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Rare Earth Minerals – China’s bedrock in trade war with US?
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsBased on what I know, China is seriously considering restricting rare earth exports to the US. China may also take other countermeasures in the future.
— Hu Xijin 胡锡进 (@HuXijin_GT) May 28, 2019
What are rare earths to the US?
According to the US Geological Survey, rare earth minerals can be defined as, “the minerals bastnasite, monazite, and loparite and the lateritic ion-adsorption clays. The rare earths are a relatively abundant group of 17 elements composed of scandium, yttrium, and the lanthanides. […] The rare earths’ unique properties are used in a wide variety of applications.” The materials are of vital importance to American Industry and in particular emerging and high growth industries such as electric vehicle manufacturing and renewable energies such as wind. Yi Zhu, Bloomberg Intelligence senior analyst, said, “The U.S. will continue to rely on importing rare-earth minerals from China, the materials used in key components for a wide variety of products including electronics, hybrid vehicles and energy-storage systems. Importing from China is cheaper than producing domestically in the U.S.” In 2018, the US Geological Survey identified these minerals as critical to the economy and national defence. Chinese mines make up approximately 70% of the global output of rare earths, and about 80% of the US’s supply of rare earths. What is even more worrying for the US, is that according to official Chinese statistics, Chinese production of rare earths has almost doubled in the last five years and 90% of all processing into useful oxides globally was done within China. US woes are compounded by the fact that the minerals it currently imports from other countries such as France, are originally mined in China, the one US company that does export rare earths to China is currently facing a 25% tariff and the meagre quantities it can access from Malaysia are being called into question because of the adverse effects of the mining process, which China is willing to bear.How real is the rare earth threat?
Well, it seems like China aren’t bluffing. The People’s Daily, a flagship paper of the Communist Party, used a rare Chinese phrase with historical significance to emboss the seriousness of the state’s intent, telling a metaphorical US listener, “don’t say I didn’t warn you”, and continuing, “those familiar with Chinese diplomatic language know the weight of this phrase”. The same language was deployed in 1962 before China’s war with India and before its conflict with Vietnam in 1979. Further, producers of rare earths in China have rallied behind the concept of weaponizing the minerals, and President Xi Jinping even visited a plant earlier this month with his chief negotiator with the US. The industry in China is run by a select few and increasingly valuable handful of players; China Northern Rare Earth Group (SHA:600111), Minmetals Rare Earth Co., Xiamen Tungsten Co. and Chinalco Rare Earth & Metals Co. Northern Rare Earth Group saw its shares rally 8.68% during trading on Tuesday, and has seen its share price bounce by a third this month. China Rare Earth Holdings Ltd (HKG:0769) saw its share price jump 23.53% yesterday, and its value has doubled during May. China could send the world into panic if it backed up these threats with action. Its not as if it wouldn’t do it either; it has good form in fulfilling its promises in regard to rare earth threats, as Japan learned after their 2010 conflict.https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Much like the response to that conflict, the international community – the US in particular – would scramble to recoup their flow of rare earth supply from alternative sources. However, the US have been nervous for a while and rightly so. Earlier this decade they headed a case at the WTO to force China to export more rare earth minerals during a global shortage (which they won), and in 2017 Trump attempted to reduce the nation’s vulnerability to external supply chains by signing an executive order to reduce the US’s dependence on external sources of critical minerals. One thing is for certain, coverage of the trade war may be more sparse than in 2018, but the conflict has not cooled down – we will report further developments as they arise.After #TrumpTariffs on China, blacklisting of its Huawei & other telecom firms, etc., US hints at action against Chinese CCTV, drone companies. China reacts, threatens to stop supply of #RareEarth minerals crucial for tech sector. US-China #HybridWar assuming very different form. pic.twitter.com/IZUugc1RaO
— Samir Dattopadhye (@samirsinh189) May 25, 2019
SVS Securities morning call and market round-up 29th May
- Potential for a NO Deal Brexit outcome rises.
