Ovo Energy fined £8.9 million
Hurricane Energy shares jump on strong production
Property Franchise Group shares rally over 8% on modest progress
“The Group has successfully navigated a difficult year for UK residential property and performed in line with market expectations, delivering growth in both revenues and management service fees. Our franchisees successfully mitigated much of the impact of the tenant fee ban and achieved a record performance for lettings revenue. The Group’s hybrid brand, EweMove, is also anticipated to show another significant improvement in profit over the prior year.”
Property Franchise Group said the challenging conditions owed somewhat to the impact of the Tenant Fee Ban, which was passed in June 2019, alongside wider macroeconomic forces. Despite the difficult backdrop, the group reported year-on-year growth in overall revenue, from £11.2 million, to £11.4 million. Alongside this, the company’s Management Service Fees rose from £9.4 million to £9.6 million, and the number of tenanted managed properties serviced increased from 55,000 to 58,000 during the same period.The company added that during FY19, its assisted acquisitions programme supported 24 acquisitions by franchisees and added 2,381 managed properties. It continued, saying that it had continued to invest in technology, and that its pay-per-click campaign via the traditional high street brands’ customer websites, had seen a 54% increase in leads, up to 47,000.
It appears TPFG have managed to place themselves among the ranks of the successful, in spite of the adverse conditions which have unsettled some of their equally established counterparts. AFI Development (LON: AFRB), for instance, pointed to “challenging market conditions” as the reason for their underwhelming performance. The Russia-focused company said its fall in profits and residential sales could be attributed to the state of the domestic economy. Likewise, Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust (LON: SREI) also complained about the backdrop of a ‘challenging market’, which saw its NAV contract and prompted it to adjust its strategy.Property Franchise Group comments
The company’s Chief Executive, Ian Wilson, responded to the update:
“Our ability to deliver revenue growth and continued operational progress over the year, notwithstanding the market headwinds, is testament to the strength of our business and the franchise model.”
“Looking ahead, there are numerous opportunities for us to now build further momentum across the business, as we continue to invest in our traditional brands and EweMove remains robust. In parallel we will focus our attention on growing a national mortgage brokerage network under our newly created financial services division.”
“This is my last year with TPFG and I’m delighted that we have continued the journey that we started with our IPO in December 2013, having materially increased the dividend every year. We are dedicated to continuing to create value for all our stakeholders and are confident we will continue to do so in the year ahead.”
Investor notes
Property Franchise Group shares rallied 8.37% or 18.00p, to 233.00p per share at the end of the Tuesday session 28/01/19 17:08 GMT.Looking ahead, the company said,
“Early indications of improving market conditions underpin our expectation that the volume of house sales should increase in 2020. The lettings market is also anticipated to remain healthy, with rising rents and increased confidence leading to more opportunities for the Group’s franchisees to acquire competitors’ books than were available in 2019.”
“Post period end, the Group announced the launch of its “buy and build” Financial Services division and the appointment of Mark Graves to the new role of Financial Services Director.”
No broker forecasts were available for this stock, but the group’s p/e ratio stands at 16.17, and their dividend yield is agreeable at 3.61%.Coronavirus can’t halt the inexplicable rebound of European equity markets
“At one point in danger of fading, Europe’s rebound strengthened after the US open, buoyed by a solid jump from the Dow Jones.”
“The Dow climbed 125 points as the bell rang on Wall Street, lifting the index back towards 28700 having hit a low of 28450 on Monday. It was helped out by a better than forecast CB consumer confidence reading, which came in at 131.6 against the estimated 128.2.”
“This prompted the CAC to rise 0.9%, smashing through 5900, while the DAX reclaimed 80 points to tickle 13300. The FTSE increased by 65 points, just about touching 7470 in the process.”
“It’s not like there has been a wealth of good news regarding the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak – if anything, the opposite, with Germany confirming the first human-to-human transmission in Europe. However, the fact Hong Kong has slashed border travel with China, could be read as a step in the right direction in regards to containing the illness.”
