Festivities in short supply as Trump reimposes tariffs

Continuing to push against his unwilling adversaries, today president Donald Trump kept on attempting to bring his economic machinations into being. His thinking of ‘low dollar, plus protectionism, equals good trade for US producers’, is as simplistic as his drive to bring such maxims into being is relentless. Alas, in the process, he has done done little more than antagonise everybody else – again. Lamenting the new round of tariffs imposed on Latin American countries by Trump today, Spreadex Financial Analyst Connor Campbell stated,

“With the markets having done their best to maintain a positive outlook on the US-China situation, despite Hong Kong becoming a political pawn between the two sides, Trump went and added another couple of enemies to his trade war portfolio.”

“Delivering the news via, where else, Twitter, the President said that ‘effective immediately’ he would be restoring tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports from Brazil and Argentina. This came as Trump claimed those countries had been ‘presiding over a massive devaluation of their currencies’ that was ‘not good’ for American farmers. Never missing a chance to attack Jerome Powell at the Federal Reserve, he ended the announcement by haranguing the central bank about lowering rates and loosening monetary policy to weaken the dollar.”

“It doesn’t take a genius to guess how investors reacted. Reversing their early gains, the Eurozone indices all sank into the red, joined by an irritated Dow Jones. The FTSE tumbled back towards a 10-day low of 7310 after shedding 50 points, while the Dow sank below 28000 as it shed 130 points.”

“The real big losses, however, were saved for the Eurozone. With the region’s total manufacturing PMI marginally better than initial estimates, and issues for the pound (political) and dollar (manufacturing), the euro rose 0.4% and 0.5% against sterling and the greenback respectively. That left the region’s indices in a bad way; the DAX was down 1.7%, with the CAC falling 1.5%.”

Reflecting on Monday’s stories outside of Donald Trump, other important updates came from; KEFI Minerals (LON: KEFI) getting the green light on their Tulu Kapi project, Hiscox Ltd (LON: HSX) looking set to drop out of the FTSE100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) index, Trainline PLC (LON: TRN) dipping after Labour announcing its transport policies, and Christmas looking set to be be costly for British consumers.  

Beowulf Mining shares spike after third quarter loss shrinks

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Beowulf Mining plc (LON: BEM) have seen their shares spike on Monday afternoon following an optimistic update to shareholders.

Beowulf Mining plc is a UK registered Nordic focused exploration and development company listed on the AIM in London and Spotlight in Sweden. The CEO is Kurt Budge. The company was formed in 1988 as Beowulf Gold.

Shares of Beowulf Mining spiked 2.17% following the announcement, and now trade at 5p. 2/12/19 16:19BST.

Today, in the mining and natural resources sector there have been updates.

Additionally, KEFI Minerals and Ariana Resources gave positive updates to shareholders, which saw their shares in green.

Beowulf enlightened shareholders that they had narrowed their total loss in the third quarter, following a large exploration cost impairment one year ago which sparked shareholder appetite.

The miner, which is still in its development phase and has yet to generate revenue, reported that pretax loss shrank to £309,344 from £407,287 the previous year.

Share based payment expenses fell from £49,519 to £26,566 whilst administration expenses rose to £283,310 from £211,029.

Chief Executive Kurt Budge said: “It seems evident that the coalition government in Sweden has been struggling to reach consensus on Kallak and that politics is standing in the way of a decision being taken. We have heard before, from the government, that Swedish law is sufficient for assessing the Kallak application, and, that any assessment of Kallak should be ‘by the book’.”

Budge added: “At the beginning of October, Mr Baylan wrote to me of a ‘forthcoming government decision’ in our case. The company has made its case and now it is time for the government to decide.”

Certainly, shareholders should be pleased with the updated provided by Beowulf. As the market becomes increasingly competitive and saturated, the update should appease stakeholders in the short term.

Beowulf will now look to build on their positive update, and should look to swing into profit following revenue gains and business growth as long as they keep up their ensured efforts to expand and create new business opportunities.

