Recovery gains momentum for Restore

Restore (LON: RST) has been resilient this year and remains highly profitable. The share price does not reflect this because it does not take account of the recurring revenues generated by document storage, which is a long-term requirement whether or not offices are open.
Shredding, scanning services and office moves operations are more dependent on office activity, so they have been harder hit. Management says that shredding is the only part of the business where recovery has still some way to go.
The document storage operations are set to grow this year. Overall, group revenues are running a...

Does James Bond delay mark cinemas’ time to die?

With the likes of Amazon, Netflix and Disney Plus hungrily vying for viewers’ attention, the recent announcement that the next instalment of James Bond will now be delayed until April 2021, could well be the final nail in the coffin for ailing cinemas. Odeon (LON:ODE.F), Vue, and Cineworld (LON:CINE) have all posted reflecting what has been a torrid half-year of trading for film outlets relying on physical attendance. The hope since then, has been that much like restaurants, bars and even the housing market, consumers would be keen to release the pent-up demand created by lockdown. And, while social distancing has certainly constrained capacity utilisation (to around 30%), the main issue is that there simply isn’t a product worthy of bringing back cinema-goers in droves. The 2020 slate already looked fairly bland, but with Tenet receiving mixed reviews, family film ‘Soul’ skipping cinemas and moving straight to on-demand streaming services, and now the James Bond mega title ‘No Time to Die’ being postponed, the next few months look entirely dire for the already-struggling cinema sector.

James Bond giving Cineworld a licence to be killed

Of the UK’s big cinema chains, Cineworld, stands at the front of the pack in terms of being absolutely blindsided by the James Bond delay. Having already booked a £1.3 billion loss, The Times reported that the cinema is drawing up plans to close all 128 of its UK theatres, which would raise serious concerns over the future of the company’s 5,500 staff. It is likely that staff will be asked to accept redundancy, with some potential for incentives to rejoin, should theatres reopen in the new year. In its statement, Cineworld said: “We can confirm we are considering the temporary closure of our UK and US cinemas, but a final decision has not yet been reached.” “Once a decision has been made we will update all staff and customers as soon as we can.” The news followed attempts by the cinema to entice viewers by lowering ticket prices to as low as £4, and writing to the prime minister to say that the industry has become ‘unviable’ because of the James Bond delay – with the previous franchise release grossing £80 million at the UK box office.

Legal and political failures could spell the end of a cultural and social institution

Many have been quick to condemn the lack of support by the UK government, to protect the jobs of staff at cinemas such as Cineworld. And indeed, this criticism is deserved. However, we should also condemn both legislation changes, and lack thereof, in the US, which have seen studios take chunks out of the cinema industry with nothing given back in return. Between the AMC-Universal deal shortening the theatrical window (allowing streaming sites to show new releases sooner), the overturn of the 1948 Paramount Consent Decrees (preventing studios from buying cinemas), and a lack of action preventing studios such as Disney from releasing their big titles exclusively on their online platforms, cinemas have been dying a slow death for well over a year. Aside from lamenting the plethora of Western political failures, spanning over years and likely to see viewers at the behest of behemothic online companies, we should also mourn the potential collapse of cinema as a cultural and social institution within society. Looking at the situation as it stands, Third Bridge senior sector analyst, Harry Barnick, comments:
“Now more than ever support from landlords and the UK government will be essential for the survival of cinemas.” “The announcement confirms what we already know: cinemas can’t exist without compelling content.” “This has a number of broader implications for the sector, for instance: how will competitors like Odeon and Vue respond and will scheduled releases such as Soul move directly to PVOD.” “Whilst national chains like Cineworld have suffered due to the pandemic, smaller independent chains have felt the downturn just as harshly. It appears Cineworld intends to re-open sites in the new year, but can smaller operators afford another 6 months of closures and does this spell the end of the independent cinema sector in the UK.”

