IAG British Airways updates guidance following industrial action

Anglo-Spanish multinational airline holdings company IAG, or International Consolidated Airlines Group (LON: IAG) reconsidered its guidance for the full-year, in light of British Airways industrial action and the additional costs incurred by this year’s events. The Company said that the impact of industrial action and anticipated strikes by British Airways unions (such as BALPA) totalled around €170 million. Unions other than BALPA – which represent 90% of the Group’s staff – have accepted an 11.5% pay rise over the next three years. The Group’s low-cost offerings, such as Vueling and LEVEL, will see an impact of €45 million due to booking trends. IAG also downplayed its profit expectations on account of its projections for passenger unit revenue and capacity growth rates.

IAG statement

The Company’s statement read,

“During September, BALPA’s (British Airways main pilots’ union) industrial action initially scheduled for the 9, 10 and 27 led to an initial cancellation of 4,521 flights over a period of seven days. Subsequently, 2,196 flights were reinstated leaving 2,325 cancellations. British Airways also introduced flexible commercial policies on 4,070 flights not directly affected by the industrial action. These policies enabled customers to re-book flights or receive a refund. The net financial impact of the industrial action is estimated to be €137 million. In addition, there were further disruption events affecting British Airways in the quarter, including threatened strikes by Heathrow Airport employees, which had a further net financial impact of €33 million.”

“At current fuel prices and exchange rates, IAG therefore expects its 2019 operating profit before exceptional items to be €215 million lower than 2018 pro forma (€3,485 million). Passenger unit revenue is expected to be slightly down at constant currency, compared to flat guidance previously, and non-fuel unit costs are expected to improve at constant currency, unchanged from previous guidance. Capacity growth, measured in ASKs, for the fourth quarter is now expected to be about 2 per cent, which is 1.2 points below previous guidance, and full year capacity growth is expected to be about 4 per cent, compared to 5 per cent previously.”

Clearly any further industrial action will additionally impact IAG’s full year 2019 operating profit.”

Investor notes

After failing to capitalise on Thomas Cook’s demise in Monday, the Company’s share price dipped 3.36% or 16.14p to 463.96p per share 26/09/19 14:46 BST. Liberum Capital analysts reiterated their ‘Buy’ stance on IAG stock. Elsewhere in travel and aviation, there have been updates from; TUI AG (LON: TUI), Thomas Cook (LON: TCP), Fastjet PLC (LON: FJET), John Menzies plc (LON: MNZS), Wizz Air (LON: WIZZ) and Ryanair Holdings Plc (LON:RYA).

Northbridge Industrial Services books first profit in five years

Industrial services and rental company Northbridge Industrial Services plc (LON: NBI) booked its first profit since 2014, alongside bumper revenue growth. The Group’s revenue and cash generation from operations both bounced 33%, to £16.8 million and £2.6 million respectively. Similarly, improved conditions in the drilling tool market saw year-on-year revenue grow 29% in the sector.

This growth in sales led significant gross profit growth of 50%, up to £7.5 million. Further, the Company’s EBITDA spiked 90% to £3.4 million.

Northbridge Industry Services said the improved trading conditions in the equipment services and rental business was led by recovery in the oil and gas market.

Northbridge Industrial Services comments

Chief Executive Eric Hook stated, “Northbridge is starting to see the benefits from the recovery in activity in the oil and gas markets across both our operating divisions of Tasman and Crestchic. Northbridge’s operational gearing is also now beginning to have a significant beneficial impact on our cash generation.” “There has now been a significant improvement in the group’s performance, as our traditional energy markets begin to improve, and this has benefited both Crestchic and Tasman. In addition, the new markets which Crestchic was able to exploit during the downturn, most noticeably in data centres and North America, remain available to us and will also provide additional future growth,” “We are confident of trading volumes for the remainder of 2019 and with a much-strengthened balance sheet, a growing cash flow and further organic opportunities to grow the business, we look forward to the future with optimism.”

Investor notes

The Company’s share price rallied 2.90% or 3.90p, to 138.40p per share 26/09/19 12:46 BST. The Group’s market cap is £38.64 million, their p/e ratio and dividend yield are unavailable. Elsewhere in industrial and construction news, there have been updates from; Billington Holdings PLC (LON: BILN), Epwin Group PLC (LON: EPWIN), Ashtead Group plc (LON: AHT), SIG plc (LON: SHI), Alumasc Group plc (LON: ALU), Somero Enterprises Inc (LON: SOM) and Wincanton plc (LON: WIN).