Reacting to shaky manufacturing PMI data

Coming as little surprise to many, UK manufacturing PMI figures were weighed down by ongoing political and macroeconomic tensions. Donald Trump continued his scattergun campaign of protectionist tariffs, and the UK was doing his best to keep up, weighing in with general election uncertainty and the lingering Brexit motif. Talking on the UK’s figures, Andrew Symms, Partner at DWF, comments on the IHS Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI data released today: “The UK manufacturing PMI figures illustrate the impact of global trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty and an impending General Election that has resulted in the PMI to 48.9 in November from 49.6.” “The underlying data does not paint a rosy picture. Manufacturing production fell and new order inflows deteriorated from both domestic and overseas sources. Employment also fell for the eighth straight month in November. A lack of transparency caused by Brexit ambiguity is holding back investment. Manufacturers need to take positive steps to understand their supply chains, mitigate risks and ensure, to the best of their ability, that financing is available in case conditions deteriorate further.” Elsewhere in the UK market, Hiscox Ltd (LON: HSX) look set to drop out of the FTSE100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) index, Trainline PLC (LON: TRN) dipped following Labour announcing its transport policies, and Christmas looks set to be be costly for British consumers. On a slightly brighter note, Spreadex Financial Analyst Connor Campbell spoke of the Eurozone’s PMI figures, “The real big losses, however, were saved for the Eurozone. With the region’s total manufacturing PMI marginally better than initial estimates, and issues for the pound (political) and dollar (manufacturing), the euro rose 0.4% and 0.5% against sterling and the greenback respectively. That left the region’s indices in a bad way; the DAX was down 1.7%, with the CAC falling 1.5%.” Some potential for losses during the day was offset by Chinese manufacturing data, which saw three-year highs despite difficult market conditions. Speaking on the Chinese data released early on Monday morning, Financial Times Journalist Alice Woodhouse stated, “The Caixin-Markit purchasing managers’ index hit 51.8 in November, nudging up from 51.7 in the previous month, in its quickest acceleration since December 2016. The 50-point level separates expansion from contraction. A separate, official reading of manufacturing activity released on Saturday showed a return to growth for the first time in seven months”.

Tullow Oil shares receive boost on Ugandan green light

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Shares of Tullow Oil (LON: TLW) have been boosted on Monday afternoon following an update to shareholders explaining the resolving of an Ugandan tax dispute.

Tullow Oil plc is a multinational oil and gas exploration company founded in Tullow, Ireland with its headquarters in London, United Kingdom. It has interests in over 150 licenses across 25 countries with 67 producing fields and in 2012 produced on average 79,200 barrels of oil equivalent per day.

Tullow Oil have seen their shares boosted 3.59% to trade at 135p on Monday afternoon. 2/12/19 14:47BST.

The FTSE250 listed firm saw their shares crash a few weeks back, following a production warning issuance. However, some ground does seem to have been recovered since the alarming update.

The Ugandan Government said that they had reached a settlement about a dispute with international oil firms, which allows Tullow to revive plans to sell a stake in its assets.

The Ugandan Government has been in lockdown with firms such as Total (EPA: FP) and CNOOC (HKG: 0883) over the taxes assed on Tullow’s plans to sell part of its stakes in Ugandan oil fields.

Uganda’s previous oil tax disputes have been around capital gains tax on proceeds from asset sales.

Hanns Kyazze, a communications specialist at the ministry of energy and mineral development, said the government had offered the companies a deal to end the dispute, although he did not provide details on the agreement.

“They (firms) have now accepted that proposal and are moving on to ensure that package of proposed terms is operationalised,” Kyazze told Reuters.

Total, Tullow and CNOOC hold equal stakes in the fields, however Tullow decided to sell a 22% stake to its partners. This deal eventually collapsed due to business disputes.

Kyazze told Reuters a formal announcement would likely be made in coming days but that the agreement “untangles all issues that stalled and failed the deal, high on it are the taxes, who pays those taxes and how and when should those taxes be paid.”

With the dispute now settled, the government expects the firms to reach a verdict by the end of the first quarter of 2020.

 

Ariana Resources announce Cypriot acquisition

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Ariana Resources plc (LON: AAU) have updated shareholders on Monday about a new acquisition in Cyprus which has been formalized.

Ariana Resources is an AIM-listed gold exploration and development company with joint venture gold mining operations in Turkey, the largest gold producing country in Europe. Ongoing exploration and development is supported by a profitable, low operating cost gold mine in western Turkey.

