KEFI Minerals shares surge following green light for Tulu Kapi project

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KEFI Minerals (LON: KEFI) have seen their shares surge on Monday morning, after the firm picked its bank funding for its Tulu Kapi operations.

KEFI Minerals an exploration and development company focussed on gold and copper deposits, primarily in the highly prospective Arabian-Nubian Shield.

The Tulu Kapi project is based in Ethiopia with a Probable Ore Reserve of 1.0 million ounces and Mineral Resources totaling 1.7 million ounces.

Shares in KEFI Minerals surged 36.88% to 1.74p after the update. 2/12/19 12:06BST.

Just one week ago, the firm announced that they were pondering options on how they would finance these developments.

The firm has seen success in the last few weeks, as KEFI saw their shares rally 55.11% at the start of November after conflicts were resolved with regard to internal internal administrative arrangements in Ethiopia.

The fact that this dispute was resolved gave KEFI the green light to pursue operations in the Tulu Kapi project, and now finance options have been weighed and finalized.

It has gone with the bank-based proposal, it said Monday, believing it to be financially “more attractive” and easier to executive.

“In addition, the proposed bank lenders are actively working in Ethiopia, are familiar with the local market and many of our local stakeholders and thus considered more compatible with the project consortium,” said KEFI.

KEFI said that the total funding requirement for infrastructure and mining was $154.9 million, but a bond-lease based financing package would lead to interest payments twice that of a bank loan, and also higher financing-related costs.

“We have been very well supported by the bond-lease proposal and now we also have an attractive bank-loan based alternative because capital market support for our project has recently improved markedly, both inside and outside Ethiopia,” said KEFI Finance Director John Leach.

“The expected savings from the preferred bank-based infrastructure finance proposal provide our project subsidiary, Tulu Kapi Gold Mines, with the opportunity to develop and further explore the underground Tulu Kapi deposit and significantly increase value for shareholders, without reducing net cash flows available for other purposes,” he added.

The first six months of work will be funded by project partners, including the Ethiopian government. KEFI would then plan to draw the bank loan mid-2020.

In the minerals and mining sector, firms have struggled in a period of tough trading.

Fresnillo have seen their shares dip on Monday morning, after the FTSE 100 listed miner announced cuts in its production guidance.

This comes in similar fashion to big name rivals such as as Hochschild Mining and Antofagasta recently slashed their expectations.

Trainline shares dip on Labour election announcement

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Shareholders of Trainline PLC (LON:TRN) have seen their shares dip on Monday morning, after Labour announced its travel policies for the upcoming election.

Trainline, formerly branded Thetrainline.com, is an independent digital rail and coach platform. It sells tickets through its website, by telephone, and through its mobile app Trainline’s main offices are in London, Paris and Edinburgh.

Shares of Trainline dipped 3.64% to 450p on Monday. 2/12/19 11:45BST.

The Daily Mail, on Sunday reported that the firm would face a direct rival if the Labour Party were to win the election, which alerted shareholders.

As part of Labour’s nationalization plans were it to get into power, the UK government would create a ‘one-stop shop’ for rail passengers to buy tickets online without booking fees, the Mail reported without citing its sources.

This comes as part two of Labour’s headline policies for the December 12 election, after the party announced a few days back that it had intentions to nationalize BT (LON: BT.A) in an attempt to win voters.

The FTSE 250 listed firm has yet to comment on the situation formally, however shareholders do seem concerned as reflected in this morning’s stock price movements.

Labour’s policy will not only be a major blow to Trainline, but would also hit the many shareholders and pension funds that have been placed in good faith within the country.

This all comes part of Jeremy Corbyn’s plans to put power back into the hands of government, in an era where apparent nationalization has never been more important. However, this idea can be thoroughly contested.

Labour had detailed its plans to renationalize the railways but had not outlined plans to introduce a central ticket-selling service.

