Pearson reports Q4 rise in sales

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Pearson shares rose on Wednesday after the group reported a rise in sales for the three months to the end of the year.

In the final quarter of the year, the group returned to sales growth as sales picked up 4% thanks to strong growth in the online learning business.

Pearson said it expects profits to come in at between £310m and £315m. For 2020 as a whole, sales declined by 10%.

The group commented in an update: “The challenging impact of COVID-19 has been felt most acutely across International and Global Assessment due to test centre and school closures, exam cancellations, reduced global mobility and international economic pressure on spending. It has accelerated demand for digital learning and performance in Global Online Learning has been strong. US Higher Education Courseware has performed in line with expectations, despite COVID-19.”

Global Online Learning sales grew 18% due to strong enrolments within virtual schools, however, Global Assessment sales fell by 14% as test centre closed during the lockdowns.

Andy Bird, the Pearson chief executive said: “Despite facing significant uncertainty, our teams have been laser-focused on closing out 2020, enabling us to report sales and profit for 2020 in line with expectations. Uncertainty remains in the near term as a result of the ongoing pandemic, with further lockdowns, exam cancellations and reduced global mobility. However, I am excited about our future given the shift to online learning and the huge opportunity to help more people develop the skills they need.

“At the end of 2020, we made several key hires to accelerate our digital growth and, looking ahead, we start the year with momentum, pace and confidence. Our broader goal is to become a more consumer-focused company, targeting the incredible opportunity that exists to have a direct relationship with millions of lifelong learners. We look forward to sharing more details at our Preliminary Results in March.”

Pearson shares (LON: PSON) are trading +6.95% at 726,20 (1022GMT).

Burberry campaign with Marcus Rashford boosts sales

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Burberry’s successful campaign with footballer Marcus Rashford has helped the luxury retailer ride out the pandemic.

Despite a fall in “retail comparable store sales” for the three months to Boxing Day, the store saw “new, younger clientele” thanks to Rashford’s involvement with the brand.

Sales remained week and were down 9% due to the fall in tourism and footfall amid the pandemic. Sales in the Asia Pacific rose by 11% thanks to strong demand in Mainland China and Korea, however, fell in the EMEIA and Americas by -37% and -8% respectively.

Marco Gobbetti, the chief executive officer of Burberry, commented: “Despite the challenging external environment, we made good progress on our strategic priorities in the quarter. We saw a strong increase in full-price sales as our collections and communication resonated well with new, younger clientele as well as existing customers. Our localised plans and digital capabilities helped drive growth in rebounding markets and we implemented our planned reduction in markdown. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain due to COVID-19, we are well placed to accelerate when the pandemic eases.”

On the new campaign with Rashford, Burberry commented: “In November, we launched our Festive campaign, partnering with Marcus Rashford MBE, the English international footballer who has taken a prominent role against child poverty during the pandemic, and global charities championing youth-related causes.

“The consumer response to the campaign was exceptional, with engagement on our Instagram campaign posts more than double our Q2 average, and imagery featuring Marcus becoming our most liked Instagram post of all time. Marcus’ work to support the UK’s youth sits at the heart of our partnership and embodies our commitment to community and going beyond.”

Looking forward, Burberry remains encouraged by “the strong underlying outperformance of full-price sales in Q3”, despite headwinds from store closures.

Shares in Burberry have jumped 5% and are currently trading at 1.828,00 (0956GMT).

Inflation doubles to 0.6% in December

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UK inflation doubled in December, according to the Office for National Statistics.

Despite a fall in food and drink prices, the cost of transport, recreation and culture rose in the run-up to Christmas. Prices were 0.3% higher than November and 0.6% up on the same period a year ago.

The ONS said:  “Despite the travel restrictions in place in December, prices for air fares followed their usual seasonal pattern, with price increases between November and December 2020.”

“In the UK, inflation has still been fairly benign though core prices have been higher than the more generally used headline number,” said Michael Hewson, the CMC Markets UK chief analyst. “It has also been tougher to track UK inflation in the past 12 months due to the unavailability of some products which are normally used to calculate prices in the inflation basket.

“Nonetheless, price pressures have been subdued with November prices falling back to 0.3 per cent, though core prices are higher at 1.1%,” he added.

The UK inflation has been falling over the past two years and fell to record lows of 0.2% in August, following the government’s Eat Out to Help Out scheme and VAT cut.

Jon Hudson is the UK Equity Fund Manager at Premier Miton Investors. He commented on the UK inflation in December: “At 0.8%, the inflation rate remains well below target but given the lockdowns it is unsurprising.