“Or, more likely, investors are just using yesterday’s plunge as an opportunity to buy up shares on the (relative) cheap – the wisdom of which will no doubt be tested by coronavirus headlines over the coming days and weeks.”
“Adding fuel to the FTSE’s rebound was the pound’s unravelling. Against the dollar it was down 0.4%, with a 0.3% drop against the euro. This as the direction of Thursday’s Bank of England meeting remain unclear – namely, will Mark Carney sign off with a rate cut, or will that decision be delayed until after Andrew Bailey takes the reins?”
“If investors can look beyond the coronavirus for a second, there’s a juicy Q1 update from Apple (NADAQ:AAPL) to look forward to this evening. Having roughly doubled its market value in the last year, now worth nearly $1.4 trillion, the tech giant will be looking to start 2020 with a bang.”
“Any indication of how successful Apple TV+ has been will grab headlines, but the real market moving numbers will be the classic. Earnings are expected at $4.59 per share against $4.18 for the same period the year previous, while sales are estimated at $88.42 billion, a near 5% increase year-on-year.”
UK excludes Huawei from its 5G core
The notable caveat of this agreement is that Huawei will be able to use its infrastructure and equipment on all ‘non-core’ areas of the system; such as base stations and antennas. In practice, this will mean that it loses access to the ‘brain’ of the network – the core is where all data is routed across sub-networks and computer servers in order to help it reach its required destination.
It will be limited to the periphery, or Random Access Network, which has been dubbed the ‘innovative but dumb’ part of the system. By itself, it doesn’t grant a user privileges over the management and direction of data. However, its new traffic management software means that users such as Huawei will be able to manage a far greater volume of traffic than before, without having to apply for planning permission for 5G masts or pay for the new core infrastructure to be put in place. In theory at least, this arrangement will allow Huawei to roll out 5G more quickly than its counterparts, but will also allow the UK government to mitigate some of the risks of Chinese involvement within its critical tech infrastructure. Additional conditions include the fact that Huawei will only be able to account for a maximum of 35% of the kit in any network’s periphery, and it will be excluded from providing services near sensitive areas, such as military bases and nuclear sites.Huawei and the US issue
This move likely comes in response to US Secretary of State’s comments, who said the equipment increased the risk of spying, and added that, “we won’t be able to share information” with nations that put it into their “critical information systems”. During his speech in Commons, British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab claimed the decision wouldn’t affect the UK’s intelligence-sharing relationship with any of its allies. “Nothing in this review affects this country’s ability to share highly-sensitive intelligence data over highly-secure networks both within the UK and our partners, including the Five Eyes,”Secretary for digital, culture, media and sport, Nicky Morgan, added,
“This is a U.K.-specific solution for U.K.-specific reasons and the decision deals with the challenges we face right now,”
“It not only paves the way for secure and resilient networks, with our sovereignty over data protected, but it also builds on our strategy to develop a diversity of suppliers,”
All problems solved?
The UK’s approach appears to be something of a halfway house between the lax approach it usually takes to overseas influence in strategically significant infrastructure, and the attitude of the US and Australia, which seeks to lock out that kind of external involvement. The lingering criticism of the new 5G policy is that while it may somewhat limit Huawei’s – and by extension the Chinese state’s – position on the UK’s tech chessboard, the capabilities of new infrastructure mean that traditional boundaries and the structure of our networks are changing. Trump’s cyber-security chiefs, among others, fear that over time the ‘edge’ (the boundary between core and periphery kit) will continue to erode as functions are carried out further from centralised nodes and increasingly moved to individual exchanges and base stations. The issue here is that sensitive operations will be carried out closer to users, and it will be a more challenging task to keep everybody out of the system’s most sensitive components. Responding to these concerns, UK network operators stated they can design the architecture of their networks to keep them distinct from the periphery, but they acknowledged the claim that more services will become decentralised over time. Before closing for Chinese New Year, Huawei’s shares were down 0.99% to 2.99 CNY 23/01/19 16:29 GMT.Just Eat revenues hit around £1bn and inks deal with McDonalds
Blow to Uber
Uber Eats had previously been the only exclusive partner to McDonalds in the UK which had been heavily advertised by the taxi app company. However, there have been a number of failings at Uber recently which have led to issues over their licenses in London and Birmingham. Although there has been no comment from Just Eat or McDonalds regarding Uber, it is logical to think McDonalds want to secure a reliable delivery partner and alternative to Uber Eats.Nearly 10,000 retail jobs lost since start of 2020
Tickr & Impact Investing – making money while making a difference
Why do we care about Impact Investment?