Kaiserwetter talks on its IntelliTech asset management for renewables

Kaiserwetter describes itself as the first ‘IntelliTech’ company, utilising AI, machine learning algorithms and data analytics to help its clients navigate the volatile but growing market of renewable energy assets. The Company’s CEO, Hanno Schoklitsch, told the UK Investor Magazine that it sets itself apart in its field by, “[Transforming] variable and volatile returns into almost steady income to the investor [and by providing] state of the art digital platforms and analytics”. By utilising the Internet of Things and a range of AI capabilities, the Company boasted its ability to collate structured data sets from scattered fundamentals. It also noted that its goal of catalysing investments into renewables – by way of offering Data Analytics as a Service – would further efforts to ‘decarbonise’ the energy sector (and in turn increase both traffic and credibility in the ethical investment field).  

The tech triad

For readers interested in learning about the triad of platforms that led Kaiserwetter to be named among the Top 10 Asset Management Solution Providers USA 2019, here we will provide a brief overview. Its first two platforms, ARISTOTELES and IRIS, complement one-another by providing analytics using the Internet of Things and historic operational data, to procure due diligence reports with the goal of maximizing investors’ returns while minimizing costs. The two platforms utilise both Smart and Predictive data analytics, alongside machine learning, to not only track and predict the financial performance indicators that affect the majority of assets, but variables specific to the renewables sector, for instance weather, temperature and power curve inefficiencies. Its third and most recent offering, ZULU, enables users to “configure services related to the technical and commercial management of renewable energy assets”, while increasing operational cost-effectiveness and transparency. The Group’s CEO stated that, “ZULU us a very exciting new area for our business where customers can pick and choose any service at any time, and know the specific lowest price of each in real time. As other asset classes such as biomass power and hydroelectric plants will subsequently be integrated into our platforms, the services offered to solar and wind owners will continue to lead the way in innovation and incorporation of the latest analytics we develop.”  

Positioned for a surge

Both by the very nature of its operations and led by its current strategy, Kaiserwetter looks poised to position itself at the forefront of innovation and as one of the success stories in the renewables asset management sector. At its core is an understanding that like any consumer, the archetypal modern investor is exposed to the increasing convenience and complexities offered by technology. As such, they increasingly come to expect the ‘Amazonization’ of online services, and in turn seek out the swift purveyance of due diligence reports, investment assessments, risk diagnoses and original expectations which Kaiserwetter’s data banks and platforms facilitate. Far from passively relying on their means of operation for growth, Kaiserwetter’s CEO was keen to discuss changes to the Company’s personnel and market positioning. Like any Company seeking to grow, Kaiserwetter has brought in swathes of specialists – data scientists, renewable energy engineering specialists, business developers and strategists – however, their trading strategy details their desire to become ambitious entrants into ‘sophisticated’ and ‘complex’ markets.

Why should our readers choose Kaiserwetter and what challenges does it face?

Mr Schoklitsch told us the main obstacles the Company faces are largely in the hands of larger players and market forces. Other than the obvious discussion of macroeconomic uncertainty, Kaiserwetter sees one of the major challenges to not only itself but to society as a whole, as being our ability to drive research and investment into renewable energy and AI sectors. It believes this can only be done with the right cooperation between governments and private entities such as itself, in tackling issues already on the political agenda, such as the need to drastically cut emissions (which is made easier if renewables gain scale and become more of a mainstream route for investment). The Company sees itself as a natural option for difficulties posed by not only market uncertainty but moral challenges, “The UK market, although a very exciting area at the moment, is currently experiencing many challenges with the difficult rupture from the EU market. Only decisive support from the tech sector and massive investment in the renewables sector, will enable the shutting down of most coal plants, reduce the development of fracking and simultaneously comply with the carbon emission reductions that world leaders have already pledged. We believe that our intelligence approach offers investors the best means of addressing these market challenges, while protecting investments from volatile market forces and the wider political instability we have seen in the United Kingdom and London recently.” Granted, much of this piece reads like a promotion, but it is entirely based on what I see as a fair opinion of the Company. Aside from operating at the forefront of some of the most important and growing sectors, and successfully marrying them (renewables and AI), Kaiserwetter appears to offer the best of both worlds in ethical investment. It not only understands the moral challenges facing our society and encourages the growth of a sector which seeks to combat these issues, but does so in a way that is profitable, sophisticated, and will likely only improve as the AI technology it uses becomes more capable. Elsewhere, there have been renewable energy updates from; Active Energy Group PLC (LON: AEG), Velocys PLC (LON: VLS), AFC Energy plc (LON: AFC), John Laing Environmental Assets Group Ltd PLC (LON: JLEN), SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE), Aquila European Renewables Income Fund (LON: AERI), PowerHouse Energy Group (LON: PHE) and SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE).      

