Cineworld projects 7.2% revenue hike as US market performs

Cinema chain Cineworld Group Plc (LON:CINE) has predicted a 7.2% full-year jump in revenues, on-year, with strong performance in the US market on the back of a series of box office big-sellers in 2018. For the year to 31st of December 2018, the firm said that it expected to report revenue growth of 7.2% across its US, UK and ROW (Rest of World) revenue segments, with the US market expected to return a revenue spike of 8.6% on-year. This progress comes as a result of strong box office performances by popular action movies – such as ‘Black Panther’, ‘Avengers: Infinity War’ and ‘Incredibles 2’ – which performed to or beyond expectations. As proof of the success of such titles, group admissions to Cineworld grew 2.6% to a record level of 308 million – though this figure has also been attributed to Cinewrld’s ongoing refurbishment programme and the company’s expansion of its premium formats. During the course of the 2018 financial year, the company opened 13 new sites and announced new agreements with IMAX, 4XD and ScreenX – which include plans to install 55 IMAX projectors, 80 4DX screens and 100 new ScreenX auditoriums. The company then stated its positive outlook for 2019, with a spokesperson saying Cineworld were “well positioned” for another year of growth, citing an equally strong film slate for 2019, which includes titles such as, ‘Avengers: Endgame’, ‘Godzilla: King of the Monsters’ and ‘Toy Story 4’. Similarly, the company said its integration and development plans with Regal are ‘progressing well’ and that its US refurbishment programme was on track. The company’s shares are currently trading down 12.6p or 4.56% at 264p per share 16/01/19 14:36 GMT. Analysts from Peel Hunt have reiterated their ‘Add’ stance for Cineworld stock.

Pearson revenues decline, shares slide

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Pearson shares fell more than 6% on Wednesday after the publishing firm issued a trading update. The publishing and education firm updated the market on its guidance for the year, with full-year results set to be announced on 22 February. Pearson said it expects adjusted operating profit to be in the region of £540-£545 million for the year, proving in line with previous guidance of £520 to £560 million. The company added that it expects adjusted earnings per share of between 70.0p and 71.0p, as a result of one-off tax benefits and a lower finance charge previously disclosed in q3. Underlying revenues were fell 1% year on year, as a result of a decline in US Higher Education Courseware (US HECW) of 5% and US K12 courseware. Pearson said that this decline was ‘largely offset by the rest of the business growing in aggregate at over 1%’. Overall, revenue in North America dipped 1%. John Fallon, Chief Executive said: “We have made good progress in 2018, returning Pearson to underlying profit growth. We are also building a platform to enable Pearson to achieve its full digital potential, empowering more people around the world to learn the knowledge and skills to flourish in the changing world of work. There is much still to do, but we are increasingly confident in Pearson’s potential to grow and prosper.” Shares in Pearson (LON:PSON) are currently down -6.37% as of 14:26PM (GMT).

Snap Inc shares fall on CFO departure

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The Snap chief financial officer is quitting from the group, less than a year after starting. Tim Stone will be leaving the tech company in order to pursue other opportunities,” said Snap in a SEC filing. “On January 15, 2019, Tim Stone, our Chief Financial Officer and principal financial officer, notified us of his intention to resign to pursue other opportunities. Mr. Stone has confirmed that this transition is not related to any disagreement with us on any matter relating to our accounting, strategy, management, operations, policies, regulatory matters, or practices (financial or otherwise),” said Snap in a statement. “Mr. Stone’s last day has not been determined. Mr. Stone will continue to serve as Chief Financial Officer to assist in the search for a replacement and an effective transition of his duties, including through our scheduled full year 2018 financial results announcement.” Following the news, shares in the group tumbled 8%. Stone is the latest in a series of high profile positions that have left the group. Last year, Vice President of Marketing Steve LaBella, the Chief Strategy Officer Imran Khan and Human resources chief, Jason Halbert all resigned. In the filing released on Wednesday, the group said they would post Q4 earnings on February 5, which are expected to be towards the top end of earnings guidance. Shares in the group (NYSE: SNAP) are currently trading -0.15% at 1410GMT.

Sterling recovers with no-deal Brexit unlikely

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In what was a largely tight-lipped appearance before the Treasury Committee, Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney cited today’s Sterling rebound as being due to a no-deal Brexit scenario looking less likely. Following a sharp dip yesterday, in the build up to the historic meaningful vote in Commons, Carney told members of the house that today’s recovery reveals that financial markets are entertaining the possibility that the Brexit process will be extended, and consequently that a no-deal appears a more distant reality.

Will it ever get boring?