“Should the vaccine be successfully rolled out and restrictions reduced, it is likely inflation will pick up in the second half of the year, driven by consumers spending the money they have been unable to over the past year, and higher commodity prices.”

Netflix gains 8.5m new subscribers, shares surge

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Netflix added 8.5m paid subscribers in the four months to 31 December – significantly higher than analyst expectations of 6.1m.

The streaming service saw strong trading as the world remained under lockdown restrictions. The group has a total of 203m paid subscribers across the world.

Revenue increased from $5.5bn to $6.6bn (£4.8bn), higher then expectations of $6.63bn for this quarter.

Throughout the festive season, Netflix streamed various Christmas films that performed particularly well.

“Our holiday movie slate also resonated with our members; in the first four weeks, 68m and 61m member households chose to watch Holidate (starring Emma Roberts) and The Christmas Chronicles: Part Two (starring Kurt Russell), respectively. Our first Portuguese language holiday film from Brazil, Just Another Christmas (starring Leandro Hassum), was also a big hit with 26m member households globally choosing to watch in the first 28 days of release,” said the group in a statement.

Streaming also was helped by the closure of cinemas and delays of major blockbuster films including James Bond and Avatar 2.

Shares in the group surged 11% on the update and have increased over 50% over the past year.

Alistair Thom, chief executive of free-to-air TV provider Freesat, commented on the streaming service update: “We’re approaching nearly a year of on-off lockdown restrictions and, for many of us, the only form of entertainment has been watching TV at home. Central to that has been streaming services like Netflix with people racking up hours of binge viewing, which the latest figures underline.”

“However, as things ‘get back to normal’ and other entertainment options resume, Netflix and its competitors will be hoping to hold onto their newly expanded audiences and that they retain their current viewing patterns.”

Goldman Sachs profits pour in

New York-based investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) has outperformed Wall Street analysts’ predictions with a jump in profits, as its investment banking, wealth management and bond, currency and commodities trading divisions all thrived during the pandemic.

Goldman Sachs reported quarterly revenue of $11.74 billion, up 18% from a year ago, and posted net income of $4.5 billion – a 135% surge from the fourth quarter of 2019.

The bank reported record revenue of $9.42bn from its investment banking unit, driven by booming demand for initial public offerings and an increase in merger activity. Goldman Sachs ranked #1 in worldwide announced and completed mergers and acquisitions, worldwide equity and equity-related offerings and common stock offerings for the year.

Goldman Sachs also said it posted its best year for global markets revenue in a decade, coming in at $21.26bn (43% higher than 2019), largely due to strong trading volume in both Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities (FICC) – which included the third highest annual net revenues in intermediation and record net revenues in financing – and Equities, which included record net revenues in derivatives.

Among its other successes were Asset Management, which generated net revenues of $7.98bn, while Consumer & Wealth Management generated record net revenues of $6bn, including record Wealth Management net revenues and significantly higher Consumer Banking net revenues.

Earnings per share rose to $24.74 for 2020, up from $21.03 in 2019. In the last quarter, earning jumped to $12.08 per share, up from $4.69 a year ago, and $8.98 in July-September. Analysts had expected a profit of $7.47 per share on average, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.

Chairman and CEO David Solomon said in a press release, “it was a challenging year on many fronts” and added that “we hope this year brings much needed stability and a respite from the pandemic”.

Reuters weighed in on Goldman’s results, pointing out that the bank has benefitted from some big stock market floats recently:

“Goldman’s performance was in line with broader gains for trading units across Wall Street banks, with JPMorgan Chase also reporting stronger-than-expected results as financial market volumes remained consistently high. The Wall Street giant also benefited from record levels of capital markets activity during the quarter, as it generated handsome underwriting fees from a number of high-profile IPOs including Airbnb, Doordash, Lufax and Root”.

Meanwhile Octavio Marenzi, CEO of Opimas – a capital markets management consultancy – told The Guardian that Goldman Sachs’ earnings were “shockingly good”.

“We were expecting a strong performance, but Goldman outperformed in almost every business line. While other banks, such as JP Morgan and Citigroup had to contend with retail and corporate banking units that were a bit soft, Goldman’s activities are squarely focused on investment banking and trading—areas that did well everywhere, but especially well at Goldman Sachs”.

Shares at the Wall Street bank were down -0.72% to USD 299.00 as of GMT 15:56, stifling recent gains which saw the stock hit an annual peak of USD 309.41 last week.