Interims mask Sumo progress

Interim figures from video games services provider and developer Sumo Group (LON: SUMO) do not reflect the underlying progress of the business. The video games sector is growing strongly and the pattern of the development and launch of games means that the year is second half weighted.
The global video games market is set to grow at 9% a year and could reach a value of $196bn by 2022.
Sumo provides the development services and expertise for the games publishers and it has also developed its own IP and a royalty stream. The group is in a strong position to be a consolidator.
Interims
In the ...

General Election chatter make Sterling nervous, European indices continue free-fall

Following the rousing baritone notes of MP Geoffrey Cox, the Pound Sterling halted its post-Supreme Court verdict rally, with the Conservatives making an increasingly concerted effort to pressure the Labour Party into agreeing to a general election. After the release of his phone call transcript, Donald Trump’s infamous tangerine smirk could hardly be contained as the thus far fruitless impeachment campaign saw the DOW Jones climb during Wednesday trading. Aside from these modest rises and falls, the Eurozone can only pray the CAC and DAX have got parachutes to hand. Speaking on market movements through the day, Spreadex Financial Analyst Connor Campbell stated,

“The markets’ stress headache only intensified as Wednesday went on – all bar the Dow Jones, which managed a remarkably chilled out open.”

“As investors process the recently released transcript of the call between Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, attempting to ascertain the implications regarding yesterday’s impeachment announcement, the Dow pushed 0.3% higher. That lifted the US index back towards 26900, a level it tumbled under on Tuesday.”

“In stark contrast, the DAX and CAC were in a terrible mood, plunging 1% and 1.2% respectively, as it all got a bit much. The German index is now below 12200 for the first time in over a fortnight, with its French cousin struggling to hold onto 5550.”

“The FTSE avoided the same kind of losses thanks to the UK’s own political mess. Falling 0.3%, the index was rescued by the comparatively greater suffering of sterling, which dropped 1.1% against the dollar and 0.5% against the euro.”

“Whatever pleasure the currency took in the Supreme Court deciding Boris Johnson’s prorogation of Parliament was unlawful has been replaced with concern over what happens next, especially since there is increased talks of the government trying to force the country towards a general election. And with a busy Commons schedule this afternoon, the drama likely isn’t over for the pound just yet.”

Elsewhere in political and macro economic news, there have been updates from; the Supreme Court’s ruling, the collapse of Thomas Cook (LON: TCP), ECB stimulus, the bid for the London Stock Exchange (LON: LSE), Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LON: LLOY), Jo Johnson quitting, Hilary Benn’s Brexit delay bill, Barclays (LON: BARC) and Deutsche Bank (ETR: DBK).

Chariot Oil and Gas shares dip despite losses narrowing

Oil and gas exploration and development company Chariot Oil and Gas Limited (LON: CHAR) saw its losses narrow due to a decline in its share based payments as it continued the developments of its ventures. The Company booked a loss from operations of £1.898 million, contracting from £2.028 million. This was led by a fall in share based payments from US $507,000 to $355,000 year-on-year during the first half. Additionally, Chariot Oil and Gas admin expenses stood at $1.5 million and their unaudited cash balance at 30 Junes stood at $12.1 million. Operationally, the Group said it secured the Lixus Offshore Licence, which offers a near-term opportunity for cashflow generation. Going forwards, the Company will hope to secure partners for the appraisal and development of the Anchois gas field.

Chariot Oil and Gas comments

Larry Bottomley, CEO, stated,

“Using the information acquired from the 2018 drilling campaigns we have not only been able to de-risk and refine our giant prospect portfolio, but also identified and acquired a low risk appraisal asset with the capacity to generate significant cash flow for the Company.”

“Chariot’s risk portfolio is now balanced by a commercially attractive production opportunity, capable of sustaining the high impact exploration programmes of our giant potential prospects within the wider portfolio. Our cash position substantially exceeds our commitments and, with the significant interest received in our data rooms, we are confident about our ability to achieve on our near-term goals in Morocco. At the same time, we remain vigilant to further new venture opportunities that can further de-risk the portfolio whilst also looking to secure additional partners to deliver wells in a fast follower position on our Namibian and Brazilian assets.”