Hospitality sector: new report shows 300,000 jobs are at risk

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The British Beer & Pubs Association (BBPA) has warned that unless the government acts now, 300,000 jobs are at risk of being lost. Due to the reduced capacity in pubs and restaurants and the 10 pm curfew, a new report by the by consultancy Oxford Economics found that 291,000 are at risk. “The 10pm curfew should be removed if demonstrably not working as intended or adjusted to provide for gradual dispersal and avoid the unintended consequences for the wider sector including cultural activities now impacted,” said the BBPA in a letter to Boris Johnson. Weekly sales in pubs are down 23% on the same period last year as the new “rule of six” and local lockdowns are taking effect. BBPA chief executive, Emma McClarkin, said: “It’s important to remember that outside of the current circumstances our sector is a thriving one – and when this epidemic ends it will be key to driving the economic bounce-back we will desperately need.” “For that to happen though the government must invest in it now to ensure its still here to play that role,” she added. The pressure is mounting on the government to take drastic measures and protect the UK’s hospitality sector. The hospitality sector in cities with local lockdowns have been worst hit. Council bosses from Liverpool, Leeds, and Manchester have warned that the local lockdowns will “result in mass-market failure, huge levels of redundancies and depleted and boarded up high streets.” In a letter they wrote: “The stark reality is that these businesses are facing the prospect of a complete decimation in trade, not just in the short term but as we look ahead to the sector’s traditional lifeblood of the Christmas period and almost certainly continuing into spring/summer of next year which we know with certainty will result in mass-market failure, huge levels of redundancies and depleted and boarded up high streets.” Whilst Rishi Sunak revealed a new job support scheme, there are calls for the government to do much more to protect jobs after the furlough scheme ends.        

Moonpig considers IPO after strong lockdown sales

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Moonpig is exploring the idea of floating on the London Stock Exchange. According to Sky News, the online greeting cards retailer is in talks with investment banks and looking into a public listing. The privately-owned company is said to be in the early stages of talks. Moonpig has grown over the pandemic and the group said that over lockdown it added an additional one million customers. Sales this year have surged 44% this year to £172.8m whilst pre-tax profit has surged 137% to £33m. “As a high growth company we constantly evaluate our funding options, and regularly meet with advisers on this subject,” said a spokesperson. Moonpig’s boss is Kate Swann, who has previously led WH Smith and SSP Group.

As Beckham’s Guild Esports goes public: Is it time to invest in E-Sports?

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Guild Esports has gone public on the London Stock Exchange. The e-sports company, which is co-owned by David Beckham, listed today after earlier this week offering 250m ordinary shares for 8p. Beckham holds a 4.78% stake in Guild Esports. It is the first e-sports company to go public on the stock exchange and has a valuation of £41.2m. The industry has experienced significant growth in recent years. Jamie Peel, director at corporate finance at Zeus Capital, said: “The gaming industry has exploded in popularity, with esports quickly becoming a mainstream form of entertainment. This is only expected to accelerate in the coming years, and with a hugely experienced and high-quality management team, the firm has already generated significant investor appetite.”

Time to invest in e-sports?

Hiran Adhia, who is a client manager at global branding and design agency Landor, believes the e-sports sector will continue to grow in the coming years. “[This float] has certainly got the international community talking and major players and investors have no choice but to now pay close attention,” said Adhia. “[After] having perceptually trailed behind traditional sports franchises for the last 20 years, out of the limelight, e-sports has built a mammoth international fanbase,” they added. According to games market insight company, Newzoo, the e-sports sector is set to grow by 42% to $1.56bn      

Advanced Oncotherapy progresses towards ‘democratising proton therapy’

Advanced Oncotherapy (AIM:AVO), developer of proton therapy systems for cancer treatment, recently announced several areas of progress which will help realise its goal of ‘democratising proton therapy’. First, it stated that it had seen ‘strong advancement’ in its proton treatment technology, over the last six months. Its LIGHT system, upon completion, is set to be the first of its kind to be capable of accelerating protons at 230 MeV. The company states that it is on track to deliver its breakthrough technology to consumers in 2021, providing access to a type of treatment previously reserved for a select few.