Labour’s plans would not affect Trainline’s operations in selling train tickets abroad. But the UK makes up a large chunk of the company’s business, with net ticket sales worth £1.65 billion last year.

In a time where the transport industry has been mixed, firms have been fighting the slumping business. National Express and FirstGroup have seen polar opposite updates, as the former saw its shares surge after winning a new contract. The latter saw their shares sink in November, after the firm reported a widened interim loss. Certainly, the election is heating up and both parties have had their share of failures and successes. However, in a time of such political uncertainty there is just no way to deduce which way the election will swing, as voters prepare to visit polling booths on December 12.

Hiscox look likely to suffer FTSE100 demotion

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Hiscox Ltd (LON: HSX) are set to drop out of the elite FTSE 100 index after the firm has seen its shares slip following a tough period of trading over the last 12-18 months.

Hiscox is headquartered in Bermuda, and is an international specialist insurer, underwriting a diverse range of personal and commercial insurance risks.

Its reputation and solid trading figures has made the firm a mainstay in the FTSE100, however the firm appears set for relegation, which may alert shareholders.

Shares of Hiscox currently trade at 1,312p (-3.74%). 2/12/19 11:40BST.

At the start of November, Hiscox gave shareholders an uncertain update which entailed that premium growth was strong however combined ratio was affected by a busy claims period and a trio of natural disasters.

The high number of claims has meant that the insurers balance sheet has taken a bruising which made it likely for demotion.

Easyjet (LON: EZJ) appear to be the likely candidate to replace Hiscox in the FTSE100, and the firm who have also had a turbulent 2019 will shift into the elite list.

“Hiscox may have the FTSE 100’s longest-serving chief executive, as Bronek Masojada has held the post for almost 20 years, but the Lloyd’s of London insurer looks set for a brief initial stay in the index as the latest quarterly reshuffle looms next week,” according to Russ Mould, AJ Bell investment director.

He added: “The specialist underwriter of catastrophe, property and marine insurance only joined the UK’s elite equity benchmark a year ago but its £3.7bn market capitalisation means it looks set for an automatic exit, to be replaced by easyJet, which is set to return to the FTSE 100 after an absence of just six months.”

Nicholas Hyett, an equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: ““An increase in claims in the US together with major weather events, such as the Japanese Typhoon, have blown a hole in insurer Hiscox’s bottom line.

“Unfortunately getting back on track looks set to take longer than some might have hoped, with combined operating ratios not set to return to their previous range until 2022.

“The good news is premiums have continued to grow, but that’s unlikely to offset the headwind from increased claims in the short term.”

Dashing through the snow… as Christmas breaks the bank

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A study has found that 43% of British shoppers expect to spend more than their monthly pay cheque over the festive season. Indeed, 68% of British people said that they intend to use credit cards to fund the additional cost of Christmas, a survey of 1,000 adults in the UK conducted by Creditfix.co.uk found. An additional 24% said that they have more than one credit card to cover Christmas costs. According to the survey, 62% of Brits said that the biggest cost over the festive period comes from purchasing gifts for loved ones. Last month, we took a look at the adverts released by retailers this Christmas to encourage shopping over the festive season. John Lewis & Partners, together with Waitrose & Partners, released their Christmas advert featuring the character #ExcitableEdgar. Additionally, Marks & Spencer (LON:MKS), Sainsbury’s (LON:SBRY), Tesco (LON:TSCO) and McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) also released adverts to encourage consumers to get into the festive spirit. Meanwhile, respondents also said that hosting Christmas dinner, attending social events such as Christmas markets and buying decorations also break the bank. The survey found that 16% are still paying off debt from last year’s Christmas period. “It is difficult to anticipate the true cost of Christmas, especially when we all want to treat our loved ones to something special. This is even more the case considering the cost of gifts and festive experiences, such as Christmas markets, which seem to get more expensive every year,” Taylor Flynn, head of marketing at Creditfix, commented on the data. “There are resources available to Brits that can help with budgeting over the festive season and handling credit card bills in the new year, easing financial strain. So, Brits can spend less time worrying about money and more time enjoying the holidays,” Taylor Flynn continued.