- US stocks suffer badly in late trading as the yield curve inverts.
- Asian markets are mostly declining in Wednesday’s late trading, following Wall Street’s lead.
- Today’s UK financial updates are relatively limited, but still include finals from: AVEVA Group, Stobart Group and Telford Homes, with interims from Jadestone Energy Inc. and General Meetings scheduled for Oxford Biomedica, PureTech Health, Sports Direct, Vectura Group and Xeros Technology Group.
EU Elections 2019: Salvini’s League takes Italy
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Home to the third-largest economy in the Eurozone, it was announced that Italy had slipped into its third recession in a decade at the end of January. It spent months quarrelling with Brussels last year over its ambitious budget plans. The government’s original deficit plans breached rules on government borrowing. The 2.4% figure may have been below the EU’s deficit limit of 3%, but It remained far too high for a country whose debt is as large as Italy’s, posing a threat to the Eurozone. “Salvini is the true leader of a dangerous government,” said the head of the Democratic Party, Nicola Zingaretti, according to the Local Italy. “Now the government is even more fragile,” he continued. The left-wing Italian newspaper La Repubblica read “Dark shadows” in its main headline following the results. What does the triumph of the eurosceptic populists mean for the future of Italy and its relationship with the EU?Una sola parola: GRAZIE Italia! 🇮🇹 pic.twitter.com/PEmaNvCpNJ
— Matteo Salvini (@matteosalvinimi) May 26, 2019
Sports Direct £120m sale of Shirebrook HQ
Sports Direct property
After closing down its warehouse in Wigan, the company said it would offer the 300 employees currently based at that site positions at Shirebrook. The Company intends to take out a 15 year lease at the Shirebrook site and continue its distribution, office and retail operations there. Following the sale, the company still maintains its 670 stores worldwide. In a statement to investors, Company Secretary Cameron Olsen said,“Further to the announcement on 17 May 2019, the Company announces that it has, through its wholly owned subsidiary Sportsdirect.com Retail Limited, agreed to dispose of the freehold property of Units A, B, C, D and F Brook Park East, Shirebrook, NG20 8RY (the “Property”) to Kwasa Logix Sportivo Limited for a cash consideration of £120,050,000.”
“Sports Direct will, on completion, take a 15 year lease of the Property and intends to continue to operate the Property as a distribution centre, offices and retail. The Company intends to use the proceeds of sale towards the working capital of the Company and its group operations.”
“Completion is expected to occur on or before 21 June 2019.”
The company completing the sale and subsequent lease, Kwasa Logix Sportivo, is owned by the Employees Provident Fund. The company manages the pension savings of seven million individuals and owns one of the new developments at the Battersea Power Station.The Company’s wider strategy
The sale of the property comes only three days after announcing further buyback of its own shares from its broker Liberum Capital.“Sports Direct announces that on 24 May 2019 it purchased 51,698 of its ordinary shares from Liberum Capital Limited (acting as the Company’s broker) on the London Stock Exchange at an average price of 281.89 pence per share, as part of the Company’s buyback programme announced on 26 April 2019. The purchased shares will all be held as treasury shares.” said Cameron Olsen.
“Following the above purchase, the Company holds 105,231,954 ordinary shares as treasury shares. The total number of ordinary shares in issue (excluding shares held as treasury shares) is 535,370,415.”
Further, tycoon Mike Ashley’s Company has attracted further speculation over claims that it is looking to make bids for more struggling high street retailers. Within the last year, Mr Ashley has taken over House of Fraser (LON:HOF), Sofa.com and Evans Cycles, while selling off his 4.8% stake in online firm MySale (LON:MYSL) last week and having two takeover bids for Debenhams (LON:DEB) rejected after the company went into administration. Mr Ashley is also in talks to sell Newcastle United football club, having ‘agreed terms’ with Dubai Sheikh Khaled Bin Zayed Al Nahyan.