Trident Royalties Virtual Investor Presentation 15th December

Trident Royalties CEO, Adam Davidson, presents at the UK Investor Magazine Virtual Investor Presentation 15th December.

Trident Royalties Plc (LON:TRR), is a growth-focused diversified mining royalty and streaming company listed on the AIM market. 

Trident is managed by an experienced team of mining finance professionals seeking to provide investors with exposure to a mix of base and precious metals, bulk materials (excluding thermal coal) and battery metals in resource-friendly jurisdictions.

Since floating on London’s Aim a mere 7 months ago, Trident has already completed 5 deals and is cashflow positive.

This sets Trident apart from peers in the mining sector and presents and interesting prospect for the future as the company secures further royalties and builds their asset base.

Download presentation slides here.

Justin Urquhart-Stewart speaks at the UK Investor Magazine Virtual Conference 15th December

Justin Urquhart-Stewart joins the UK Investor Magazine Virtual Presentation for a broad discussion of the most pressing matter to the global economy and financial markets in 2021.

There is of course consideration paid to COVID-19 and Brexit. However, in a world that is now looking past these two historic market themes Justin explores subjects such as the evolution of China’s influence on the global economy and how technology companies in the UK need further support.

In particular, the funding through functioning exchanges is questioned and ideas outlined for ensuring British business can thrive as we emerge from recession.

Pound rallies amid Brexit optimism

The pound has jumped on the news that progress was being made in Brexit talks.

European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said this morning that there is a “path to an agreement now”, causing the pound to gain half a cent against the US dollar to over $1.35.

“As things stand, I cannot tell you whether there will be a deal or not. But I can tell you that there is a path to an agreement now. The path may be very narrow but it is there,” she said.

“We have found a way forward on most issues but two issues still remain outstanding: the level playing field and fisheries. I am glad to report that issues linked to governance now have largely been resolved. The next days are going to be decisive.”

Today’s rally is seeing the pound jump to an almost 30-month high.

The Brexit optimism has also pushed markets higher, with the FTSE 250 up by 1.4%. The FTSE 100 index also jumped this morning by 72 points or 1.1% to 6586 points.

Biggest risers were house builders Barratt Development (+3.6%) and Persimmon (+3.2%).

Brussels bureau chief Daniel Boffey commented on the Brexit trade deal: “A clash over EU access to British fishing waters could still sink hopes of a post-Brexit trade deal, Ursula von der Leyen has said, with agreement said to be “so close but yet … so far away”.

“In an address to the European parliament, the European commission president said the issue of domestic subsidies, so long a thorn in the side of the negotiators, had been resolved. She reported that legal assurances that environmental, social and labour standards would not be undercut had also been secured, with fruitful continuing discussions on “future-proofing” against unfair competition offering a clear path to an agreement.”

Emmerson plc presentation at the UK Investor Magazine Virtual Conference 15th December

Graham Clarke, CEO of Emmerson, presents at the UK Investor Magazine Virtual Conference 15th December.

Emmerson (LON:EML) is a potash development company focused on the development of the Khemisset Potash Project in Northern Morocco.

Potash is a fertiliser used to increase crop yields and improve the quality of plants – it plays a central role in helping feed the world’s growing population.

Download the presentation slides here

Pensana Rare Earths – Virtual Investor Presentation 15th December

Paul Atherley, Chairman of Pensana, joined the UK Investor Magazine Investor Conference 15th December to discuss the latest progress at Pensana Rare Earths.

Pensana (LON:PRE) is bringing online the first major Rare Earth mine in over a decade to supply the burgeoning demand for magnet metals in the Electric Vehicle and Offshore Wind Turbine and other green sectors.

Pensana is setting about establishing a major magnet metal planet in Humber, Yorkshire, to meet the demand of an EV market that is set to grow 350% and Offshore wind that is predicted to grow 1500% over the next 20 years.

Download the presentation slides here

Goodwin profits slump amid “tough conditions”

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Goodwin shares opened almost 12% lower on Wednesday after the group posted lower profits for the first half of the year.

Profits were down from £7.4m to £5.8m in the six months ended 31 October. Revenue for the period was down 22% to £62.6m.

Sales revenue was down 11% from last year to £62.62m.

Goodwin has said that the order book remains robust, however, the pandemic is delaying some capital projects and the downturn in the oil and gas industry means that caution is required.

Looking forward, the group said in a statement:

“With the upcoming completion of several radar systems in East Asia, the commencement of manufacturing works across our nuclear contracts and, hopefully, an improving Refractory Engineering Division performance, we expect the second half year pre-tax profits to be similar, if not improving on, the first half of this financial year.

“Despite conditions remaining tough for our foundry, which is still transitioning away from its historic baseload of petrochemical related work, it is well placed to benefit from the upcoming increase in military expenditure and nuclear related casting requirements as its precision heavy castings niche skillset will be required. However, like all projects within this industry, a significant amount of time is required until the design and procurement of components can occur and value can be realised. Armed with the baseload of casting nuclear waste boxes we believe that going forward it will be able to build its way back to sustainable profitability over time.”