With calls for more conscientious business practices gaining prevalence, many will have already encountered ideas like ‘Impact Investing’. Large companies are committing considerable resources to programmes of ethical behaviour and investing – such as Citi’s (NYSE:C) Impact Investment fund – but what is Impact, and why do we care about it? It is perhaps the best contemporary realisation of an age-old goal. Markets weren’t designed purely for zero-sum profitability; they were created as a space for the common maximization of goods – both financial and otherwise. Market economies are a central mechanism by which we organise our societies, and the idea that they should also be used as a force for good and fulfilment is hardly new. Speaking in 1968, Bobby Kennedy delivered a timeless polemic: “Even if we act to erase material poverty, there is another greater task, it is to confront the poverty of satisfaction – purpose and dignity – that afflicts us all.” “Too much and for too long, we seemed to have surrendered personal excellence and community values in the mere accumulation of material things.” […] “[GDP] measures neither our wit nor our courage, neither our wisdom nor our learning, neither our compassion nor our devotion to our country, it measures everything in short, except that which makes life worthwhile.” Today, market norms are at odds with the way we think of ourselves – not purely as rational and industrious – but also as creatures capable of feeling and with some sense of ‘the bigger picture’. This is why Impact Investing is so important. By its definition, it is the creation of positive social and environmental impacts, with at least market-rate returns.So, who are Tickr?
Tickr is an Impact Investment app based on the shared vision of its founders: a desire to change the culture of capital markets – to make them more accessible, conscious and sustainable.“Our goal is to become the most convenient way to make a positive impact. A way to make a profit and feel good about it.” said Tom McGillycuddy.Its mission statement is clear and effective. Beyond that, though, its narrative is relatable, and this is entirely because its origins are so personal. While having something of a crisis of purpose, Tom happened upon a chance encounter in a lift, with the now-Head of Impact Investing at Black Rock (NYSE: BLK). He and his acquaintance discussed the idea of creating an app that would allow users to save sustainably, and soon enough Tom Co-Founded Tickr alongside his colleague, Matt Latham. “The more we spoke about it, the more we realised that this could be a way of bringing people to the table that had never invested before. They can relate to it. It’s not couched in any jargon; it’s investing in something that does good.” Tom said. “The narrative of our company and the stories of those impacted by the companies we support, are things that people connect with, and you don’t have to have invested before to make that connection.”
How does it work?
The app itself is very straightforward. A user chooses which Tickr ‘Theme’ they’d like to put their money into – Climate Change, Disruptive Technology, Equality, or a Combination of all three – you choose a level of risk, and the rest is done for you. The fintech-savvy among you may already be noticing some similarities between Tickr and one of its counterparts, Moneybox; and the recent introduction of round-ups on Tickr, and World ESG Index on Moneybox, invite further comparisons. However, Tickr’s dedication to positive impact within its business model gives it an edge. Both apps are easy to use and help novice investors navigate the new space with FAQs, advice and one-to-one messaging with staff, but only Tickr hammers home the reminder that you’re doing a good thing with your money. It does this via regular updates of stories from the companies it has invested your money into. The user doesn’t have to do anything but make the connection between watching their investment grow, and seeing in real terms the positive effect their capital is having on real people – it’s post-purchase rationalisation at its finest. From the employee perspective, it doesn’t sound bad either. Tickr’s Founders seem to have applied their principles to their company’s convictions, with each employee having joint ownership of the business. This doesn’t just make Tickr’s staff feel like a valued part of the company, but also provides an incentive for meaningful contributions and a strong collective output – if the company does well, so do its employees.Is it just a fantasy?
