Babcock shares plunge 12%

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Shares in Babcock tumbled 12% on Wednesday morning when markets opened. The defence contractor revealed a one-off £120 million hit to reshape its oil and gas business. Pre-tax profits fell to £65.1 million – down by almost two-thirds. Revenue in the group fell by 2.7% to £2.25 billion. If the one-off hit is discounted, profits in the group grew by 2.5% to £245.5 million. Chief executive Archie Bethel said: “We had a solid first half with underlying results in line with our expectations and we have confirmed guidance for the full year. We are taking decisive actions to further strengthen the group which will deliver benefits next year and beyond.” “We are taking actions necessary to further improve the quality of our earnings and our returns to shareholders. That is why we are exiting low-margin businesses, restructuring in areas and combating the overcapacity in our oil and gas helicopter services business. These actions, with minimal cash costs, will strengthen the business going forward.” “We will continue to reduce net debt and focus on delivering value to our shareholders, partly through a growing and sustainable dividend. We have excellent opportunities both in the UK and internationally to build on our strengths and I am determined to build on them,” he added. Shares in Babcock (LON: BAB) are currently trading down 8.38% (0934GMT).    

Kingfisher sales rise despite “difficult retail environment”

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Sales at Kingfisher rose 1.4% in the latest quarter. The group said that sales were healthy at Screwfix, where the retailer posted an increase in sales by 10.6% to £442 million. Sales at B&Q, however, were not as strong and fell 2.8% to £850 million. Véronique Laury, who is the chief executive of Kingfisher, said: “We are operating in a difficult retail environment. We face challenges and we are addressing them.” “We have accelerated our move to an everyday low price strategy and have launched a new marketing campaign to make it visible to our customers, however, there is no quick fix,” she added. The group said on Wednesday that it plans to exit the smaller markets in Russia, Spain and Portugal. “We are committed to our plan and to building a strong business for the long-term. As part of this commitment, we have taken the decision to exit Russia, Spain and Portugal,” said Laury. “This will allow us to apply our strategy with more focus and efficiency in our main markets.” The investment director at Fidelity Personal Investing’s share dealing service, Tom Stevenson, said on the Kingfisher results: “More grim news from Kingfisher. The DIY chain’s five-year plan to simplify its sprawling European operations took a new turn today when under-pressure chief executive Veronique Laury said Kingfisher was pulling out of Russia, Spain and Portugal.” “Third quarter results were dragged down as usual by its French retail arm, Castorama. But B&Q also chipped in a negative like-for-like sales contribution this time in the UK. The excellent Screwfix trade business increasingly looks like the jewel in an otherwise tarnished crown,” he added. Richard Hunter, head of markets at interactive investor, added: “Kingfisher’s transformation is a work in progress and it may be some time before the benefits are fully felt. The shares have not responded well to recent updates, and over the last year have dipped 19%, as compared to a 6.2% decline for the wider FTSE 100.” Shares in the group (LON: KGF) are trading -2.48% (0857GMT).  

Renault defends Ghosn, who will remain CEO

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Carlos Ghosn will remain the Renault chairman and chief executive, despite his arrest in Tokyo. Whilst Ghosn was fired from Nissan, Renault has confirmed that he will remain the car manufacturer’s boss despite financial misconduct. An internal investigation revealed “significant acts of misconduct” including “personal use of company assets”. To temporarily replace Ghosn will be Thierry Bolloré, who has been promoted whilst the Ghosn will be “temporarily incapacitated”. “At this stage, the board is unable to comment on the evidence seemingly gathered against Mr Ghosn by Nissan and the Japanese judicial authorities,” said Renault on Tuesday evening. Bolloré said in a memo to staff that the arrested CEO had “full support” of the group’s executives. The news of Ghosn’s arrest has sent shockwaves through the industry. Shares in Nissan (TYO: 7201) and Renault (EPA: RNO) plunged on Tuesday. Shares in Nissan fell 5.5%, its lowest level since July 2016, whilst Mitsubishi Motors fell by 6.9%. Renault’s share price fell 3.3% this morning in Paris, adding to Monday’s 8% fall. Nissan’s chief executive Hiroto Saikawa said this week: “too much authority was given to one person in terms of governance”. “I have to say that this is a dark side of the Ghosn era which lasted for a long time,” he said, adding he was still debating whether Mr Ghosn was “a charismatic figure or a tyrant”. France has a 15% stake in Renault and has commented on the arrest. The French Finance Minister, Bruno Le Maire, has said that Ghosn is “no longer in a position” to lead the carmaker. Ghosn was the first person to lead two Fortune 500 companies at the same time. The Financial Times has reported that the arrested boss was planning a merger between both Renault and Nissan. The Japanese company was opposed to the proposed deal.  