Investor notes

Following the update, the Company’s shares have dipped 11.17% or 0.40p, to 3.22p per share 25/09/19 15:36 BST. Peel Hunt analysts reiterated their ‘Add’ stance, while finnCap analysts reiterated their ‘Corporate’ stance on Chariot Oil and Gas stock. Neither a p/e ratio nor a dividend yield are available for the Group, their market cap is £11.83 million. Elsewhere in oil and gas news, there have been updates from; Union Jack Oil PLC (LON: UJO), Prospex Oil and Gas PLC (LON: PXOG), IGAS Energy PLC (LON: IGAS), Trinity Exploration & Production PLC (LON: TRIN), Baron Oil PLC (LON: BOIL), Cabot Energy PLC (LON: CAB) and Reabold Resources PLC (LON: RBD).

AEG acquires North Carolina project and losses narrow on lower finance costs

Biomass-focused development and sale company Active Energy Group PLC (LON: AEG) books significant operational and financial progress during the first half of 2019. Despite the progress, the Company still posted a loss from continuing operations of US 1.833 million, down from $2.268 million, and an operating loss of $1.543 million, narrowing from $1.683 million year-on-year during the first half. This progress was led by the Group’s finance costs being cut almost in half, and H1 revenues jumping from nothing, to $99,830, on-year. AEG made good progress but spent the first half of 2019 focusing on the acquisition of its Lumberton commercial hub in North Carolina, which will aid in the development of its forest-to-energy supply chain. Further, the Group sent samples of its CoalSwitch fuel alternative and biomass black pellets to prospective US and EU clients – in forestry, renewable and agricultural sectors – for a testing programme.

AEG comments

Chief Executive Michael Rowan, said, “We have acquired the Lumberton site and have a defined plan for the commercialisation of CoalSwitch contemporaneously with additional products. Our ambition remains for [AEG] to become a profitable producer of second-generation biomass fuels, focusing on the pellet market. Our production designs are modular, and we are designing efficient operations that are scalable to increase manufacturing volumes to potential market demands. With first production imminent,the company is looking forward to the future with increasing confidence.”

Investor notes

The Company’s share price dropped 20.37% or 0.11p to 0.43p per share 25/09/19 12:32 BST. The Group’s p/e ratio and dividend yield are unavailable, their market cap is £5.47 million. There have been recent renewable energy updates from; Velocys PLC (LON: VLS), AFC Energy plc (LON: AFC), John Laing Environmental Assets Group Ltd PLC (LON: JLEN), SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE), Aquila European Renewables Income Fund (LON: AERI), PowerHouse Energy Group (LON: PHE) and SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE).

Properties in England see strongest rental growth, Ideal Flatmate

Properties in England have experienced the strongest rental growth in the past five years, new data revealed on Wednesday. The latest research by Ideal Flatmate has examined where in the UK has experienced the largest raise in rental growth over the course of the past five years. The data shows that properties in England have seen the strongest rental growth, up by 15.6%, in the past five years. Scotland follows at 14.7% with Northern Ireland third at 11.5%. As for the most tenant-friendly country in the UK in terms of rental growth, Wales saw an increase of just 3.11% over the past five years. In terms of regions, Ideal Flatmate said that the East of England has been the worst region for proportional rental growth with a 22.1% increase. This is followed by the East Midlands at 14.94%. York has seen the largest increase, rising 38.1% across the five year period from £749 per month to £1,034. Manchester follows with a 37.8% rise and Ipswich closely comes in behind it. “While initial rental affordability may be based on the cost of renting in a given area, many renters are aware of this cost and make a choice to live there,” Co-founder of Ideal Flatmate, Tom Gatzen, said in a statement. “However, the real squeeze in rental affordability is the continued increase in rents in many parts of the UK on an annual basis. While an increase of £250 over five years might not sound significant, for those renting in York and already struggling with the cost, it’s enough to price them out of the sector altogether,” Ideal Flatmate’s Co-founder continued. “Over the last five years, the growing preference for people to share the burden and live with others rather than go it alone has been driven out of necessity rather than choice, but at least, we have better platforms, technology, and transparency to accommodate this growing trend now.” Elsewhere in UK property, new data revealed the market’s seasonal trends.