With what has been a deal of two years in the making – and despite the prime minister’s best efforts to badger opponents into supporting whatever she put on the table – the reality of an extended Brexit negotiation period looks ever-more-likely. The problem is still the same, though. Theresa May has two weeks to table an alternative, but this leaves little-to-no time for this deal to be agreed by the EU and British MPs, let alone any time to ratify and amend the legal article before the deadline. Before procedural issues though, the problem remains of what deal are we actually looking for? Ms May has outlined a deal that ends the freedom of movement while attempting to maintain a good relationship with the EU, but this is altogether too vague. It is clear perhaps, that the UK should not waste the EU’s time, and should send negotiators to Brussels with something our Parliament actually supports.

Mark Carney’s outlook for the near future

Looking forwards, Mark Carney stated that he remained confident in the UK banking sector’s ability to weather a hard Brexit; pointing toward capital reserves that could be used to support lending. He did, however, warn that pundits would be right to expect market volatility to continue in coming months. Not only are Brexit tropes set to rear their heads a few more times, but the Governor of the BoE warned that the UK should be wary of the implications of a Chinese economic slowdown which is set to continue in 2019.

The Sterling Domesday scenario covered by the BoE

During the session, BoE policymaker Richard Sharp made an important point, the British economy will suffer most if investors lose faith in the government’s ability to manage financial affairs. So one would be right to ask, what do the BoE foresee as the market’s reaction to a Brexit worst case scenario? – a ‘disorderly’ Brexit. According to Mark Carney, a scenario in which Sterling plunges 25% and 8% is knocked off the UK GDP is not tenable, on the basis that such as a collapse would be caused by the imposition of tariffs and economic dislocation, and also that the BoE altering interest rates would have a long-term – not immediate – impact.

What has been learned?

Nothing surprising – the pound looks set to waver on political uncertainty, and ifanything of substance were going on, Carney would be reluctant to comment in a public forum, should his remarks contribute to the concerns of investors who are already biting their nails. One upshot is that the Governor of the BoE reassured MPs that despite disagreements over derivative contracts, no rift exists between the Bank of England and the European Central Bank; which still holds ten of trillions of pounds worth of contracts in the City.

Lloyds share price hits 6-week high following PM May’s defeat

Lloyds share price (LON:LLOY) has hit a 6-week high following Theresa May’s devastating defeat in the house of commons. Lloyds share price was up over 1% on Wednesday touching 56.5p. Lloyds had fallen as low as 50p during December as uncertainty over Brexit negotiations hit UK assets. Theresa May’s crushing defeat on the Brexit deal moves the country closer towards a number of scenarios that will soften the impact of Brexit. The first of these options, as requested, by Jeremy Corbyn is a general election. Although this is unlikely in the short term, a general election could see Jeremy Corbyn, a proponent of a softer Brexit and staying in the customs union, as prime minister. Staying in the customs union would reduce any negative impact on trade and have less of an impact on the economy which would be a positive for Lloyds share price. Despite being rubbished initially, there is growing momentum for a second referendum, the question on the paper is anyone’s guess, but again such a scenario is likely to avoid the no deal or hard Brexit damaging to the UK economy and Lloyds share price. The third scenario, and one that would avoid the UK going to the polls again, is the revoking or extending of Article 50. A revocation would provide the government more time to formulate a plan that can actually make it through parliament, a would an extension. It may also stop Brexit altogether. In any of these scenarios the forecast devastation of the UK economy would be avoided and provide the potential for plenty of upside in the Lloyds share price. Lloyds reported a 18% increase in profit after tax in the nine months to 30th September reflecting the reduction in litigation and PPI costs. Lloyds is set to report full year results 20th February.

Pub Group shares rise over strong Christmas trading

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City Pub Group (LON: CPC) has reported a positive start to the year, revealing strong Christmas trading. In the 52 weeks to the end of December, the group reported a 1.6% increase in like-for-like sales. Sales were particularly strong over the Christmas period, where the six weeks to January 6, like-for-like sales were up by 7%. City Pub Group opened 11 new sites over 2018, including its £2.2 million acquisition of Chapel 1877 in Cardiff. The deal was brokered by GVA’s Cardiff hotels and leisure team. John Coggins, associate director at GVA, said about the deal: “On behalf of the vendor, Bevan Holdings we received multiple expressions of interest for the business, a reflection of Chapel 1877’s appeal within the city.” “The Chapel is an ideal fit for the City Pub Company’s growing portfolio of 42 pubs across the south of England and Wales and we’re delighted to have completed on the confidential sale in a matter of weeks with excellent assistance from Gordon Dadds Solicitors.” Turnover for the group increased by 22% to £45.6 million, thanks to increased volume. The pub chain said that it would benefit from the higher prices introduced at the end of the year in 2019. “Trading was very encouraging over the festive period and throughout 2018, particularly post-Easter. We have grown very rapidly over the last two years, performed well and our new sites are showing their potential,” said Clive Watson, the group’s chief executive. “Our low gearing puts us in an enviable position to take advantage of attractive acquisition opportunities that present themselves. If we enter a period of uncertainty caused by Brexit, there is much we can continue to achieve organically,” he added. Shares rose 4% on Wednesday morning. They are currently trading +4.31% at 205,50 (1225GMT) In other news, Wednesday also saw a strong trading update released by Bovis Homes, despite Brexit uncertainty.