Entain shares plummet as MGM backs out

British sports betting and gambling firm Entain plc (LON:ENT) has seen its shares freefall after casino operators MGM Resorts International announced it does not intend to submit a revised proposal for the firm, which snubbed an $11 billion takeover deal earlier this month.

Entain, previously known as GVC Holdings – which owns Ladbrokes and Sportingbet – rejected MGM’s takeover proposal in early January on the basis that it severely undervalued the company.

MGM said it did not plan to increase its approach, and would not be making a firm offer on Entain “after careful consideration and having reflected on the limited recent engagement between the respective companies regarding MGM’s rejected all-stock proposal”.

Shares at the betting firm plummeted 14.36%% to 1,210.50p as of GMT 15:15, undoing almost all the gains made in the past month since the takeover approach was announced to the public.

The Telegraph reported on the weekend that Aberdeen Standard – Entain’s third-biggest investor – said that MGM was undervaluing the company by billions of pounds amid a US online gambling bonanza.

Wes McCoy, Aberdeen Standard investment director, said: “If you’re going to buy this company from my fundholders, then the conversation is going to have to start with: ‘This is a great company, now let’s talk’. This offer is not in the right zip code, or postcode”.

Despite MGM’s abrupt decision, Entain released a statement citing its intentions to continue working alongside the casino giant across the pond:

“We look forward to continuing to work closely with MGM to drive further success in the United States through the BetMGM joint venture”.

The news comes just a week after Entain’s CEO, Shay Segev, announced he is to step down after just 7 months in the role. He still has to complete his 6 month notice period unless a successor is appointed.

“We are sorry that Shay has decided to leave us but recognize that we cannot match the rewards that he has been promised,” Barry Gibson, chairman of Entain, said in a statement.

Gold rallies ahead of Biden inauguration

The price of gold made a modest rally on Tuesday afternoon, gaining 0.25% to $1,840.91 per ounce after lunchtime, following a turbulent few weeks which saw the precious metal take a -2.31% hit.

Responsibility for the uptick, analysts at FX Street say, is “exclusively sponsored by the emergence of some selling around the US dollar, which tends to underpin demand for the dollar-denominated commodity”.

The greenback slipped in morning trading as investors awaited comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen “to talk up the need for major fiscal stimulus”.

After a 2% rise in the dollar so far in 2021, a surprise for many investors who had bet on the currency’s decline following its weakness in 2020, analysts are now projecting a weaker greenback from here on out – which usually works in gold’s favour.

Nevertheless, the prevailing upbeat market sentiment stopped bullish traders from placing any aggressive bets, and might rule out any strong rally for gold in the near future.

Global risk sentiment remains “well supported” by the optimism over the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines around the world as well as hopes for more aggressive fiscal spending under Joe Biden’s presidency, which could cap gold’s gains in the coming weeks.

Investors might prefer to wait on the sidelines, FX Street stated, ahead of President-elect Joe Biden’s inauguration on Wednesday. It might take a few days for markets to settle on a coordinated response, and analysts suggest it would be “prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying” before hedging bets on any further appreciating move.

“In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases, traders will look forward to US Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen’s confirmation hearing for some impetus. This, along with the broader market risk sentiment, might further contribute to produce some short-term trading opportunities around the XAU/USD”.

Moonpig set for £1.2bn stock market debut

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Online greeting card and gift retailer Moonpig has filed its intention to float on the UK stock market, with an approximate value of £1.2bn. The firm said on Tuesday that it is aiming for a February debut.

Demand for Moonpig’s products soared during the pandemic. With lockdown keeping people separated for birthdays and special occasions, the company’s handy next-day delivery option for cards, gifts and flowers offered a much-needed alternative, and transactions leaped 156% in March as the peak of the pandemic began to unfold.

Moonpig has appointed Citigroup Global Markets Limited and JPMorgan Securities as joint global co-ordinators ahead of the float, with HSBC Bank, Jefferies International and Numis Securities as joint bookrunners.

On announcing details of the planned initial public offering, Moonpig – which has been owned by the private equity firm Exponent since 2016 – said it would float at least a quarter of the company. US firms BlackRock and Dragoneer Global Fund have already agreed to buy £130m of the shares, with £80m and £50m committed respectively.

Moonpig is expected to publish its prospectus with further details next week. Its 450 employees are also set to be given shares.

Among them is chairwoman Kate Swann – former chief executive of WH Smith – who is expected to make £7m from the float. Moonpig’s chief executive Nickyl Raithatha is in line for £11m, and finance director Andy MacKinnon will also see £2m.