It isn’t a stretch to imagine that most people find the idea behind Tickr to be a good one, or at the very least, one with admirable intentions. I myself mused on the idea of an impact investing mobile app, before being pointed toward the Tickr website. The question that many will inevitably ask, though, is: as a business, is it feasible? Before I’d even finished the question, Tom had begun chuckling. He said that sceptics are just part of doing something that strays from the norm, but that he’d converted people into believers before, and he expected to do so again in future. “There’s an assumption that if we do something good, profits will suffer. So, the best we can do is to accept when we do something bad and offset it with charity.” “The solution is time and proof. There is enough data on company returns to pacify these people now. What we need to do is make everything equal or better than other types of investing platforms and then the only difference will be, whether you want to make a positive impact or not.” “The time feels right for the business. We started in 2015 and since then social attitudes and awareness have escalated”. If we accept that Tickr works, for now at least, is it merely a good idea having its day? What are the main risks it will have to face, and does it have longevity? “I don’t think there are any major risks unique to us. We need to grow and we need to expand. We’re working heavily on the unit economics of the business so we become profitable quicker than our peers – that’s something we’re laser-focused on. It would be great to never have to raise money again for cashflow, only for growth. It’ll probably take us a couple more years to get there, and that’ll put us in a sustainable position, business-wise.” “2020 and 2021 are set to be big years of growth for us. We have a lot of product development in the pipeline alongside a bold marketing strategy” “We launched in January [2019], and now tens of thousands of people are using our app in the UK, and 80% of those people had never invested before. They’re providing for their own future, both by making returns on their investments and supporting something they want to be a part of building their future.” “That’s 50,000 people investing in these themes with roughly 50 million quid, and look what that’s done so far. But imagine when we’re a million, or two million, and what we can achieve then.” With Founders that have real-world experience of what it takes to achieve financial sustainability within a business model, it’s hard to question either the company’s structure or its provenance. One area I’m keen to see it develop is the user experience of the app itself. During my two months of using the app, there was a brief moment where an incorrect balance was displayed, though the situation was quickly explained and rectified. I’d also like to see, in real terms, the increase (or, heavens-forbid, decrease) in my portfolio displayed using a tangible, combined statistic, rather than just a break-down of the growth of its individual sub-categories. On the whole, though, we can expect some teething issues and cosmetic touch-ups in the early days of any business, and Tickr certainly has some big plans for the near future.What can we look forward to?
I’d like to make clear that by-and-large, the first generation of the app looks fresh, works well and has an intuitive lay-out, but it’s always good to make sure the small kinks are ironed out before moving onto more grand ambitions – and they certainly are grand. The company is in the process of expanding its team, and speaking on his vision for the second generation of the Tickr app, Tom said: “The app is slick; you’ve seen it works well. The in-app experience is ok in my opinion. But in the future, there’ll be a lot more about the impact your money has had and we aim to create a more collective feel, regarding the impact of our users’ pooled investments”. “In future we want to have success stories. On our home screen we want to create feeds with, ‘This company did THIS good thing with YOUR money’, and initially it may be a report with images but five years down the line we’d look to maybe make videos which show the impact your money makes. For instance, social housing that has been built and the families that have benefitted from this.” “We want to bring the two points of capital together.” To think the vision ends there would be a mistake. What really excites me about Tickr is that beyond its already impressive primary objectives, it has a grand strategy. It wants to lead the way in changing the culture of capital markets. “There are a few big scale projects we’ve been working on, for instance we’ve been given regulatory approval to launch our own ETFs. So, we’re aiming to launch our own tickr branded ETFs into the market, and the goal would be that we would set the standard for sustainable capitalism eventually.” “Because we would own the fund, we’d want our app users to determine which companies are good and bad from an impact point of view.” “Our users can vote companies in or out of our ETFs and ultimately give consumers a voice they’ve never had in capital markets before. What could that do to markets and company behaviour? One day could a Tickr score of a company have a say in capital markets? If it ends up in the hands of a lot of consumers, eventually at least consumer companies will have to take notice.” “We want to nudge capital markets in a more sustainable direction, put them in the hands of consumers, and do it in the most engaging way possible” He finished his twinkle-eyed monologue: “But that’s for next year.”At the end of it all, can we really have our cake and eat it?