Shares of Ariana Resouces currently trade at 2p (+0.93%). 2/12/19 14:21BST.

Ariana have seen a mixed financial 2019, as the firm reported a strong second quarter after success at its Kiziltepe Mine back in July.

Today, shareholders can be pleased about the new acquisition as Ariana have shown an active interest to diversify and expand in an ever competitive market.

London-based Ariana has signed an earn-in to buy the interest in Venus Minerals Ltd, which holds the Klirou and Kokkinoyia gold prospects. It intends to develop them together as the Magellan project.

It has already spent €600,000 on taking a 6% holding in the company, and has committed to a further €2.4 million of expenditure over the next three years.

Klirou has a historical resource of 4.3 million tonnes of ore at 0.5% copper and 0.8% zinc plus unquantified gold, while Kokkinoyia holds 5.2 million tonnes at 0.7% copper and an unquantified amount of gold.

Ariana commented by saying that the resources at the mine are open in several directions, and there is significant potential for gold rich zones which may have been previously missed.

Ariana Managing Director Kerim Sener said: “We are exceptionally pleased to expand our interests within the Tethyan metallogenic belt and to do so in the operationally-friendly jurisdiction of Cyprus represents the fulfilment of a well elucidated long-term diversification strategy of the company.

“Cyprus holds a global reputation for high-quality copper deposits, which tend to occur in distinct clusters; many of which remain significantly underexplored. We are also pleased to be working alongside a first-rate in-country team, committed to the development of the Cypriot mining industry.”

“Ariana is making full use of its regional exploration and development expertise. After two years of careful due diligence and relationship building in Cyprus, Ariana is committed to the successful development of Venus Minerals,” Sener continued.

“We are also taking advantage of our geographic proximity to get maximum cost-time benefit from our existing team and infrastructure. In Venus, we now [have] what we believe to be an exceptional investment opportunity which we look forward to supporting for the benefit of all stakeholders.”

Big name competitors such as Fresnillo have seen their shares crash following production expectations slashed.

Fusion Antibodies report progress in update, but shares still remain in red

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Shareholders of Fusion Antibodies (LON: FAB) have seen their shares in red, despite the firm reporting progress in their most recent update issued on Monday afternoon.

The firm offers a complete range of antibody-related services in Discovery, Engineering and Supply and have guided hundreds of projects through critical preclinical stages.

Shares of Fusion antibodies trade at 73p. (-2.20%). 2/12/19 13:23BST.

In the pharmaceuticals industry, there have been updates. Today, Indivior have seen their shares dip despite progress made in one of their research operations.

However, a positive update came from Yourgene Health PLC who saw their shares rise following confident board expectations.

The firm has seen a volatile period over the last 18 months, and last year the firms saw its shares in red after it reported a slump in trading.

Fusion Antibodies posted revenue of £1.8 million for the six months ended September 30, far exceeding the previous year’s figure of £658,000, which showed good progress for the firm.

“The company’s order levels and revenues in the first six months of the financial year showed significant growth on the previous six-month period and a marked recovery from the comparable period last year. This has been achieved by addressing a number of external competitive pressures seen over the last two years, and by improving the company’s marketing function and business development strategy,” Non-Executive Chair Simon Douglas said.

As a result of the revenue rise, pretax loss narrowed to £621,000 from £887,000. The reason the loss did narrow further was more administrative expenses, which increased to £1.4 million from £1 million.

So far, uptake of RAMP has been encouraging, Fusion said, and this is expected to continue into the second half. However, order visibility is low because Fusion depends on multiple orders which are all worth less than £100,000 and capable of being executed in two to three months. As such, order visibility past three months is limited, it explained. Nonetheless, Fusion is confident order levels will growth for both its new and existing services.

Chief Executive Paul Kerr said: “Our revenues are growing apace, and we have seen a solid improvement in the performance of the business for this period, compared to the previous six months. We have received our first commercial revenues from early adopters of RAMP, and the feedback from the service has been very promising. We are on target to deliver significant revenue growth year on year.”

In the industry, shares have been volatile, and trading has been subject to tough trading conditions.

Indivior shares dip despite positive results report

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Indivior PLC (LON: INDV) have seen their shares dip on Monday afternoon, despite reports that the firm had made progress in its Sublocade Injection analysis.