The Financial Crisis One Decade on: What has Changed in Business and Finance?

Marked by the symbolic collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, it has now been 10 years since the financial crisis. It is still to this day shocking that a financial institution, which had been operating since 1850, holding $600 billion of assets, could experience such a fundamental market failure. 2018 now marks one decade on– but what changes have occurred in UK business and finance following such fateful events? Lost trust A major consequence of the financial crisis is the loss of trust in big business. Prior to 2008, we generally accepted legacy financial institutions, and the people who ran them, could be trusted – “too big to fail” was our judgement. But as Lehman Brothers was crumbling across the pond, and our very own Northern Rock was precariously close to failure, this theory was coming into question. During this period of uncertainty, the Government had to essentially nationalise Northern Rock to save it from going under, while also putting a £85,000 limit on the savings they could guarantee for an individual per institution. Needless to say, some people stood to lose a large portion of their life savings. Additionally, bankers, who were perceived as complicit in the market failure, received substantial criticism. Those who were taking high levels of remuneration in spite of their company’s huge losses were singled out: for example, Fred Goodwin, the chief executive of RBS resigned in 2009, retiring to a pension pot of £16 million. Shortly after this, RBS reported an annual loss of £24.1 billion, the largest in UK corporate history– a coincidence not missed by the media. Record low interest rates In an attempt to stimulate spending as the UK plunged into a recession, the Bank of England lowered interest rates. In simple terms, this should encourage consumers to spend rather than save, as saving is less profitable and credit is cheaper. But as you would expect, this environment makes it difficult for investors and savers to get decent returns from high street banks and savings accounts. Prior to the recession in February 2008, the rate was set at 5.25%. By March 2009 this was down to just 0.5%, as economic conditions had continued to deteriorate. In the wake of the Brexit referendum in 2016, the rate was slashed again to 0.25%– its lowest level in history. While there have been two raises since (the current level is 0.75%), it is expected we will continue live in a low interest rate environment for another 20 years. Enhanced stress tests for banks In order to mitigate the risk of banks overstretching themselves again, banks are now required to undergo enhanced stress tests. These tests monitor their ability to lend and borrow from customers, while still coping with negative economic circumstances such as falling house prices, economic recession, or lower employment rates. Recent data from the Bank of England revealed the UK banking system should be able to effectively function in an economy where GDP declines by 4.7%, with interest rates reaching 4% and house prices dropping by one third.This means the current system is prepared for another financial crisis even more severe than we experienced in 2008. Global stock markets have performed surprisingly well The past 10 year period has included some monumental events in the global economy, such as the European Government Debt Crisis and the Japanese stock market indices losing over half their value. Fortunately, significant interventions were introduced around the world to limit their impact. These interventions included central banks setting the price of bonds, shares and property in an effort to strengthen the market. Possibly because of these efforts, while stock markets have seen some volatility, they have performed well overall. Average annual returns by June 2017 were 7% for the USA, 4.9% in the UK and 2.5% in Asia. SME-friendly access to finance In the fall-out of the financial crash, banks were lending less and less to SMEs. There are over five million such businesses in the UK, so this trend could have hampered our economic recovery. To counter this, the government introduced a number of initiatives to help smaller businesses gain access to finance in order to help them grow. This included the Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme (SEIS) in 2012, which allows innovative startups to raise up to £150,000 and investors to benefit from a 50% tax reduction. SEIS, alongside the more established Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS), is now a major driver encouraging equity investment into early-stage companies. During the 2016/17 tax year, 2,260 companies utilised the SEIS to access£175 million of equity funding. Additionally, in 2014 the state-owned British Business Bank was created to increase the supply of credit to small businesses. Rather than lending funds directly to the end customer, the bank works with a number of different commercial partners providing mentorship and guidance to the businesses. One of the flagship schemes, Start Up Loans, has lent funds to over 58,000companies. These policies have led to a changing business landscape, with increasing numbers of people starting their own business. In fact, 2016 was a record year for business creation, with 657,790 new companies registered at Companies House. The rise of fintech Legacy financial institutions have been working hard to regain trust from the public, but, understandably, many people have moved their business over to an emerging breed of customer-centric finance companies. These technology-led businesses, often referred to as “fintech”, use innovative online services to cut out middlemen and offer better rates and transparency to their customers. For example, at Crowd2Fund, 80% of investors make a return of at least 8.5% APR, compared to the 1 to 2.5% they might expect from a traditional savings account. The range of products and services available now in the booming fintech arena is vast. Some provide lending facilities, equity raises, and FX transfer; others are directly competing with traditional banking services, or act as a marketplace, bringing buyers and sellers together. London is now the leading European city for these companies. Their reputation is that of transparency and fairness to the businesses, consumers, and investors who interact with them. With 13 unicorns (private startups with a value of more than $1 billion) out of the 34 in Europecalling the UK their home, it’s an exciting time for the British financial industry. Over the past decade we have watched trust in traditional banking and big business decline, counteracted by a rise in startups and fintech. It is this optimistic legacy of the 2008 financial crisis we will be exploring the second part of this series next week.

