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FTSE led the market surge following hollow trade war optimism
“The European markets were once again somewhat out of step with the US, still seemingly processing the déjà vu of yesterday’s overly familiarly and cynically-timed trade optimism from Donald Trump.”
“After rising yesterday, the Dow Jones pulled back this Thursday, falling towards 26900 as it dropped 0.2%. In contrast, the DAX and CAC were up 0.5% and 0.9% respectively as they swallowed the President’s claim that a trade deal could be arriving sooner than many think. That allowed the German bourse to hit 12300, with its French cousin crossing 5600.”
“Putting them all to shame was the FTSE, which let rip with a 100 point surge, leaving it at 7380 and near an 8-week peak. This despite some serious casualties amongst its ranks: Pearson fell 14% on problems in its US higher education courseware business; Imperial Brands shed 11% thanks to fears surrounding the crackdown on vaping in America; and IAG lost 3.5% as it took a heavy hit from the month’s pilot strike.”
“Keeping the FTSE buzzing was its commodity sector, obviously influenced by Trump’s trade deal rumours, alongside the continued misery of sterling. The pound failed to make any in roads regarding a recovery of yesterday’s losses; instead the currency spent much of the day flat, paralysed by all the recent talk of a general election.”
Elsewhere in political and macro economic news, there have been updates from; the Supreme Court’s ruling, the collapse of Thomas Cook (LON: TCP), ECB stimulus, the bid for the London Stock Exchange (LON: LSE), Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LON: LLOY), Jo Johnson quitting, Hilary Benn’s Brexit delay bill, Barclays (LON: BARC) and Deutsche Bank (ETR: DBK).IAG British Airways updates guidance following industrial action
IAG statement
The Company’s statement read,“During September, BALPA’s (British Airways main pilots’ union) industrial action initially scheduled for the 9, 10 and 27 led to an initial cancellation of 4,521 flights over a period of seven days. Subsequently, 2,196 flights were reinstated leaving 2,325 cancellations. British Airways also introduced flexible commercial policies on 4,070 flights not directly affected by the industrial action. These policies enabled customers to re-book flights or receive a refund. The net financial impact of the industrial action is estimated to be €137 million. In addition, there were further disruption events affecting British Airways in the quarter, including threatened strikes by Heathrow Airport employees, which had a further net financial impact of €33 million.”
“At current fuel prices and exchange rates, IAG therefore expects its 2019 operating profit before exceptional items to be €215 million lower than 2018 pro forma (€3,485 million). Passenger unit revenue is expected to be slightly down at constant currency, compared to flat guidance previously, and non-fuel unit costs are expected to improve at constant currency, unchanged from previous guidance. Capacity growth, measured in ASKs, for the fourth quarter is now expected to be about 2 per cent, which is 1.2 points below previous guidance, and full year capacity growth is expected to be about 4 per cent, compared to 5 per cent previously.”
“Clearly any further industrial action will additionally impact IAG’s full year 2019 operating profit.”
Investor notes
After failing to capitalise on Thomas Cook’s demise in Monday, the Company’s share price dipped 3.36% or 16.14p to 463.96p per share 26/09/19 14:46 BST. Liberum Capital analysts reiterated their ‘Buy’ stance on IAG stock. Elsewhere in travel and aviation, there have been updates from; TUI AG (LON: TUI), Thomas Cook (LON: TCP), Fastjet PLC (LON: FJET), John Menzies plc (LON: MNZS), Wizz Air (LON: WIZZ) and Ryanair Holdings Plc (LON:RYA).Northbridge Industrial Services books first profit in five years
This growth in sales led significant gross profit growth of 50%, up to £7.5 million. Further, the Company’s EBITDA spiked 90% to £3.4 million.
Northbridge Industry Services said the improved trading conditions in the equipment services and rental business was led by recovery in the oil and gas market.