Indivior is a global pharmaceutical company working to working to help change patients’ lives by pioneering life-transforming treatment for addiction and other serious mental illnesses.

The FTSE250 listed pharmaceutical firm manufactures and markets medicines for the treatment of moderate to severe opioid use disorder with a global portfolio in over 40 countries.

In a report on Monday, the firm said that new analysis from a year long investigation of monthly Sublocade injection showed either improved or stable patient-centred outcomes versus placebo.

However, shareholders did not seem so keen on the announcement as shares dipped following the update.

Shares of Indivior dipped 4.46% to 38p. 2/12/19 13:11BST.

Indivior have seen a turbulent time in financial 2019, after the firm reported a slump in third quarter profit on October 31.

Additionally, the firm released a new treatment in February however shares fell following issues over copyright issues following issues with rival Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (NSE:DRREDDY).

Today, the firm gave an update which did not seem to spark shareholder appetite.

Sublocade injection is intended to treat patients with opioid use disorder who have already taken a medication containing active ingredient buprenorphine. The 12-month study looked at a number of outcome measures, including treatment effectiveness and improvement in the severity of addition as measured by a patient reported Addiction Severity Index.

Other measures included health and employment status, use of healthcare resources, and medication satisfaction. Study participants who were treated with Sublocade injection showed improved or maintained outcomes across these measures when compared to a placebo.

Christian Heidbreder, Indivior’s chief scientific officer, said: “These 12-month findings strengthen our original observations that previously showed that participants receiving Sublocade over a 6-month period reported better health, higher medication satisfaction, increased employment, and decreased healthcare utilization compared to placebo.

“These findings also show that patient-centred outcomes that can be measured during office visits may help clinicians assess their patient’s improvement.”

In the pharmaceuticals market, updates have come from Faron Pharmaceuticals ImmuPharma who have seen their shares rise after progress in their respective updates.

Yourgene shares rise on confident board expectations

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Yourgene Health PLC (LON: YGEN) have seen their shares rise on Monday afternoon, following a report of strong growth.

Yourgene Health is an international molecular diagnostics group which develops and commercialises genetic products and services. The group works in partnership with global leaders in DNA technology to advance diagnostic science.

In October, Yourgene looked set to hit an ambitious growth target in their half year update, which caused shares to rally.

The international molecular diagnostics group stated ambitions to diversify their markets, expanding internationally and increasing market presence.

This target had been successfully met, and revenue growth came from Yourgene’s International Operations, which increased by over 200% rising to £5.1 million.

This morning, the firm reiterated its stance saying that it was on track to hit further growth targets for the full year.

Shares of Yourgene rose 0.59% to 13p. 2/12/19 12:48BST.

The molecular diagnostics group said that in the six months ended September 30, its’ revenue doubled to £7.8 million from £3.9 million in the comparative period a year ago.

Notably, gross profit rose to £4.7 million from £2.0 million which will impress shareholders in a period of tough market conditions and stiff competition.

Lyn Rees, chief executive officer, said: “I am delighted to announce our first EBITDA profit as a demonstration of the transformation that is underway at Yourgene and resultant organic growth, supported by the contribution from Elucigene and the smooth integration process that is almost complete.”

“At this interim stage we are firmly on target to deliver full-year results in-line with market expectations, with consensus analyst forecasts looking for revenues of nearly £17 million for the year ending March 31, 2020, a considerable jump from last year’s £8.9 million,” Rees said.

The company said in order to deliver growth, it is focusing on product penetration, geographic expansion, products expansion, and acquisitive growth. Its said pure organic growth during the first half was 56% with non-Elucigene revenue of £6.1 million, and it has made a “very good progress” in expanding its’ commercial footprint into new territories.

The firm reported that pretax loss had also narrowed to £1.3 million from the £3.5 million figure in the first half of financial 2019.

The company said it has achieved its first ever positive earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization of £300,000, swung from loss of £2.5 million a year before.

The results and ambitions of the firm will thoroughly please shareholders, and will leave a good taste in a year which has seen good progress.

Nissan rule out deeper capital relations with Renault

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Nissan Motor Co Ltd (TYO: 7201) have said that they will rule out any deeper capital relations with Renault (EPA: RNO) in an announcement made on Monday morning by CEO Makoto Uchida.