Ted Baker shares crash following balance sheet errors

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Shareholders of Ted Baker plc (LON: TED) have seen their shares crash following announcements of a £25 million balance sheet error.

Ted Baker plc is a British luxury clothing retail company, and is a stable name on the British high street.

Shares in Ted Baker crashed 9.12% to 361p after the announcement. 2/12/19 11:18BST.

In the retail and clothing sector, rivals such as Superdry and Sosandar have seen their shares slip in similar fashion following modest updates.

The firm warned investors that it will take a £25 million hate, after it overstated the value of inventory on its balance sheet.

The retailer has appointed Freshfields Druckhaus Deringer to investigate the issue and told shareholders that it estimates an impact on the value of the stock of between £20 million and £25 million.

The interim period has not been pleasant for Ted Baker, as the firm reported a half year loss at the start of October.

The Magic Circle law firm will appoint independent accountants to undertake a “comprehensive review” of the issue, Ted Baker said.

“Ted Baker is committed to ensuring the independent review is completed in an efficient and transparent manner and will update the market as appropriate,” Ted Baker said in a statement.

“Whilst the review is ongoing, the company will not comment further.”

Liberum called the discovery “less than ideal”.

“In our view, it is indicative to some degree of the very early stage work that the new and highly regarded CFO, Rachel Osborne, is undertaking,” the broker said.

“The board believes that any adjustment to inventory value will have no impact on the year-end cash balance and will relate to prior years. We keep our recommendation under review as there are further moving parts that may need consideration, which naturally lead to some additional questions.”

This issue will not come at a pleasant time for newly appointed Rachel Osnorne, who was appointed finance head just a few weeks back.

The issue was mentioned in Ted Baker’s last annual report from information provided by auditors KPMG.

AJ Bell’s investment director Russ Mould said it appeared that “Ted Baker has found another banana to slip up on”.

“Discovering that the value of inventory on its balance sheet has been overstated is a huge blunder on its behalf,” he said.

“It suggests that the business hasn’t got a grip on its numbers which is a bit worrying considering that new chief executive Lindsay Page used to be the finance director.

“Appointing a law firm and the intention to bring in independent accountants will raise questions about whether more serious problems are bubbling under the surface at the business.”

The company is due to publish its latest trading next week.

Fresnillo shares dip following modest 2019 production estimates

Fresnillo Plc (LON: FRES) have seen their shares dip, after the firm gave shareholders a disappointing update on Monday morning.

Fresnillo plc is a Mexican-based precious metals mining company incorporated in the United Kingdom and headquartered in Mexico City. It is the world’s largest producer of silver from ore and Mexico’s second-largest gold miner.

Shares of Fresnillo dipped 3.43% after the modest announcement, and trade at 557p. 2/12/19 11:04BST.

Fresnillo, have seen a trading slump over the last few weeks and shares have been volatile. At the end of October, the firm reported low output at the end of its third quarter, which saw shares in red.

Today, the FTSE100 listed miner announced expectations that its 2019 production guidance would be at the lower end of their target.

Fresnillo follow a string of firms in the industry who have seen their guidances cut, and noteworthy names such as Hochschild Mining and Antofagasta recently slashed their expectations.

Additionally, the firm said that its objectives going forward were to focus on stabilizing production, improving operational performance and delivery projects on time.

Ahead of its capital markets day in London on Monday, Fresnillo set its 2019 production guidance at the bottom of its previously guidance range.

The miner said it expects to produce 885,000 ounces of gold and 55 million ounces of silver. In October, Fresnillo had guided for 880,000 ounces to 910,000 ounces of gold for 2019, and for between 55 million ounces and 58 million ounces of silver. However, it had said at the time that it expected 2019 production to be towards the lower end of each range.