You might’ve heard it in other contexts, but to me Tickr is a bit of a unicorn. It’s a fairytale mix of healthy profits and potential, enthusiastic support from its backers, performing a good cause, with a team that are passionate about what they do. After six months of using Moneybox, my investment is up 1.59%. After two months with Tickr, my investment has grown by 3.91%. This figure takes into account – and negates – the credit you earn for referring friends to the app (if you fancy £5 free on Tickr and a tree to be planted on your behalf, my code is jamieg912). It also doesn’t do justice to the consistency of growth seen in the main components of my portfolio, Clean Energy and Global Water, which have grown 38.89% and 29.88% respectively, over the last year. At the very least, what I hope Tickr signifies is the beginning of an attitudinal shift. We have a responsibility to help tackle the issues we have a part in causing, and as time progresses, we will have better means to do so. If financial services are to have even greater prevalence in future society, the best we can do is discourage those performing zero-sum behaviours, and support those trying to innovate and carry out win-win scenarios. The reason I’d encourage you to get involved with Tickr in particular, is simple. At its very essence, it is a feel-good app. Beyond rejecting a shrouded and severe approach to investing, I think it’s trying to show us a happier and more human way to do business. It may very well be the future; I’d urge you to be part of it.Coronavirus keeps Chinese stock exchanges closed – 100,000 may be infected
There have also been calls for the British government to evacuate some 300 Brits held with the Wuhan quarantine, with nationals from other nations calling for the same. The anger over efforts to contain the disease has also seen protests starting in Wuhan and Hong Kong, with the latter seeing a designated quarantine ward being torched by the city’s residents. WHO representatives have arrived in China, after falling short of declaring a global emergency; China’s second most powerful official, Premier Li Keqiang, became the country’s most influential figure to have visited Wuhan since the outbreak began.📍Coronavirus found in Cambodia
▪️Cambodian health minister review confirmed first coronavirus case. -SkyNews- pic.twitter.com/daUwzWidq9 — EHA News (@eha_news) January 27, 2020
While the trickle of information from China has been limited at best, travel restrictions and emergency construction of a second new hospital should tell us something of their outlook on the severity of the illness. Experts state that while only 2,700 cases have been confirmed officially, their ‘best guess’ estimates predict some 100,000 people could be infected, and have either gone unreported or are yet to display symptoms. The NHS states that it is fully prepared to deal with any cases cited in the UK. Speaking on market movements on Monday morning, and the effect of the virus, Spreadex Financial Analyst Connor Campbell stated,WHO is working with networks of specialists to analyze 2019-nCoV full genome sequences as they become available. We have not received evidence that the virus has changed. We await further information from 🇨🇳 officials. Situation report 26 Jan https://t.co/DAIdpqarKO#coronavirus pic.twitter.com/wHvEBpdlrO
— World Health Organization (WHO) (@WHO) January 26, 2020
“Last Friday, the European markets were rebounding on the hopes that the Coronavirus was being contained, that China was putting more cities on lockdown, and that the WHO had stopped short of announcing a global emergency.”
