likely weather the crisis and thrive, others should act fast to do the same.” Indeed, as seen with the first company to raise over a billion dollars on Crowdcube, Brewdog, breweries are doing their best to expand their offerings outside of pureplay drinking establishments. For instance, in Brewdog’s case, the company has been rolling it a growing range of its products in supermarkets over the last few years. And during lockdown, the company had to compensate for reduced footfall in its pubs, by offering burger and beer deliveries, and launching loyalty schemes. At present, the company is still finding new ways to adapt, and is currently hosting an equity crowdfund to plant a sustainable forest in Scotland – though many are wary of the business’s limited income potential. Mr Grant finished by saying that renewed government support is vital, especially in the process of hospitality sector companies adapting to the ‘new normal’: “We are now at a critical point where more resilient sectors, like the brewery industry, are protected by a tripartite level of sustainable support from Government, alternative and traditional lenders working together to ensure their existence is guaranteed. Specialist leasors have been stepping in to help the UK’s brewing industry to resolve some of these issues, enabling brewers to outsource some of their equipment so they can focus on making their products commercially available as soon as possible to capitalise on supermarket distribution and demand.” Today, the UK Chancellor launched the Job Support Scheme, which aims to supplement the wages of ‘viable jobs’ (where people are still working at least one third of their usual hours). He also announced ‘pay-as-you-grow’ measures which defer payments for the business interruption loans and bounce-back loans, as well as delaying the date of previously deferred VAT to be paid, and extending the VAT cut on the hospitality sector, with the 5% rate remaining in place until March 31.

Smiths Group shares down 8% amid “challenging market conditions”

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Smiths Group shares (LON: SMIN) tumbled on Wednesday’s after the group reported a 26% fall in pre-tax profits. In the 12 months to the end of July, pre-tax profits at the industrials conglomerate tumbled from £376m last year to £278m. Revenue at Smiths Group ticked up 2% to £2.54bn and the group said it would pay a final dividend of 24p per share. “The strength and flexibility we have built into the business, and the benefits of the group’s strategic positioning, underpinned a robust performance in challenging market conditions,” said chief executive, Andy Reynolds Smith. “We have continued to enhance the group’s strategic positioning, through execution of the restructuring programme, completion of three further bolt-on acquisitions and our unchanged commitment to separate Smiths Medical.We are seeing a stabilisation of recent trends; but we are not complacent and are continuing to strengthen the business to deliver sustainable outperformance in the future,” he added in a statement with the results. The company is carrying out cost-cutting savings, which is expected to save the group £70m by 2022. Smiths Group has not provided financial guidance for the full-year due to uncertainties around the pandemic. Smiths Group shares (LON: SMIN) are trading -7.82% at 1.320,00 (1415GMT).