Markets slide on continued tech fears

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US stock markets continued to fall on Tuesday as tech giants faced big losses and fears surrounding the US-China trade war continue. Monday saw some of the world’s most valuable companies sustain large losses, with Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) closing -4%, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) closing -5% and Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) -5.7%. Investors are fearing a tech slowdown after this year has seen the FAANG companies’ (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL)) market value fall 20% from their year’s high. Peter Cecchini, who is the managing director at Cantor Fitzgerald, said: “I’ve been looking for them to show some leadership which they fail to do, and until we get the tech leadership I think equities are going to continue to struggle.” Goldman Sachs has recently cut the price target for Apple shares from $209 to $182. Connor Campbell at Spreadex said: “Investors are concerned that sooner rather than later the tech sector is going to be fully embroiled in the US-China trade battle, exacerbating the softness caused by reports of a slowdown in iPhone demand.” Tuesday saw the FTSE 100 markets fall below 7,000 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average markets fell by 500 points and the S&P 500 also fell. Tuesday also saw a fall in oil prices, with Brent crude falling to the lowest level since March to $63.77. Shares in car manufacturers also fell after the arrest of Nissan chairman Carlos Ghosn. US-traded shares of Nissan plunged 5.8%, while Renault shares dropped 8.4% in Paris. Anna Nicholls, who is an analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said on his arrest: “The ousting of Carlos Ghosn is not only shocking in itself, but it also brings to a head a question that has long hung over the alliance – how it will survive his departure.” “The strong bond between the French and Japanese carmakers depends partly on cross-shareholdings but even more on Ghosn’s huge personal influence,” she added.  