The firm alluded to the planned Noche Buena mine closure and lower production from the Herradura site, which led to 2019 capital expenditure forecasts of around $585 million.

“Our priorities for 2020 are to stabilise production, and to unlock the full potential of our current mines and projects. We will focus on operational improvement and efficiency, while de-risking and advancing our development pipeline, most notably the new Juanicipio mine,” said Chief Executive Octavio Alvidrez.

“We are confident that with the proactive measures put in place at our mines, together with our consistent, focused strategy, we will deliver on these priorities and that we will continue to create sustained value for stakeholders in the long-term, balancing growth with returns and maintaining a solid financial position,” Alvidrez added.

For 2020, gold production is predicted at 785,000 ounces and silver at 66 million ounces. Gold output is estimated at 665,00 ounces and silver at 71 million ounces for 2022.

The estimates for future is based upon current geological models and anticipated production improvements, Fresnillo said.

Whilst, Fresnillo have seen a slump in the market gold mining competitor Serabi Gold have seen their shares climb as they gave shareholders an impressive update.

Ocado shares sink after a positive week

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Ocado Group PLC (LON: OCDO) have seen their shares sink on Monday morning, after the firm announced a bond issue following a week of positive news.

Ocado had seen its shares in green over the last few days, as the firm had reported that it was set to open a robotic warehouse in Bristol.

Additionally, the firm saw its share spike further following an announcement that the firm had struck a deal with Aeon to implement its robotic warehouse.

However, shareholders have seen their shares sink as the firm announced its plans to fund these projects.

The FTSE 100 listed firm announced announced a £500m bond issue as it seeks cash to fund tech arm Ocado Solutions’ commitments.

The company added that the guaranteed senior unsecured convertible bonds, which are due in 2025 re expected to carry a coupon of between 0.75 per cent and 1.25 per cent a year.

Ocado uses robot technology in its customer fulfilment centres (CFCs) to automate many processes.

It said it would supply Aeon with CFCs and end-to-end software applications to serve millions of customers across Japan.

The full terms of the deal with Aeon have not be disclosed as of yet, but it seems that Ocado have had to find a way to raise funds for these projects.

The offering comes after Ocado had been in the news having agreed deals with rivals such as US firm Kroger and high street retailer Marks and Spencer.

On Ocado Retail, the group also announced that it expected revenue growth of 10-11 per cent, with growth in orders including those for Ocado Zoom slightly higher than retail revenue growth.

Ocado have not been hit by the apparent slump that competitors such as Marks and Spencer and Sainsbury have been hit by, however after a positive week for the online grocery retailer this will leave a sour taste.

Shares of Ocado sunk 7.4% on Monday morning, trading at 1,228p. 2/12/19 10:53BST.

The challenges faced by SMEs

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Four in ten SME owners believe that they are currently going through the most unstable period they’ve ever experienced as a business owner. The findings were revealed in a study of 500 business owners, commissioned by Xero, as part of a report which explores the future of small businesses. According to the report, 54% of owners believe that the biggest threat to small businesses is receiving payments late. Tax rates came next, and the prevailing uncertainty surrounding Brexit came third. The nation was supposed to depart from the European Union at the end of October, but it was granted yet another extension to its departure deadline. Uncertainty prevails among the UK’s political climate as parties prepare for a general election later on this month. The report found that other challenges include the cost of staff recruitment, maintaining or increasing levels of productivity and cyber attacks. “The ways small businesses work now are dramatically different from the 1980s when the first personal computers arrived,” Gary Turner, MD and co-founder of Xero, said. “But business needs to adapt to greater changes coming their way,” Gary Turner continued. “New technologies will hasten a far greater consciousness towards the biggest killer of small businesses.” “Cash flow problems will decline as instant payment technologies take root as a cultural norm.” Gerd Leonard, business futurist and contributor to the report, added: “Humanity will change more in the next 20 years than in the previous 300.” “We will see the biggest technological transformation in human history – impacting where, how and why we work,” Gerd Leonard said. “Automation is reducing the need for humans to undertake routine tasks and the world of work is heading towards a dramatic reset.” “Everything we assume about work, jobs, training and education is being challenged by exponential scientific and technological progress.” “Whether you’re a small business owner, an accountant, bookkeeper or advisor, these emerging trends will affect you very soon.”