“Now those fears have come back with a vengeance. A weekend full of increasingly alarming headlines about jumping death tolls and known cases rising into the thousands – one expert has claimed there could be as many as 100,000 affected by the virus, a figure that dwarfs the official number – has sent the global markets reeling.”
“With its major miners and banks in the red – Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) fell 4.1%, Anglo American (LON:AAL) 3.9% and HSBC (LON:HSBA) 2.7% – the FTSE suffered a sharp 1.5% dive, forcing the UK index below 7500 for the first time since mid-December.”
“The situation in the Eurozone wasn’t any better. The DAX, oh so briefly at all-time highs last week, found itself at a 2-and-a-half week low of 13400 as it shed 180 points, while the CAC tumbled to 5930 after a 1.4% drop.”
“As for the Dow Jones, by the end of Friday it had reversed the gains seen during the European section of the session, falling under 29000. It is set to continue that decline this afternoon, the futures eyeing a 275 point plunge, the index not only suffering from the Coronavirus fears, but news of rockets hitting the US embassy in Baghdad.”
“It was, last week, unclear whether the outbreak was becoming the next major market story, or if it would rumble on in the background. Now, despite the next few days bringing a Fed statement, Mark Carney’s final meeting as Bank of England governor, and the UK’s withdrawal from the EU, it seems like it is going to be hard to pull investors’ attentions away from the progress of the virus.”
Coronavirus continues to dampen global markets as death toll hits 81
The Coronavirus has been hitting news headlines, and the global population continue to worry over fears about the lethal virus spreading.
Investors and businesses have also had a say on the matter, and whether this will have long term implications for business within China as markets seem to have been spooked on Monday.
The death toll of the Coronavirus has hit 81 as of Monday morning, and the UK Health Departments have issued warnings to the British people about the possibility that it could already be inside the UK.
Almost 3,000 people have been diagnosed with the Coronavirus, and the number is only set to rise as the worry of infection spreads across the globe.
Notably, 44 cases of the virus have been detected outside of China with Japan and France being two of the names mentioned.
On Monday, the composite European Stoxx 600 fell 1.7% at the open, London’s FTSE 100 dropped 1.6%, while Germany’s Dax was 1.7% lower.
The slump followed a similarly dramatic decline in Asia overnight. The Shanghai Composite fell 2.7%, the Hong Kong Hang Seng lost 1.1%, and Japan’s Nikkei dropped 2%.
Nigel Green, deVere Group chief executive speaks out as global stock markets have been rattled by the threat of the Coronavirus.
“The Coronavirus is the number one threat to financial markets currently as global investors are becoming jittery on the uncertainty.
“But whilst this health crisis will inevitably hit some sectors, such as travel and retail, most investors who have a properly diversified portfolio should avoid knee-jerk reactions. History teaches us that most issues of this kind have a short-term impact on stock markets.”
He continues: “Most investors should monitor the situation with their financial adviser and sit tight at present. But if it is still escalating next week, with much higher casualty rates, a more defensive approach might be necessary.
“However, the cost and effort of making such a switch means you do not do it lightly, and more evidence is needed that the virus does pose a medium to long term risk to China and the global economy.”
Mr Green goes on to say: “But that said, this should serve as a wake-up call to all investors to ensure their portfolio is well-diversified across asset classes, regions, sectors, even currencies.
“This is the best way to mitigate risks and the best way to be well-placed to take advantage of the opportunities when they occur.”
The deVere CEO concludes: “Stock markets tend to bottom with the peak in new cases during a public health issue of this kind, before rebounding.
“This is a worrying and serious situation and investors must be vigilant. They should remain properly diversified and remain in the market.”
Certainly, the spread of the Coronavirus is a global issue and governments all across the globe will have to make an ensured effort to tackle this. A plan will be needed to limit the spread, and also allow markets to recover on a gloomy Monday.