Well-established as the UK’s biggest online greeting card retailer, boasting more than 12 million customers, Moonpig managed to capitalise during lockdown when its high street rivals were forced to shut. The firm delivered 46 million cards and 7 million gifts and flowers in the 12 months up to October 2020. It reportedly manages up to 300,000 orders a day – one third of which are placed via its app.

Moonpig made £156m in sales in the six months to the end of October, compared with £173m for the entire previous year.

CEO Raithatha welcomed the news of the firm’s proposed IPO:

“As leaders of a market undergoing an accelerating shift online, we’re delighted to bring Moonpig Group to the public market. Our data-powered technology platform makes it incredibly easy for our customers to create more special moments for the people they care about”.

HSBC to close 82 UK branches

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HSBC has announced plans to close 82 branches as the group focuses more on online banking.

The banking group has said that despite the closures, there will be minimal redundancies as staff will be redeployed to “suitable nearby locations”. It has not said how many jobs will be affected.

The number of branches in the UK will fall to 511 and the decision reflects “local market trends, customer behaviour and branch usage”.

Jackie Uhi, HSBC UK’s Head of Network, said: “In recent years we have introduced more digital options to make our customers’ lives easier and we know that customers are becoming more comfortable primarily using online and mobile banking to take control of their finances, turning to other channels for very particular interactions.”

The group said that even before the pandemic, the number of customers using bank branches fell by a third over the past five years.

Last year the group revealed a major restructuring plan, where it announced plans to cut 35,000 jobs globally.

The bank said that currently, 90% of all customer contact is over the phone, internet or smartphone.

TSB recently announced closure of 164 branches in the UK.

TSB chief executive Debbie Crosbie said: “Closing any of our branches is never an easy decision, but our customers are banking differently – with a marked shift to digital banking.

“We are reshaping our business to transform the customer experience and set us up for the future.

“This means having the right balance between branches on the high street and our digital platforms, enabling us to offer the very best experience for our personal and business customers across the UK.”

Vaccine developers to bank $14.7bn by 2023

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As the mass Covid-19 vaccination drive continues, new data from Finaria.it has revealed that vaccine developers BioNTech-Pfizer (NASDAQ:BNTX, NYSE:PFE) and Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) are set to bank $14.7bn in revenue from sales of their coronavirus vaccines by 2023.

The Pfizer-BioNTech candidate made headlines for becoming the first vaccine to be approved for use in the general public when the UK’s Medicines and Healthcare Regulatory Authority (MHRA) authorised the jab in early December. So far, the joint effort by American Pfizer and Germany’s BioNTech has a standing order for 40 million doses from the UK government, and is expected to make $3.1bn in sales during 2021.

However, this figure is expected to drop to under $1.4bn in 2022 and continue trickling over the next few years. The most significant downside of the BioNTech-Pfizer vaccine is that it needs ultra-cold storage, with temperatures as low as -70°C, which has already posed a serious logistical challenge for the UK and a number of other countries.

In 2023, as mass inoculation hopefully enters its final phase, BionTech-Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine sales are forecast to generate just $914 million – almost 3.5 times less than in 2021 – as governments from poorer countries are likely to seek cheaper and less logistically challenging alternatives.

Moderna has already enjoyed global interest in its vaccine, which boasts a 94.1% efficacy rate based on Phase III clinical trials last year, and has already booked a request of 17 million doses from the UK government. Unlike the BioNTech-Pfizer vaccine, Moderna’s only needs to be stored at standard refrigerator temperatures, between -25°C and -15°C. The American pharmaceutical firm behind it is expected to generate $3.5bn in revenue in 2021 alone – $400 million more than its competitor.

Already approved in the UK, US, EU, Canada and Israel, statistics show that Moderna’s vaccine could generate annual sales revenue of $2.9bn over the next two years.

Leading the pack in terms of total ordered doses, however, is the UK’s much-touted Oxford University-AstraZeneca collaboration. By the beginning of this year, almost 3 billion doses had been preordered by a slew of countries around the world, largely due to the fact that it is so far the cheapest vaccine to produce – at about £3 per dose – and that it does not need to be stored at ultra-low temperatures.

And, although still in phase III of clinical trials and without regulatory approval, American vaccine development firm Novavax’s (NASDAQ:NVAX) offering is the second-highest by the number of orders worldwide at almost 1.3 billion.

Data already shows the BioNTech-Pfizer vaccine hit 816 million ordered doses as of last week, with rivals in Russia’s Gamaleya, Anglo-French Sanofi/GSK, and Moderna following with 727 million, 712 million, and 441 million orders respectively.