In service of this end, the company’s second update was also promising. It announced that it had successfully delivered all of the high-precision accelerating structures for the LIGHT system to its Daresbury assembly site; that it had manufactured the hardware necessary for the patient positioning system; and had delivered all of the technical files for the certification process.

Further, it announced that at its Daresbury site, it had been developing the infrastructure necessary to support the assembly of future machines. In short, it is another step closer to bringing its technology to the public.

Then, to help with the costs of research and production, Advanced Oncotherapy celebrated several new sources of funding. These included a successful equity fundraise of £14.9 million pre-expenses; the option of accessing £42 million courtesy of VDL and Nerano Pharma; and a drawdown of $10 million from an ‘interest-bearing secured convertible facility’ with Nerano Pharma. Finally, to assist in rolling out its treatment to patients, the company announced that it had signed ‘multiple’ commercial partnership agreements with stakeholders, including The London Clinic, The Mediterranean Hospital of Limassol and University Hospital Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust

Commenting on these areas of progress made over the last six months, Advanced Oncotherapy CEO, Nicolas Serandour, said:

“We are delighted with the progress achieved over the past six months despite the impact that COVID-19 has had on our business. As previously announced, we have added more focus on and made excellent progress with the documentation and software development. During the half year under review, we also signed a number of significant collaborations with partners for further LIGHT systems to be constructed at world leading hospitals, and we look forward to updating the market in due course on the progress of these agreements.”

“We are pleased to have recently resumed activities at the Daresbury site, and are expecting to be in line with our operational plan for completion of the first LIGHT system in 2021. We will be holding a virtual Investor Day in October when we will update the market on our patient-centric business model, the broader strategy and operational deliverables for the next year, including our LIGHT system being fully conditioned and generating a full-energy beam that is necessary to treat patients with our clinical partner, the University Hospital Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust.”

How Covid test manufacturer Qiagen dodged €93mn in tax since 2010

Findings published by the Centre for Research on Multinational Corporations (SOMO) reveal that German coronavirus test manufacturer, and biotech giant, Qiagen (NYSE:QGEN) has dodged millions of euros in tax since 2010, owing to tax avoidance constructions in Ireland, Luxembourg, Malta and the US. SOMO said in its report that Qiagen acts as a leading producer of Covid test kits, and currently benefits from mass orders made by ‘governments around the world’ – including being one of the major suppliers to the US. Speaking on the findings, SOMO tax researcher, Jasper van Teeffelen, said: “The global healthcare sector is under enormous financial pressure due to the coronavirus crisis. It is distressing to see that precisely a company like Qiagen is avoiding tax on a large scale and depriving governments of much-needed income.”

How have Qiagen gotten away with it?

The company itself has an operational HQ in Germany, but is officially headquartered in Venlo, the Netherlands. Having boasted second quarter profits of €77 billion – double the level of the same period the previous year – SOMO revealed that the company had not paid proportionate tax on these gains. Instead, SOMO described Qiagen’s tax structure as a ‘network of letterbox companies’ in European tax havens (listed above), which it uses to avoid tax via internal loan-giving between subsidiaries. In essence, it downplays the true nature of its taxable profits – which might differ from the profit figure it uses as a public performance indicator – by transferring its earnings to lower-tax jurisdictions such as Luxembourg. These transfers occur via loans, with the main company paying letterbox or subsidiary companies disproportionate interest payments. Much like ‘facilitation payments’ replacing bribery in the past, bogus ‘interest rates’ are just a form of euphemism to mask an unsavoury, but financially prudent, transaction.
Qiagen loan structure, SOMO graphic
According to SOMO’s estimates, Qiagen has avoided paying €93 million in tax, along with an accumulated tax deduction of €49 million. SOMO adds that this is a conservative estimate, given that not all of the potential avoidance structures have been accounted for. This report focused on intercompany loans but also mentions tax avoidance on interest income from Qiagen loans to the US. Reacting to what the research group have uncovered, SOMO tax researcher, Vincent Kiezebrink, commented: “It is shocking to see how hard this biotech giant is trying to avoid tax. We call on Qiagen and the EU to put an end to such tax avoidance schemes.”