Goodwin said that they continue to trade profitably and with the current order book level they are confident that this will continue and improve, especially as they move in to the next financial year.

Goodwin shares are trading -11.05% at 3,020.00 (1056GMT). In the year to date, shares have fallen from highs of 3,363.00.

Rail fares to be hiked above inflation

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The Department for Transport has announced plans to hike rail fares by 2.6% in 2021.

For the first time since 2013, the government has decided to raise fares above inflation. The decision comes amid campaigns to freeze fares to encourage people on public transport after the pandemic.

During the first half of 2020, £3.5bn was spent supporting rail franchises as passenger numbers fell to historic lows.

“Delaying the change in rail fares ensures passengers who need to travel have a better deal this year,” said the rail minister, Chris Heaton-Harris.

“By setting fares sensibly, and with the lowest actual increase for four years, we are ensuring that taxpayers are not overburdened for their unprecedented contribution, ensuring investment is focused on keeping vital services running and protecting frontline jobs.”

Once the hike is in place, it will mean that the average commuter will be spending £3,144 for an annual season ticket. This is a 43% increase from what commuters were paying in 2010.

Shadow transport secretary, Jim McMahon, has described this as a “kick in the teeth” for many UK families.

“By allowing yet another fare hike, the government will make rail travel unaffordable for many and discourage people from getting back on to the network when restrictions ease,” he said. “The government’s failure means Britain is facing the worst recession of any major economy. This will be yet another kick in the teeth for families struggling to get by.”

Anthony Smith, the chief executive of the watchdog Transport Focus, said: “This fare increase makes it even more important that, when travel restrictions start to be lifted, the industry is able to attract people back by offering fares that match how we know people hope to live, work and travel in future. This could mean new flexible season tickets which offer better value for part-time commuters.”

Inflation rate falls amid lower clothing prices

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UK inflation rate fell from 0.7% to 0.3% in November amid Black Friday sales.

New figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed the dip in inflation rate and said it was due to retailers slashing the prices of clothing and footwear throughout the second wave of the pandemic.

Whilst spending and prices would usually see an increase in the run-up to Christmas, retailers slashed prices in an attempt to clear stock before a second lockdown.

Jonathan Athow, ONS deputy national statistician, said: “With significant restrictions in place across the UK, inflation slowed, predominantly due to clothing and food prices. Also, after several months of buoyant growth, second-hand car prices fell back a little.”

Food and drink prices fell at their fastest rate since 2017, however the inflation rate was partly offset by ising prices for games, toys and hobbies.

Ruth Gregory is a senior UK economist at Capital Economics. She commented on the inflation rate:

“What we hadn’t anticipated was the slump in food inflation from 0.6% to -0.6%, which came despite the boost to demand for food in the supermarkets during the second Covid-19 lockdown.”

“This does not change the big picture that inflation will start to rise more sharply from April when the temporary VAT cut for the hospitality sector is reversed and the downward drag from the previous plunge in fuel prices drops out of the annual comparison.

“Together these forces could lift inflation to 2% by the middle of next year. But given there will still be some spare capacity in the economy, there seems little danger of inflation rising sustainably above the 2% target unless there is a no-deal Brexit,” she added.

The pandemic has changed the way we are spending our money. Figures from the British Retail Consortium have shown that whilst people are spending more amid the second wave, it is less on the highstreet and more online.

Gold rallies on hopes of Fed stimulus

Having fallen on Monday, the price of gold rose by 1.25% on Tuesday, as traders reacted to a weakening dollar and expectations of a compromise-ready Fed meeting on Wednesday.

With Fed stimulus coming at some point (hopefully soon), and talk of negative rates being floated around again following the latest London lockdown announcement, there is some hope that gold – and precious metals as a whole – will go on another bull run, or at least bounce back somewhat from the climbdown it has seen over recent months.

As said by IG Chief Market Analyst, Chris Beauchamp: “The rally in gold from its five-month low appeared to have stalled last week, but it appears a fresh move higher is underway, fuelled by expectations of more central bank action to help prop up economies around the globe.”

What has stood in gold’s way, though, is the news of vaccine breakthroughs and roll-outs, with the first Pfizer-BioNTech dose being delivered on Monday seeing the precious metal push downwards. As the vaccine roll-out continues over the middle-term, a potential risk-on climate could see a greater shift back towards equities.

However, in the short-term, precious metals may rally as European countries re-enter their respective iterations of lockdown, and the initial giddiness of vaccine roll-outs wears off.

As stated by OCBC Bank in Singapore economist, Howie Lee: “But gold could rally in 2021 when the vaccine optimism dies down and investors’ focus returns to rising inflation expectations due to the large swathe of monetary and fiscal stimulus the US economy still requires.”

Also worth noting is that despite a recovery from gold on Tuesday, it was far out-performed by silver, which posted a 2.74% rally. On Tuesday evening, gold sits at 1,850.48 USD per ounce, level with where it was at the start of June – during its long rally. Meanwhile, silver sits at 24.50 USD per ounce, where it sat at the end of July, and not far off where it spent most of September to November.