Mark Carney shows support for Theresa May’s Brexit deal

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The governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, is supporting Theresa May’s Brexit deal, saying it will “support economic outcomes”. Carney has said that the prime minister’s draft agreement will give the UK time to prepare for the final deal with Brussels. Speaking to MPs on the Treasury select committee, Carney commented: “We have emphasised from the start the importance of having some transition between the current arrangements and the ultimate arrangements.” “So we welcome the transition arrangements in the withdrawal agreement and take note of the possibility of extending that transition period,” he added. The governor’s comments come at a critical time for the prime minister, who has received widespread criticism for her own party as well as the Labour party. Carney emphasised the importance of time to ensure preparations for a final deal. Leaving the EU without a deal would damage the economy and trigger job losses. Having a longer transition period would limit these consequences. “It would appear wise to very carefully and objectively and transparently consider how long it is likely to take all aspects of the new economic partnership and implement it,” he said. “The average for a trade deal, from start to finish, is something of the order of four years and the implementation period is a little over half that period of time.” Whilst he said that the extended 20-month transition would be sufficient for the financial sector to cope, the same could not be said for all sectors. In response to questions by Charlie Elphicke, the suspended Conservative MP for Dover, on the likelihood of raising interest rates, Carney said: “It depends on the implications for supply and demand and the exchange rate.” “One, this would be a very unusual situation – it is very rare to see a major negative supply shock to an advanced economy…we would have to stretch back to the 1970s [to see something similar].” “My second point is that the initial position of this economy is different from the referendum, when we had excess supply.” “We basically have the economy operating at full capacity and at the end we have the primacy of the inflation target in our remit.” “If the economy moved further into excess demand because of the weight of spending was maintained or accelerated and we had the prospect of additional inflation, and sterling was to depreciate at a time when we had some expectation of supply being reduced for a period of time, that is a position when you would expect monetary policy to be tightened,” he added.

Easyjet shares down despite flying profits

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Easyjet shares (LON:EZJ) plunged during Tuesday trading, despite the airline posting a 41% rise in profits for the year. Despite continual uncertainty surrounding Brexit, the low-cost airline reported pre-tax profits soared of £578 million for the year to 30 September. Easyjet noted a record number of passengers of 88.5 million, an increase of 10.2%. It added that its cost savings initiatives of £107 million had been achieved, proving an improvement from the £85 million saved back in 2017. Nevertheless, across the period, it also incurred costs of £133 million. This figure included £40 million spent developing its presence at Tegel airport, alongside an additional £65 million spent on IT development. Overall, headline profit before tax came in at £578 million, up 41.4% from 2017. In addition, pre-tax profit per seat rose by 28.7% to £6.07 per seat, during the period. Easyjet announced a proposed dividend of 58.6 pence, marking a 43% increase on 2017’s dividend. Whilst Easyjet’s results prove promising for the year, for the most part, airlines continue to struggle amid rising fuel prices. Last week, Flybe (LON:FLYB) announced it was putting itself up for sale following various profit warnings. Similarly, Irish low-cost airline Ryanair (LON:RYA) issued a profit warning, blaming both rising fuel prices and strike action for falling behind expectations. Shares in Easyjet are currently -5.57% as of 14.51PM (GMT).

Has the ‘Bitcoin Bubble’ burst?

The price of bitcoin hit fresh lows on Tuesday, falling below $5,000 to $4,387. There is not doubt that 2017 marked a stellar year for the leading cryptocurrency, with the price of Bitcoin rallying to highs of $19,511 back in December. However, it has proved a particularly volatile week for Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency tumbling almost 30%. Bitcoin started the year $13,500, only continuing to fall from its Christmas peak, losing 75% of its value. As a result, many are starting to proclaim that the so-called ‘Bitcoin Bubble’ has well and truly burst. Cryptocurrencies have long been controversial since their infiltration onto the mainstream finance scene, particularly given their unregulated nature. Namely, government officials and financial institutions have been weary of the decentralised nature of the currency, which has been criticised for its propensity to be exploited by the dark web, criminals or employed in fraudulent schemes. Last year, JP Morgan Boss (NYSE:JPM) Jamie Dimon famously dismissed Bitcoin as a “fraud” only fit for use by drug dealers, murderers and “people living in places such as North Korea”. More recently, the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney echoed these sentiments, voicing his concerns over the potential dangers of virtual currencies. During a speech at the Scottish Economics Conference in Edinburgh, Carney called for a crackdown on cryptocurrencies: “Authorities are rightly concerned that given their inefficiency and anonymity, one of the main reasons for their use is to shield illicit activities. This cannot be condoned. Anarchy may reign on the dark web, but in the UK it’s just a song that your parents used to listen to,” Alongside the plummeting price of Bitcoin, the price of other rival alternative currencies such as Ethereum and Litecoin has also followed suit this week, losing considerable value. Nevertheless, whilst the future of Bitcoin remains uncertain, the blockchain technology it is premised upon continues to show marked promise for the future of finance and business. In fact, major tech players such as Facebook, Google and Microsoft continue to invest in its development – and it seems Silicon Valley is onto something. The global market for blockchain is currently valued at $700 million, with that figure only set to rise. Some figures suggest that the value of the blockchain market could exceed $60 billion by 2024.    