Taking from the public and not giving back their fair share

Alongside not paying an equitable tax on their profits, Qiagen has received large sums of public funds from both the US and Netherlands governments, among others. For instance, it received €511,000 from the US Department of Health, to help accelerate the development of a new Covid test. The subsequent test is now being produced and procured on a massive scale, again using public money, by the Netherlands, US and other countries around the world SOMO’s view is that government’s must intervene, with this just the latest in a catalogue of brazen tax avoidance schemes by large companies, who are happy to benefit from the countries they operate in, without feeling any duty of reciprocity towards the people who have facilitated their success. It says that organisations such as the EU and the Netherlands government must now implement rules that are more exacting with the allocation of public funds, and tighter on tax avoidance infrastructure, such as subsidiaries being used to offshore profits made in a company’s places of operation. Wemos, a Dutch non-profit, global health lobbyist group, published its own study on public funding of medicines in 2019, underlines the recommendations of the SOMOS report. Ella Weggen, global health advocate for Wemos, said: “Transparency about public investments is desperately needed. Conditions must be attached to this public funding in terms of affordability and accessibility, so that people actually benefit from medicines and medical devices developed with their taxpayers’ money.”

UK announces £200m post-Brexit port infrastructure fund

The UK government has released a statement confirming a £200 million investment in the Port Infrastructure Fund, as part of its drive to “ramp up preparations for the end of the transition period” and build new facilities along the coast designed to “handle new customs requirements under the new Border Operating Model” proposed back in July. Primarily targeting ports which already have “the space to build new border infrastructure on their current sites”, the funding will be put towards a “range of vital port infrastructure – from warehouses and control posts to traffic management systems” as well as inland customs facilities in areas which are not suitable for additional port infrastructure. In a statement on its website, the UK government said that new port facilities will be necessary regardless of the outcome of ongoing Brexit negotiations with the European Union: “New infrastructure at ports will be needed whether or not the UK secures a negotiated agreement with the EU as we are leaving the Customs Union and Single Market and new procedures will be coming into place”. The post-Brexit fund will see construction commence “for the end of the year” and “give industry confidence that all required infrastructure will be delivered on time”. Secretary of State for Transport, Grant Shapps, welcomed the government’s Friday announcement: “Our ports are a point of pride for the UK, contributing to our success as a global trading nation and helping bring vital goods into the country each and every day. This investment will not only ensure our borders are fully operational at the end of the transition period, but will also support the UK’s fantastic businesses as they trade across Europe”. Tim Morris of the UK Major Ports Group, the trade association for the UK’s largest port operators, added: “Today’s announcement is a welcome step in ensuring that [port] capacity can be maximised and UK supply chains can be more resilient. Time is short and it is vital that UK businesses prepare for new border arrangements. We will work urgently with the Government on the all-important detail and related regulations”. Last month it was a revealed that the government’s reasonable worst-case scenario (RWCS) prediction involved 40-70% of trucks travelling to the EU “not being ready for new border controls” and warned that a “lack of capacity to hold unready vehicles in France, or turn away freight prior to boarding in the UK, could reduce the flow rate to as low as 60-80% of normal levels, which could lead to queues of up to 7,000 vehicles in Kent and maximum delays of up to two days”. With the outcome of Brexit negotiations still unclear, the fund is a welcome relief in ensuring that cross-border trade – along the coast, at least – is handled as efficiently as possible, whatever the outcome of the talks.