Universe Group makes progress and acquires Celtech during first half

Developer of IT-based point-of-sale and payment services Universe Group plc (LON: UNG) saw impressive fundamentals during the first half of 2019. The Company’s revenues grew 7.3% to £9.92 million year-on-year for H1. This led hikes in adjusted EBITDA from £0.98 million to £1.39 million, and a jump in operating profit, from £0.17 million to £0.28 million. The only regression was in its net cash flow from operations, which contracted from £1.98 million to £1.70 million. Its progress was reflected in its EPS, which rose from 0.06p to 0.07p on-year. Universe Group added that it acquired cloud-based technology provider Celtech for an interest of £4.96 million. This was funded through cash resources and a £5.00 million new banking facility from HSBC,

Universe Group comments

Andrew Blazye, Non-Executive Chairman, stated,

“We are encouraged to see that revenues across the Group’s activities for the first half show both organic and acquisition driven growth on the same period last year. We have secured further important contracts with two existing major clients and we are pleased with the progress made in integrating Celtech into the wider Group. We are already starting to benefit from the acquisition synergies.”

“Our payment and loyalty operations continue to perform well and we are positioning the newly acquired ab-initio platform at the forefront of our expanded RMS offering. We continue to be cash generative under-pinned by material recurring revenues.”

“We are, as previously stated, also a second half weighted business, dependent on a small number of high value projects. However, we are confident that, with the investments we have made into the business, we are well positioned for growth in 2019 and beyond.”

Investor notes

After dipping, the Company recovered to a rally of 1.33% or 0.065p to 4.94p 25/09/19 13:24 BST. Analysts from finnCap reiterated their ‘Corporate’ stance on Universe Group stock. The Group’s p/e ratio is 13.94, no dividend yield is available. Elsewhere in the tech sector, there were updates from; Microsaic Systems PLC (LON: MSYS), Petards Group plc (LON: PEG), SCISYS Group PLC (LON: SSY), Pebble Beach Systems Group PLC(LON: PEB), ULS Technology PLC (LON: ULS), Midwich Group PLC (LON: MIDW) and ProPhotonix Ltd (LON: PPIX).

Shaftesbury books ‘robust’ leasing activity and acquisitions

British real estate investment trust Shaftesbury plc (LON: SHB) posted consistent full-year progress across its performance fundamentals. The Company told shareholders on Wednesday that its food and drink and retail occupiers reported good footfall and sales growth. Regarding its leasing performance, the Group booked ‘robust’ leasing activity alongside ‘good demand’ for its regular space

It went on to say that on its new operations and acquisitions; that work had commenced after planning consent was secured on its 72 Broadwick Street scheme, it opened the Seven Dials Market at its Thomas Neal’s Warehouse and completed £34.9 million of acquisitions since 1 April 2019.

Shaftesbury comments

Brian Bickell, Chief Executive, stated,

“Our exceptional 15.2 acre portfolio, located in some of the busiest parts of the West End, continues to perform well. The small to medium-sized space we mostly provide, combined with our modest rental levels, are a considerable advantage in the current market, attracting good levels of interest. Our long-established tenant selection strategy has ensured that we have been largely unaffected by high-profile retail and restaurant failures and restructurings.”

“We continue to convert our portfolio’s reversionary potential into contracted income, whilst delivering further long-term growth in rental values. During the period since 1 April 2019, leasing activity has been robust, rents continue to be achieved at or above ERV and lease incentive levels have remained stable. Vacancy remains low and consistent with our long-term average; much of our available space is under offer.”

“Despite the uncertain political and macroeconomic backdrop, London’s global city status continues to draw businesses and visitors from across the World, reinforcing the West End’s long-term appeal and prospects.

Investor notes

The Company’s shares dipped 0.79% or 7.00p to 875.00p per share 25/09/19 13:20 BST. Analysts from Peel Hunt reiterated their ‘Hold’ stance on Shaftesbury stock. The Group’s p/e ratio is 51.58, their dividend yield is 1.92%. Elsewhere in property development and estate agency news, there have been updates from; Rightmove Plc (LON: RMV), Berkeley Group Holdings Ltd (LON: BKG), Redrow plc (LON: RDW), U+I Group PLC (LON: UAI), Hunters Property PLC (LON: HUNT), GCP Student Living plc (LON: DIGS) and Barratt Development Plc (LON: BDEV).