Nakama shares soar amid half-year profits

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Nakama shares (LON:NAK) rallied on Tuesday morning after the company reported a profit in its latest half-year results. The company, which specialises in recruitment, reported a net fee income of £2.7 million, the same figure posted back in 2017. Permanent placement revenue also remained flat at £1.7 million. Meanwhile, contractor revenue dipped slightly to £6.3 million, compared to £6.5 million reported in 2017. Nevertheless, margins were improved following a cut in headcount of 23% to 57. Consequently, pre-tax profits came in at £186,000, an improvement from last year’s loss of £437,000. Andrea Williams, CEO of Nakama Group, commented: “As the first phase of our turnaround plan starts to bear fruit, we are very pleased with the results of the first half of this financial year. As we have committed to focusing our efforts on core markets, we have had to implement changes across most of our business units, early results are promising.” “Whilst the NFI has not seen any significant changes from the same period last year we have created a more focused and lean operation and are pleased to show a return to profitability in H1 2018. Having posted a loss before tax of GBP437,000 in H1 2017, I am pleased with the improvement seen this year to date.” “Overall headcount has decreased and whilst we expect this to reduce further in the short term, as we move into the next phases of our turn-around plan, we expect to see headcount increase as we progress through H2 and into the next financial year.” “This is a positive start to our turn-around plan and I would like to thank all my colleagues for their hard work and commitment to the business. I would also like to thank our candidates and clients for their continued support across our key markets and to our supportive shareholders.” Nakama is listed on the London Stock Exchange. The recruitment firm has offices both in London and Asia. Shares in the company are currently trading +25.02% (1121GMT).

Scapa profits drop 37%, shares slide

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Scapa Group announced its Interim Results for the six months ended 30 September 2018 on Tuesday. The group is a global bonding products and adhesive manufacturer and supplier. Following the announcement, shares in the group dropped by over 7.5% this morning. Pre-tax profit for the six-month period dropped to £9.7 million as revenue dropped 3.4% to £140.7 million. Additionally, trading profit increased 2.4% to £17.1 million and trading profit margins continued to improve to 12.2%, up from the 11.5% figure in 2017. Adjusted earnings per share remained constant at 8.3p, unchanged from 2017. Moreover, basic earnings per share dropped to 4.3p from 7.5p in 2017. The results also reveal a net debt of £5.2 million, excluding the £31.4 million paid for the acquisition of the Systagenix manufacturing facility.

Scapa provides its tape solutions to a variety of different sectors.

These include healthcare, electronics, consumer, industrial, energy and automotive. Commenting on the results, chief executive Heejae Chae said: “The first half has delivered a solid trading performance and continued good progress in the transformation of Scapa from an industrial tape company to a group with two businesses that are global and market leaders. The Industrial business is one of the leading global tape companies with strong profit margins and cash flow. The Healthcare business is now a world-leading strategic turn-key partner to major global healthcare companies.” “The acquisition, by way of a technology transfer, of the R&D and manufacturing assets of Systagenix and the exclusive five-year development and supply agreement for Systagenix advanced wound care products to Acelity is a milestone in Scapa’s development, completing our Healthcare journey from a roll stock supplier to a fully integrated healthcare company with extensive technologies and capabilities in the markets we serve. We have now completed three technology transfers in the last twelve months with an aggregate annualised revenue exceeding £40m. We believe that further opportunities to partner with our healthcare customers exist as the medical device sector undergoes disruption.” Whilst the macro environment remains challenging, we anticipate the profit for the year will be in line with expectations, excluding the impact of the Systagenix healthcare transaction. This transformative transaction is expected to be modestly earnings dilutive in the current year and materially accretive from FY20 onwards.” In addition to Scapa, Bonmarche and easyJet also made stock exchange announcements outlining their half-year and final results respectively. At 10:54 GMT, shares in Scapa Group plc (LON:SCPA) dropped by 7.63%.