CIP secures €4bn investment for greenfield renewables fund

Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CPI) have secured €4 billion from investors in commitments for its new renewable energy fund, Copenhagen Infrastructure IV (CIP IV). The Danish investment firm – which specialises in renewable infrastructure projects, particularly wind power – has attracted investors from across the Nordic countries, as well as the UK and Australia. Expected to be one of the largest ever funds of its kind, CIP IV was launched five months ago with a target between €5 billion and €5.7 billion, and will focus on greenfield investment in energy infrastructure around the world. The project will see CPI adopting investments across a range of climate-conscious technologies, such as: contracted offshore wind, onshore wind, solar PV, transmission, storage, and waste-to-energy in low-risk Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries in the Northern Hemisphere, as well as developed countries in Asia and Australia. “Tailored to institutional investors with a long-term investment horizon”, CIP has described the scheme as a “promising” addition to a market which has “proven resilient and functioned well over the last six months, despite Covid-19 and market turmoil”. Among the contributors to the fund are two Danish pension funds, PensionDanmark and AP Pension, as well as an assortment of other pension and life insurance companies based in the region. “Several new prominent institutional investors from across the Nordics, Continental Europe, the UK, Israel, Taiwan, Japan, and Australia” have also submitted plans to commit to the project, CIP said in a statement on its website. Jakob Baruël Poulsen, Managing Partner at CIP, commented on the firm’s announcement, saying: “We are very pleased with our investors’ continued confidence in CIP’s approach to energy infrastructure investments and look forward to continuing to create value for our investors, project partners, and communities through the fund’s investments. “As a renewables market leader and pioneer, we are very happy to observe continued strong appetite for renewables. The investments of the CIP flagship funds have long-term contracted cash flows and robust investment structures, including low energy price risk exposure and cautious use of financial leverage, and have proven resilient and non-cyclical. “The investment outlook for CI IV is very promising and we expect the fund to become fully committed within approximately three years and with investments in attractive projects with similar characteristics to our existing investments”. Early this year, global investment firm BlackRock stated that concerns about the emerging climate crisis were beginning to flavour investment portfolios around the world. CEO Larry Fink told Bloomberg: “Clients worldwide had been asking me repeatedly more and more about how should they frame a portfolio with climate change considerations. It was very clear to me that this is becoming a dominant theme in more and more of our investors”. A number of similar projects have sprung up in recent months, with the UK’s own leading pension scheme Nest pledging to pump £5.5 billion into “climate aware” investments, and committed to decarbonising its entire portfolio by 2050. Just two weeks ago, the European Commission announced its target to reduce its emissions by “at least” 55% by 2030 as the Union attempts to gain the title of the “first climate-neutral continent” in the world. For more information, take a look at our guide to investing in 3 similar sustainable and climate-conscious funds, and why the threat of “greenwashing” poses a risk to distinguishing the sincerely good projects from the bad.  

Asda sold to Blackburn billionaires in £6.8bn deal

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Asda has been sold by Walmart (NYSE: WMT) to two billionaire Blackburn-based brothers in a £6.8bn deal. Mohsin and Zuber Issa are petrol station tycoons and backed by TDR Capital to buy the majority stake in the supermarket. “We are very proud to be investing in Asda, an iconic British business that we have admired for many years,” said the Issa brothers in a statement. “Asda’s customer-centric philosophy, focus on operational excellence and commitment to the communities in which it operates are the same values that we have built EG Group on,” they added. The deal is expected to be completed early next year. Chief executive Roger Burnley said on the deal: “This new ownership opens an exciting new chapter in Asda’s long heritage of delivering great value for UK shoppers.” “With our combined investment, expertise and ambition; Asda, Walmart, the Issa brothers and TDR have an incredible opportunity to accelerate our existing strategy and develop an even more exciting offer for our customers as well as strengthen our business for our colleagues,” he added. The Issa brothers have committed to £1bn investment over the next three years. Walmart will continue an equity investment in the UK’s third-largest supermarket chain. Judith McKenna, the chief executive officer of Walmart International, said: “I’m delighted that Walmart will retain a significant financial stake, a board seat and will continue as a strategic partner.”