London house prices fall as Brexit uncertainty bites

London house prices fell 1.2 per cent month-on-month in November, according to the latest official figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Overall, annual house price growth in the UK hit 2.8 per cent for the month, with London and the South-East dragging down figures. The statistics revealed that the lowest growth was indeed in the capital, with prices falling by 0.7% over the year to November 2018, remaining unchanged from the month before. Meanwhile, the average UK house price came in at £231,000 in November 2018, proving £7,000 more the same month in 2017. However, on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK dipped by 0.1% between October and November 2018. Many London based property agents have been feeling the impact of a subdued market in the capital, with buyers deterred amid ongoing economic uncertainty. Back in July, Foxtons (LON:FOXT) reported a loss for the half-year as a result of the lessening demand in London. Moreover, Foxtons also announced the closure of six London branches back in November, amid a “challenging market”. Similarly, Kevin Roberts, director of the Legal & General Mortgage Club, commented on the latest house price figures: “The ongoing political uncertainty is clearly causing some buyers and sellers to take a wait-and-see approach when it comes to the property market.”

Shares in Bovis Homes up 5% on “encouraging” trading

Bovis Homes has reported that it is in line with expectations, as the housebuilder built 3% more homes than last year. The group said on Wednesday that it has seen “encouraging” early signs for trading this year and that it expects a record year of profit. Bovis Homes built 3,759 homes last year, selling for an average price of £273,000. Following the positive trading update this morning, shares in the group rose by 5%. The “significant” increase in operating margin for the year comes amid caution in the property market as Brexit uncertainty continues. “The significant improvement in operational performance across all areas of the business is expected to deliver a record year of profits for the group,” said Greg Fitzgerald, the chief executive. “We are looking forward to delivering the first homes from our new housing range in 2019 and continuing to make further operational and financial progress,” he added. “The industry fundamentals remain strong with customer demand for new homes supported by attractive mortgage finance and government initiatives, in particular, Help to Buy.” Shares in Bovis Homes (LON: BVS) are trading +4.77% (1148GMT).

UK Inflation rate falls to 2.1% in December

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UK inflation fell to 2.1% in December, down from 2.3% in November, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The fall was largely driven by a lowering of petrol prices, the ONS said. The drop proved in line with analyst expectations. Inflation has been largely falling since reaching a six month high of 2.7% in August. Last month’s inflation figure proves closer to the Bank of England’s target of 2%, suggesting that a future rate hike may prove unlikely. Back in December, the Bank of England opted to keep interest rates on hold in light of continued Brexit-related uncertainty. Uncertainty only seems set to continue after the Prime Minister was heavily defeated in a Commons vote on her Brexit deal last night. The head of inflation at the ONS, Mike Hardie, commented: “Inflation eased mainly due to a big fall in petrol, with oil prices tumbling in recent months. “Air fares also helped push down the rate, with seasonal prices rising less than they did last year. These were partially offset by small rises in hotel prices and mobile phone charges. “House price growth was little changed in the year to November, with buoyant growth across much of the UK held back by London and the South East.”

Sativa Investments outlines 2019 expansion plans

Sativa Investments (LON:SATI) have made an exciting start to 2019 with the release of a trading update and the announcement of plans for new wellness centres. Sativa Investments listed on NEX Exchange in March 2018 and was the first London listed cannabis investment vehicle available to UK investors. In early January the company released a trading update that outlined the progress of their investments. Geremy Thomas, Sativa Investments Founder & Chief Executive Officer commented on the progress: “The Company has made significant progress since its admission to the NEX Exchange Growth Market in March last year. The Company’s operations now cover seed growing, in so far as the Company has already successfully grown a hemp crop under the CEO’s own growers’ licence, and along with great strides in developing its medical cannabis business, and has researched, tested, marketed and sold CBD products. “Sativa now has a solid base on which to build its seed-to-consumer model and this next round of fund raising will allow institutions and other investors to participate in what is expected to be a major UK industry.”

Wellness Centres

Sativa’s trading updates was closely followed by the announcement of plans for Wellness Centres named Goodbody & Blunt. The centres will consist of drop in centres where individuals will be able purchase a range of CBD (cannabidiol) products. CBD products such as oil do not contain psychoactive THC and have long been available for sale in the UK and can be purchased in many supplement stores. While the distribution of CBD is not amazingly groundbreaking it does provide Sativa Investments time to build the Goodbody & Blunt brand in anticipation of recreational legalisation of cannabis with THC in the UK. The UK fired the starting gun on potential recreational legalisation when last year medicinal cannabis was very publicly legalised. Taking the examples of the United States, Canada and a number of countries in Europe, it takes around 3-5 years from medicinal legalisation to recreational legalisation. Sativa Investments have appointed Chris Jones to head up the unit who brings experience from the vaping and mobile phone markets.