Nissan have only recently appointed Uchida, after the firm had seen a business crisis over the last few months.

On the 13th November, the firm reported that it would cut its full year forecast which caused shares to slide, and now Uchida has been placed in poll position to turn company fortunes around.

This comes at a time where the global automotive industry has seen slumps. Renault have cut their annual guidance and Japanese rival Suzuk reported a quarterly slump.

Additionally, Peugeot SA and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV have agreed a $50 million tie up deal which alerted competitors as it establishes its foot holding onto the global market.

On his first day in the new position, chief executive Makoto Uchida also pledged to repair profitability at Japan’s No. 2 automaker and said setting realistic targets would be key toward that goal, as it tries to make a clean break from the leadership of former chairman Carlos Ghosn.

“Closer capital ties with Renault are not a focus in the short term,” he told reporters.

Renault holds a 43.4% stake in Nissan, after it saved Nissan from financial collapse over 20 years ago. Since then, Renault have pushed for the two companies to merge, however Nissan have resisted the temptation.

“The alliance has to benefit each of its partners in terms of revenue and profit,” he said.

“We need to re-evaluate what has worked and what hasn’t worked in the alliance in the past few years.”

The CEO called for Nissan to set “challenging but achievable” targets, in a time where Nissan has seen its lowest annual profit in 11 years and slashed its dividend by 65%.

In a time where the global automotive industry is struggling, the newly appointed CEO has a a tough task on his hands.

“Somewhere along the way we created a culture of setting targets which could not be achieved,” Uchida said, adding that this had resulted in a focus on short-term results.

“Years of this had led Nissan to its current “difficult situation,” he said, using heavy vehicle discounting in the U.S. market as an example of how aggressive sales targets to grow market share had deteriorated the company’s brand.

Shares of Nissan currently trade at JPY688 (+1.40%). 2/12/19 12:39BST.

Hurricane Energy shares plummet despite new recorded discovery

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Shares of Hurricane Energy (LON: HUR) have plummeted despite the firm reporting that it had made a new discovery on Monday morning.

Hurricane Energy is an AIM listed, UK based exploration and production company.The firm focuses on discoveries in naturally fractured basement reservoirs and are working towards realising the value of the reserves and resources of these discoveries.

Shares in Hurricane Energy plummeted 16.9% to 38p after the announcement. 2/12/19 12:19BST.

Hurricane saw their shares rally in October, after the firm excepted interim expectations which thoroughly impressed shareholders. However, the update today did not spark so much optimism.

The firm announced that it had made another discovery at its Warwick West well in the UK North Sea, however further analysis was needed to consider the sustainability of the discoveries.

The Warwick West well, third and final well in the 2019 Greater Warwick Area programme, was spudded September 24 and drilled to 1,879 metres, intersecting a 931 metre horizontal section of a fractured basement reservoir.

The well flowed for 85 hours total at variable rates. A stable rate could not be reliably measured with an electric submersible pump because the well was still cleaning up. After a build-up period, final flow was concluded and achieved a stable, sustainable 1,300 barrels of oil per day rate. Less than 0.5% water was produced.

Hurricane owns 50% of the Warwick site, located in the Greater Warwick Area offshore. The other 50% is held by joint partner Spirit Energy Ltd.

The company said more technical analysis will be needed to evaluate the impact of the well tests on volumetrics and on whether the Greater Warwick Area could “be a single accumulation”

Chief Executive Robert Trice said: “We are pleased to have made another discovery with the Warwick West well. The flow test results confirm the presence of light, mobile oil.

“The impact that this well will have on how the company views the [Greater Warwick Area] accumulation and its associated volumetrics will require further technical analysis. The GWA joint venture is now assessing the optimal appraisal strategy for the GWA, and Hurricane will provide an update in due course.”

For the rest of 2019, average production is to to be in line with Hurricane’s fourth quarter guidance of 11,000 barrels of oil per day.

Trice concluded: “Further progress is also being made in our understanding of the Lancaster reservoir. Uninterrupted vessel uptime combined with good well productivity have allowed us to carry out additional data gathering whilst remaining in line with guidance for Q4 2019.”