Cineworld needs to address investor concerns

Cinema chain Cineworld Group (LON: CINE) is publishing a trading statement on Tuesday and, given the poor performance of the share price, investors will be seeking reassurance about the performance of the group.
Brentford-based Cineworld is the second largest cinema chain in the world and has more than 9,500 screens.
The main current areas of concern are the performance in the US and the lack of blockbusters planned for next year.
US
There is concern that Cineworld is losing market share in the US. This fell in the first half because Cineworld did not have a subscription product for US filmgoe...

Botswana Diamonds and Vast Resources agree deal for Zimbabwe operations

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Botswana Diamonds PLC (LON: BOD) and Vast Resources PLC (LON: VAST) have announced a deal to replace the Heritage concession agreement between the two firms.

Botswana Diamonds PLC is a diamond exploration and project development company that holds exploration licenses in Botswana and South Africa.

Vast Resources is focussed on the rapid transformation from exploration company to mining company and delivering multiple revenue streams.

This will be driven by the advancement of its two primary value drivers, the Baita Plai Polymetallic Mine in Romania, and the Chiadzwa Community Concession in Zimbabwe, into near term production.

As a result of the announcement, both firms saw their shares in red.

Shares of Botswana Diamonds fell 1.7% to trade at 0.81p, whilst Vast Resources slipped 3.52% to 0.32p. 29/11/19 13:43BST.

In October 2018, Botswana Diamonds concluded an agreement with Vast to develop Vast’s Heritage concessions in Zimbabwe’s Marange diamond fields. At that time, it was decided that a separate agreement would be reached covering joint development of diamond properties outside the Marange fields.

After this, Vast entered a joint venture with Chiadzwa Mineral Resources Private Ltd which covered the Chiadzwa Community diamond concession, also located in the Marange fields.

A new company, Katanga Mining Private Ltd (TSE: KAT), was created in order to operate the Chiadzwa joint venture. Katanga is intended to conclude a joint venture agreement with Zimbabwe Consolidated Diamond Co for the exploration and mining of the Chiadzwa concession and the marketing of diamonds from the operation.

The new agreement outlines the formation of a new company which holds the interest of Vast Resources,the Chiadzwa Community joint venture and Katanga.

Additionally, the agreement expresses the intent to issue new shares representing 2.5% of the newly formed company to Botswana Diamonds once the detailed agreement between Katanga and Zimbabwe Consolidated Diamond Co becomes effective.

Botswana Diamonds Chair John Teeling said: “Zimbabwe is opening up to investment. The country is rich in resources and has significant diamond potential. Vast Resources is at an advanced stage in finalising an agreement with the Central Authorities on a package of ground in the Chiadzwa / Marange area. This is a revised package from that on which Botswana Diamonds and Vast Resources had previously agreed to cooperate. In the light of this development, our previous agreement with Vast has been revised on new terms acceptable to the board.

“We look forward to the diamond agreement being concluded and to work starting on what is highly prospective ground. Botswana Diamonds is also studying additional opportunities in Zimbabwe.”

In the mineral and mining sector, there have been updates as firms have been busy. Antofagasta (LON: ANTO) and Hochschild Mining (LON: HOC) have seen their shares in red after their respective announcements.

Firms in the industry such as Thor Mining (LON: THR) Amur Minerals (LON: AMC) who made share placing announcements a fortnight ago, in order to raise funds for new discovery operations.