Redrow posts optimistic 2021 projection

Leading UK home builder Redrow (LON:RDW) published its market predictions for the next year on Tuesday morning, projecting a “strong” 2021 and a steady housing demand despite the ongoing coronavirus pandemic.

Matthew Pratt, CEO of Redrow, commented: “We are very excited about 2021. We entered our new financial year in a position of strength and, buoyed by the anticipation of the COVID-19 vaccine roll-out, we remain optimistic about ongoing housing demand and consumer confidence”.

In November, Redrow polled 2,000 UK adults to measure their views on their own homes in the aftermath of the pandemic and their desires as they enter 2021. James Holmear, Redrow’s Group Sales Director, commented on the survey’s results and the buyer preferences trends that he expects to see emerge over the next year.

Working from home infrastructure

Broadband speed was the “most challenging aspect” of being at home during lockdown for 50% of respondents, crucially jeopardising the nationwide work from home scheme as employers increasingly look to expand remote working.

More than half (56%) agree that having a separate study (or at least an area “dedicated to homeworking”) will be an important factor in deciding on their next home.

“There has been resolute demand for homes with more space to live and work as customers reflect on their lockdown experiences,” Holmear explains. “With more people expected to work from home regularly, even after the worst of the pandemic is over, space to work from home has rocketed up the list of priorities for buyers.

“We are also now more reliant than ever on broadband and along with water, gas and electricity, strong internet connection is now seen as the fourth utility. For many this year, a robust connection has been the only way to maintain both their professional careers and social entertainment and poor access can be frustrating, impact quality of life and even lead to isolation and loneliness. Today, broadband connectivity is one of the first things potential buyers want to discuss with us when they come to visit one of our new developments”.

Space in the home

Almost half of respondents (44%) said that the amount of outside space is their “biggest priority” when moving to their next home, with a further third stating the importance of floor space.

Building on the greater demand for space and a generous garden, almost half (48%) see a ‘detached’ property as being their “forever home” moving into 2021.

“With more time spent at home, gardens are becoming increasingly important and are now the top priority for many buyers when searching for their next home.” Holmear states.

“While this trend is one that has largely been bought on by Covid-19 and lockdown scenarios, we can expect to see this last for the long-term as Britons became increasingly aware of how important access to fresh air is for health and wellbeing. In the colder months, we’re seeing high demand among residents for gardens that offer the potential to provide snug entertainment spaces that can be quickly equipped with fire bits and outdoor kitchens”.

Longer commutes

With working from home becoming the new normal for many UK professionals during the pandemic, less than 10% are looking to live closer to their workplace in the future. Almost half of respondents (49%) actually stated that are happy to move further away. 2 in 5 (20%) Londoners would be happy to live an additional 45 minutes from their place of work under the assumption that office attendance will gradually diminish in the coming years.

Holmear adds, “This year, city-dwellers have seen the benefits of living away from traffic pollution and crowds, and are now in search of a healthier lifestyle – even if this means looking further afield where they can find attractive price differentials that will enable them to afford the extra room they crave. There is now less need to live near a place of work, encouraging a general movement away from cities, and a willingness to commute further and less frequently.

“Our research found that a quarter (23%) would be happy to spend an extra 30-minutes travelling to their place of work and we’re anticipating a big rise in the ’90 minute commute’ which in future is only done a few days a week”.

Technological revolution

Redrow reported that technology in the home buying process will “become more prevalent” in the near future due to increasing demand for buyers. The pandemic has also accelerated the existing trend towards online ‘hybrid’ models of home viewing.

“Housebuilding has traditionally been stuck in the dark ages when it comes to technology, but buyer demand is pushing the industry further into the ‘digital’ space and we can expect to see further advancements over the next year. Last year Redrow launched its online reservation service, which is accessed via our online member’s area, My Redrow. It allows buyers the opportunity to legally complete the reservation of their new home online and means that COVID-19 aside, our customers no longer need to visit our sales centres for a long reservation meeting.

“We couldn’t have predicted that the ability to look around plots and reserve homes virtually would be as important as it is today, but our investment in technology has meant that we have been well placed to support our customers who have still wanted to progress with their move during lockdown”.

Redrow’s credentials

Established more than 45 years ago, Redrow has earned a reputation for building quality, beautiful homes and “creating a better way to live”. It is listed on the London Stock Exchange and is a constituent of the FTSE 250 index. For the year ending 28 June 2020, Redrow reported revenue of £1.3 billion.

In Q3 2020, Redrow achieved the Global Good Company of the Year Silver award in recognition of its social impact and launched its ‘Nature for People’ biodiversity programme, established as part of a long-standing partnership with charity The Wildlife Trusts.

Over the course of 2020, despite the pandemic Redrow has consistently been rated as “excellent” on Trustpilot and achieved the Five Star Customer Satisfaction award from the Home Builders’ Federation (HBF) for a consecutive year.

The company is also one of only eight UK construction companies to be named a Diversity Leader in the Financial Times’ inaugural list of European leaders for workplace diversity and inclusion.

According to Hargreaves Lansdown, Redrow has a market capitalisation of £1.83bn, a dividend yield of 5.96% and a P/E ratio of 15.35.